Cheltenham Day Two

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myWPEdit Image





Well what a cracking first day that was. Despite only having a little wager on Holywell I was so pleased to see the little horse get up and win, I also gave a positive pointer to the second in the race too. It was a day of hitting the crossbar with TRIFOLIUM, MYTENTORYOURS and AHYAKONWYERSELF all placing. Really sad to see that Our Connor had to be put down to, such a sad sight. Thoughts go to all his connections. Lets hope there are no casualties on day two.



Neptune Investment Novices Hurdle



The race can only go one way for me, although how many times have we said that! FAUGHEEN has been nothing but impressive this year and seems to get better with every run and the more I look at the race the more I can’t see any horse beating it. David Pipe reckons RED SHERLOCK was his best chance of the week prior to day one, and he has down nothing wrong so far. I think FENNELL BAY may also run on for a place after two steady introductions from a decent flat performer. For me though its Mullins and Walsh again here.



SELECTION – FAUGHEEN (NB) (WON 6-4)

DAD’S SELECTION – FAUGHEEN (WON 6-4)



RSA Chase



This looks a really competitive race as ever. CORRIN WOOD was one I was really impressed with earlier this year, but I think the ground has seriously scuppered his chances. BLACK THUNDER at a big price could run a cracker back on ground he will prefer but there are doubts about whether he has the class for me. MORNING ASSEMBLY could be the real dark horse in the race, he has looked very good but again the ground is an unknown, if he handles it he could well take this. I’m opting for GEVREY CHAMBERTIN he really needed the run last time and just petered out tamely after putting himself in a good position. He was a smart hurdler and for me the improved ground will be the telling factor. I think he is a bit of a forgotten horse because of his last run and a few poor ones before that. With good ground forecast though I can see him running a big race at a big price.



SELECTION – GEVREY CHAMBERTIN (unplaced)

DAD’S SELECTION – MORNING ASSEMBLY (3rd – 9-1)



CORAL CUP



As always this is an ultra competitive affair and if you get get the winner of this you will have down well and have a decent priced horse. DELL ARCA seems to be one of the favourites and he has solid form, as did CLONDAW KAEMPER before some low key efforts this season, however he did seem to return to form last time out. My selection though is COTTON MILL, again something of a forgotten horse because of what was a bit of a mysterious season last year. He ran nowhere near his best and remember this guy was travelling just as well as SIMONSIG a couple of festivals ago before unseating Denis at one of the last few flights. Again for me the key here is the ground, he is a really smart mover and on good ground has a good turn of foot which is so important in the race. It’s good to see him try this distance again to, the 2m and 2m1f he’s been competing in is too short for him in my opinion. He’ll run a big race I’m sure and I can’t believe he’s 25-1 as I type this. He has run decent races behinds MYTENTORYOURS and MELODIC RENDEZVOUS and I think he is a much better horse than his current mark.



SELECTION – COTTON MILL (NAP) (unplaced)



QUEEN MOTHER CHAMPION CHASE



This is one of my favourite races of the week, class horses travelling so quickly and jumping so big and brave. What a spectacle it is. Mullins and Walsh are fancied again, but I don’t think the track will suit. CAPTAIN CONAN has the ability but I think will be found out for pace and while SIRE DE GRUGY has done nothing wrong for connections, this is the Queen Mother Champion Chase and for me he’s not good enough. My selection is HINTERLAND, I was really impressed with how he travelled and jumped last time and put him straight in my book for this race. I think he’ll fly around and take this race.



SELECTION – HINTERLAND (UR)

DAD’S SELECTION – CAPTAIN CONAN (PU)



CROSS COUNTRY CHASE



Never really bother about this race, but if I was forced to to pick one, on the forecast ground and on the back of impressive funds in similar races BALTHAZAR KING gets the vote.



SELECTION – BALTHAZAR KING (WON 4-1)

DAD’S SELECTION – BIG SHU (3rd 3-1)



FRED WINTER JUVENILE HURDLE



IVAN GROZNY was a smart performer in France and he brought that form over with him when winning a Naas. He then ran very below par last time out behind GUITAR PETE. The ground tomorrow should suit him better and I think My Wylie has another class horse on his hands here. CLARCAM interests me at a decent price and GOODWOOD MIRAGE could run a big race for the champ.



SELECTION – IVAN GROZNY (unplaced)



WEATHERBY’S CHAMPION BUMPER



Again not really a race I bet on as I don’t really get involved with bumpers. Mr Mullins has one hell of a record in this and he is mob handed here again, but I’m opting for SILVER CONCORDE (WON 16-1)to take this.



