QIPCO 1000 Guineas

Photo courtesy of Sporting Life
Didnt have too much to shout about on the blog yesterday but thought KINGSGATE NATIVE ran well in third and that HIGHLAND COLORI ran much better and showed the spark is still there. CELESTIAL PATH ran a cracker in the Guineas from a disadvantaged draw and was really moving in the dip. He’s certainly one to watch at Royal Ascot! On to the ladies today and I had a cracking day this time last year with both the MIGHTY YAR and then GOLDREAM (25-1) winning on the blog. I’m hoping I’ve got a few again here. Good luck with whatever you’ve selected, sit back and enjoy and then we’re off to Chester next week! Love that meeting!
 
GOTHIC 1350 NEWMARKET (nap)
He has always looked a decent horse to me and despite wins with cut in the ground I think the quicker ground today will really suit him. He ran possibly his best race at Ascot on quick ground off the same mark as today. His run at Pontefract will have sharpened him up a bit and I’m expecting a winning run from him today.
 
RUWAIYAN 1500 NEWMARKET (nb)
I tiiped up GOLDREAM in this last year and I’m hopeful I’ve found another decent priced winner. SECRETINTHEPARK had solid C+D form and has won this and ran well last year. Despite moving to the yard that won this last year and will the beforementioned he’s a pound higher than his 6th last year and I dont think he’ll win. BLAINE found his old form ladt year and he has a sniff but he may be handicapped to his best. My selection isn’t though and I think he can go onto bigger things. He ran really well in the group 3 Chipchase Stakes at Newcastle last year behind DANZENO and followed thst up with a 2L fourth in the Stewards Cup. That is smart form and this quicker ground and better draw will help today! There is plenty of pace around him and I can see Hughesie striking late on him.
 
RIZEENA 1425 NEWMARKET (treble)
This is a cracking race! FINTRY has decent form but couldn’t beat INTEGRAL here last time, and she folded a bit tamely for me. BELLE D’OR is interesting and she could improve lots this year and the step up should help too. I have to opt for RIZEENA though, she has the group one form to bring and despite a disappointing three year old campaign she still has class and ran well in her last outing. She has a question mark anout the trip but I think she’ll get it.
 
LOCAL TIME 1540 NEWMARKET
With a couple of noteful absentees this race isnt as hot as it should be! Despite the poor ride on TIGGY WIGGY last time I still can’t see her staying a mile. She’s built for speed pure and simple. OSAILA has had a fair few miles on the clock but she has a solid chance today as does JELLICLE BELL who caught the eye last time. I’m opting for LOCAL TIME, while she has to improve for her MEYDAN successes she has the potential and is bang in form. She also beat a few types here in the Oh So Sharp Stakes last season and I think she’ll like this quicker ground. James Doyle has ridden her in her last four wins and I expect a boldshow again today.
 
I also like the chances of SWNYMOR 1445 HAMILTON, WILLIAM OF ORANGE 1405 SALISBURY and NAMHROODAH in the Pretty Polly!
 
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QIPCO 2000 GUINEAS

Photo courstesy of Sporting Life
 
I can't believe how quickly the first classic has come upon us! The flat season really does start proper with the guineas weekend and then Chester and York coming up pretty quickly afterwards!this is why I love the flat at this time of year – its quality racing after quality racing. I'm resetting my competition with my dad today – in the NH season he beat me in terms of winning weeks but I had more profit than him. Honours even? Sit back and enjoy the racing today – I hope I've found a couple of big priced handicappers amongst an old favourite!
 
Here are my selections :
 
KINGSGATE NATIVE 1430 NEWMARKET (nap) (3rd – 8-1 = £5.00)
Old Father time is catching up with this guy but he remains a huge favourite of mine. He always runs a solid race and still has a touch of class. He runs off the same mark of OR107 as his last run and win and he has come second in this race for the last two years behind SOLE POWER. Two years ago off this mark too. There is nothing of SOLE POWER'S ability against him today and my guy will love the fast ground and he has a great record first time out with runs of 1,2,2,2.

DEEDS NOT WORDS 1525 GOODWOOD (nb) (unplacec = -£5.00)
A decent performer at best but he has dropped down to a handy mark and back to his last winning mark of OR88. He will appreciate the ground and the stablehave sent out an odd winner or two. He could surprise a few of these and run a big race at a big price
 
HIGHLAND COLORI 1450 GOODWOOD (treble) (3rd – 14-1 = £8.75)
I put this fella up on the blog a few weeks ago and despite being nicely positioned he faded at the end. He is still on avery appealing mark and the drop back to 7f will suit. I'm going to give him another go today, he has been far better than his mark suggests and I'm hoping for a revival. PASTORAL PLAYER is a horse I jumped off a cliff with but has been on a long losing run and I can't select him today but he is also on a hell of a mark.
 
