Aintree Day One


So here we go with three days of Aintree. The final big showcase event of the National Hunt season, as always it should be a cracker and there are some mouth watering battles to come. The ground appears to have firmed up a bit and I'm expecting some good runs from horses who prefer better ground. You need to take into account the Cheltenham factor as those that ran in deep ground may have had a lot to do and this could come too quick for them. We will see of course!
 
Here are tomorrow's selections from Aintree and two from elsewhere that make up my best three.
 
HUNT BALL 1520 TAUNTON (nap) – (WON – 2-1) the ground I think is the absolute key to this horse. To be honest too I don't think he is as good as everyone thought. However, with conditions in his favour and in a race of a lesser class he has an excellent chance.
 
REBEL DU MAQUIS 1540 AINTREE (nb) – (FELL) another one who will benefit from better ground. He has been disappointing over handicap chases and despite losing by a head on his hunter chase debut, these types of races may prove better for him now. If he runs to his true ability he as a real chance.
 
AAIM TO PROSPER 1555 TAUNTON (treble) – (2nd – 3-1) I was really impressed with his win at Doncaster the time before last. The Albert Bartlett was too much for him on far from ideal ground. He won't have used up too much fuel there and with good ground and his natural ability he is a cracking proposition.
 
Here are the rest of my Aintree picks :
 
IRISH SAINT 1400 AINTREE – (3rd – 3-1) not running at Cheltenham could benefit this one and he has a big chance on the form of his last win. He is at level weights with VASCO DU RONCERAY which will help him further.
 
SILVINIACO CONTI 1430 AINTREE – (3rd – evens) his officially about 7lbs ahead of all the others in this. He was going reasonably well when falling in the Gold Cup. His confidence shouldn't have been affected as normally he's a sound jumper, I can't see anything beating him really. I backed MENORAH (2nd – 14-1) at Cheltenham and he ran one of his stinkers, he has form here and may be worth an each way bet.
 
OSCAR WHISKEY 1505 AINTREE – (4th – 5-1) he has won this the past two years. His form over this distance is impeccable and I can't believe he is 6-1 in places because of a poor run in a race that may have stretched him anyway. I think Geraghty has got this wrong, although I'm not sure McCoy's style of riding suits him?
 
KINGS GREY 1615 AINTREE – (4th – 20-1) he hits most of the trends for this race and is ultra consistent. He will appreciate the better ground but hasn't run for a while. I'm hoping he runs another good race and if he jumps well could be there at the finish.
 
FAGO 1650 AINTREE – (unplaced) missed the Arkle with this in mind and looked a good horse when winning at Newbury. He was running a decent ace when falling at Warwick and he may have needed a break before his last defeat. He is the only one in this that didn't go to Cheltenham and that may swing in his favour too.
 
SIXTY SOMETHING 1720 AINTREE – (unplaced) has been in great form this year and I was gutted I left him alone last time he won. Denis O'Regan says with him today despite his retained trainer having a runner in the race, a tip itself maybe? May be some more to come from him again. One run and one win here too.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 34/148 = 22.9%
Wins 139/753 = 18.4%
Placed 198/753 = 26.2%

Win and Placed = 44.7%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£64.83
 
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