Good luck on day two!


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Cheltenham in 2014

Happy New Year to everyone! Hope you are not nursing too heavy heads after last night's exploits! Here's to a happy and healthy year to you all!
On to today's action, as of yet my old man hasn't sent me his selections. He is nursing a hangover, so for the moment it's just my selections today. A good day's racing ahead, so lets all kick back, recover and enjoy these fine beasts doing what they do best.
 
POUNGACH 1400 CHELTENHAM (NAP) – (PU – £5.00) Is the class horse in the race. His chasing career really hasn't developed and I wonder whether this is a venture back over hurdles as a future career, or just a confidence booster? Either way he has a great chance. He is on an appealing mark today considering he ran 2 lengths behind OSCAR WHISKEY here the other year off OR155. Today he is on a mark of OR147 and must have a craxking each way chance. I thought he ewas moving well in the Badger Ales trophy and just seemed to run out of gas on his first run of the season. Very hopeful today!
 
IFANDBUTWHYNOT 1410 MUSSLEBURGH (NB) – (2nd – 13-2) Improving quickly and ran well last time to defeat the ill-fated CHATTERBOX at Newbury in a Listed contest. Drops a grade here and despite having a 6lb rise in the ratings I still think he will take this.
 
ACKERTAC 1430 CHELTENHAM (TREBLE) – (unplaced) Ran second at the festival to RAJDHANI EXPRESS over this distance and defeated GOULANES here too, but over further. He is a pound lower in the ratings today than that success and must have a big chance.
 
ALFIE SPINNER 1245 CHELTENHAM – (2nd – 7-1 = £4.38) Has been running consistently well in some good races. He has decent form on softish ground and is on a mark that should see him be AT LEAST competitive. With AP on his back it may see him grind it out from the front.
 

2013 – The Bandit’s review

I figured as it was the last day of the year that I should look back on my blogging exploits of 2013. Firstly can I say a huge thank you for all you guys and gals that take time to read my blog every week. I really enjoy sharing my views on a sport we all love and I've really enjoyed interacting with some of you over Twitter this past year. I've been able to join #Teamchoochoo and get a share in a race horse! Cheers @ianmallard. I've also had over 11,000 views of the blog this year – awesome stuff. Another big thank you to those of you who RT the blog on Twitter.
 
So here are my blogging highlights this past year!
 
HOLYWELL

I tracked this horse all last season and knew it had a big race in it! I mentioned it as one of my strongest bets at Cheltenham of the week here. He only went and obliged at 25-1 – I napped him that day and it was great to get some responses on twitter from people who had read my piece and thought they would have a go too. Cheltenham was quite a good festival for the blog as I also had BACK IN FOCUS, LORD WINDERMERE, CHAMPAGNE FEVER, HURRICANE FLY, AT FISHERS CROSS AND BOBS WORTH that won for me. Took some money off the bookies that week.
 
OPENING BATSMAN

I napped this fella on the blog just before Cheltenham when he beat Rolling Aces at Kempton. Was great to as thr race panned out just like I thought and I also had a top treble that day with my nb IRISH SAINT and my treble horse GRANDIOSO also landing. Read the blog here
 
PACHA DU POLDER

My form was pretty hot in and around this time and I napped this horse at Newbury. It was always rated highly by Paul Nicholls but never seemed to get his ground. It did this day at romped in at 18-1. Another huge winning nap! Read the blog here
 
TIDAL BAY

I have mention this old boy! He's my favourite horse in training and what a year it has been for him, his Lexus techincally came in 2012 but what a turnaround Paul Nicholls has made with this horse! It makes you wonder what he could have achieved had he been there all his career and how poor Howard Johnson really was! His performance in the Hennessey giving Bob's Worth 6lbs and only just being beaten was ace and also what a brave fight he gave in the Welsh National just last week. He for me is already a National Hunt legend!
 
That was the end of the jumps season really except for the Aintree festival, this always seems to elude me and I never quite get the winners there! I'm still waiting for a National winner too – getting a bit like AP did before his success – just cant seem to pick the winner! Tidal Bay this year? Who knows!
 
I'm not as good on the flat with my selections as I seem to be over the jumps and to be fair I love the jumps more! The flat season revolved around these blog highlights for me
 
KINGSGATE NATIVE

An old favourite of mine and I put him up on the blog to win the Temple Stakes at Haydock and he obliged at 14-1 that day.
 
