Well Day 1 didnt set the world alight for me with only LABARINTO (12-1) getting a place. Was gutted my nap AUSSIE REIGNS was a non-runner as I thought he had a great chance. Never mind, I live to fight another day and what a cracking day it is. Some trappy looking handicaps and of course the rematch in the Sussex Stakes, combined with a couple of decent group races. If you're having a bet, good luck!
JOHNNY CASTLE 1725 GOODWOOD (nap) – (unplaced) this fella has dropped back to a reasonable mark, only a pound higher than when he defeated SIRIUS PROSPECT on good to soft ground over this distance a couple of years ago. He has got a great draw and Amanda Perrett normally has a winner or two at the meeting. He ticks the boxes with his mark, distance and ground. Damn good chance to recapture old form. I'm also having an each way squeak on MR DAVID in this race, he is another one whose mark has reduced and he could have a good each way sniff with a trainer/jockey combo that have a great strike rate.
TORONADO 1505 GOODWOOD (nb) – (WON – 11-4) I'm not going to desert this boy now. He may well have pipped DAWN APPROACH without interference last time, but who knows. Today he has the ground in his favour, a bit more cut will suit him perfectly and he will finally defeat his nemesis. Aiden O'Brien's horse is the danger I reckon back over a mile with some pretty top class form in his book.
ITALIAN RIVIERA 1355 GOODWOOD (treble) – (unplaced) this horse has been progressing nicely up until a narrow defeat last time when I think the jockey lost his whip or irons. Sir Mark Prescott is on form at the moment and this horse has followed a similar path to a previous winner of this race for him, KEY TIME, he won this off 81 a few years ago and my selection, off 80, should relish the extra distance.
EXCESS KNOWLEDGE 1430 GOODWOOD – (2nd – 7-4) he simply has the best form on the book, particularly when third behind JUST THE JUDGE last season at Newbury. His belated appearance behind MANDOUR was a good run and the ground will help today and his pedigree suggests this trip should suit too.
PARBOLD 1540 GOODWOOD – (3rd – 11-4) he won on soft on his debut at York and then was defeated by WAR COMMANDER in the Coventry. The step up to 7f should suit and despite Richard Fahey having a poor record with 2y olds in Group races I still see him as the best horse today.
SAUCY MINX 1650 GOODWOOD – (unplaced) is two from two at the track. This is a massive stat as I think this course takes some getting used to. He then ran second over a mile last time out and this extra furlong should bring out more improvement. The first part of an Amanda Perrett double!
BLOG STATS :
Naps 42/194 = 21.6%
Wins 169/970 = 17.4%
Placed 256/970 = 26.4%
Win and Placed = 44%
@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£53.83