QIPCO 1000 Guineas

Photo courtesy of Sporting Life
Didnt have too much to shout about on the blog yesterday but thought KINGSGATE NATIVE ran well in third and that HIGHLAND COLORI ran much better and showed the spark is still there. CELESTIAL PATH ran a cracker in the Guineas from a disadvantaged draw and was really moving in the dip. He’s certainly one to watch at Royal Ascot! On to the ladies today and I had a cracking day this time last year with both the MIGHTY YAR and then GOLDREAM (25-1) winning on the blog. I’m hoping I’ve got a few again here. Good luck with whatever you’ve selected, sit back and enjoy and then we’re off to Chester next week! Love that meeting!
 
GOTHIC 1350 NEWMARKET (nap)
He has always looked a decent horse to me and despite wins with cut in the ground I think the quicker ground today will really suit him. He ran possibly his best race at Ascot on quick ground off the same mark as today. His run at Pontefract will have sharpened him up a bit and I’m expecting a winning run from him today.
 
RUWAIYAN 1500 NEWMARKET (nb)
I tiiped up GOLDREAM in this last year and I’m hopeful I’ve found another decent priced winner. SECRETINTHEPARK had solid C+D form and has won this and ran well last year. Despite moving to the yard that won this last year and will the beforementioned he’s a pound higher than his 6th last year and I dont think he’ll win. BLAINE found his old form ladt year and he has a sniff but he may be handicapped to his best. My selection isn’t though and I think he can go onto bigger things. He ran really well in the group 3 Chipchase Stakes at Newcastle last year behind DANZENO and followed thst up with a 2L fourth in the Stewards Cup. That is smart form and this quicker ground and better draw will help today! There is plenty of pace around him and I can see Hughesie striking late on him.
 
RIZEENA 1425 NEWMARKET (treble)
This is a cracking race! FINTRY has decent form but couldn’t beat INTEGRAL here last time, and she folded a bit tamely for me. BELLE D’OR is interesting and she could improve lots this year and the step up should help too. I have to opt for RIZEENA though, she has the group one form to bring and despite a disappointing three year old campaign she still has class and ran well in her last outing. She has a question mark anout the trip but I think she’ll get it.
 
LOCAL TIME 1540 NEWMARKET
With a couple of noteful absentees this race isnt as hot as it should be! Despite the poor ride on TIGGY WIGGY last time I still can’t see her staying a mile. She’s built for speed pure and simple. OSAILA has had a fair few miles on the clock but she has a solid chance today as does JELLICLE BELL who caught the eye last time. I’m opting for LOCAL TIME, while she has to improve for her MEYDAN successes she has the potential and is bang in form. She also beat a few types here in the Oh So Sharp Stakes last season and I think she’ll like this quicker ground. James Doyle has ridden her in her last four wins and I expect a boldshow again today.
 
I also like the chances of SWNYMOR 1445 HAMILTON, WILLIAM OF ORANGE 1405 SALISBURY and NAMHROODAH in the Pretty Polly!
 
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The 1000 Guineas

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Not a great day yesterday to do honest! Although good old KINGSGATE NATIVE nearly got there! On to the second classic and the girls get their chance! Should be another cracking day and we’ve got Chester to look forward to in the week too. Result! Be lucky!

IHTIMAL 1550 NEWMARKET (NAP) – (3rd 7-1) was quite impressive last year when winning over 7f at Newmarket and then over the mile at Doncaster and has since followed that up with two successes at Meydan. Really liked the way she stretched away last time over 10furlongs and I think the undulations will suit her style and this extra stamina will come in to play.

GOLDREAM 1510 NEWMARKET (NB) – (WON 25-1) this fella has some very good handicap form on offer including a narrow second to BOGART over 5f at York. He has form over 6f too including a win here. Is dropped a couple of pounds and now races off the same mark that saw a narrow defeat to ANCIENT CROSS at Doncaster. He has a good chance in my opinion at a very big price. Others to take my eye in the race are SECRETINTHEPARK, who has course and distance form here and I have always liked. ZANETTO was campaigned at the top level last year to no avail and drops back in class here after being gelded – he’s dangerous!

