Royal Ascot Day 4

Well so far this week has been a disaster for me! The closest I have got is second and a couple of thirds. That however I suppose is Royal Ascot – tough, competitive handicaps and quality Group races where a whole host of horses can win. On I go to Friday in search of a winner!
 
I have had a look and selected three that I fancy at Ascot and one elsewhere.
 
GLEN COUNTESS 1720 MARKET RASEN (nap) – (WON – 8-1) this horse needs to improve again to take this but I think she can. She has solid form at this level and can go in again on this ground. If the forecast rain comes and gets in, she is proven on softer surfaces too.
 
MAUREEN 1545 ASCOT (nb) – (unplaced) the forgotten horse!I have always rated this horse and while she didn't run to what I believe is her class in both Guineas, she cannt be discounted from this. If the forecast rain comes I think it will help her chances too. I think she will run a big race!
 
LABARINTO 1625 ASCOT (treble) – (unplaced) this boy is enigmatic to say the least! Can be hugely talented on his day as he showed at Sandown last year. He went well fresh that day, one of the reasons I like his chances in this. Secondly, his owner has stuck with him, there aren't many Abdullah horses at 5, who are gelded and still his. On a decent mark too considering that Sandown success.
 
ES QUE LOVE 1735 ASCOT – (unplaced) Cliff horse or what! However, I thought he ran really well in the Hunt Cup and got going in the last furlong and a half. He's on the same mark and turned out quickly again with the same jockey. The drop in trip will help and I think he has a great chance of place money at least. And I have tunnel vision with this horse!!!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 40/180 = 22.2%
Wins 162/911 = 17.8%
Placed 241/911 = 26.5%

Win and Placed = 44.2%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£66.33
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Royal Ascot Day 2

Photo : Mark Cranham
 
What a first day of the meeting that was. I got ANIMAL KINGDOM way wrong, but it just affirmed the believe about transferring dirt form to grass – not many can do it. TORONADO ran a cracker for me and despite his defeat I was pleased DAWN APPROACH won to end his Epsom nightmare. I also thought MYSTERIOUS MAN ran a cracker and he is one to watch out for next time. Hero of the day has to be JONNY MURTAGH who proved again what a brilliant jockey he is in sprint races. On to Wednesday, and hopefully a winner!
 
JERSEY STAKES

GALE FORCE TEN has the Irish Guineas form in his favour here and ran a decent race in the Norfolk last year, however I don't fancy him here. GARSWOOD was a horse hyped up for the 2000 Guineas and he got nowhere near and again I think this level is too much for him. BLAINE is interesting, he won the Gimcrack last year but has then disappointed in the Middle Park and in France. On better ground though he could run a big race at 50-1 when I type this. My money is on MUTIN, he is four from four, including on a good surface. He has won at listed level, looked like he could run at this level well and the drop back shouldn't hinder him.
 
Selections – MUTIN (unplaced) & BLAINE e/w (unplaced)

DUKE OF CAMBRIDGE STAKES

This race revolves around three horses for me. DUNTLE has some excellent form and has shown it over course and distance and she could be very smart. CHIGUN was impressive when winning the Abu Dabi stakes at the Curragh. However, my preference is for DANK who is a highly progressive and talented filly. She defeated CHIGUN on her last run and was giving her 3lbs. Today they are off level weights and the ground will suit too. One of my best bets of the meeting.
 
Selections – DANK (nap) (3rd – 7-2)

PRINCE OF WALES'S STAKES

Alot has been said about CAMELOT and that his Classic crop weren't the best and that he defeated nothing. For me he stills needs credit on what he did achieve, and almost achieved. On reflection now was ENCKE drugged up by Zarooni? Anyway, he has a great chance and after a run I think he will reverse placings with AL KAZEEM. This horse has got better and better and his trainer rates him highly and rightly so, but I just think he is a level below top class. My money is on THE FUGUE in this race, if she is fully tuned up with conditions to suit, last year's Nassau winner could swoop late and take this.
 
Selection – THE FUGUE (nb) (3rd – 11-2)

ROYAL HUNT CUP

If I pick the winner of this, or if anyone does, you know you're drawing a tidy sum. Andrew Balding has been bigging up STIRRING BALLAD leading up to this, she has done well but I don't think she'll take this. Behind her at Kempton when LILY'S ANGEL won was BURKE'S ROCK, she could also run a big race from a high draw. GLOBAL VILLAGE will run his race again from the other side and is consistent here and could nab a place. I can't have PRINCE OF JOHANNE on current form, despite an improvement last time,but he loves these big fields. ES QUE LOVE is a horse who I firmly believe will take a big handicap like this over a mile. He did so first time out at Kempton this year and is now 3lbs lower than that success. He has a high draw and ran well in defeat on Saturday at Musselburgh with the same jockey on board, interestingly, he's on the same mark as that today!
 
