Today's blog sadly is being written back at home rather than on holiday in my caravan in lovely Cornwall. However after a pretty abysmal Glorious Goodwood I am hoping I have a turn around in form. I have been pretty poor recently on the winners front, but you have good days and bad! Today see's the pointless competition that is the Shergar Cup, a tipping minefield as the focus seems to be on the jockey's rather than the horses! I normally avoid it like the plague but have risked one selection there today. If you're having a bet today, good luck and rememeber to bet within your means.
GLENARD 1705 HAYDOCK (nap) – (WON – 11-1) there has been a hell of a lot to like about the recent performances of this horse and I think today is the day he wins. He is 5lbs better off with his latest conqueror BIG THUNDER for that defeat and with Haydock being a tough place to go and make all I reckon my boy can reverse the form today.
HOLY ANGEL 1630 HAYDOCK (nb) – (3rd – 10-1) he has twice gone close at this trip recently and all his best runs have been over 6f. He last two runs need to be ignored for me as 5f was too quick. The return to 6f and the booking of Robert Winston for the ride warrant respect
CONDUCT 1500 NEWMARKET (treble) – (unplaced) is a talented horse but seems very fragile in nature. However, has a good record fresh and on good ground. Worth taking a chance on him to beat these today.
TWEETY PIE 1600 HAYDOCK – (unplaced) won a 5f Beverley race at 50-1 for the blog a few weeks ago and has since ran well over 6f when runner up at Thirsk. He was just caught in the final furlong that day and this return to 5f should help on this quick track, raised 2lbs for that second at Thirsk, he has a big chance today.
BUSHEL 1440 ASCOT – (2nd – 17-2) this one comes with the Shergar Cup warning! However, a good win at Ripon on his handicap debut on Tuesday cannot be dismissed and despite a penalty he is open to further improvement.
EDUCATE 1420 HAYDOCK – (3rd – 8-1) my original pick for this race TRES CORONAS is a non runner. So I'm opting for Ismail Mohammed's horse who has been very unlucky in his last few runs and as early season runs showed, he is a capable horse. Today, it could all fall right and he has a. Added bonus of Jonny Murtagh on board!
MIDNITE ANGEL 1535 NEWMARKET – (2nd – 3-1) last week's run behind J Wonder here at Newmarket was a cracker and it showed some of the class I saw in when she was just pipped at Warwick earlier this year. I thought she looked at least a Listed class filly that day and she is entitled to a crack at Group level. The step up should suit amd Frankie will know her better after last week!
BLOG STATS :
Naps 43/199 = 21.6%
Wins 173/1001 = 17.3%
Placed 265/1001 = 26.5%
Win and Placed = 43.8%
@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£54.83