Ascot

Not much luck last week on the blog. ZIGA BOY was going well for along way but just couldnt match the others. MIA’S STORM was well in with a chance two out but died away, I think better ground and a flatter track will suit her. THOMAS BROWN was just poor, he was never in it! 

So we move on today. A couple of cracking handicaps at Ascot plus a few at Haydock. My first selection is not in one of the televised races. CAPTAIN CONAN has always been a smart horse and he is dropped seriuosly in grade today. He was third three years ago as favourite in the Tingle Creek behind SIRE DE GRUGY and he is a full 20lbs lower than that race today. His rating of OR139 is fair on what he has, or hasnt achieved since, but potentially that is a very low mark for a horse of his ability. He has won on soft ground and won on decent ground so that shouldn’t be an issue. 

The Long Walk hurdle is an intriguing race snd UKNOWWHATIMEANHARRY is worthy favourite and he looked very good last time. I cant see BALLYOPTIC reversing places. The main challengers come through the French Champion Hurdle form. Both PTIT ZIG and ALEX DE LARREDYA come with winning form from it and are the big dangers to the fav. The former got put in his place by the French horse last time, however, I think PTIT ZIG on a right handed track and on better grond will prevail today and an early 8-1 is a great price.

The last race on Ascot’s card was formerly the Ladbroke and both JOLLY’S CRACKED IT and STERNRUBIN return again after their epic battle. Both are now on higher marks and I’m not sure they can repeat last year’s heroics. Especially with the former being off for a year. The race will be frenetic with STERNRUBIN, RAYVIN BLACK and UNISON going from the front. They could set it up for one off the pace, although STERNRUBIN as we’ve seen before could make all. However, I’m opting for DIEGO DU CHARMIL to bounce back from his disappointing run last time behind a few of these. He was sent out too early according to his trainer and he ran much too freely. He is suited by coming off the pace, like he did when he won the Fred Winter. He is 8lbs higher than that today but is on the same mark as his previous poor run. I think he still has bags of improvement in him and could run a big race at a huge price.

I put up CORRIN WOOD the other week, and he is now over timber today and again, based on his previous form, he is on a very appealing mark. He beat BLACK THUNDER who was running off a mark in the mid 150s to win that day. His mark today is OR128 and could prove a real handicap snip. Last chance saloon today though!

Selections

£2.50 e/w CAPTAIN CONAN 1.50 Ascot

£5 win PTIT ZIG 2.25 Ascot

£5 e/w DIEGO DU CHARMIL 3.35 Ascot

£5 win CORRIN WOOD 2.40 Haydock

Blog stats

Staked £80

Returns £101.25

Aintree and Sandown

Photo : Mike Egerton/PA

Another successful week on the blog last week following on from KRUZHLININ the week before. NATIVE RIVER was very impressive and looks a really potential superstar based on last week’s success. Looking forward to seeing how he develops during the year. On to this week, another cracking card at both Aintree and Sandown.

The Tingle Creek is the race of the day. SIRE DE GRUGY looked back to his best last time out and has won this twice and has a superb record here. UN DE SCEAUX is the favourite but I worry about his record first time out and think he now needs further. AR MAD is very interesting and has bags of scope. However, based on his last run, SIRE DE GRUGY gets the nod for me.

The Becher chase is a hell of a handicap and there are lots of trends that descimate the field. Paricularly around the age of a horse. ALVARADO has been backed all week and has a great record here, but I’m not sure this is long enough and the ground will suit. SILVERGROVE has lots of potential and shout be thereabouts after a decent run at Cheltenham last time. Alan King is starting to motor recently and ZIGA BOY, despite his age, ticks alot of boxes. He destroyed his rivals at Doncaster last year and if you can forgove the last two runs last year he has to have a chance. He’s warmed up well for this and he should be primed for a big run and I think this track will suit.

CORRIN WOOD has always been a smart horse and lost his way considerably with Donald McCain. He ran back to his best last time when eventually caught at Cheltenham by ANTEROS. This race is a huge drop in class and he is very well handicapped. The 7-2 price isnt going to last long and that could ge real value. He should breeze this.

FINGAL BAY is a very classy staying hurdler and his reappearance run was much better. This is a drop in class and despite his big weight he could and should be better than these. He is back on his last winning mark of OR148 when he won the Pertempts and that is surely his target this year. The claim from the jockey will certainly help his cause. Big run expected.

Selections :

£10 win CORRIN WOOD 245 Chepstow

£2.50 e/w FINGAL BAY 120 Sandown

£5 win SIRE DE GRUGY 3.00 Sandown

Haydock and Ascot

Photo : sportinglife.com
 
Well last week was a good one on the blog and I kept up my record in the hurdle race at Warwick, putting up the winner for the third consecutive year, with FLINTHAM (7-1). Hope you were on aswell as BIG JIM (5-1). It was almost a top day but DEFINITLY RED (9-2) could only manage second behind BLACK HERCULES. Hopefully I'm coming into a bit of form and there's a few I fancy today too. The top two races of the day really are crackers leading us to trials weekend next Saturday.
 
