Royal Ascot Day 2

Well the first day wasn't great for the blog! Not even a place other than KINGMAN. Was a cracking first day though and I must take my hat off to SOLE POWER! What a performance that was!
 
On to Day 2 and hopefully a little more luck!
 
JERSEY STAKES 1430

Another intriguing contest to get us going. The French have an interesting contender with Frankie on board in REDBROOK and he could improve even more. MUSICAL COMEDY could run a big race and give us a Royal winner but I'm opting for SUDIRMAN who has Group 1 winning form and the softer ground can be offered for the last two lesser performances.
 
QUEEN MARY STAKES 1505

ANTHEM ALEXANDER (TREBLE) has a great chance to further boost the breeding credentials of STARSPANGLEDBANNER. The way she won at Tipperary suggested greater things to come and with the owner opting for this race for here it further boosts her credentials for me. PASTORAL GIRL should like this ground and could improve on her first run at a huge price.
 
PRINCE OF WALES'S STAKES 1545

I think TREVE will win this despite the latest defeat. However I am fascinated to see who wins out of THE FUGUE and DANK for the place money. I'm opting for DANK to improve again.
 
DUKE OF CAMBRIDGE STAKES 1625

SKY LANTERN is key here, if she shows the form of her win here last year she will take some pegging back. However, fillies with a penalty to carry seem to always lose in this race! INTEGRAL has alot going for her and she ran so well for me last time. WOODLAND ARIA could also be around at the end.
 
ROYAL HUNT CUP 1700

BURANO (NAP) has the credentials for this race. He has only one win to his name but his last two runs have been very eyecatching. He had no real luck in running when in behind at Newbury and then travelled well at headquarters. A big field on this wide track should help him find the space and this race suits a late fast finisher. The draw should help too. NICEOFYOUTOTELLME travelled so well last time when winning and could be the danger.
 
SANDRINGHAM HANDICAP 1735

MAJEYDA has the class to take this. She ran well in the 1000 Guineas and in a Group 3 too and is top weight for a reason. Class is class and I think she's very good but I'm going against her and against the decisions of Hughes and Dettori and I'm opting for MIDNITE ANGEL (NB) to show her class again. If she reproduces the run behind J WONDER last year and goes up with the pace she could take some pegging back.
 
Advertisements

Royal Ascot Day 2

Photo : Mark Cranham
 
What a first day of the meeting that was. I got ANIMAL KINGDOM way wrong, but it just affirmed the believe about transferring dirt form to grass – not many can do it. TORONADO ran a cracker for me and despite his defeat I was pleased DAWN APPROACH won to end his Epsom nightmare. I also thought MYSTERIOUS MAN ran a cracker and he is one to watch out for next time. Hero of the day has to be JONNY MURTAGH who proved again what a brilliant jockey he is in sprint races. On to Wednesday, and hopefully a winner!
 
JERSEY STAKES

GALE FORCE TEN has the Irish Guineas form in his favour here and ran a decent race in the Norfolk last year, however I don't fancy him here. GARSWOOD was a horse hyped up for the 2000 Guineas and he got nowhere near and again I think this level is too much for him. BLAINE is interesting, he won the Gimcrack last year but has then disappointed in the Middle Park and in France. On better ground though he could run a big race at 50-1 when I type this. My money is on MUTIN, he is four from four, including on a good surface. He has won at listed level, looked like he could run at this level well and the drop back shouldn't hinder him.
 
Selections – MUTIN (unplaced) & BLAINE e/w (unplaced)

DUKE OF CAMBRIDGE STAKES

This race revolves around three horses for me. DUNTLE has some excellent form and has shown it over course and distance and she could be very smart. CHIGUN was impressive when winning the Abu Dabi stakes at the Curragh. However, my preference is for DANK who is a highly progressive and talented filly. She defeated CHIGUN on her last run and was giving her 3lbs. Today they are off level weights and the ground will suit too. One of my best bets of the meeting.
 
