Coral Welsh National

The blog returns post Christmas and The Bandit is still in a spin with a the festivities and travelling. I'm currently in Burnley visiting my parents and sat here looking out on a picture devoid of any snow. The comparison to Bandit Towers in Sheffield couldn't be more different with a foretold 15cm lying there! Thank god I'm here! There is some cracking racing on offer today and hopefully I'll have a change of luck as I've been bloody dire recently!
 
The twitter gamble fellas return after their Christmas exploits and have opted for the following :
@TonytheTyke Bright New Dawn 1320 Leopardstown
@DazGilbert1 Shoegazer 1510 Chepstow
@Fernando_RFC2 Chatez 1525 Kempton
@LiamKenniford Balder Success 1340 Kempton
 
Here are my best four as always :
 
FAGO 1510 KEMPTON (nap) (PU = -£5.00)

This guy was being touted as a potential Arkle candidate last season before a few very novicey jumps. He has always been thought highly of and knowing his connections they have been giving him lots of schooling. The testing ground should really suit him today and I'm expecting a big run.
 
EDMUND KEAN 1435 CHEPSTOW (nb) (unplaced = -£5.00)

This horse ran well in a few small field chases last year before finding the Scottish National too much after a blunder. Interestingly moves to the Bowen yard who know how to win this! He loves testing ground and if his jumping has improved he could run a big race. I'm hopeful of at least a place. I've also had a little on EMPEROR'S CHOICE, who has run well the last twice and will relish the ground. GAS LINE BOY off a big weight may run well too and this race reminds me of my old mate TIDAL BAY who ran so well in it the other year! A cracking renewal!
 
HINTERLAND 1340 KEMPTON (treble) (PU – =-£5.00)

Mercurial talent and prone to breaking blood vessels but is a class horse and his third last time at Sandown was really good and that should be enough to give BALDER SUCCESS something to think about. With a solid round of jumping and his body being kept in otrder he has to have a great chance.
 
GRANDOUET 1310 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)

Another smart horse with some smart form in his locker! This really is a cracking race and the likes of GOD'S OWN and VIBRATO VALTAT are exciting times. I dont think it will be soft enough for MELODIC RENDEZVOUS to return to the winner's area though. My tip was second in this last year and wasnt disgraced in the Arkle and he could be a second season jumper to follow, he's certainly smart enough!
 
My Dad's selections are :
 
BYGONES SOVEREIGN 1325 CHEPSTOW (unplaced =-£5.00)
KAREZAK 1355 CHEPSTOW (2nd – 11-4 = £1.71)
EMPEROR'S CHOICE 1435 CHEPSTOW (WON 9-1 = £28.12)
SILVER COMMANDER 1415 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)
 
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Haydock and Ascot

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Photo : Getty Images

Right after a week off last week due to The Bandit being on a bender in Leeds the blog returns with what can only be described as a fantastic day of racing. The likes of FAUGHEEN, THE NEW ONE, SILVINIACO CONTI, MENORAH all on show, sit back and enjoy the best that National Hunt can throw at us today if nothing else. The previous blog bore a little fruit for us at long last with POLLY PEACHUM (6-1) showing us what a talented mare she is, one to watch for the future. I also thought OPENING BATSMAN ran so much better and showed some of his old sparkle and I’ll be interested to see where he goes next and interestingly the handicapper raised him 3lbs for that run.

So on to today, firstly I asked some of my twitter followers to put up their best bet of the day, this was the result. Make sure you put a few shekels on this and give each of them a follow if you’re a twitterati.

Shotavodka 1535 Haydock from @Tonythetyke (unplaced)

Fletchers Flyer 1225 Ascot from @Fernando_RFC2 (WON 11/10)

Volnay de Thaix 1425 Haydock from @LiamKenniford (4th – 3/1)

Silviniaco Conti 1500 Haydock from @DazGilbert1 (WON – 100/30)

@Theknibbler also came in for Taquin de Seuil 1500 Haydock

Let’s hope my fellow twitter friends show us the way!!

