Scorchio Saturday Tips

What a scorching day it is again today and blue skies dominate the scene here in sunny Sheffield. Terribly sad news this week came from the sport we love and lets hope Brian Toomey pulls through and makes a full recovery. Puts it into perspective what jockeys go through to bring us this sport we love. Thoughts with his family and friends.
 
On to today's races. One of the most competitive Eclipses for a while with not much seperating most of the field on ratings. Here are my selections today plus my Bandit's treble as normal.
 
CAPO ROSSO 1640 HAYDOCK (nap) – (unplaced) this horse won impressively at Warwick on quicker ground in early May and then ran well in defeat here at Haydock after that. The Brittania was too far and too competitive and this return to 7f on quick ground will play to his strengths from the front. He's dropped a pound from that and is only a pound higher than when being beat here by SO BELOVED.
 
KINGSGATE NATIVE 1405 SANDOWN (nb) – (2nd – 17-2) ran his no show race last time at the Royal meeting and this drop in grade and quicker ground will help him. He was running in great form prior to Ascot and a reproduction of that will see him take this. The quicker the ground the better for him!
 
THE FUGUE 1550 SANDOWN (treble) – (unplaced) I thought she ran a decent race at Ascot and it will have brought her on leaps and bounds. The girls don't have a great record in this but I think she will take this. She will love the ground and will be a lot closer come the furlong pole and she can storm past them.
 
WOODLAND ARIA 1515 SANDOWN – (unplaced) she was impressive first time out and looks a filly to watch. The mile is her optimum trip and I fancy her beat NARGYS here, my only worry is the ground may be too quick for her.
 
As well as these four I'm going with the following four in an each way Lucky 15.
 
BANOFFEE 1455 HAYDOCK – (unplaced) won very well at Chester and then was supplemented for the Oaks where the track and more importantly the ground beat her. On a faster surface here she should show her true form.
 
ES QUE LOVE 1440 SANDOWN – (2nd – 16-1) here I go again with my cliff horse! However, he has run really well of late and this mile wihich will be run quickly should suit and 25-1 on his Royal Ascot form is huge in my opinion.
 
HANOVERIAN BARON 1530 HAYDOCK – (unplaced) another horse who was in top form before Ascot and he never got close there. Prior to that his run at York when just pipped by SIR JOHN HAWKWOOD is decent form. The ground should suit and he now has an extra five pounds in hand with OPINION and that doesn't take into account his riders claim. Could run a huge race at a big price.
 
TWEETIE PIE 1505 BEVERLEY – (WON – 50-1) wasn't that impressive on debut but I follow Declan Carroll alot and he can get a horse flying on these courses in Yorkshire and this one with a run under its belt should improve, again a massive price in my opinion.
 
If you're having a flutter today, good luck and remember to bet within your means. Enjoy the sun and the racing.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 41/189 = 21.7%
Wins 168/949 = 17.7%
Placed 251/949 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44.1%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.33
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Wednesday treble

Here are Wednesday's selections and my old girl is back for a hat-trick!
 
GLEN COUNTESS 1420 WORCESTER (nap) – (3rd – 6-1) this girl has produced two cracking runs recently and has been raised 11lbs since her first win at the end of May. I have always thought she was a 110+ rated horse and I still think there is improvement in her. The ground will be perfect as is the trip, big hopes!
 
BASFORD BEN 1450 WORCESTER (nb) – (BD) I am convinced this horse has a race like this in him. He is rated higher over hurdles without excelling and has been dropped 4lbs in hs chase rating. He ran ok last time here and I sure he will be nearer at the finish this time, Sam Thomas' only ride of the day too.
 
DECOY 1720 WORCESTER (treble) – (unplaced) won this race last year off exactly the same mark. Has been lowered to this mark following a no show at Aintree. Ran in the Cesarewitch too last year, given another chance here off this mark. Decent claiming jockey takes a huge 7lbs off too which could make all the difference.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 41/188 = 21.8%
Wins 167/941 = 17.7%
Placed 249/941 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44.2%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£62.33

Tuesday treble

Here are my best three for Tuesday. Good luck if you're having a flutter.
 
BEST EXCUSE 1940 STRATFORD (nap) – (unplaced) the horse has pretty modest form recently, however it will appreciate the better ground and has shown glimpses of ability in NH bumpers. Handicap bow and I like giving horses like this a chance on their preferred surface.
 
BROUGHTON'S BANDIT 1740 STRATFORD (nb) – (4th – 9-1) this horse ran pretty well behind SEA LORD last time and should improve again from that. Could and should run well.
 