LIL ROCKERFELLER 1425 ASCOT (nap)
What a race this is!! Numerous horses have cracking chances. MONSIEUR GIBRALTAR ran better last time and has far less weight than that run. Today. THEINVAL was very smart last year and returns to hurdles after an average chase debut, and I can't forget ROYAL GUARDSMAN'S last run. I've opted for my guy thoygh based on his class and his very smart form. He reversed places with DEVILMENT when he last won carrying 11st 11lbs. He ran in a much better race at Cheltenham and one was just too good, however he did beat the current World Hurdle champion, COLE HARDEN. Last year he beat Ladbroke Hurdle winner STERNRUBIN twice, giving him 5lbs and 8lbs respectively. He loves a battle, has a big heart and has the class to win this. MONSIEUR GIBRALTAR is his biggest danger.
 
 
OTAGO TRAIL 1330 HAYDOCK (nb)
He has gone up a massive 13lbs in the ratings to a mark of OR154 after his smooth, classy success at Chepstow. The ground was awful that day and it will be very heavy today and that will play to his strengths! I cant believe his price based on BRISTOL DE MAI's entry, he hasnt encountered ground like this yet and I think my guy is a very smart prospect.
 
FINGAL BAY 1515 HAYDOCK (treble)
This guy has jumped really well in his last two runs. Finding SMAD PLACE too good and WAKANDA the same in quite quickly run races. He has the stamina for this and will love the ground and thr stiff finish. You have to jump well here and he does. VIRAK has been very good too but he has gone up another 5lbs in weight here and he's giving my guy 17lbs in weight. That will take its toll up the Haydock hill.
 
CORRIN WOOD 1300 HAYDOCK
This is an old favourite and was previously a smart horse and he could generate a tidy profit for the blog today. He was a good hurdler and was turning into a smart chaser until having a lay off. He was then thrown in off his old form in top races and it was too much. He is now back in a class 3 hurdle, at a track where he has won at and has smart form. He will get the trip and 20-1 is huge!!
 
My Dad's selections are :
 
PLACINGS
FATHER 2-5 SON
PROFIT/LOSS
Father – £79.34
Son +£17.96
 

Haydock and Ascot

Photo by :Getty Images
Quite another profitable week for the blog. Good old JOIN THE CLAN (8-1) and then HAWKES POINT (17-2) rompted in to take some well earned coins off the bookies. I’m hoping I can keep this run going! Lets hope the return of SPRINTER SACRE is a good one today. He’s one of the best chases I’ve seen and just hope he reprodces something near his best today. Fingers crossed. Whatever you are on today, good luck in our weekly battle against our old foe the bookie!
The #twittergamble boys have opted for the following this week. Let’s hope the big one comes in :
@LiamKenniford GARDE LA VICTOIRE 1425 ASCOT
@DazGilbert1 WISHES AND STARS 1555 TAUNTON
@Tonythetyke FISHING BRIDGE 1555 TAUNTON
Here are my four for you
 
REBEL REBELLION 1535 ASCOT (nap) (WON 12-1 = £37.50)

I know this horse has a race like this in him. I thought he would run much better than he did last time at Wincanton. However, on the back of that the handicapper has lowered his rating another 2lbs to a mark of OR141. That is only 2 lbs higher than his last winning mark. He could be very competitive today on this ground and off this mark. With the jockey taking his allowance off he is effectively running off the racing weight as BALLINVARRIG but rated 8lbd better. This has to be it today! Come on the Rebel!
 
CORRIN WOOD 1515 HAYDOCK (nb) (PU = -£5.00)

He ran a cracker last time at Wetherby when the weight told giving 8lbs to DOLATULO. He was very assertive from the start and similar tactics are needed today. Interetingly the handicapper had dropped him another pound to a mark of OR 146. That is only 2lbs higher than his last winning mark. With HEY BIG SPENDER in the race he is also a full 10lbs lighter in the saddle than last time
 
GARDE LA VICTOIRE 1425 ASCOT (treble) (unplaced = -£5.00)

Is the class horse in the race and has some pretty smart form in the book. He beat VANITEUX in the Greatwood and was a respectable 5th in the Ladbroke giving BAYAN 8lbs. While he has to carry alot of weight again today class is class and he can take this today.
 
BITOFAPUZZLE 1350 ASCOT (WON 5-2 = £7.81)

She is a smart prospect and brought unbeaten bumper form to hurdles and was not disgraced when narrowly beaten by THE PIRATES QUEEN last time. CAROLES SPIRIT is the class horse in the race but having to give 5lbs to and up coming smart one may be too much – or so I hope.
My dad’s selections are :
BALLINVARRIG 1535 ASCOT (unplaced = -£5.00)
TOBY LERONE 1515 HAYDOCK (unplaced = -£5.00)
RAYVIN BLACK 1425 ASCOT (unplaced = -£5.00)
WHISPERING HARRY 1525 TAUNTON (WON 11-4 = £8.59)
 
current standings
Father 5-6 Son
Profit
Father -£31.07
Son £156.37