CELESTIAL PATH 1545 NEWMARKET (unplaced = -£5.00)
I backed this horse when he won first time out at York last year and then he followed it up cosily in a Listed race at Haydock. He really does have a touch of class and will love this quicker ground. He has to improve on his Racing Post Trophy third but he hated the ground thst day and stillfinished third behind ELM PARK. Sir Mark Prescott knows how to get a handicapper ready but he hasn't had a 2000 Guineas runner ever! He wouldn't run himif he didnt think he was good enough thoughand I think he has a brilliant each way chance. I also think IVAWOOD could win this, he was class last season and despite an under par performance last time the run will have done him a world of good. He still has all the ability and will run a big race.
 
My Dad's selections are :
LUSTROUS 1415 GOODWOOD (unplaced = -£5.00)
ONLINE ALEXANDER 1430 NEWMARKET (unplaced = -£5.00)
IVAWOOD 1545 NEWMARKET (3rd 10-1 = £6.25)
RED REFRACTION 1450 GOODWOOD (unplaced = -£5.00)
 
Standings
Father 0-1 Son
Profit
Father -£8.75
Son £3.75

The First Classic of 2014

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Photo by Getty Images

It is here the first classic of the flat season. This is why I love British racing, within a few weeks of it beginning we have two classics, then we’re often for the dante and Chester, awesome stuff! Today is a fantastic renewal and we also have the monstrous Scoop6 hovering above us, I have joined up with the #teamchoochoo team for a combined perm to see if we can win the big prize! Lets hope so! My dad bounced back last week on the blog with an impressive 9-1 selection in MY KINGDOM. Other than that it was a pretty drab affair, lets hope today brings some winners. Whatever happens it will certainly be a day to remember I reckon. I can’t remember a classic like this for a good few years with so much strength in depth and it should be a race to remember, and I think KINGMAN will take all the beating today. There will be no blog next Saturday as I’m at Warwick for the weekend and going to their evening meeting, can;t wait! Be lucky today everyone!

Here are my selections for the blog :

BURANO 1405 NEWMARKET (NAP) – (unplaced = -£5.00) I never really like napping short priced favourites for the blog as I try and find a bit of value! This horse really caught my eye when running behind GABRIEL’S KAKA at Newbury the other week. He came into the race coasting and never got the run he needed and was then eased to the line and finished a 4 and 3/4 length 8th. On the vast open ground at Newmarket if he approaches the last furlong or two with the same gusto he may burst through and score. He is we overdue a win and today could be his day.

KINGMAN 1550 NEWMARKET (NB) – (2nd – 6-4 = £0.93) This fella has to be on the blog. He has been so impressive in everything he has down so far and his victory at Newbury oozed class. I know there are concerns over the ground, but for me it can’t be that quick ands there were concerns from local trainers about them watering earlier in the week as it was good enough ground, especially at the bushes. They are just worried because of his chipped bone injury, but for me its still good ground and he will bound away in those famous silks! I cannot ignore OUTSTRIP who comes here on the back of a Breeders Cup win and is crazily priced at 25-1, he has to have an excellent each way chance.

KINGSGATE NATIVE 1440 NEWMARKET (TREBLE) – (2nd 12-1 = £7.50) this old stalwart returns again in a race I backed him in last year at 25-1. He renews his rvialry with his conqueror that day SOLE POWER and comes here rated a better horse than last year, credit to his trainer Robert Cowell for eking out improvement. He is superb when fresh, and when the ground rides faster, he unlike Kingman, could do with the ground a little faster. However the undulations and the up hill climb really suit his late bursts and he come where with another solid chance.

MAGIC CITY 1455 GOODWOOD – (unplaced = -£5.00) is back on his last winning mark and is unbeaten here at Goodwood and he is also unbeaten on downhill tracks. The style of course is obviously suited to his style and he has another cracking chance here at extending that unbeaten course record.

My Dad’s selections are

MOVIESTA 1440 NEWMARKET (unplaced = -£5.00)

OUR BOY JACK 1500 THIRSK (unplaced = -£5.00)

ABSOLUTELY SO 1455 GOODWOOD (WON = £9.37)

PAL OF THE CAT 1530 GOODWOOD (unplaced = -£5.00)

Current Standings

Father 7-9 Son

Profit

Father £62.41 Son £122.67

Saturday and the 2000 Guineas

The first classic is upon us all ready! I love it how quickly the flat season bounces in to life. With this weekend, then Chester next week to look forward I'm already as happy as a pig in……
 
How different the ground is going to be this year! A year ago we were engulfed in the rain of biblical proportions that killed alot of meetings and destroyed horses chances. I reckon there could be a record or two smashed this weekend. Oh how I love the 2000 Guineas and think of all the great past winners, a few that stick out for me personally are ROCK OF GIBRALTAR, GEORGE WASHINGTON, HENRYTHENAVIGATOR and of course the best of the lot FRANKEL.
 
