The first classic is upon us all ready! I love it how quickly the flat season bounces in to life. With this weekend, then Chester next week to look forward I'm already as happy as a pig in……
How different the ground is going to be this year! A year ago we were engulfed in the rain of biblical proportions that killed alot of meetings and destroyed horses chances. I reckon there could be a record or two smashed this weekend. Oh how I love the 2000 Guineas and think of all the great past winners, a few that stick out for me personally are ROCK OF GIBRALTAR, GEORGE WASHINGTON, HENRYTHENAVIGATOR and of course the best of the lot FRANKEL.
Here are my selections for today, enjoy the racing and all the best with your bets.
HIPPY HIPPY SHAKE 1605 GOODWOOD (nap) – (unplaced) this horse is one of mine to follow this year. She appears to be very progressive and I liked the way she won last time at Newmarket going away. She got collared by MAVEN earlier on in the season over 1m 2f and this trip of a mile looks optimum today. Big hopes!
KINGSGATE NATIVE 1435 NEWMARKET (nb) – (2nd – 25-1) on his day a superstar! Dependent on his mood of course! I'm hoping today is the day. When he makes his seasonal return on good to firm ground and over 5f he has finished 2nd and 1st. The ground is key for him and I'm expecting another big run today with these conditions and trends in mind.
GEORGE VANCOUVER 1550 NEWMARKET (treble) – (unplaced) I really think Aiden O'Brien holds the key here, and to me it's breeding that the important element. HENRYTHENAVIGATOR was a fast ground horse as was the mare VERSAILLES TREATY, and with conditions to suit I think this one is O'Brien's best chance. He also has some smart form too, winning the Juvenile Turf at Santa Anita last run. He was also third behind dawn APPROACH in the Dewhurst, for me the ground helped DA bound away that day. Today the ground with help my selection bound away!
NOBLE MISSION 1510 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) I love this horse and he most definitely needed the run last time and allowed UNIVERSAL to get the better of him. Today he will creep into it, be played late and won't let anyone pass!
LICENCE TO TILL 1405 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) I think the ground will play to this horses' strengths today. I expect him to bolt out and go from the front and with the quicker ground likely to play into his strengths with this approach, as with many Mark Johnston horses he may not get passed.
SECRETINTHEPARK 1625 NEWMARKET – (WON – 9-2) won a decent nursery well last year and followed it up quite comfortably at Kempton. The ground is in his favour and a drop back in trip shouldn't pose a problem, it may utilise his speed at bit more.
WHOZTHECAT 1745 THIRSK – (unplaced) I always follow Declan Carroll closely, especially early in the season. This horse is a course and distance winner on two occasions and can go well fresh. He is on the same winning mark when defeating CONFESSIONAL here two years ago. A smart chance!
NO POPPY 1635 THIRSK – (unplaced) ran no race last time and I'm willing to give her another chance here. She has done most of her winning with a bit of cut, but is a hold up horse to come off the pace. This quicker surface may play to those strengths and se has some decent form in the locker and was fourth behind my nap on her last run last year. Hopeful, but a huge each way price.
BLOG STATS :
Naps 38/170 = 22.4%
Wins 156/845 = 18.5%
Placed 225/845 = 26.6%
Win and Placed = 45.1%
@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£55.33