DECLAN CARROLL

Now Mr Carroll is a northern trainer I've followed for a few years and he is good to watch around York, Catterick and Beverley. Particularly with sprinters on their first or second run. Last year he sent out LASTCHANCELUCAS to win at 100-1 at York. This year I selected TWEETY PIE of his on the blog and it romped in at 66-1! Keep your eye on him, he sends a few big priced winners out every year. Read the Tweet Pie blog here
 
We of course cant forget the passing of one of the greatest horsemen of all time in Sir Henry Cecil. What a man he was – a privelege to have seen him train. We were also treated the the likes of TORONADO, DAWN APPROACH, DANK, and of course the blistering display from TREVE in the Arc.
 
It's been quite a year and I've loved every minute of it, I look forward to blogging more this year and maybe sharing a few more winners with you.
 

Monday selections

Well Sunday was not a good day after the success of Saturday! All of my selections ran terribly, back to the drawing board! Hopefully these three will fair better. Good luck if you're having a wager today!
 
DUKE OF YORKSHIRE 2030 THIRSK (nap) – (unplaced) prior to a poor run at Newmarket he ad been in good form including a decent win at Ripon prior to that. He beat AMBLESIDE that day who has since ran well a couple of times, including winning. He drops back to Class 5 level today and has a big chance.
 
WHISPERED TIMES 1930 THIRSK (nb) – (unplaced) returns to the scene of his last win and can bounce back after a few indifferent runs. Now running in a seller, he could have too much for his opponents today.
 
TRINITY STAR 1800 THIRSK (treble) – (unplaced) with a short priced favourite he is a great each way chance, and a price to match. Will improve from his first run and will appreciate the less quick ground and the extra furlong. Good chance to run to a place.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 43/201 = 21.4%
Wins 173/1008 = 17.2%
Placed 265/1008 = 26.3%

Win and Placed = 43.5%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£53.83

Glorious Goodwood Day 2

Well Day 1 didnt set the world alight for me with only LABARINTO (12-1) getting a place. Was gutted my nap AUSSIE REIGNS was a non-runner as I thought he had a great chance. Never mind, I live to fight another day and what a cracking day it is. Some trappy looking handicaps and of course the rematch in the Sussex Stakes, combined with a couple of decent group races. If you're having a bet, good luck!
 
JOHNNY CASTLE 1725 GOODWOOD (nap) – (unplaced) this fella has dropped back to a reasonable mark, only a pound higher than when he defeated SIRIUS PROSPECT on good to soft ground over this distance a couple of years ago. He has got a great draw and Amanda Perrett normally has a winner or two at the meeting. He ticks the boxes with his mark, distance and ground. Damn good chance to recapture old form. I'm also having an each way squeak on MR DAVID in this race, he is another one whose mark has reduced and he could have a good each way sniff with a trainer/jockey combo that have a great strike rate.
 
TORONADO 1505 GOODWOOD (nb) – (WON – 11-4) I'm not going to desert this boy now. He may well have pipped DAWN APPROACH without interference last time, but who knows. Today he has the ground in his favour, a bit more cut will suit him perfectly and he will finally defeat his nemesis. Aiden O'Brien's horse is the danger I reckon back over a mile with some pretty top class form in his book.
 
ITALIAN RIVIERA 1355 GOODWOOD (treble) – (unplaced) this horse has been progressing nicely up until a narrow defeat last time when I think the jockey lost his whip or irons. Sir Mark Prescott is on form at the moment and this horse has followed a similar path to a previous winner of this race for him, KEY TIME, he won this off 81 a few years ago and my selection, off 80, should relish the extra distance.
 
EXCESS KNOWLEDGE 1430 GOODWOOD – (2nd – 7-4) he simply has the best form on the book, particularly when third behind JUST THE JUDGE last season at Newbury. His belated appearance behind MANDOUR was a good run and the ground will help today and his pedigree suggests this trip should suit too.
 
PARBOLD 1540 GOODWOOD – (3rd – 11-4) he won on soft on his debut at York and then was defeated by WAR COMMANDER in the Coventry. The step up to 7f should suit and despite Richard Fahey having a poor record with 2y olds in Group races I still see him as the best horse today.
 
SAUCY MINX 1650 GOODWOOD – (unplaced) is two from two at the track. This is a massive stat as I think this course takes some getting used to. He then ran second over a mile last time out and this extra furlong should bring out more improvement. The first part of an Amanda Perrett double!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/194 = 21.6%
Wins 169/970 = 17.4%
Placed 256/970 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£53.83

Glorious Goodwood Day 2

Well Day 1 didnt set the world alight for me with only LABARINTO (12-1) getting a place. Was gutted my nap AUSSIE REIGNS was a non-runner as I thought he had a great chance. Never mind, I live to fight another day and what a cracking day it is. Some trappy looking handicaps and of course the rematch in the Sussex Stakes, combined with a cole of decent group races. If you're having a bet, good luck!
 