UNCLE JIMMY 1425 HAYDOCK (NAP) – (unplaced = -£5.00) this guy has been on my radar for a few years and he has been performing admirably. This is a step up for him but the trip and the ground will suit him, he won’t mind the soft underfoot conditions and if anything I think it will bring out more improvement in him and he reminds me of HOLYWELL a few years ago. He is a ridiculous price and is a cracking each way chance, but I reckon he will in it. His run at Aintree behind PECKHAMECHO was a good comeback and will have set him up nicely for this. He also defeated SOUND INVESTMENT by 4 and a half lengths at Newton Abbot in early October and look at how impressive he was over the bigger obstacles last time out. Lump on I reckon he will take this today!

TAQUIN DE SEUIL 1500 HAYDOCK (NB) – (PU = -£5.00) I really do like this horse and he performance was little scratchy in the Charlie Hall but he has always looked a class horse for me and one that will compete at the top level. Having Geraghty in the saddle will help steady him and his patient style will suit. The cheekpieces will also aid his cause to and I think today is the day that he shows his full potential. I think Cue Card will flatten out up the hill and he will battle it out with SILVINIACO CONTI for the honours

AL FEROF 1405 ASCOT (TREBLE) – (WON – 5-2 = £7.81) he is without doubt a class horse and even though Nichols hasn’t been that bullish about him I still think he will take this. He goes well fresh and ultimately has Ruby back on board who knows him inside out. The ground should be fine and if he is being aimed to be tip top for Kempton then really he has to win this to have any chance there!He has won the past three seasons on his reapperance!

EMPERORS CHOICE 1245 HAYDOCK – (2nd – 11/2 = £3.43) loves the mud big time! Has top weight and you never know what you may get but boy can he paddle through the mud! He ran a cracker behind RIGADIN DE BEAUCHENE here in February in a much better race than this and before that beat FIREBIRD FLYER in heavy ground over 3 and a half miles. That horse rompted in yesterday so he has strong form in the bag. I’m hoping he has too much ability for some of his rivals today. Not top weight for nowt!

My Dad’s selections are :

LYVIUS 1315 HAYDOCK (unplaced = -£5.00)

BIG EASY 1425 HAYDOCK (2nd – 13-2 = £4.06)

SILVINIACO CONTI 1500 HAYDOCK (WON 100/30 = £10.41)

ULCK DU LIN 1515 ASCOT (unplaced = -£5.00)

Results so far

Father 2-1 Son

Profit

Father -£12.26

Son £8.63

Kempton and Warwick

 
Well this week was a bit of a shock to the system after two weeks off but The Bandit soon got back into the swing of things! Last week was a cracker for the blog with my nap INDIAN JACK winning at 5-1 and CHEVISE coming at 20-1 givnig me some real profit and saw me finally winning a week over my old man in our little head to head. He also had a cracking week with two winners and 2 placed. Lets hope we can continue the good form of recent weeks today. The current standing are FATHER 3-1 SON. With our total profits from a £2.50 each way stake being
Father = £93.04 profit
Son = £77.56 profit
 
UNCLE JIMMY 1425 WARWICK (NAP) – (WON – 17-2 = £23.44) He has two wins on soft to his name and for me he has been crying out for this longer trip. People think he may not stay I reckon it will bring even more out of him. He reminds me of HOLYWELL who I put up in this last year and was pipped by ELY BROWN. He takes a bit of a hold but is always there staying on at the end. He beat ROYAL NATIVE at Fontwell over 23f and I think today you will see him stay on over the last flight here and catch up in the run in. He could be my Cheltenham horse this year as HOLYWELL was last year, he would need to be competitive in this though. Great chance today!
 
HOME RUN 1440 KEMPTON (NB) – (unplaced – £5.00) he ran a cracker last time behind SAPHIR DU RHEU and I think he could reverse the placing today on this softer ground. At the weights he is 8lbs better off today than last time for an 8 length success. Harry Derham takes 5lbs off for his claim though but I just think Home Run has been improving more and more and this track on the ground will play to his strengths. He has only gone up a pound on the ratings compared to Saphir's 15! I think he is better handicapped than his foe and I think Saphir needs laying in this today.
 