DEVON DIVA 2030 BATH (treble) – (WON – 8-1) record now reads 0-18 but is on the same mark as when beaten a head last time here. Chance if reproducing that over shorter.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 41/187 = 22%
Wins 167/938 = 17.8%
Placed 248/938 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44.2%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£65.33

Thursday treble

Wednesday produced a nice double with the nap WARLU WAY obliging at 10-1 and the next best ALMALEKIAH going in at 7-4. Let's hope the trend continues on Thursday!
 
COME HERE YEW 1530 NEWCASTLE (nap) – (unplaced) returns to the place of his sole success and when runs at this distance has figures of 3251. The yard have had a few winners recently and I think he could pip the favourite.
 
HOPES N DREAMS 2050 HAMILTON (nb) – (unplaced) is three from three over course and distance and has another huge chance of maintaining the 100% record.
 
TEVEZ 1940 LEICESTER (treble) – (unplaced) another horse who has impressive course form with 3 wins out of 4. Hasn't won for nearly a year and is not in form, but a chance is taken on him at this level.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 41/185 = 22.2%
Wins 166/932 = 17.8%
Placed 247/932 = 26.5%

Win and Placed = 44.3%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£70.33

Wednesday Treble

Here are my best three for Wednesday. Good luck if you're having a flutter.
 
WARLU WAY 1635 CARLISLE (nap) – (WON – 10-1) this boy is on a decent mark considering his exploits last season and with conditions to suit he may take this. His eye catching second to NANTON in the apprentice handicap put him in my notebook and he has a good chance today.
 
ALMALEKIAH 2010 BATH (nb) – (WON – 7-4) is on the same mark as when he ran well in defeat to TUMBLEWIND. Running consistently well and could take this in receipt of 9lbs from DAYLIGHT.
 
SEAHAM 1920 KEMPTON (treble) – (unplaced) this one has run creditably in defeat this year. His run at Warwick was eye-catching behind two subsequent winners. The extra furlong may bring better out of him.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 41/184 = 22.2%
Wins 166/929 = 17.9%
Placed 247/929 = 26.6%

Win and Placed = 44.5%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£71.33

Tuesday’s treble

Monday's nap HIPSTER ran a stinker, yet the nb got pipped on the line! Let's hope Tuesday fairs better!
 
Here are my best three for Tuesday.
 
BERMONDSEY BOB 1645 BRIGHTON (nap) – (non runner) has a great record here with a few course and distance successes. His second last time in a class higher was a solid showing. He is also 6lbs lower than his last winning mark. The draw is the only negative.
 
JEWELLERY 1830 NEWTON ABBOT (nb) – (4th – 9-1) course and distance winner and the return to this trip should be ideal for her and should bring out improvement. She has a real chance at this grade on her last winning mark.
 
LIGHT ROSE 2035 NEWBURY (treble) – (3rd – 6-1) won well on debut and there was something obviously amiss last time out. She has had a break since then and if something was wrong then, she could bunce back here.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 40/183 = 21.8%
Wins 164/926 = 17.7%
Placed 247/926 = 26.7%

Win and Placed = 44.4%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£62.33

Monday’s Treble

It was good to see BROWN PANTHER win first time out yesterday. I love that horse and have followed it since it first ran. Below are my best three for Monday. Hopefully the nap dropping in grade can run well again.
 
HIPSTER 1940 WINDSOR (nap) – (unplaced) he drops back down to his last winning mark over the same distance too. Has been running in classes above this and maybe punching above his weight. The ground should be fine, even if it eases and he has a great chance at 14-1 as I type this on Sunday night.
 
BELLE BAYARDO 1700 CHEPSTOW (nb) – (2nd – 7-2) has course and distance form and ran well here two runs ago. Has won at this class and above and has nothing of the class of his las conqueror here.
 
MANDY'S BOY 1600 CHEPSTOW (treble) – (non runner) ran off colour on Saturday but is worth another crack here on a track not as stiff as the Haydock finish. A reproduction of his Newbury run should see him win this. Hughes on board is another plus.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 40/183 = 21.8%
Wins 164/924 = 17.7%
Placed 245/924 = 26.5%

Win and Placed = 44.3%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£63.33

Royal Ascot – Saturday

Overall this week has been a disappointment for me at Royal Ascot. I am still searching for my first winner of the week! I thought MAUREEN and ES QUE LOVE ran decent races again yesterday, but how impressive was SKY LANTERN!
Ona brighter not my nap yesterday GLEN COUNTESS (pictured, courtesy of @Riosrider2) won well at 8-1. Was a crazy price in my opinion all down to a McCoy gamble that failed.
On to the final day of Royal Ascot, it has been another cracking festival and if you manage to find a winner or two today you will have done well! Enjoy the day, bet within your means and I can hopefully find a winner here for us.
 
