Derby Day

The biggest flat race of the calendar is upon us already! A colts one chance to shine and go down as a breeding icon for the future! The Coolmore operation have made a monopoly of this recently but I dont think today is their day. I'm hoping for a complete change of fortunes on here, recently I can't pick my nose! Anyway should be a good day to sit back and enjoy!
 
TADQEEQ 1400 Epsom (nap)
Ran in three handicaps this year that have all been on the softer side of good. He got into a scrappy affair last time out and the yard have been in form and he is a big price! The better ground should suit when you look at his breeding and maybe the trainer thinks so as he would have been wothdrawn with there now being good to firm in places. I think the step up will help too. Good chance to sneak in under the radar.
 
GOLDEN HORN 1630 Epsom (nb)
The Dante form is the best on offer and I think the three who fought that out will do the same here. His breeding is superb and he is the best horse in the race for me, if he stays he wins!
 
GO DAN GO 1450 MUSSELBURGH (treble)
Really disappointed me last time and he looked really progressive but he race no sort of race. He drops back down a class and I think he's worth another go. Without the previous blob on his form he would have been much shorter for a race like this.
 
GOTHIC 1715 Epsom
Another one who looked really out of sorts when quite well fancied at Newmarket a few weeks ago! If he bounces back he has the ability to beat these. He's a classy horse but needs to show it!
 
My Dad's selections are :
 
Standings
Father 3-1 Son
Profit
Father £54.01
Son -£46.88
 
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Derby Day

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Derby Day today! What a cracking day of racing this is and I just hope the thunderstorms don’t spoil the going or the spectacle. I came very close last week to a big win on the blog with CLEVER COOKIE deadheading at 3-1 and then I had three seconds all beaten by hardly anything! BODY AND SOUL (17-2), SIRIUS PROSPECT (3-1) and ROYAL RASCAL (3-1).



Lets hope today brings a few winners and then its full steam ahead for Royal Ascot! I fancy quite a few horses across the meetings today but have picked 4 who I think have the best chance and the best odds for me! If you’re having a flutter good luck!



HYMENAIOS 1335 EPSOM (NAP) – (3rd – 5-1 = £3.12) this horse defeated CAPE CASTER at Doncaster in March and it won nice and convincingly and went into my notebook. CAPE CASTER has since won and franked the form. More importantly that day my selection had ROMSDAL comfortably beaten, and he’s supplemented for the derby today! Ignore the last run as the ground wasn’t ideal and I expect a much more positive showing today!



LATIN CHARM 1530 MUSSELBURGH (NB) – (unplaced = -£5.00) has travelled a fair distance to compete in this and he has pretty decent form in the book. Two runs this year have resulted in places with one or two of the others proving too good. Today is his day! One of his conquerors BLACK SCHNAPPS ran well the other week behind WRANGLER at Haydock and that form could prove decisive here. He’s 3 lb higher than that run but I really think he will win this today!



CASPIAN PRINCE 1515 EPSOM (TREBLE) – (WON 9-1 = £28.12) won here over this distance in in April on good to soft and has a good chance of repeating that from a decent draw. He’s albs higher now but for me the key is that Adam Kirby, who won on him in April, is up again, despite SEEKING MAGIC, who has a great chance too, running from the Cox yard. He must fancy this ones chances more and so do I. Cracking race though!



AZAGAL 1645 DONCASTER – (unplaced = -£5.00) I had this filly the other week when she won here in May. She is up 7lbs from that and was entered in a class 1 listed last time. She is not good enough at that level and returns to a more realistic grade today. The ground will be perfect for her and its forecast to have even more rain a tDoncaster which would help her. She could run a big race again at a ridiculous price. The top two in the market keep her price high and I think she will take this today. Kerching!!!!!



I haven’t included the big race in the blog but my selection is the following :



EBANORAN – (unplaced) people are questioning the form off the Derrinstown Trial but for me it always holds up. That day he hung badly right and was disqualified after the post. The camber of the track at Epsom will straighten him up and the extra two furlongs for me will bring out even more improvement . John Oxx is the other factor, he has sent there over for the Derby and two of those, SINNDAR and SEA THE STARS obliged. He obviously thinks this one is good enough and I’d love to see the Aga Khan’s colours win this again.



My Dad’s selections today are – (and he has some catching up to do!)