JOHNNY CASTLE 1725 GOODWOOD (nap) – this fella has dropped back to a reasonable mark, only a pound higher than when he defeated SIRIUS PROSPECT on good to soft ground over this distance a couple of years ago. He has got a great draw and Amanda Perrett normally has a winner or two at the meeting. He ticks the boxes with his mark, distance and ground. Damn good chance to recapture old form. I'm also having an each way squeak on MR DAVID in this race, he is another one whose mark has reduced and he could have a good each way sniff with a trainer/jockey combo that have a great strike rate.
 
TORONADO 1505 GOODWOOD (nb) – I'm not going to desert this boy now. He may well have pipped DAWN APPROACH without interference last time, but who knows. Today he has the ground in his favour, a bit more cut will suit him perfectly and he will finally defeat his nemesis. Aiden O'Brien's horse is the danger I reckon back over a mile with some pretty top class form in his book.
 
ITALIAN RIVIERA 1355 GOODWOOD (treble) – this horse has been progressing nicely up until a narrow defeat last time when I think the jockey lost his whip or irons. Sir Mark Prescott is on form at the moment and this horse has followed a similar path to a previous winner of this race for him, KEY TIME, he won this off 81 a few years ago and my selection, off 80, should relish the extra distance.
 
EXCESS KNOWLEDGE 1430 GOODWOOD – he simply has the best form on the book, particularly when third behind JUST THE JUDGE last season at Newbury. His belated appearance behind MANDOUR was a good run and the ground will help today and his pedigree suggests this trip should suit too.
 
PARBOLD 1540 GOODWOOD – he won on soft on his debut at York and then was defeated by WAR COMMANDER in the Coventry. The step up to 7f should suit and despite Richard Fahey having a poor record with 2y olds in Group races I still see him as the best horse today.
 
SAUCY MINX 1650 GOODWOOD – is two from two at the track. This is a massive stat as I think this course takes some getting used to. He then ran second over a mle last time out and this extra furlong should bring out more improvement. The first part of an Amanda Perrett double!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/194 = 21.6%
Wins 169/970 = 17.4%
Placed 256/970 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£53.83

Glorious Goodwood Day 1

Here we go then! The big summer festival of racing is on us. It's a cracking week and one I always look forward to, but finding a winner or two can prove difficult. Lets hope I can find a few as the week progresses. Enjoy the racing and good luck if you're having a flutter.
 
AUSSIE REIGNS 1650 GOODWOOD (nap) – (NR) this horse has been running so consistently this year over a mile. He ran very flat last time and I'm willing to discount that. He has won here before at last year's festival and whilst this is a step up on previous victories I think he has a race like this in him.
 
 
SLEEPER KING 1430 GOODWOOD (nb) – (unplaced) he has to find a bit to reverse the form with a few of these, including the favourite. However, I thought he was a little unlucky that day in the Windsor Castle as he took the whole field along and needed a bit of company earlier than he got it. At this track he can dominate again and use his bags of speed to good effect.
 
 
FAIR VALUE 1725 GOODWOOD (treble) – (unplaced) this horse loves a downhill fast five and he should get it today. Kieren Fallon has ridden him before and should know what he is about. Some pacey horses are in and around him which will keep him up to his task. He's not top weight for 'nowt.
 
 
KRYPTON FACTOR 1505 GOODWOOD – (unplaced) I really think this step up to 7f will help today, he took an age to get going last time at Newbury and the extra furlong should help. This track will also suit him I reckon and I can see Fallon, who knows this horse inside out, coaxing him through a gap in the final furlong.
 
LABARINTO 1355 GOODWOOD – (3rd – 12-1) this horse is either great or poor. Last time was poor! However, he won here last season on the back of a couple of awful runs and some horses really enjoy this course, he may be one of them. Willing to give him another go!
 
CLOWANCE ESTATE 1540 GOODWOOD – (unplaced) this horse is the least experienced but may have themost progression to come. The trip should bring out a little more and I'm expecting a good show.
 
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/194 = 21.6%
Wins 169/970 = 17.4%
Placed 256/970 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£53.83

Glorious Goodwood Day 1

Here we go then! The big summer festival of racing is on us. It's a cracking week and one I always look forward to, but finding a winner or two can prove difficult. Lets hope I can find a few as the week progresses. Enjoy the racing and good luck if you're having a flutter.
 
