The curtain raiser on the flat season! It's been a decent season, we have been treated to TORONADO and DAWN APPROACH. We have seen an awesome performance from TREVE in the Ark and many other good moments. I have really enjoyed seeing the rejuvenation of Johnny Murtagh too, what a season he has had. Overall I have been disappointed with my performance on the flat, although I did manage to find a 66-1 winner in TWEETY PIE. The jumps start for real next week and that is my true passion so hopefully I can pick up a few winners for everyone.
On to today, here are my selections, good luck if you're having a flutter!
PECKHAMECHO 1610 CHEPSTOW (nap) – if this guy can reproduce his run in the Welsh Champion Hurdle then he should take this. That day he ran off a mark of 138, and is now at 140, after being dropped a few pounds due to a non convincing run behind Princely Player. At Ffos Las he had the like of The Romford Pele and Balder Success behind him, the strength of that form is good and I'm very hopeful.
DUTCH ROMANCE 1605 NEWBURY (nb) – won well at Salisbury in the mud last time and with similar conditions should run well. AERTEX came out of that race well behind my selection and won, strengthening the form a little. I think the 9-2 at the moment is a great price based on that.
MWALESHI 1355 AINTREE (treble) – front runner and won a Grade 2 last time, will relish the ground and despite the rise in his rating, I'm sure there is more to come from this one. Could run them into the ground today.
EXTRA NOBLE 1420 NEWBURY – this is a tougher contest for sure but he has done nothing wrong so far and has excellent battling qualities that I think will help today. Should enjoy the ground and has a decent each way chance at a big price
VALBCHEK 1515 DONCASTER – this is becoming a cliff horse, however I am convinced he is better than he has been showing and the drop back to 5f may help sharpen him up today and the booking of Ryan Moore, who has won on him previously is an eye catching one.
SOMEWHAT 1550 DONCASTER – this fella has the strongest form (and heart) in the book and has done nothing but impress me all year. He will go at it from the front and on this softer ground I don't think anything will go past him!
SIR DU BEARN 1520 STRATFORD – won on this card last year and was a Paul Nicholls horse prior to that who never got going, will live the ground, the trip and is from a shrewd yard, local to the track. Could surprise again!
BLOG STATS :
Naps 43/211 = 20.4%
Wins 177/1079 = 16.4%
Placed 279/1079 = 25.8%
Win and Placed = 42.3%
@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.83