GIFTED GIRL 1440 NEWMARKET (TREBLE) – (3rd – 7-1) she ran some cracking races last year starting with a comfy success at Ascot and then a narrow defeat by THISTLE BIRD on softer ground despite being raise 12lbs. A win at Ponte followed be fore being the closet to Dank at Arlington in the Beverly D Stakes. This drop to Group 3 class is a good start for her and she should run a big race!

MIGHTY YAR 1405 NEWMARKET – (WON 5-1) is relatively unexposed and there should be more to come. Ignore the first outing this year as that was poor run but he had a lot to do that day on poor terms and for me the ground was unsuitable. Hoping for a better show today!

Royal Ascot Day 2

Photo : Mark Cranham
 
What a first day of the meeting that was. I got ANIMAL KINGDOM way wrong, but it just affirmed the believe about transferring dirt form to grass – not many can do it. TORONADO ran a cracker for me and despite his defeat I was pleased DAWN APPROACH won to end his Epsom nightmare. I also thought MYSTERIOUS MAN ran a cracker and he is one to watch out for next time. Hero of the day has to be JONNY MURTAGH who proved again what a brilliant jockey he is in sprint races. On to Wednesday, and hopefully a winner!
 
JERSEY STAKES

GALE FORCE TEN has the Irish Guineas form in his favour here and ran a decent race in the Norfolk last year, however I don't fancy him here. GARSWOOD was a horse hyped up for the 2000 Guineas and he got nowhere near and again I think this level is too much for him. BLAINE is interesting, he won the Gimcrack last year but has then disappointed in the Middle Park and in France. On better ground though he could run a big race at 50-1 when I type this. My money is on MUTIN, he is four from four, including on a good surface. He has won at listed level, looked like he could run at this level well and the drop back shouldn't hinder him.
 
Selections – MUTIN (unplaced) & BLAINE e/w (unplaced)

DUKE OF CAMBRIDGE STAKES

This race revolves around three horses for me. DUNTLE has some excellent form and has shown it over course and distance and she could be very smart. CHIGUN was impressive when winning the Abu Dabi stakes at the Curragh. However, my preference is for DANK who is a highly progressive and talented filly. She defeated CHIGUN on her last run and was giving her 3lbs. Today they are off level weights and the ground will suit too. One of my best bets of the meeting.
 
Selections – DANK (nap) (3rd – 7-2)

PRINCE OF WALES'S STAKES

Alot has been said about CAMELOT and that his Classic crop weren't the best and that he defeated nothing. For me he stills needs credit on what he did achieve, and almost achieved. On reflection now was ENCKE drugged up by Zarooni? Anyway, he has a great chance and after a run I think he will reverse placings with AL KAZEEM. This horse has got better and better and his trainer rates him highly and rightly so, but I just think he is a level below top class. My money is on THE FUGUE in this race, if she is fully tuned up with conditions to suit, last year's Nassau winner could swoop late and take this.
 
Selection – THE FUGUE (nb) (3rd – 11-2)

ROYAL HUNT CUP

If I pick the winner of this, or if anyone does, you know you're drawing a tidy sum. Andrew Balding has been bigging up STIRRING BALLAD leading up to this, she has done well but I don't think she'll take this. Behind her at Kempton when LILY'S ANGEL won was BURKE'S ROCK, she could also run a big race from a high draw. GLOBAL VILLAGE will run his race again from the other side and is consistent here and could nab a place. I can't have PRINCE OF JOHANNE on current form, despite an improvement last time,but he loves these big fields. ES QUE LOVE is a horse who I firmly believe will take a big handicap like this over a mile. He did so first time out at Kempton this year and is now 3lbs lower than that success. He has a high draw and ran well in defeat on Saturday at Musselburgh with the same jockey on board, interestingly, he's on the same mark as that today!
 
Selection – ES QUE LOVE e/w (unplaced)

QUEEN MARY STAKES

BELDALE MEMORY will be favourite or near to it on the back of her success in the Marygate Stakes at York, however, she could be softer ground dependant and that is worth taking her on for. Hannon's trio will be popular and they haven't struck yet. My preference here is for QUATOUR, she was incredibly impressive when bounding away to take the Lily Agnes Stakes at Chester. In my opinion the ground beat her at York. The yard took this last year with CEILING KITTY and this horse has took the same route and I just think the ground in a fast run race with play into her strengths and 25-1 as I write this is huge!
 