Selection – ES QUE LOVE e/w (unplaced)

QUEEN MARY STAKES

BELDALE MEMORY will be favourite or near to it on the back of her success in the Marygate Stakes at York, however, she could be softer ground dependant and that is worth taking her on for. Hannon's trio will be popular and they haven't struck yet. My preference here is for QUATOUR, she was incredibly impressive when bounding away to take the Lily Agnes Stakes at Chester. In my opinion the ground beat her at York. The yard took this last year with CEILING KITTY and this horse has took the same route and I just think the ground in a fast run race with play into her strengths and 25-1 as I write this is huge!
 
Selection – QUATOUR (treble) (unplaced)

SANDRINGHAM HANDICAP

NARGYS is an interesting runner, only an abysmal run in the Nell Gwyn stopped her running in the Guineas when touted up as a class horse by Keiren Fallon, she's not worth giving up on, but this is too much for her. WOODLAND ARIA was impressive first time out and then the trip seemed too much after that run. Returned to 7f last time she won well, and I think that is her trip, not this! My selection for the race is ANNIE'S FORTUNE, she ran well behind WATERWAY RUN in the Oh So Sharp stakes and is a full 6lbs less in the ratings today, that is a very appealing mark for me for a horse that could well be a shade better than this level.
 
Selection – ANNIE'S FORTUNE e/w (unplaced)

Whatever happens on Day 2, lets hope it is as good as Day 1. Sit back and enjoy, bet within your means and good luck.


BLOG STATS :

Naps 39/179 = 21.8%
Wins 161/907 = 17.8%
Placed 241/907 = 26.6%

Win and Placed = 44.3%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£60.33

Royal Ascot Day One

It's here at the last. The second greatest horse racing festival in my opinion, as nothing compares to Cheltenham! However, this week will prove to be simply awesome and I can't wait. I am hoping to preview every race and will hopefully chuck up a winner or two!
 
QUEEN ANNE STAKES

This race revolves around one horse for me, ANIMAL KINGDOM. He has by far and away the best form and was ultra impressive when cruising to Dubai World Cup success at Meydan. The only doubt that I'm sure the layers are targetting is him dropping back in trip, however this stiff mile will suit and I can't see him losing. He's not a betting interest so am going to go for an each way selection in ALJAMAAHEER who has steadilyi mproved and ran well in the Lockinge last time. I think he could stay on for a place at the end.
 
Selection – ALJAMAAHEER e/w (2nd – 8-1)

KING'S STAND STAKES

This is one hell of a race! SHEA SHEA is worthy favourite on what he accomplished in Meydan and I can't see SOLE POWER reversing the placings with him. However, he is far too short for me in this race. KINGSGATE NATIVE ran a cracker for me when I tipped him up in the Temple Stakes, and he looks back to his best this year, however, the good ground is against him here and a place is probably the best he can manage. RECKLESS ABANDON had a phenomenal juvenile year, including success at this meeting last year in the Norfolk Stakes. His return was really pleasing on ground he had not encountered. His performance on the far side that day caught my eye and the form has been franked with SPIRIT QUARTZ and MORAWIJ winning since. The key here is the ground and with it being more sound he should have more than KINGSGATE NATIVE and will be a winner again. A real danger at a big price is PEARL SECRET who did nothing wrong last year except in the Nunthorpe, when clearly something was amiss. He could run a huge race.
 
Selection – RECKLESS ABANDON (nb) (unplaced)

ST JAMES'S PALACE STAKES

According to the book this race revolves around DAWN APPROACH and MAGICIAN. The former looked every bit a class horse when winning the 2000 Guineas easily, then Shiekh Mohammed went on his personal Derby crusade – lets all be honest he was never going to stay, pulling or not! Dropped back in trip he could easily reproduce his old form, however, sometimes a track and experiece like Epsom can damage a horse and he certainly hated every minute. MAGICIAN has done nothing wrong but I just don't fancy him in this top company. My money is going on TORONADO, who was touted as their best ever by both Hughes and Hannon prior to the Guineas and he just never ran well enough. The undulations could have affected him and I reckon this more level track will suit a late burst from the supreme judge of pace Hughes. Bring it on!
 
