The Hennessy Gold Cup

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Photo courtesy of Sporting Life

The twitter gamble last week didn’t fair to badly with @DazGilbert1’s selection Silviniaco Conti (100-30) and @Fernando_RFC2’s selection FLETCHER’S FLYER (11-10) winning. The guys have put up some more tips for today. See below and remember to give them a follow!

I was gobsmacked by how poorly UNCLE JIMMY ran last week, there had to be something amiss he was being pushed along from over a circuit out, interestingly he still stayed on at the end. TAQUIN DE SEUIL I feel needs to go back over hurdles after that showing, doesn’t look like a chaser to me, although he’ll probably go and win a big race now I’ve said that! AL FEROF (5-2) won for the Bandit on the blog and he was very impressive, I’m hoping the same connections do it for me today in the big one! My dad won last week on the profit front and takes a 2-1 lead. On to today and another cracking day with one of my favourite races of the season – The Hennessy. I was on good old Denman a few years ago when he defied top weight in one of the best performances I have ever seen, lets hope we get another cracking race today, and we should!

The Twitter Gamble Lucky 15 is :

@DazGilbert1 VOLT FACE 1315 TOWCESTER

@LiamKenniford FINGAL BAY 1500 NEWBURY

@Fernando_RFC2 HAMMERSLY LAKE 1350 NEWBURY

@Tonythe Tyke UT MAJEUR AULMES 1535 NEWBURY

On to The Bandit’s selections for today!

UNIONISTE 1500 NEWBURY (NAP) – The Bandit’s tradition is always to have a nap that has a bit of value. This guy has to have that at 16-1 as I write this. Not many horse in the past few years have won this a double figure odds but I reckon my selection has a real chance. Last year his defeat of WISHFUL THINKING at Aintree was smart and he is a pound lower in the ratings today, that could prove to be a very reasonable mark judged on the second’s performances since then. This fella goes well at this time of the year and he will love the ground. Generally he’s a tidy jumper and you need to be to stay this and win. He has had a wind operation which can really sort a horse out and while he will come on for the run the Nicholls string are firing at the minute. This horse for me is way better than his current mark suggests and I’m hoping he shows that today. FINGAL BAY could be his main opponent today, he stays all day and is a class horse. The way his yard are firing too has to make me put a few shekels on him too. Should be a bloody cracker!

DEFINITLY RED 1305 NEWCASTLE (NB) – this fella will go off favourite and at a short price but I have to put him in as I was so impressed how he went away from a decent bumper field last time at Cheltenham. He went straight on to my radar and this should be a stepping stone to greater things for him. One to watch for the season, I think he has the potential to be very good.

LIE FORRIT 1425 NEWCASTLE (TREBLE) – getting a bit long in the tooth but has always been a classy type. His defeat of NEPTUNE EQUESTER at Kelso in March is decent and his hurdle mark is far superior to his chase mark. He beat good old PIGEON ISLAND last time out to open his account of the sticks and has been raised 4lbs for that, not too harsh in my opinion. The ground shouldn’t be a problem and I’m hoping he shows improvement again today, this mark could be quite handy for him!

ALBERT BRIDGE 1350 NEWBURY – What an interesting runner this guy is! He has ran well on soft and heavy ground on the flat and has ran off a mark in the high 80’s in that sphere. Ran well and won last time in a maiden hurdle on soft ground at Plumpton. He is chucked in here today and could be anything and I like taking a punt on these types!

My Dad’s selections are :

EXITAS 1350 NEWBURY

THE DRUIDS NEPHEW 1500 NEWBURY

VICTORS SERENADE 1440 NEWCASTLE

ANQUETTA 1535 NEWBURY

Current Standings

Father 2-1 Son

Profit

Father -£12.26

Son £8.63

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Cesarewitch Day

 
Another fantastic day of racing today. I'm more than excited now though as we have the first major jumps card of the season, yay! Whilst I enjoy the flat, jumps really is my thing! Can't wait! Enjoy the spectacle today and good luck if you're having a wager.
 
TULIUS 1725 NEWMARKET (nap) – (unplaced) this horse was super smart last year and just got better with every race. He will live the ground and trip today and is good fresh. A big run expected and my best bet of the day.
 
VALBCHEK 1530 YORK (nb) – (unplaced) has only had a handful of races and in my opinion is a smart horse. Ignore his last run as the 5f and quicker ground didn't suit. This fella defeated Swiss Spirit last year and was 2l behind Tropics at Newmarket in August. It's his handicap debut and his mark could be lenient judged on that form.
 
WAR COMMAND 1510 (treble) – (WON 10-11) the trip, the ground, the race, everything is in his favour today and I can't see him being beat. Reckon he'll go off odds on
 
GREAT WHITE EAGLE 1435 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) looks to have bags of potential and could be a real genuine classic horse next year. The others need to step up for me to get near my selection. Hot Streak looked smart last week, but this is tougher and Supplicant is tough but is he Group 1 class?
 
ALBERT BRIDGE 1550 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) what a race this is! My selection get the nod as I think he will lovet he trip and will the rain coming the ground should have sufficient juice in it to bring out his qualities over this trip. A good low draw helps his chances too. Pallasator is a giant, but I don't think he'll stay and his trainer wasn't that bullish about him. Tiger Cliff is class, but has alot of weight and a poor draw. The real danger could be Smoky Hill, who is thrown in on an eye catching mark. If you find the winner you're a good one!
 
I fancy a Fallon and Godolphin double at York with THOUWRA (PU) and OUT OF BOUNDS (Last!)
 
On the jumps front at Chepstow I have to have a flutter on the following
 
THE ROMFORD PELE 1615 – (2nd – 7-1) was a decent hurdler and not as good at that as his rivals but he always looked a stayer in the making with the smooth passage in the race he takes and coming off the pace late. Could be a chaser to follow this year.
 
FOR TWO 1645 – (3rd – 11-4) never finished his races off last year, with a bit more time now to have matured and strengthened I would expect to see him battling to the line and has a bit of class to see off the others
 
GAUVAIN 1715 – (unplaced) was class in his day and Hobbs is a master with the older horses and getting them going again. Had a pipe opener last time and Dickie opts for him over the other horse. He is class at his best and if he's on that form he'll murder these.
 
DUKE OF LUCCA 1745 – (unplaced) ran in some top races last year and was consistent. Is down in class and this mark is very appealing. He has to have a channce on his seasonal bow.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 43/209 = 20.5%
Wins 174/1054 = 16.5%
Placed 276/1054 = 26.2%

Win and Placed = 42.3%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.83