BLACK SHADOW 1335 EPSOM (2nd – £4.37)

ETON RIFLES 1515 EPSOM (NR)

KINGSTON HILL 1600 EPSOM (2nd – £4.68)

NOTARISED 1530 MUSSELBURGH (unplaced = -£5.00)



Current standings :

FATHER 7-12 SON



Profit – FATHER +£53.31

SON +£177.17



from £2.50 each way stakes on all selections.

Derby Day

Derby day, steeped in history and THE race to win if you want to be a breeeding success. A unique race on a unique track always throws up bad luck in running and gives us a new superstar. It's the most famous race in the world, sit back and enjoy. Here are my best three today, plus a few others.
 
If you're having a flutter, good luck. Thanks for reading the blog and hopefully there are a few winners here today!
 
ASSIZES 1705 MUSSELBURGH (nap) – (3rd – 9-2) this horse really hasn't progressed as expected. This is a drop down in class and hopefully a confidence booster. He is fully 11lbs lower than when he ran Sir John Hawkwood close last year. The quicker ground will help and he should have too much class for these today.
 
MATROOH 1510 DONCASTER (nb) – (3rd – 11-4) a smooth course and distance success last time was impressive and was further franked by the runner up going and winning next time out. There should be more to come for this one.
 
LA FORTUNATA 1515 EPSOM (treble) – (unplaced) this horse hasn't won for a while and is consistently very good. Epsom form is key in these races and his form at the track reads 24322. He was beaten a short head last time and is a further pound better off with AJJAADD today. The drying ground will help further and he has a fantastic each way chance.
 
MARS 1600 EPSOM – (unplaced) this horse was favourite for this race before he even ran last year. He has plenty of speed in him and is a hold up horse and that could be key for me today, 9 outof the last 15 winners have been from off the pace. The O'Brien's will be wanting a strong pace to fully test the stamina of DAWN APPROACH (I don't think he will stay!), Richard Hughes is a master at judging pace as we saw yesterday in the Oaks and I reckon he could follow up here. If this guy stays balanced and is near the pace coming off Tattenham Corner he could bolt through.
 
NEIGHBOTHER 1405 EPSOM – (unplaced) this horse has strong 6f breeding being a brother to Age of Chivalry. He won well at Warwick last time and that form was franked when the runner up MIDNITE ANGEL won by 6 lengths next time out. This horse has potential to improve further.
 
I'm also having an each way flutter on my old cliff horse ES QUE LOVE 1545 DONCASTER(unplaced) he's back at 7f on good ground and has dropped a few pounds to below his last winning mark.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 39/175 = 22.3%
Wins 161/884 = 18.2%
Placed 235/884 = 26.6%

Win and Placed = 44.8%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£63.33

Wednesday selections

SCRIPTWRITER 1640 SEDGEFIELD (nap) – (2nd – 9-2) this was pretty smart on the flat and isn't a bad hurdler. He saves his best for here and has two course and distance successes at this class and on this ground. Has to have a big chance on that.

KAUTO STONE 1730 PUNCHESTOWN (nb) – (PU) has really disappointed on his last two runs in the King George and the Cleeve Hurdle. He reverts back to the bigger obstacles and slighty better ground will hopefully help too. He also has good form in Ireland and defeated First Lieutenant at Down Royal earlier in the season. Has been kept fresh for this and is a huge price in my opinion.
 
NOVIRAK 1450 EPSOM (treble) – (3rd – 11-1) has run twice here with victory last time and a narrow defeat before that. He has the ground he prefers and will hopefully be competitive and run a good race.
 
I will also have a sheckle on one of my cliff horses DEGAS ART 1735 PERTH (PU) who won well a few times last year but hasn't show anything yet. However, he was unseated early last time and will appreciate the trip and ground.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 37/167 = 22.2%
Wins 153/826 = 18.5%
Placed 223/826 = 27%

Win and Placed = 45.5%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£58.83
 

Thursday tips

Well the tips throughout the cards worked on Wednesday with JOSHUA THE FIRST (14-1) winning at Carlisle. SOLE POWER (5-2) at Donny and the first four at Uttoxeter – BOYFROMNOWHERE (3-1), STAGE ACCLAIM (11-8), LARKS LAD (4-1) and TRACKMATE (9-2). Hope some of you were on!
 