TROJAN ROCKET 1715 NEWMARKET (nap) – I tipped this one up last time at Warwick when he won cosily. He's never lost when Mickael Barzalia has ridden him, he's 3 from 3 on the course over 6f and has only been raised 3lbs for his last win. The ground will be fine and the jockey and trainer have a 100% strike rate when they combine at the track. Huge chance!
 
HANOVERIAN BARON 1700 ASCOT (nb) – ran a belter of a race behind SIR JOHN HAWKWOOD last time at York and has previously won cosily at Wolverhampton over the distance. If the horse who defeated him is now aimed at Group 2 races it reflects how good that run was and I think he can reproduce it. They were miles clear that day and I have got him at 28-1 this morning, if SIR JOHN HAWKWOOD runs well in the HARDWICKE Stakes that price will plummet.
 
NOCTURN 1625 ASCOT (treble) – the key to this horse chances today is if he can run in a straight line! He has a tendency to hang left and his draw may not help that today, however, cheekpieces and a top jock in Buick may help this. His win a Newmarket last time was impressive and I think he has more to offer. WHOZTHECAT franked the form when I napped it last Sunday and my selection has a cracking each way chance. I also like the chances of GLASS OFFICE and will back that each way too. He was a classy sprinter at 2 and ran well behind PROFESSOR last time, who has since gone out and won a Listed Race at Salisbury. A reproduction of that run should see him run to a least a place.
 
MINCE 1545 ASCOT – what a fantastic race this is. I have backed SOCIETY ROCK for his last two wins, but I think is is too competitive and his price is too short. I opted for my selection over RODSHU QUEEN who has a similar profile in that they both had incredible season's last year but have not shown it this year. MINCE swung it for me on her course record and that she wants genuinely fast ground, the weather seems to have held off but knowing my luck it will rain all day now!
 
BUNKER 1430 ASCOT – this horse won well on his debut and Hughes selected him as his best chance of a winner last week, even over SKY LANTERN! The yard finally broke their Royal Duck yesterday and this is their only entry in this from a normally very powerful 2 y o yard. A very astute race goer on Twitter (Calum Madell) flagged up the chances of BERKSHIRE on his blog yesterday and after reveiwing the race he has a fantastic chance to improve on that a run well at a massive price, I'm on him each way.
 
BANOVALLUM 1450 NEWMARKET – this horse has disappointed this year so far and I watched him run off the pace at Warwick when he was fancied, he then ran in a class above and performed pretty well. He drops back to Class 4 again today and could be on a decent mark for his potential.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 40/180 = 22.2%
Wins 162/911 = 17.8%
Placed 241/911 = 26.5%

Win and Placed = 44.2%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£66.33

Royal Ascot – Saturday

Overall this week has been a disappointment for me at Royal Ascot. I am still searching for my first winner of the week! I thought MAUREEN and ES QUE LOVE ran decent races again yesterday, but how impressive was SKY LANTERN!
Ona brighter not my nap yesterday GLEN COUNTESS (pictured, courtesy of @Riosrider2) won well at 8-1. Was a crazy price in my opinion all down to a McCoy gamble that failed.
On to the final day of Royal Ascot, it has been another cracking festival and if you manage to find a winner or two today you will have done well! Enjoy the day, bet within your means and I can hopefully find a winner here for us.
 
TROJAN ROCKET 1715 NEWMARKET (nap) – I tipped this one up last time at Warwick when he won cosily. He's never lost when Mickael Barzalia has ridden him, he's 3 from 3 on the course over 6f and has only been raised 3lbs for his last win. The ground will be fine and the jockey and trainer have a 100% strike rate when they combine at the track. Huge chance!
 
HANOVERIAN BARON 1700 ASCOT (nb) – ran a belter of a race behind SIR JOHN HAWKWOOD last time at York and has previously won cosily at Wolverhampton over the distance. If the horse who defeated him is now aimed at Group 2 races it reflects how good that run was and I think he can reproduce it. They were miles clear that day and I have got him at 28-1 this morning, if SIR JOHN HAWKWOOD runs well in the HARDWICKE Stakes that price will plummet.
 
NOCTURN 1625 ASCOT (treble) – the key to this horse chances today is if he can run in a straight line! He has a tendency to hang left and his draw may not help that today, however, cheekpieces and a top jock in Buick may help this. His win a Newmarket last time was impressive and I think he has more to offer. WHOZTHECAT franked the form when I napped it last Sunday and my selection has a cracking each way chance. I also like the chances of GLASS OFFICE and will back that each way too. He was a classy sprinter at 2 and ran well behind PROFESSOR last time, who has since gone out and won a Listed Race at Salisbury. A reproduction of that run should see him run to a least a place.
 