Selections – DANK (nap) (3rd – 7-2)

PRINCE OF WALES'S STAKES

Alot has been said about CAMELOT and that his Classic crop weren't the best and that he defeated nothing. For me he stills needs credit on what he did achieve, and almost achieved. On reflection now was ENCKE drugged up by Zarooni? Anyway, he has a great chance and after a run I think he will reverse placings with AL KAZEEM. This horse has got better and better and his trainer rates him highly and rightly so, but I just think he is a level below top class. My money is on THE FUGUE in this race, if she is fully tuned up with conditions to suit, last year's Nassau winner could swoop late and take this.
 
Selection – THE FUGUE (nb) (3rd – 11-2)

ROYAL HUNT CUP

If I pick the winner of this, or if anyone does, you know you're drawing a tidy sum. Andrew Balding has been bigging up STIRRING BALLAD leading up to this, she has done well but I don't think she'll take this. Behind her at Kempton when LILY'S ANGEL won was BURKE'S ROCK, she could also run a big race from a high draw. GLOBAL VILLAGE will run his race again from the other side and is consistent here and could nab a place. I can't have PRINCE OF JOHANNE on current form, despite an improvement last time,but he loves these big fields. ES QUE LOVE is a horse who I firmly believe will take a big handicap like this over a mile. He did so first time out at Kempton this year and is now 3lbs lower than that success. He has a high draw and ran well in defeat on Saturday at Musselburgh with the same jockey on board, interestingly, he's on the same mark as that today!
 
Selection – ES QUE LOVE e/w (unplaced)

QUEEN MARY STAKES

BELDALE MEMORY will be favourite or near to it on the back of her success in the Marygate Stakes at York, however, she could be softer ground dependant and that is worth taking her on for. Hannon's trio will be popular and they haven't struck yet. My preference here is for QUATOUR, she was incredibly impressive when bounding away to take the Lily Agnes Stakes at Chester. In my opinion the ground beat her at York. The yard took this last year with CEILING KITTY and this horse has took the same route and I just think the ground in a fast run race with play into her strengths and 25-1 as I write this is huge!
 
Selection – QUATOUR (treble) (unplaced)

SANDRINGHAM HANDICAP

NARGYS is an interesting runner, only an abysmal run in the Nell Gwyn stopped her running in the Guineas when touted up as a class horse by Keiren Fallon, she's not worth giving up on, but this is too much for her. WOODLAND ARIA was impressive first time out and then the trip seemed too much after that run. Returned to 7f last time she won well, and I think that is her trip, not this! My selection for the race is ANNIE'S FORTUNE, she ran well behind WATERWAY RUN in the Oh So Sharp stakes and is a full 6lbs less in the ratings today, that is a very appealing mark for me for a horse that could well be a shade better than this level.
 
Selection – ANNIE'S FORTUNE e/w (unplaced)

Whatever happens on Day 2, lets hope it is as good as Day 1. Sit back and enjoy, bet within your means and good luck.


BLOG STATS :

Naps 39/179 = 21.8%
Wins 161/907 = 17.8%
Placed 241/907 = 26.6%

Win and Placed = 44.3%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£60.33

Saturday selections

What a sad week it has been in the world of racing losing one of its greatest ever trainers. Sir Henry Cecil epitomised British racing for me, a true gentleman and a man who loved everything about these wonderful animals. Rest in peace Sir Henry.
 
Royal Ascot gets going next week, and with channel 4 covering every race we are in for a right treat! Today sees a couple of cracking meeting too. I'm having a crap run at the minute and am hoping I come into form for Ascot. Lets see what happens today! I've selected a few below and hopefully they will run well. Whatever happens, if you're having a flutter do so within your own means and enjoy the racing.
 
SANDREAMER 1455 SANDOWN (nap) – (3rd – 12-1) Morawij will be a short favourite here and is rated well above these. He ran very well behind my tip Kingsgate Native last time and is entitled to be favourite. My selection however is a bit of a forgotten horse. He won in Listed company last year in Italy and was runner up behind MAUREEN and ran well in behind RODSHU QUEEN on a couple of occasions. He is a decent animal and is a huge price!
 