Selection – TORONADO (treble) (2nd – 5-1)

COVENTRY STAKES

This is a very trappy affair will almost all 16 runners having a decent chance. It's usually insighful to place your money on or around the first few in the market. STUBBS is the favourite but was defeated first time out which puts me off him, and I reckon SIR JOHN HAWKINS is O'Brien's best chance in the race. He is impeccably bred through HENRYTHENAVIGATOR and PEEPING FAWN and won well on his debut. RIVERBOAT SPRINGS is another who caught the eye when flying home at Epsom. He clearly hated the adverse camber going down the hill and flew over the final furlong. However, I just cannot ignore the huge potential in SIR JOHN HAWKINGS and he has my money with RIVERBOAT coming second.
 
Selection – SIR JOHN HAWKINS (nap) (3rd – 6-1)

ASCOT STAKES

With this marathon distance to tacke it is no suprise that the last three winners (SIMENON, VEILED and JUNIOR) heralded from jumps yards. Out of that discipline this year WELL SHARP catches the eye after romping home last time. He was also not far behind BROWN PANTHER here a few years ago. TIGER CLIFF has gone from strength to strength and it would bring the house down if Lady Cecil had a winner on the first day, and he is sure to be in the mix up. I really fancied INVESTISSEMENT for the Chester Cup but he ran poorly, he still has a race like this in him. However, I'm opting for a progressive horse in MYSTERIOUS MAN he was just touched off at Salisbury earlier in the year and showed promise last year in the Melrose handicap at York. This is a big step up in trip but Andrew Balding is a shrewd judge and he is also on fire at the moment, and I think he could run a big race.
 
Selection – MYSTERIOUS MAN (unplaced)

WINDSOR CASTLE STAKES

Quite possibly the hardest race to pick the winner of in the opening day. The American raider, OGERMEISTER has gone the same route as the trainers other winner of this STRIKE THE TIGER. However, I think this is between three British ones who are all closely matched on form. ANTICIPATED will be popular and he defeated JUSTICE DAY by 3/4 of a length. The latter then went down by a head to SLEEPER KING last time at Musselburgh. Out of the three I think this one is most unexposed and progressive and I fancy him to go on again and take this. Not many of my pounds will be on in this race though!
 
Selection – SLEEPER KING (unplaced)

So a great first day to look forward to and I hope I have found a few winners here! Enjoy the first day, remember to bet within your means and if you have liked what you have read please give this a RT on twitter. Good luck!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 39/178 = 21.9%
Wins 161/900 = 17.9%
Placed 239/900 = 26.6%

Win and Placed = 44.4%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.33

Monday’s treble

After Saturday's disaster Sunday was much better. If you read my timeline you would have seen me a long last have a winning nap. WHOZTHECAT 14-1, was the one that broke my 14 loser run! Lets hope tomorrows can continue the winning trend and that I have a few at Ascot!
 
CELESTIAL DAWN 1515 CARLISLE (nap) – (unplaced) has dropped back to a good mark and has been running consistently lately. Better with a bit of cut, but has won on good and will appreciate this stiff track.
 
TUSSIE MUSSIE 1645 CARLISLE (nb) – (unplaced) has two good runs behind him this season and has the potential to go one better today.
 
DARK ORCHID 1950 WARWICK (treble) – (3rd – 9-2) Shirrocco Star ran a stinker last time and I don't think she's the same horse. My selection has a few good runs behind her in France and whilst has been a pace maker recently, cannot be discounted and Godolphin are starting to fire.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 39/177 = 22%
Wins 161/894 = 18%
Placed 237/894 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44.4%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£62.33

Saturday selections

What a sad week it has been in the world of racing losing one of its greatest ever trainers. Sir Henry Cecil epitomised British racing for me, a true gentleman and a man who loved everything about these wonderful animals. Rest in peace Sir Henry.
 
Royal Ascot gets going next week, and with channel 4 covering every race we are in for a right treat! Today sees a couple of cracking meeting too. I'm having a crap run at the minute and am hoping I come into form for Ascot. Lets see what happens today! I've selected a few below and hopefully they will run well. Whatever happens, if you're having a flutter do so within your own means and enjoy the racing.
 
SANDREAMER 1455 SANDOWN (nap) – (3rd – 12-1) Morawij will be a short favourite here and is rated well above these. He ran very well behind my tip Kingsgate Native last time and is entitled to be favourite. My selection however is a bit of a forgotten horse. He won in Listed company last year in Italy and was runner up behind MAUREEN and ran well in behind RODSHU QUEEN on a couple of occasions. He is a decent animal and is a huge price!
 
