Derby Day today! What a cracking day of racing this is and I just hope the thunderstorms don’t spoil the going or the spectacle. I came very close last week to a big win on the blog with CLEVER COOKIE deadheading at 3-1 and then I had three seconds all beaten by hardly anything! BODY AND SOUL (17-2), SIRIUS PROSPECT (3-1) and ROYAL RASCAL (3-1).
Lets hope today brings a few winners and then its full steam ahead for Royal Ascot! I fancy quite a few horses across the meetings today but have picked 4 who I think have the best chance and the best odds for me! If you’re having a flutter good luck!
HYMENAIOS 1335 EPSOM (NAP) – (3rd – 5-1 = £3.12) this horse defeated CAPE CASTER at Doncaster in March and it won nice and convincingly and went into my notebook. CAPE CASTER has since won and franked the form. More importantly that day my selection had ROMSDAL comfortably beaten, and he’s supplemented for the derby today! Ignore the last run as the ground wasn’t ideal and I expect a much more positive showing today!
LATIN CHARM 1530 MUSSELBURGH (NB) – (unplaced = -£5.00) has travelled a fair distance to compete in this and he has pretty decent form in the book. Two runs this year have resulted in places with one or two of the others proving too good. Today is his day! One of his conquerors BLACK SCHNAPPS ran well the other week behind WRANGLER at Haydock and that form could prove decisive here. He’s 3 lb higher than that run but I really think he will win this today!
CASPIAN PRINCE 1515 EPSOM (TREBLE) – (WON 9-1 = £28.12) won here over this distance in in April on good to soft and has a good chance of repeating that from a decent draw. He’s albs higher now but for me the key is that Adam Kirby, who won on him in April, is up again, despite SEEKING MAGIC, who has a great chance too, running from the Cox yard. He must fancy this ones chances more and so do I. Cracking race though!
AZAGAL 1645 DONCASTER – (unplaced = -£5.00) I had this filly the other week when she won here in May. She is up 7lbs from that and was entered in a class 1 listed last time. She is not good enough at that level and returns to a more realistic grade today. The ground will be perfect for her and its forecast to have even more rain a tDoncaster which would help her. She could run a big race again at a ridiculous price. The top two in the market keep her price high and I think she will take this today. Kerching!!!!!
I haven’t included the big race in the blog but my selection is the following :
EBANORAN – (unplaced) people are questioning the form off the Derrinstown Trial but for me it always holds up. That day he hung badly right and was disqualified after the post. The camber of the track at Epsom will straighten him up and the extra two furlongs for me will bring out even more improvement . John Oxx is the other factor, he has sent there over for the Derby and two of those, SINNDAR and SEA THE STARS obliged. He obviously thinks this one is good enough and I’d love to see the Aga Khan’s colours win this again.
My Dad’s selections today are – (and he has some catching up to do!)
BLACK SHADOW 1335 EPSOM (2nd – £4.37)
ETON RIFLES 1515 EPSOM (NR)
KINGSTON HILL 1600 EPSOM (2nd – £4.68)
NOTARISED 1530 MUSSELBURGH (unplaced = -£5.00)
Current standings :
FATHER 7-12 SON
Profit – FATHER +£53.31
from £2.50 each way stakes on all selections.
The biggest flat race of the calendar is upon us already! A colts one chance to shine and go down as a breeding icon for the future! The Coolmore operation have made a monopoly of this recently but I dont think today is their day. I'm hoping for a complete change of fortunes on here, recently I can't pick my nose! Anyway should be a good day to sit back and enjoy!
TADQEEQ 1400 Epsom (nap)
Ran in three handicaps this year that have all been on the softer side of good. He got into a scrappy affair last time out and the yard have been in form and he is a big price! The better ground should suit when you look at his breeding and maybe the trainer thinks so as he would have been wothdrawn with there now being good to firm in places. I think the step up will help too. Good chance to sneak in under the radar.
GOLDEN HORN 1630 Epsom (nb)
The Dante form is the best on offer and I think the three who fought that out will do the same here. His breeding is superb and he is the best horse in the race for me, if he stays he wins!
GO DAN GO 1450 MUSSELBURGH (treble)
Really disappointed me last time and he looked really progressive but he race no sort of race. He drops back down a class and I think he's worth another go. Without the previous blob on his form he would have been much shorter for a race like this.
GOTHIC 1715 Epsom
Another one who looked really out of sorts when quite well fancied at Newmarket a few weeks ago! If he bounces back he has the ability to beat these. He's a classy horse but needs to show it!
My Dad's selections are :
Father 3-1 Son
Here is the day, the greatest flat race of them all – The Derby! With only nine runners today though it won’t be the usual spectacle it is in my opinion. My selection is further down the page. Yesterday proved to be relatively successful with CLINICAL (7-1) winning. Lets hope a few more come in today.
UKRANIAN 1530 MUSSELBURGH – (nap) (unplaced) Mark Johnston has a great record in this and saddles 5. My selection is an outsider yet I think it has a great chance. Winning well over 1m 4f first time out and then a steady gallop last time didn’t suit. I’m sure the instructions today will be to dictate the pace and I’m hoping then they won’t get to him.
PASTORAL PLAYER 1435 HAYDOCK – (nb) (WON – 3-1) is a smart handicapper and is ready to claim one like this. Is generally better in larger fields, but the firmer ground will help today. Fancy him to come late with plenty in hand and pip Red Jazz.
FIERY LAD 1650 EPSOM – (treble) (WON – 10-1) has form here and on the ground and also has won at this class. Been running poorly lately, but has the master of Epsom Fallon on board to steer him home.
I’m also having a wager on these horses too today :
DAZINSKI 1410 HAYDOCK (2nd – 10-1)
EXCEL BOLT 1455 MUSSELBURGH (unplaced)
LASTCHANCELUCAS 1405 EPSOM (unplaced)
SOHRAAB 1515 EPSOM (unplaced)
THOUGHT WORTHY 1605 EPSOM (unplaced)
SET TO MUSIC 1510 HAYDOCK (2nd – 2-1)
LOLITA LEBRON 1535 BEVERLEY (unplaced)
SLADE POWER 1540 HAYDOCK (WON – 5-1)
Stats as of 2/6//12
WINS 45/254 = 17.7%
NAPS 15/70 = 21.4%
PLACED 62/254 = 24.4%
WIN OR PLACED 107/254 = 42.1%
TREBLES LANDED = 2
Remember if you are having a wager to bet within your means. These are my selections and I am not suggesting you follow my advice, I only do this for a bit of fun!