I thought I would do a little Sunday blog in homeage to my favourite horse, Tidal Bay. Today sees him returning to the venue of one of his greatest performances. He's teaming up with Ruby again and going up against the horse he pipped in the Lexus. It should be a cracking race and the ground will count in his favour. I have got 3-1 for him this morning, I think he'll go off favourite. This is his penultimate run, his swansong will be at Aintree where I've got a little ante-post bet on him. Whatever happens today I'll enjoy watching him run as I always do and keep my fingers crossed for a wet Aintree.
TIDAL BAY 1550 LEOPARDSTOWN (nap) – back to Grade 1 level but he has shown he can hack it. Ruby back up which for me is key as he rides this track so well. The weather will have helped him too. I just think this will be set up for him over the final fence and run in and he is the best horse for me.
FINGAL BAY 1455 EXETER (nb) – (WON – 9-2) he is a class horse and despite his 14 months off he will win. He has a good record first time out and I just hope the injury hasn't taken any of his ability away.
BLACKLOUGH 1515 LEOPARDSTOWN (treble) – (2nd – 5-1) has a chance on his decent run in the Boylesport, up just a pound in the ratings for that run and he could run a big race today.
This photo sums up my luck with two horses on Saturday, who with things being a bit different may well have won me a tidy sum. Anyway, we can't hold on to what if's. If I get the time I am going to try and do a daily blog again with my best three bets for each day.
Here are Tuesday's best three :
KEEP KICKING 1500 KEMPTON (nap) – (unplaced) has run pretty well on his two flat outings since he won a jumpers bumper a while back. His last run was promising as he was up there in the plate until he tired over the final few furlongs. This drop in trip will hopefully help and it is more in line with his breeding. Hoping tomorrow is the day to lose the maiden tag.
QUARL EGO 1510 EXETER (nb) – (3rd – 9-2) this one ran well in defeat last time and he is on the same mark as when he defeated COOTEHILL a few years ago. He could be ahead of the handicapper here and should run a big race.
LORD PROTECTOR 1440 EXETER (treble) – (unplaced) the form of his second at Sandown is looking strong after SHOTAVODKA, who beat him that day, went on to win again last time out. The third that day has also ran well in second again. Has a very good chance.
Hope these three run well, not a lot between them if I'm honest. If you are having a wager, please do so within your means and good luck!
BLOG STATS :
Naps 33/146 = 22.6%
Wins 138/741 = 18.6%
Placed 193/741 = 26%
Win and Placed = 44.6%
overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£64.33
There will be a few horses looking like UNIONISTE in this photo at Exeter today. It's going to be pretty heavy! Yesterday was a nearly day on the blog with only TEMPLE ROAD (7-2) winning. However, my best three all came second (VAGO COLLONGES 3-1, MIAS BOY 5-1, COTTON MILL 9-1). I was impressed with COTTON MILL yesterday he ran a cracker first time out on ground that supposedly wasn't ideal. It will be interesting to see which race tey eventually put him in at Cheltenham.
Here are today's picks – all at Exeter.
MIDNIGHT PRAYER 2.00 – (unplaced) has form on heavy and won well last time at Hereford. Has run in a higher grade than this and could turn the Nicholls hot pot over.
MELODIC RENDEZVOUZ 2.30 – (WON 5-4) was impressive in the Tolworth last time and whilst Puffin Billy is an smart one, you have to be impressed with my tips battling qualities.
HIGHLAND LODGE 3.00 – (nap) (unplaced) for some reason he just hates Warwick! He has course form and the ground should be fine, if he repeats his Cheltenham run I think he takes this.
BALLYLEGEND 3.30 (nb) – (FELL) has been steadily progressive over jumps all year and finally tasted success last time. The ground being this soft is the concern.
COLOUR SQUADRON 4.00 (treble) – (2nd – 6-4) was disappointing last time and rather lazy. With that foregiven he should have too much for his rivals today.
The last two races are probably going to go to the odds on favourites so I will leave those alone.
If you're having a bet do so within your means.
Here are my selections for all of Tuesday's meetings. Some great novice chases at Exeter. Hopefully there will be a few winners here for us.
2.10 VINTAGE KID (3rd 3-1)
2.40 MR MOLE (WON 6-4)
3.10 PANTXOA (treble) (4th)
3.40 NO WOMAN NO CRY (7th)
4.10 ROLL THE DICE (2nd 9-2)
4.40 THEHILLOFUSNEACH (4th)
5.10 GARDE LA VICTOIRE ( WON 7-2)
2.00 MUTUAL REGARD (NR)
2.30 THE BLACK JACOBIN (3rd 8-1)
3.00 TYCHAIOS (8th)
3.30 MAZAAHER (8th)
4.00 OOI LONG (4th)
4.30 PICANSORT (nb) (last)
5.00 DRAWNFROMTHEPAST (2nd 7-2)
1.50 MAID A MILLION (2nd 9-4)
2.20 ELIK (3rd 9-4)
2.50 PENNYWEIGHT (5th)
3.20 CARAMELITA (nap) (WON 17-2)
3.50 DE RIGEUR (5th)
4.20 MUCKY MOLLY (4th)
4.50 GEEAITCH (3rd 7-2)
5.20 LORDSHIP (5th)
CARAMELITA (nap) – was unlucky and didn't get the run last time at Leicester. Will be fine on the ground and will run close. (Won 17-2)
PICANSORT (nb) – drawn well and runs well at Lingfield. Must have a sniff today.
PANTXOA (treble) – looked a good hurdling sort and looked built for chasing. Should give a good account.