AUSSIE REIGNS 1650 GOODWOOD (nap) – this horse has been running so consistently this year over a mile. He ran very flat last time and I'm willing to discount that. He has won here before at last year's festival and whilst this is a step up on previous victories I think he has a race like this in him.
 
 
SLEEPER KING 1430 GOODWOOD (nb) – he has to find a bit to reverse the form with a few of these, including the favourite. However, I thought he was a little unlucky that day in the Windsor Castle as he took the whole field along and needed a bit of company earlier than he got it. At this track he can dominate again and use his bags of speed to good effect.
 
 
FAIR VALUE 1725 GOODWOOD (treble) – this horse loves a downhill fast five and he should get it today. Kieren Fallon has ridden him before and should know what he is about. Some pacey horses are in and around him which will keep him up to his task. He's not top weight for 'nowt.
 
 
KRYPTON FACTOR 1505 GOODWOOD – I really think this step up to 7f will help today, he took an age to get going last time at Newbury and the extra furlong should help. This track will also suit him I reckon and I can see Fallon, who knows this horse inside out, coaxing him through a gap in the final furlong.
 
LABARINTO 1355 GOODWOOD – this horse is either great or poor. Last time was poor! However, he won here last season on the back of a couple of awful runs and some horses really enjoy this course, he may be one of them. Willing to give him another go!
 
CLOWANCE ESTATE 1540 GOODWOOD – this horse is the least experienced but may have themost progression to come. The trip should bring out a little more and I'm expecting a good show.
 
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/194 = 21.6%
Wins 169/965 = 17.5%
Placed 255/965 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£54.83

Saturday Selections

I haven't done a blog for a while but been incredibly busy with work and then had a fantastic weekend away in Leeds last weekend. With a feast of racing on offer today it was time to put that right. I hope I can find a few winners here today and have a big priced selection on offer again.
 
GALAXY ROCK 1550 MARKET RASEN (nap) – (FELL) this horse has a touch of class and can stay much further than this today. He hasn't won for a while now but today is the day. I hope there will be a strong pace due to the nature of the race, if not I would expect to see the Champ push him on from the front and use all of his stamina.
 
KRYPTON FACTOR 1515 NEWBURY (nb) – (3rd – 13-8) this one has some very solid form on offer including a good third at Royal Ascot. Nothing on paper should get near him today and he has the class to take this at a canter.
 
GOLDREAM 1650 NEWMARKET (treble) – (unplaced) drops down a class today after a decent effort in defeat behind Masamah last time at Ascot. He ran really well behind Ancient Cross at York earlier on and he is a course winner. Huge chance today.
 
WEISSE SOCKEN 1550 NEWBURY – (unplaced) this is step up for this filly, but it is for most of these. She ran well when winning last time at Chester and caught my eye as one to follow. Ralph Beckett is a master with the ladies and the booking of William Buick catches the eye too. Outstanding each way cance in my opinion at a huge price.
 
If you are having a flutter today, do so within your means and enjoy the racing!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/191 = 21.9%
Wins 168/952 = 17.6%
Placed 251/952 = 26.3%

Win and Placed = 44%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£58.83

Sunday treble

Well Saturday threw up a couple of crackers and I very nearly had a big one. I had ES QUE LOVE (16-1 – 2nd) and TWEETY PIE (50-1 – WON) in an each way Lucky 15. It was a very good return but at one point my other horse HANOVERIAN BARON was cruising and the apprentice jockey waited too long and the gap closed!! Anyway, haven't had a 50-1 winner since I picked AKILAK over hurdles over 6 years ago!
 
Lets see if I can keep it going tomorrow and I've got my eye on another big one!
 
CARAVEL 1615 MARKET RASEN (nap) – (unplaced) is back to a winning mark and more importantly this horse loves quick ground. The weather this weekend will have surely quickened things up at Market Rasen. The jockey takes a few off too and ground is everything to this horse so ignore recent runs.
 
LIGHT ROSE 1630 AYR (nb) – (unplaced) this filly ran well last time at Newbury proving her run before that there was something amiss. She had a long break from that and last week's run will have sharpened her up and she'll love the ground.
 
IT'S MY TIME 1500 AYR (treble) – (unplaced) this horse I reckon will love this extended trip and has been running pretty well including when winning at Chester. Progressive type for this trainer.
 
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 41/189 = 21.7%
Wins 168/949 = 17.7%
Placed 251/949 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44.1%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.33