Here are my selections for today, enjoy the racing and all the best with your bets.
 
HIPPY HIPPY SHAKE 1605 GOODWOOD (nap) – (unplaced) this horse is one of mine to follow this year. She appears to be very progressive and I liked the way she won last time at Newmarket going away. She got collared by MAVEN earlier on in the season over 1m 2f and this trip of a mile looks optimum today. Big hopes!
 
KINGSGATE NATIVE 1435 NEWMARKET (nb) – (2nd – 25-1) on his day a superstar! Dependent on his mood of course! I'm hoping today is the day. When he makes his seasonal return on good to firm ground and over 5f he has finished 2nd and 1st. The ground is key for him and I'm expecting another big run today with these conditions and trends in mind.
 
GEORGE VANCOUVER 1550 NEWMARKET (treble) – (unplaced) I really think Aiden O'Brien holds the key here, and to me it's breeding that the important element. HENRYTHENAVIGATOR was a fast ground horse as was the mare VERSAILLES TREATY, and with conditions to suit I think this one is O'Brien's best chance. He also has some smart form too, winning the Juvenile Turf at Santa Anita last run. He was also third behind dawn APPROACH in the Dewhurst, for me the ground helped DA bound away that day. Today the ground with help my selection bound away!
 
NOBLE MISSION 1510 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) I love this horse and he most definitely needed the run last time and allowed UNIVERSAL to get the better of him. Today he will creep into it, be played late and won't let anyone pass!
 
LICENCE TO TILL 1405 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) I think the ground will play to this horses' strengths today. I expect him to bolt out and go from the front and with the quicker ground likely to play into his strengths with this approach, as with many Mark Johnston horses he may not get passed.
 
SECRETINTHEPARK 1625 NEWMARKET – (WON – 9-2) won a decent nursery well last year and followed it up quite comfortably at Kempton. The ground is in his favour and a drop back in trip shouldn't pose a problem, it may utilise his speed at bit more.
 
WHOZTHECAT 1745 THIRSK – (unplaced) I always follow Declan Carroll closely, especially early in the season. This horse is a course and distance winner on two occasions and can go well fresh. He is on the same winning mark when defeating CONFESSIONAL here two years ago. A smart chance!
 
NO POPPY 1635 THIRSK – (unplaced) ran no race last time and I'm willing to give her another chance here. She has done most of her winning with a bit of cut, but is a hold up horse to come off the pace. This quicker surface may play to those strengths and se has some decent form in the locker and was fourth behind my nap on her last run last year. Hopeful, but a huge each way price.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 38/170 = 22.4%
Wins 156/845 = 18.5%
Placed 225/845 = 26.6%

Win and Placed = 45.1%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£55.33
 

Saturday – The First Classic

So here we are and the first classic of the season. I’m going through one of those patches where I couldn’t pick a winner if it slapped me, although I’ve hit the crossbar a few times this week, yesterday was a nice each way selection in HONEYMEAD (9-1).
This time next week I’ll be in sunny Stratford (I hope!) getting ready for an evening meet at Warwick.
So, on to today’s tips including a nap in the big one!
POWER 1510 NEWMARKET – (nap) (unplaced) was a leading 2 y o and was just pipped in the Dewhurst. Has won on ground softer than good and this step up to a mile must suit. (4 points each way)

TEMPLE MEADS 1545 NEWMARKET – (nb) (unplaced) was a very smart sprinitng 2 y o and won here on his first start over 5f on good to soft. Been off for a season but should be fit. Chance of a place at least! (3 points each way)

TAJNEED 1925 DONCASTER – (treble) (unplaced) the handicapper has given him a sniff here and he has the ground he prefers. Hopeful of a big run. (2 points each way)

As always on a Saturday I’ll have a few more bets too. My money is also going on :
SPANISH DUKE 1400 NEWMARKET E/W (unplaced)
KIWI BAY 1630 THIRSK (unplaced)
HEARTSONG 1620 NEWMARKET (unplaced)
KALK BAY 1520 THIRSK (unplaced)
GREEN PARK 1805 THIRSK E/W (unplaced)

STAKE = 18 points

RETURNS = 0 points

BANK = + 3 points

Stats as of 5/5/12

WINS 23/127 = 18.1%
NAPS 8/43 = 18.6%
PLACED 30/127 = 23.6%
WIN OR PLACED 53/127 = 41.7%
TREBLES LANDED = 2


Remember if you are having a wager to bet within your means. These are my selections and I am not suggesting you follow my advice, I only do this for a bit of fun!