LEWISHAM 1550 YORK (nb) – (unplaced) this horse was second in a Group 2 last season behind ALHEBAYEB and then never showed behind BLAINE at York in the Gimcrack. Ralph Beckett now has the training duties and he has given the horse a couple of confidence boosters this year. He has the potential to be much better than this level, and I'm hopeful of a big run.
 
DRAWNFROMTHEPAST 1715 BATH (treble) – (unplaced) has won twice here over 6f. Is fully 10lbs lower in the ratings than that last success, he has won on FIRM ground here before and is pretty good fresh. He should bounce out and may be difficult to pass.
 
FLEUR DE LA VIE 1705 SANDOWN – (unplaced) is dropping back in trip from 2 miles to her last winning distance. She has been dropped 4 lbs too. Crowley is on board who is a great judge of pace and she needs to come off the pace to win this. Massive price in my opinion back to her optimum trip.
 
STABLEFORD 1350 SANDOWN – (unplaced) this is a smart horse I reckon and was impressive last time at Yarmouth. I think there a bigger andbetter things ahead and he ahould take this.
 
LANCELOT DU LAC 1605 SANDOWN – (unplaced) the track is the reason for his last poor effort, he never travelled on the Epsom camber. Previous to that he looked at better horse than his current mark when winning smartly at York. A hood is fitted today to squeeze a little more out. Another at a big price!
 
LADYS FIRST 1515 YORK – (unplaced) ran well be DIAKALA last time and has some decent form lines with DANK. The trainer is bullish about her and quotes “he's never had her looking so good”. She has solid form over a mile and has won at Listed class – big chance.
 
Also going to have a little each way stab at HAMISH MCGONAGALL in the sprint at Musselburgh. He has solid course form and could run a big race. Having a little each way on NOBLE CITIZEN, NEXT EDITION and GINGER JACK too.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 39/175 = 22.3%
Wins 161/884 = 18.2%
Placed 235/884 = 26.6%

Win and Placed = 44.8%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£51.33

Derby Day

Derby day, steeped in history and THE race to win if you want to be a breeeding success. A unique race on a unique track always throws up bad luck in running and gives us a new superstar. It's the most famous race in the world, sit back and enjoy. Here are my best three today, plus a few others.
 
If you're having a flutter, good luck. Thanks for reading the blog and hopefully there are a few winners here today!
 
ASSIZES 1705 MUSSELBURGH (nap) – (3rd – 9-2) this horse really hasn't progressed as expected. This is a drop down in class and hopefully a confidence booster. He is fully 11lbs lower than when he ran Sir John Hawkwood close last year. The quicker ground will help and he should have too much class for these today.
 
MATROOH 1510 DONCASTER (nb) – (3rd – 11-4) a smooth course and distance success last time was impressive and was further franked by the runner up going and winning next time out. There should be more to come for this one.
 
LA FORTUNATA 1515 EPSOM (treble) – (unplaced) this horse hasn't won for a while and is consistently very good. Epsom form is key in these races and his form at the track reads 24322. He was beaten a short head last time and is a further pound better off with AJJAADD today. The drying ground will help further and he has a fantastic each way chance.
 
MARS 1600 EPSOM – (unplaced) this horse was favourite for this race before he even ran last year. He has plenty of speed in him and is a hold up horse and that could be key for me today, 9 outof the last 15 winners have been from off the pace. The O'Brien's will be wanting a strong pace to fully test the stamina of DAWN APPROACH (I don't think he will stay!), Richard Hughes is a master at judging pace as we saw yesterday in the Oaks and I reckon he could follow up here. If this guy stays balanced and is near the pace coming off Tattenham Corner he could bolt through.
 
NEIGHBOTHER 1405 EPSOM – (unplaced) this horse has strong 6f breeding being a brother to Age of Chivalry. He won well at Warwick last time and that form was franked when the runner up MIDNITE ANGEL won by 6 lengths next time out. This horse has potential to improve further.
 
I'm also having an each way flutter on my old cliff horse ES QUE LOVE 1545 DONCASTER(unplaced) he's back at 7f on good ground and has dropped a few pounds to below his last winning mark.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 39/175 = 22.3%
Wins 161/884 = 18.2%
Placed 235/884 = 26.6%

Win and Placed = 44.8%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£63.33