Aintree Day Two

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Well the first day wasn’t too bad for the blog with the nap SILVINIACO CONTI winning at 9-4 and places for ROCK ON RUBY (10-1) and OSCAR WHISKY (7-4). How good was it to see Rock on Ruby run so close, he really is better over hurdles and for me should stay in that sphere.

On to Day Two and Ladies Day, god only knows what sights will be on show tomorrow!!!!

TOP NOVICES HURDLE 1400

This is a cracking little race and the good ground will certainly suit a few of them. Nicky Henderson has an awesome record in this race in recent years and JOSSES HILL ran very well and caught the eye at the festival and I also have liked the attitude of AMORE ALATO this year an due should be thereabouts. However, I’m opting for MIJHAAR (NB) (unplaced) who was a decent horse on the flat off a rating of 105 and he produced some good displays on good ground. He won smoothly on his debut at Doncaster and this track should suit his flat speed. Decent price too!

MILMAY NOVICES CHASE 1430

HOLYWELL (WON -7-2) ran another cracker at the festival and proved that he could be a stayer of real class. The blinkers are kept on and despite a hefty 12lb rise he can run another cracker here. I’ve always thought he was a smart horse and to compete at this level he needs a mark like this. My only niggle is will McCoy’s style suit him? I think Richie McLernon rides him beautifully and maybe they should have stuck to that.

MELLING CHASE 1505

This really is a highlight for me on this card, it always produces a damn good race and there are several that have great chances. It should be a real feast! RAJDHANI EXPRESS has a great chance based on his progressive profile and his run at the festival, I don’t think he’s this level though. BALLYNAGOUR was very good at Cheltenham but 15lbs is a hell of a rise in the ratings. However, I’m opting for ROLLING ACES (NAP) (2nd – 16-1) who is also a progressive horse and who put in some very good displays last year. He is now back on a mark that saw him run a close second to OPENING BATSMAN on good ground and then followed that up with a win on soft in Ireland. I think he is suited to better ground and the pace will of the race will suit him too.

TOPHAM CHASE 1540

There are about seven I could pick here and after seven runnings there would be seven different winners! A cracking race. I have two selections in this but am also intrigued to see how little MA FILLEULE runs up against these fences. She ran a stormer behind HOLYWELL last time and should be thereabouts. Firstly I raved on bait about DOESLESSTHANME (FELL) earlier in the year and he obliged last time. He is back up to a mark of 144 that he has won off before, and interestingly is stepped back up in trip, the better ground will help him see it out and is will place at least. My second selection in this has to be CEDRE BLEU (unplaced) he is a realm monkey but has a touch of class! He won a decent race this tome last year and last time ran poorly due to ulcers. A alb drop from the handicapper further boosts his chances, another to be placed!

SEFTON NOVICES HURDLE 1615

RACING PULSE (TREBLE) (unplaced) was a horse I followed this year and he has some solid form in the book and 10-1 is a big price for his chances. He has run well behind SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT and AUBUSSON after a string of victories. Again I feel the better ground will suit him and I’m quietly confident he can reverse places with his victor due to the ground.

HANDICAP HURDLE 1650

CHELTENIAN (4th – 8-1) can show his true colours today. He ran well at the festival but was pulled up sharply towards the finish after being in a prominent position. He was far too keen that day and if switched off in this, with the previous form in his book including the bumper and the fine fourth to SPLASH OF GINGE he has a real chance.

NH FLAT RACE 1725

Not really a fan of these but will try my luck with THE GOVANESS (unplaced)

Good luck if you’re having a flutter!

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Kempton and Warwick

 
Well this week was a bit of a shock to the system after two weeks off but The Bandit soon got back into the swing of things! Last week was a cracker for the blog with my nap INDIAN JACK winning at 5-1 and CHEVISE coming at 20-1 givnig me some real profit and saw me finally winning a week over my old man in our little head to head. He also had a cracking week with two winners and 2 placed. Lets hope we can continue the good form of recent weeks today. The current standing are FATHER 3-1 SON. With our total profits from a £2.50 each way stake being
Father = £93.04 profit
Son = £77.56 profit
 
UNCLE JIMMY 1425 WARWICK (NAP) – (WON – 17-2 = £23.44) He has two wins on soft to his name and for me he has been crying out for this longer trip. People think he may not stay I reckon it will bring even more out of him. He reminds me of HOLYWELL who I put up in this last year and was pipped by ELY BROWN. He takes a bit of a hold but is always there staying on at the end. He beat ROYAL NATIVE at Fontwell over 23f and I think today you will see him stay on over the last flight here and catch up in the run in. He could be my Cheltenham horse this year as HOLYWELL was last year, he would need to be competitive in this though. Great chance today!
 
HOME RUN 1440 KEMPTON (NB) – (unplaced – £5.00) he ran a cracker last time behind SAPHIR DU RHEU and I think he could reverse the placing today on this softer ground. At the weights he is 8lbs better off today than last time for an 8 length success. Harry Derham takes 5lbs off for his claim though but I just think Home Run has been improving more and more and this track on the ground will play to his strengths. He has only gone up a pound on the ratings compared to Saphir's 15! I think he is better handicapped than his foe and I think Saphir needs laying in this today.
 
DUNOWEN POINT 1355 WARWICK (TREBLE) – (unplaced -£5.00) has been dropped 3lbs in the ratings for his poor show at Aintree. I think he just didn't fire that day on a specialist track. He is now only a pound higher than when defeated by CLOUDY TOO at Wetherby on soft last year. He gave CLOUDY TOO 5 lbs on the weights that day and that horse is now rated 13lbs higher than my choice in the ratings. If he reproduces that form he will wipe the floor with these today I reckon. The ground should be fine for him and he has a great chance in my opinion.
 
SWNYMOR 1550 KEMPTON – (unplaced – £5.00) A bit of a forgotten horse is this one! Won very well last year and was moving to win when asked too much at the last flight at Chepstow and he fell. That destroyed the rest of his season and his confidence. Miss Curtis has been patient with him and ran him for a confidence booster on the flat at Doncaster. He was staying on that day over a trip way short and it will have done him the world of good. He's six pounds lower in the ratings than when running in the Triumph hurdle and he has the class to beat these today at a great price!
 
Before I go on to my dad's selections I also want to flag up MIAS BOY 1435 LINGFIELD – who races on the lowest AW mark for 5 years today. Also EMPEROR'S CHOICE 1535 WARWICK should produce better today dropped another 4lbs! Finally DOESLESSTHANME 1415 WETHERBY goes well fresh has solid form from last year and is being seriously overlooked at 33-1 when I write this, he has a great each way chance.
 
Here are my dad's selections for today. We've picked three of the same races and the same horse!
 
RIVER MAIGUE 1440 KEMPTON (unplaced – £5.00)
OSCAR FORTUNE 1425 WARWICK (unplaced – £5.00)
KILLALA QUAY 1500 WARWICK (unplaced – £5.00)
DUNOWEN POINT 1355 WARWICK (unplaced – £5.00)
 
 
Result Father = -£20 and Son + £8.44
 
Running totals
FATHER 3-2 SON
 
FATHER PROFIT = £73.04
SON PROFIT = £86