DUNOWEN POINT 1355 WARWICK (TREBLE) – (unplaced -£5.00) has been dropped 3lbs in the ratings for his poor show at Aintree. I think he just didn't fire that day on a specialist track. He is now only a pound higher than when defeated by CLOUDY TOO at Wetherby on soft last year. He gave CLOUDY TOO 5 lbs on the weights that day and that horse is now rated 13lbs higher than my choice in the ratings. If he reproduces that form he will wipe the floor with these today I reckon. The ground should be fine for him and he has a great chance in my opinion.
 
SWNYMOR 1550 KEMPTON – (unplaced – £5.00) A bit of a forgotten horse is this one! Won very well last year and was moving to win when asked too much at the last flight at Chepstow and he fell. That destroyed the rest of his season and his confidence. Miss Curtis has been patient with him and ran him for a confidence booster on the flat at Doncaster. He was staying on that day over a trip way short and it will have done him the world of good. He's six pounds lower in the ratings than when running in the Triumph hurdle and he has the class to beat these today at a great price!
 
Before I go on to my dad's selections I also want to flag up MIAS BOY 1435 LINGFIELD – who races on the lowest AW mark for 5 years today. Also EMPEROR'S CHOICE 1535 WARWICK should produce better today dropped another 4lbs! Finally DOESLESSTHANME 1415 WETHERBY goes well fresh has solid form from last year and is being seriously overlooked at 33-1 when I write this, he has a great each way chance.
 
Here are my dad's selections for today. We've picked three of the same races and the same horse!
 
RIVER MAIGUE 1440 KEMPTON (unplaced – £5.00)
OSCAR FORTUNE 1425 WARWICK (unplaced – £5.00)
KILLALA QUAY 1500 WARWICK (unplaced – £5.00)
DUNOWEN POINT 1355 WARWICK (unplaced – £5.00)
 
 
Result Father = -£20 and Son + £8.44
 
Running totals
FATHER 3-2 SON
 
FATHER PROFIT = £73.04
SON PROFIT = £86

The Ladbroke Hurdle Day

As I write the blog today the relief of knowing I have two weeks holiday to recharge the batteries is comforting. It's been a bloody long haul this term. Really looking forward to the Christmas break and it's even better when you have got two little children like I have, brings all the special memories back. Anyway enough of the mushy nonsense on to the horses, after the weather that we have had here in the lofty heights of Sheffield there is only one horse I could pick today! Enjoy the racing today and if you're having a flutter – good luck! Can I also wish a big Merry Christmas to you all and a prosperous 2014 too.
 
PINEAU DE RE 1515 HAYDOCK (NAP) – (unplaced) is a solid jumper and has decent form over fences. Reverts to hurdles today and is on the same mark as when second at Carlisle last time out. That was a very good run behind an unexposed horse and today the soft ground will really suit too, big chance!
 
STORM SURVIVOR 1500 ACSOT (NB) – (unplaced) really fancied this horse for the Becher chase the other week when he fell at the first fence. Going to give him another go as he is a dour stayer and will relish the conditions underfoot. He has most definitely got a race like this in him.
 
EMPEROR'S CHOICE 1405 HAYDOCK (TREBLE) – (unplaced) has some really cracking form in the locker from last year beating the likes of SYDNEY PAGET and BIG OCCASION and he ran decent enough behind BACK IN FOCUS at the festival. This trip is a little shorter than normal but with the stiff Haydock run in it will feel like three and a half miles on this ground. He will love the soft ground too.
 
CHRIS PEA GREEN 1535 ASCOT – ran a cracker when just pipped over course and distance behind PINE CREEK earlier in the season. He then ran a cracker behind CHATTERBOX last time out and yet seems to be double the price of that horse? He loves it here and will love the softer ground. Big chance to run another solid race – each way selection.
 
I want to add a new section to my blog FATHER V SON
 
I have got my old man to pick his four best for the day against my best four. We will go for a £2.50 each way selection on each and see who wins on profit each week.
 
SON
PINEAU DE RE = – £5.00
STORM SURVIVOR = -£5.00
EMPERORS CHOICE = – £5.00
CHRIS PEA GREEN = £7.50.
Total = -£7.50
 
FATHER
LANCETTO WON 14-1 = £43.75
TARTAK UNPLACED = – £5.00
HOUBLON DES OBEAUX WON 6-4 = £4.69
DELL ARCA -£5.00
Total = £38.44

Father 1 Son 0