Photo courtesy of sportinglife
So here we are again, the flat season is back! As always we kick off at Donny with the Lincoln. I was fortunate enough to go last year and really enjoyed it! I've had a good look at the stats and form today and hopefully have found a few with a chance. Good luck with whatever you're on today!
The twitter gamble boys have opted for the following :
@Tonythetyke – BIG JIM UTTOXETER 1335
@liamkenniford – CALIFORNIA CHROME 1700 MEYDAN
@Fernando_RFC2 – AETNA 1435 DONCASTER
@dazgilbert1 – PERSONAL TOUCH 1605 CHELMSFORD
MASAMAH 1530 CHELMSFORD (nap) (Unplaced = -£5.00)
Ran a cracker last time at Lingfield in a Listed race and got a real head start with his speed only to be pipped by a few that were flying including the smart winner PRETEND. He looked like he may hold on that day and if he gets a flying start again there is nothing of that calibre to peg him back. This is a huge drop in class, he has 4lbs more weight the saddle but the apprentice takes 3 off, meaning he's effectively one pound higher in a class 2 handicap on the back of a smart run in a Listed race. Must have a great chance.
ASTAIRE 1435 DONCASTER (nb) (2nd – 2-1 = £1.25)
He has a plum draw and is tackling much easier opposition here today. He's a pound lower than his last winning mark which was OR111 when he beat HOT STREAK in the Middle Park Stakes. He went up against the big guns after that in Group 1's and he was a half length behind MAAREK in the Duke of York Clipper Stakes at York too. This is much easier and I can't see him being beaten. AETNA is a classy mare and goes well fresh but I'm not sure it will be soft enough for her
WHAT ABOUT CARLO 1545 (treble) (4th – 20-1 = £12.50)
This as always is a tough one to crack. You need a smart horse with a touch of class! GM HOPKINS and MANGE ALL have closely matched form which is smart but I think the Gosden horse has the edge. BRONZE ANGEL won the Cambridgeshire and then followed up at Ascot last year but surely ts is too competitive and too much off his mark of OR111. GABRIAL has bags of class but his head isn't screwed on and you never know what you're going to get. MONDIALISTE is interesting being bought by a shrewd yard out of Freddie Head's yard in France. He could be anything and is maybe one to follow this year. My option is WHAT ABOUT CARLO, he's got a decent draw to go either way and I have always thought he had a bit of class. He beat END OF LINE easily off OR85 and then followed that up by beating BLACK SHADOW on Derby day at Epsom, that was when he went in the notebook off OR94. He was then thrown in to the deep end in the Celebration Mile at Goodwood and then back into a handicap off a mark of OR100. His warm up race at Lingfield in the Winter Derby Trial but he didnt like the surface and it was too hot. Back in this company he has a cracking chance.
SWIFTLY DONE 1510 DONCASTER (unplaced = -£5.00)
this horse hasn't run for a while but he was one who I had my eye on a couple of seasons ago. He was runnnig consistently well in some decent handicaps and I always keep my eye on the trainers horses up north. He is only 2lbs higher in the ratings than his last win when beating CLASSIC COLORI over this course and distance. He then followed that up at Newcastle and had MEMORY CLOTH and EXTRATERRESTRIAL behind him. He ran ok in the Betfred Mile thay year at Goodwood and had BELGIAN BILL and PRONCE OF JOHANNE beat. It's a tough ask on his first run but like I said he has consistent form and is worth a go.
My Dad's selections are :
ASTAIRE 1435 DONCASTER (2nd = £1.25)
DANCE AND DANCE 1510 DONCASTER (unplaced = -£5.00)
BRONZE ANGEL 1545 DONCASTER (unplaced = -£5.00)
SAOI 1450 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)
FATHER 9-9 SON
FATHER – £81.71