Selection – QUATOUR (treble) (unplaced)

SANDRINGHAM HANDICAP

NARGYS is an interesting runner, only an abysmal run in the Nell Gwyn stopped her running in the Guineas when touted up as a class horse by Keiren Fallon, she's not worth giving up on, but this is too much for her. WOODLAND ARIA was impressive first time out and then the trip seemed too much after that run. Returned to 7f last time she won well, and I think that is her trip, not this! My selection for the race is ANNIE'S FORTUNE, she ran well behind WATERWAY RUN in the Oh So Sharp stakes and is a full 6lbs less in the ratings today, that is a very appealing mark for me for a horse that could well be a shade better than this level.
 
Selection – ANNIE'S FORTUNE e/w (unplaced)

Whatever happens on Day 2, lets hope it is as good as Day 1. Sit back and enjoy, bet within your means and good luck.


BLOG STATS :

Naps 39/179 = 21.8%
Wins 161/907 = 17.8%
Placed 241/907 = 26.6%

Win and Placed = 44.3%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£60.33

Sunday and a Spark

Not too bad a day on the blog again on Saturday. A winning nap courtesy of GABRIAL (9-2) who looked pretty impressive if you can steer him that is! A couple of places also helped keep my overall percentages up. One fellow horse man had another blinding day. Martin regularly does a blog that indentifies horses that are his ‘pointers’ due to form, ground, distance etc. Today 5 out of 6 of the races he covered had the winner in his blog. Check out his pointers here, you will need to follow him on twitter though and ask for his password. Well worth a read! The photo above is courtesy of him too. Cheers Martin!
YOUNG SPARKY 1415 KELSO – (nap) (unplaced) has ran twice at Hexham and ran ok on his debut yet fell on his next outing there. I’m hopeful that the better ground will suit him and with keen running types such as MAKBULLET and KEENESLAND it may set up the race for him.
ROCKABILLY 1550 KELSO – (nb) (unplaced) his record on good ground reads 131 and he was moving very well and into contention when he fell last time. Confident he will bolt in.
MRS PEACOCK 1425 FAKENHAM – (treble) (3rd -7-1) has won three times on good ground including this distance in March. Soft ground didn’t suit last time, the better surface should help him here.
I’m also going to have a little each way on SAMITAR 1540 CURRAGH, (WON – 12-1) with a short priced favourite he is a decent price at 20-1.
Stats as of 27/5/12
WINS 38/221 = 17.2%
NAPS 13/64 = 20.3%
PLACED 57/221 = 25.8%
WIN OR PLACED 95/221 = 42.9%
TREBLES LANDED = 2
Remember if you are having a wager to bet within your means. These are my selections and I am not suggesting you follow my advice, I only do this for a bit of fun!
 

Sunday – The Second Classic

My tipping slump continues, thank god I had this boy above, Al Kazeem (15-2) in a little each way. The rest of the selections I put up were quite simply useless. I don’t think the dead ground is helping at the moment, yet it is obviously working for some. The most disappointing run was from POWER, what the hell happened?
It cheesed me off aswell to see the sour faced young O’Brien seems to have all of his father’s personality traits. Wouldn’t it harm them to bloody smile once or twice!
Let’s hope these three change my fortunes! 🐎
SEAL ROCK 1550 NEWMARKET – (nap) (unplaced) won well for the blog (was my last winning nap) last month. He has a game attitude, won on soft ground, and is drawn low. (4 points each way)

MOONSTONE MAGIC 1515 NEWMARKET – (nb) (unplaced) has been very impressive on both her starts, was supplemented as soon as the ground was going to be soft. Won last time cosily, going away, and with something in the bank. (3 points each way)

JEU DE VIVRE 1710 HAMILTON – (treble) (unplaced) has an excellent record of 3 wins out of 4 here. Will be fine on the ground and beat Getabuzz and Jonny Delta over cours and distance last September. Should come out on top again. (3 point win)

STAKE = 17 points

RETURNS = 0 points

BANK = – 14 points

Stats as of 6/5/12

WINS 23/130 = 17.7%
NAPS 8/44 = 18.2%
PLACED 30/130 = 23%
WIN OR PLACED 53/130 = 40.7%
TREBLES LANDED = 2


Remember if you are having a wager to bet within your means. These are my selections and I am not suggesting you follow my advice, I only do this for a bit of fun!