MINCE 1545 ASCOT – (unplaced) what a fantastic race this is. I have backed SOCIETY ROCK for his last two wins, but I think is is too competitive and his price is too short. I opted for my selection over RODSHU QUEEN who has a similar profile in that they both had incredible season's last year but have not shown it this year. MINCE swung it for me on her course record and that she wants genuinely fast ground, the weather seems to have held off but knowing my luck it will rain all day now!
 
BUNKER 1430 ASCOT – (2nd – 11-4) this horse won well on his debut and Hughes selected him as his best chance of a winner last week, even over SKY LANTERN! The yard finally broke their Royal Duck yesterday and this is their only entry in this from a normally very powerful 2 y o yard. A very astute race goer on Twitter (Calum Madell) flagged up the chances of BERKSHIRE (WON – 16-1) on his blog yesterday and after reveiwing the race he has a fantastic chance to improve on that a run well at a massive price, I'm on him each way.
 
BANOVALLUM 1450 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) this horse has disappointed this year so far and I watched him run off the pace at Warwick when he was fancied, he then ran in a class above and performed pretty well. He drops back to Class 4 again today and could be on a decent mark for his potential.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 40/180 = 22.2%
Wins 162/911 = 17.8%
Placed 241/911 = 26.5%

Win and Placed = 44.2%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£66.33

Royal Ascot – Saturday

Overall this week has been a disappointment for me at Royal Ascot. I am still searching for my first winner of the week! I thought MAUREEN and ES QUE LOVE ran decent races again yesterday, but how impressive was SKY LANTERN!
On a brighter not my nap yesterday GLEN COUNTESS (pictured, courtesy of @Riosrider2) won well at 8-1. Was a crazy price in my opinion all down to a McCoy gamble that failed.
On to the final day of Royal Ascot, it has been another cracking festival and if you manage to find a winner or two today you will have done well! Enjoy the day, bet within your means and I can hopefully find a winner here for us.
 
TROJAN ROCKET 1715 NEWMARKET (nap) – (unplaced) I tipped this one up last time at Warwick when he won cosily. He's never lost when Mickael Barzalia has ridden him, he's 3 from 3 on the course over 6f and has only been raised 3lbs for his last win. The ground will be fine and the jockey and trainer have a 100% strike rate when they combine at the track. Huge chance!
 
HANOVERIAN BARON 1700 ASCOT (nb) – (unplaced) ran a belter of a race behind SIR JOHN HAWKWOOD last time at York and has previously won cosily at Wolverhampton over the distance. If the horse who defeated him is now aimed at Group 2 races it reflects how good that run was and I think he can reproduce it. They were miles clear that day and I have got him at 28-1 this morning, if SIR JOHN HAWKWOOD runs well in the HARDWICKE Stakes that price will plummet.
 
NOCTURN 1625 ASCOT (treble) – (unplaced) the key to this horse chances today is if he can run in a straight line! He has a tendency to hang left and his draw may not help that today, however, cheekpieces and a top jock in Buick may help this. His win a Newmarket last time was impressive and I think he has more to offer. WHOZTHECAT franked the form when I napped it last Sunday and my selection has a cracking each way chance. I also like the chances of GLASS OFFICE (5th – 20-1) and will back that each way too. He was a classy sprinter at 2 and ran well behind PROFESSOR last time, who has since gone out and won a Listed Race at Salisbury. A reproduction of that run should see him run to a least a place.
 
MINCE 1545 ASCOT – (unplaced) what a fantastic race this is. I have backed SOCIETY ROCK for his last two wins, but I think is is too competitive and his price is too short. I opted for my selection over RODSHU QUEEN who has a similar profile in that they both had incredible season's last year but have not shown it this year. MINCE swung it for me on her course record and that she wants genuinely fast ground, the weather seems to have held off but knowing my luck it will rain all day now!
 
BUNKER 1430 ASCOT – (2nd – 11-4) this horse won well on his debut and Hughes selected him as his best chance of a winner last week, even over SKY LANTERN! The yard finally broke their Royal Duck yesterday and this is their only entry in this from a normally very powerful 2 y o yard. A very astute race goer on Twitter (Calum Madell) flagged up the chances of BERKSHIRE (WON – 16-1) on his blog yesterday and after reveiwing the race he has a fantastic chance to improve on that a run well at a massive price, I'm on him each way.
 
BANOVALLUM 1450 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) this horse has disappointed this year so far and I watched him run off the pace at Warwick when he was fancied, he then ran in a class above and performed pretty well. He drops back to Class 4 again today and could be on a decent mark for his potential.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 40/181 = 22.1%
Wins 163/919 = 17.7%
Placed 243/919 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44.2%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£65.33