Here are Thursdays selections :
 
Chepstow
2.10 HEADING NORTH
2.45 SHALEEK
3.20 WE ARE CITY
3.55 WORDSAPLENTY
4.25 BELLE PARK
5.00 ROYAL BOX
 
Doncaster
1.15 STEER BY THE STARS
1.50 MISS WORK OF ART
2.20 PARLIAMENT SQUARE
2.55 WILD COCO (nb)
3.30 CAPE OF HOPE
4.05 DICKIES LAD
4.50 SPECIFIC GRAVITY
 
Epsom
2.00 VETURIA
2.30 HOUSE OF ORANGE
3.05 BRIMSTONE HILL
3.40 NOVIRAK (NAP)
4.15 LEADENHALL LASS
4.45 AVONROSE
5.15 AUBRIETIA
 

Thursday tips

Well the tips throughout the cards worked on Wednesday with JOSHUA THE FIRST (14-1) winning at Carlisle. SOLE POWER (5-2) at Donny and the first four at Uttoxeter – BOYFROMNOWHERE (3-1), STAGE ACCLAIM (11-8), LARKS LAD (4-1) and TRACKMATE (9-2). Hope some of you were on!
 
Here are Thursdays selections :
 
Chepstow
2.10 HEADING NORTH (WON 10-11)
2.45 SHALEEK (2nd)
3.20 WE ARE CITY (3rd)
3.55 WORDSAPLENTY (8th)
4.25 BELLE PARK (2nd)
5.00 ROYAL BOX (WON 8-1)
 
Doncaster
1.15 STEER BY THE STARS (5th)
1.50 MISS WORK OF ART (last!)
2.20 PARLIAMENT SQUARE (5th)
2.55 WILD COCO (nb) (WON 7-4)
3.30 CAPE OF HOPE (9th)
4.05 DICKIES LAD (14th)
4.50 SPECIFIC GRAVITY (4th)
 
Epsom
2.00 VETURIA (WON 3-1)
2.30 HOUSE OF ORANGE (4th)
3.05 BRIMSTONE HILL (3rd)
3.40 NOVIRAK (NAP) (WON 7-2)
4.15 LEADENHALL LASS (5th)
4.45 AVONROSE (7th)
5.15 AUBRIETIA
 

The Derby

Here is the day, the greatest flat race of them all – The Derby! With only nine runners today though it won’t be the usual spectacle it is in my opinion. My selection is further down the page. Yesterday proved to be relatively successful with CLINICAL (7-1) winning. Lets hope a few more come in today.
 
UKRANIAN 1530 MUSSELBURGH – (nap) (unplaced) Mark Johnston has a great record in this and saddles 5. My selection is an outsider yet I think it has a great chance. Winning well over 1m 4f first time out and then a steady gallop last time didn’t suit. I’m sure the instructions today will be to dictate the pace and I’m hoping then they won’t get to him.
 
PASTORAL PLAYER 1435 HAYDOCK – (nb) (WON – 3-1) is a smart handicapper and is ready to claim one like this. Is generally better in larger fields, but the firmer ground will help today. Fancy him to come late with plenty in hand and pip Red Jazz.
 
FIERY LAD 1650 EPSOM – (treble) (WON – 10-1) has form here and on the ground and also has won at this class. Been running poorly lately, but has the master of Epsom Fallon on board to steer him home.
 
I’m also having a wager on these horses too today :
DAZINSKI 1410 HAYDOCK (2nd – 10-1)
EXCEL BOLT 1455 MUSSELBURGH (unplaced)
LASTCHANCELUCAS 1405 EPSOM (unplaced)
SOHRAAB 1515 EPSOM (unplaced)
THOUGHT WORTHY 1605 EPSOM (unplaced)
SET TO MUSIC 1510 HAYDOCK (2nd – 2-1)
LOLITA LEBRON 1535 BEVERLEY (unplaced)
SLADE POWER 1540 HAYDOCK (WON – 5-1)
 
 
Stats as of 2/6//12
WINS 45/254 = 17.7%
NAPS 15/70 = 21.4%
PLACED 62/254 = 24.4%
WIN OR PLACED 107/254 = 42.1%
TREBLES LANDED = 2
Remember if you are having a wager to bet within your means. These are my selections and I am not suggesting you follow my advice, I only do this for a bit of fun!