LEWISHAM 1550 YORK (nb) – (unplaced) this horse was second in a Group 2 last season behind ALHEBAYEB and then never showed behind BLAINE at York in the Gimcrack. Ralph Beckett now has the training duties and he has given the horse a couple of confidence boosters this year. He has the potential to be much better than this level, and I'm hopeful of a big run.
 
DRAWNFROMTHEPAST 1715 BATH (treble) – (unplaced) has won twice here over 6f. Is fully 10lbs lower in the ratings than that last success, he has won on FIRM ground here before and is pretty good fresh. He should bounce out and may be difficult to pass.
 
FLEUR DE LA VIE 1705 SANDOWN – (unplaced) is dropping back in trip from 2 miles to her last winning distance. She has been dropped 4 lbs too. Crowley is on board who is a great judge of pace and she needs to come off the pace to win this. Massive price in my opinion back to her optimum trip.
 
STABLEFORD 1350 SANDOWN – (unplaced) this is a smart horse I reckon and was impressive last time at Yarmouth. I think there a bigger andbetter things ahead and he ahould take this.
 
LANCELOT DU LAC 1605 SANDOWN – (unplaced) the track is the reason for his last poor effort, he never travelled on the Epsom camber. Previous to that he looked at better horse than his current mark when winning smartly at York. A hood is fitted today to squeeze a little more out. Another at a big price!
 
LADYS FIRST 1515 YORK – (unplaced) ran well be DIAKALA last time and has some decent form lines with DANK. The trainer is bullish about her and quotes “he's never had her looking so good”. She has solid form over a mile and has won at Listed class – big chance.
 
Also going to have a little each way stab at HAMISH MCGONAGALL in the sprint at Musselburgh. He has solid course form and could run a big race. Having a little each way on NOBLE CITIZEN, NEXT EDITION and GINGER JACK too.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 39/175 = 22.3%
Wins 161/884 = 18.2%
Placed 235/884 = 26.6%

Win and Placed = 44.8%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£51.33

QIPCO 1000 Guineas Day

Credit where credit is due, Dawn Approach was awesome yesterday. I really didn't think the ground would suit but class is class. It's great for racing too and we have a new unbeaten superstar. Whilst people are saying it's good for Godolphin too after their week, I think it's even better for Jim Bolger. What an incredibe trainer he is and really underrated.
 
So on to today, here are my best three and some at Newmarket
 
DANK 1435 NEWMARKET (nap) – (WON – 4-1) the ground is the key to this filly. She was very progressive last year and ran really well on faster ground. She didn't quite get in the race last time behind CHIGUN and THISTLE BIRD, but the ground was also against her that day. Sir Michael Stoute is in top form at the moment and I expect a big race from her.

MAUREEN 1550 NEWMARKET (nb) – (unplaced) this filly has done nothing wrong and I thought she was very impressive in the Fred Darling. She crept into affairs and stuck on well at the end. I think the step up to a mile will suit further and she will be up with the pace which will be important. Monsieur Peslier is called over to ride her and his quiet style should suit. Her ability to go on all surfaces further aids her cause.

CELESTIAL DAWN 1415 HAMILTON (treble) – (3rd – 10-1) has course and distance success and is back on her last winning mark from here at Hamilton. She is much better with a bit of cut and she should show her true colours under todays conditions.

FENNELL BAY 1405 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) has been raised 3lbs for a cozy success last time when his class told and he got up on the line. This horse has the quality for this if he settles and switches off, I'm hoping the confidence booster last time will have helped.

HITCHENS 1510 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) his run at Doncaster last time caught the eye and these sprinters go through snatches of form. The quicker ground will play to his strengths and he is handicapped as the best horse in the race. I'm hoping today he will win.

SEASIDE SIZZLER 1420 SALISBURY – returned to winning ways at Kempton last time and has decent form at and around this trip. The quicker ground will suit and with the yard in form I'm hopeful this one is progressive and goes on again.

BLOG STATS :

Naps 39/171 = 22.8%
Wins 157/851 = 18.4%
Placed 226/851 = 26.6%

Win and Placed = 45%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.33