Thursday selections

Well I was really disappointed with the performances of all my selections on Wednesday. I suppose that is racing after all. Not had much time to do the blog tonight, so short and sweet.
 
 
BLANC DE CHINE 1825 WOLVES (nap) – (unplaced) is two from two here at the track and has a good record when fresh. Gives him every chance in a race like this.
 
THE CHEKA 1530 NEWMARKET (nb) – (unplaced) ran consistently well last year and has every chance here. He has a fantastic record fresh which reads 11321 for his first time runs in the past five years. Six furlongs on good ground is ideal.
 
STIPULATE 1640 NEWMARKET (treble) – (2nd – 15-8) has a great chance to get his nose infront and it will be thoroughly deserved too. Has course and distance form too and will hopefully improve further as a four year old.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 36/160 = 22.5%
Wins 147/803 = 18.3%
Placed 216/803 = 26.8%

Win and Placed = 45.3%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£63.33
 
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Aintree Day One

So here we go with three days of Aintree. The final big showcase event of the National Hunt season, as always it should be a cracker and there are some mouth watering battles to come. The ground appears to have firmed up a bit and I'm expecting some good runs from horses who prefer better ground. You need to take into account the Cheltenham factor as those that ran in deep ground may have had a lot to do and this could come too quick for them. We will see of course!
 
Here are tomorrow's selections from Aintree and two from elsewhere that make up my best three.
 
HUNT BALL 1520 TAUNTON (nap) – (WON – 2-1) the ground I think is the absolute key to this horse. To be honest too I don't think he is as good as everyone thought. However, with conditions in his favour and in a race of a lesser class he has an excellent chance.
 
REBEL DU MAQUIS 1540 AINTREE (nb) – (FELL) another one who will benefit from better ground. He has been disappointing over handicap chases and despite losing by a head on his hunter chase debut, these types of races may prove better for him now. If he runs to his true ability he as a real chance.
 
AAIM TO PROSPER 1555 TAUNTON (treble) – (2nd – 3-1) I was really impressed with his win at Doncaster the time before last. The Albert Bartlett was too much for him on far from ideal ground. He won't have used up too much fuel there and with good ground and his natural ability he is a cracking proposition.
 
Here are the rest of my Aintree picks :
 
IRISH SAINT 1400 AINTREE – (3rd – 3-1) not running at Cheltenham could benefit this one and he has a big chance on the form of his last win. He is at level weights with VASCO DU RONCERAY which will help him further.
 
SILVINIACO CONTI 1430 AINTREE – (3rd – evens) his officially about 7lbs ahead of all the others in this. He was going reasonably well when falling in the Gold Cup. His confidence shouldn't have been affected as normally he's a sound jumper, I can't see anything beating him really. I backed MENORAH (2nd – 14-1) at Cheltenham and he ran one of his stinkers, he has form here and may be worth an each way bet.
 
OSCAR WHISKEY 1505 AINTREE – (4th – 5-1) he has won this the past two years. His form over this distance is impeccable and I can't believe he is 6-1 in places because of a poor run in a race that may have stretched him anyway. I think Geraghty has got this wrong, although I'm not sure McCoy's style of riding suits him?
 
KINGS GREY 1615 AINTREE – (4th – 20-1) he hits most of the trends for this race and is ultra consistent. He will appreciate the better ground but hasn't run for a while. I'm hoping he runs another good race and if he jumps well could be there at the finish.
 
FAGO 1650 AINTREE – (unplaced) missed the Arkle with this in mind and looked a good horse when winning at Newbury. He was running a decent ace when falling at Warwick and he may have needed a break before his last defeat. He is the only one in this that didn't go to Cheltenham and that may swing in his favour too.
 
SIXTY SOMETHING 1720 AINTREE – (unplaced) has been in great form this year and I was gutted I left him alone last time he won. Denis O'Regan says with him today despite his retained trainer having a runner in the race, a tip itself maybe? May be some more to come from him again. One run and one win here too.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 34/148 = 22.9%
Wins 139/753 = 18.4%
Placed 198/753 = 26.2%

Win and Placed = 44.7%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£64.83
 

Grim in Donny?

At last a run of decent weather! With good ground forecast at most tracks now we should see some horses run up to the standard they are capable of. I have a couple of those today! Last weekend's blog was very successful with my best three OPENING BATSMAN (12-1), IRISH SAINT (5-4), and GRANDIOSO (9-4) all winning. I was very impressed with Opening Batsman and the extra 6lb pull he had with ROLLTHEACES certainly helped his cause. He never gave an ounce away around the inside in what was an excellent ride by Noel Fehily. Hopefully there are a few more winners below with the Festival just around the corner! Can't bloody wait!
 
PACHA DU POLDER 1550 NEWBURY (nap) – (WON 18-1) this horse is blooming talented but has really disappointed this year. He is running off a mark of 145 today which potentially is way below his true ability. For me the ground is the key, he has solid form on good ground like when defeating RIVAL D'ESTRUVAL at Ayr last year. Mr Nicholls has a great record in this and in my opinion this boy, IF back to his best could make a mockery of this. He could run a stinker again though too!!
 
CAPTAIN KELLY 1605 DONCASTER (nb) – (3rd – 7-4) he defeated BALLYCASEY in a point to point a few years ago and that one is currently tipped up as a big chance in the Albert Bartlett at the festival. This one ran poorly on soft ground at Chepstow but then followed up when I tipped him in a jumpers bumper. He will love the better ground and I expect him to win this.
 
AAIM TO PROSPER 1530 DONCASTER (treble) – (WON – 13-8) this horse is a very short price for his handicap debut on what he has done so far. However you cannot deny that he could be incredibly well handicapped off 124 considering his Cesarewich win off 107. He should destroy these!
 
CALGARY BAY 1455 DONCASTER – (unplaced) he is two from two in handicaps here at Doncaster and he has a touch of class about him, as shown when winning the Skybet chase here. A return to good ground will bring the best out of him and McCoy gets on well with him.
 
TOUBAB 1420 DONCASTER – (WON – evens) the ground will bring significant improvement in this one and he should win this relatively easy! He was and still is a damn good horse and his mark of 140 is, I think, too generous!
 
BALLYTOBER 1405 NEWBURY – (FELL) he could have more to give and is progressive considering his good second last time at Bangor. The apprentice jockey takes an invaluable 7lbs off and that could be the bit that helps him in this more competitive race.
 
ALL THE ACES 1515 NEWBURY – (unseated) this one has course and distance success and has some good form. He could be very well in judged on his old form including a second to PROSPECT WELLS here. His poor performances really are worrying but again the ground was terrible on his last two runs.
 
HEY BIG SPENDER 1440 NEWBURY – (2nd – 11-2) this is another one who could be well in. He has ran well in snatches this term and his fifth at Warwick behind MOLOTOF is pretty decent form. A return to an extended trip and better ground could play into his strengths. A reproduction of his Warwick run will give him a great chance.
 
Well those are my selections for today. If you liked what you read please give it a retweet in Twitter or sign up to follwo the blog. If you are having a flutter do so with your own means and good luck!