Saturday and the 2000 Guineas

The first classic is upon us all ready! I love it how quickly the flat season bounces in to life. With this weekend, then Chester next week to look forward I'm already as happy as a pig in……
 
How different the ground is going to be this year! A year ago we were engulfed in the rain of biblical proportions that killed alot of meetings and destroyed horses chances. I reckon there could be a record or two smashed this weekend. Oh how I love the 2000 Guineas and think of all the great past winners, a few that stick out for me personally are ROCK OF GIBRALTAR, GEORGE WASHINGTON, HENRYTHENAVIGATOR and of course the best of the lot FRANKEL.
 
Here are my selections for today, enjoy the racing and all the best with your bets.
 
HIPPY HIPPY SHAKE 1605 GOODWOOD (nap) – (unplaced) this horse is one of mine to follow this year. She appears to be very progressive and I liked the way she won last time at Newmarket going away. She got collared by MAVEN earlier on in the season over 1m 2f and this trip of a mile looks optimum today. Big hopes!
 
KINGSGATE NATIVE 1435 NEWMARKET (nb) – (2nd – 25-1) on his day a superstar! Dependent on his mood of course! I'm hoping today is the day. When he makes his seasonal return on good to firm ground and over 5f he has finished 2nd and 1st. The ground is key for him and I'm expecting another big run today with these conditions and trends in mind.
 
GEORGE VANCOUVER 1550 NEWMARKET (treble) – (unplaced) I really think Aiden O'Brien holds the key here, and to me it's breeding that the important element. HENRYTHENAVIGATOR was a fast ground horse as was the mare VERSAILLES TREATY, and with conditions to suit I think this one is O'Brien's best chance. He also has some smart form too, winning the Juvenile Turf at Santa Anita last run. He was also third behind dawn APPROACH in the Dewhurst, for me the ground helped DA bound away that day. Today the ground with help my selection bound away!
 
NOBLE MISSION 1510 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) I love this horse and he most definitely needed the run last time and allowed UNIVERSAL to get the better of him. Today he will creep into it, be played late and won't let anyone pass!
 
LICENCE TO TILL 1405 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) I think the ground will play to this horses' strengths today. I expect him to bolt out and go from the front and with the quicker ground likely to play into his strengths with this approach, as with many Mark Johnston horses he may not get passed.
 
SECRETINTHEPARK 1625 NEWMARKET – (WON – 9-2) won a decent nursery well last year and followed it up quite comfortably at Kempton. The ground is in his favour and a drop back in trip shouldn't pose a problem, it may utilise his speed at bit more.
 
WHOZTHECAT 1745 THIRSK – (unplaced) I always follow Declan Carroll closely, especially early in the season. This horse is a course and distance winner on two occasions and can go well fresh. He is on the same winning mark when defeating CONFESSIONAL here two years ago. A smart chance!
 
NO POPPY 1635 THIRSK – (unplaced) ran no race last time and I'm willing to give her another chance here. She has done most of her winning with a bit of cut, but is a hold up horse to come off the pace. This quicker surface may play to those strengths and se has some decent form in the locker and was fourth behind my nap on her last run last year. Hopeful, but a huge each way price.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 38/170 = 22.4%
Wins 156/845 = 18.5%
Placed 225/845 = 26.6%

Win and Placed = 45.1%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£55.33
 
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Saturday 27th Oct – tips

Here we are again another Saturday and another great set of cards. The last flat meeting today will crown Hughsie as champ, and why not, the man is class. An eventful week saw Frankel show us all what a superstar he is, and I'm still shocked that he isn't officially the best rated horse ever. Then we had the Channel Four reshuffle, personally I'm glad to see the back of Big Mac and Tommo. Floundering fools in my opinion. It's a shame John Francome opted out as I think he talks sense. However, lets see how it pans out before we make judgements. Had a decent winner or two in the week too, plucked CARAMELITA out midweek and I am sat at the top of the TEAMNAPS group on @Tweet_Naps which is great. Hopefully I can hold on until the end of the month.
 
On to today's selections – hope we get a winner or two.
 
MARUFO 1425 AINTREE (nap) – won a veterans chase well at Newbury a couple of outings ago and will stay the trip no problem. Can see him up with the pace and then bursting clear over the last!
 
NACARAT 1530 AINTREE (nb) – I can't believe this one is being overlooked by everyone. He stays 3m easily and jumps for fun from the front, I can see him bouncing away and no-one getting to him. Has strong Aintree record too!
 
LITTLE ROCKY 1545 NEWBURY (treble) – loves this testing ground and is in form with two wins out of the last three runs. Should run well again.
 
Also having a little stab on the Fallon magic with three rides that I reckon he has great chances on at Donny. All each way selections though.
 
FULGUR 1400 DONCASTER
PONTY ACCLAIM 1430 DONCASTER
STEELER 1505 DONCASTER

And finally two at Newbury TAWHID 1415 and NOBLE MISSION 1445. Hope there's a few winners here and also a little pointer towards two at Chepstow one of Paul Nicholls' SALUBRIOUS and one of my old favs BACK BOB BACK
 

Saturday 27th Oct – tips

Here we are again another Saturday and another great set of cards. The last big flat meeting today will crown Hughsie as champ, and why not, the man is class. An eventful week saw Frankel show us all what a superstar he is, and I'm still shocked that he isn't officially the best rated horse ever. Then we had the Channel Four reshuffle, personally I'm glad to see the back of Big Mac and Tommo. Floundering fools in my opinion. It's a shame John Francome opted out as I think he talks sense. However, lets see how it pans out before we make judgements. Had a decent winner or two in the week too, plucked CARAMELITA out midweek and I am sat at the top of the TEAMNAPS group on @Tweet_Naps which is great. Hopefully I can hold on until the end of the month.
 
On to today's selections – hope we get a winner or two.
 
MARUFO 1425 AINTREE (nap) – (WON 7-2) won a veterans chase well at Newbury a couple of outings ago and will stay the trip no problem. Can see him up with the pace and then bursting clear over the last!
 
NACARAT 1530 AINTREE (nb) – I can't believe this one is being overlooked by everyone. He stays 3m easily and jumps for fun from the front, I can see him bouncing away and no-one getting to him. Has strong Aintree record too!
 
LITTLE ROCKY 1545 NEWBURY (treble) – loves this testing ground and is in form with two wins out of the last three runs. Should run well again.
 
Also having a little stab on the Fallon magic with three rides that I reckon he has great chances on at Donny. All each way selections though.
 
FULGUR 1400 DONCASTER (3rd 8-1)
PONTY ACCLAIM 1430 DONCASTER (unplaced)
STEELER 1505 DONCASTER

And finally two at Newbury TAWHID 1415 (WON – 9-2) and NOBLE MISSION 1445. Hope there's a few winners here and also a little pointer towards two at Chepstow one of Paul Nicholls' SALUBRIOUS and one of my old favs BACK BOB BACK
 

Saturday Selections

The only photo fiiting for today's blog is that of the greatest flat horse ever IMO – FRANKEL. Today (hopefully) is the last chance we will see this beautiful creature doing what he was born to do. I feel very lucky to have been able to see this world class horse every time he has run, for me his Guineas win is still the one that I love the most. I just hope today goes well, for me if it's too soft then don't run him. If the ground was like this for any other race then I don't think they would run him. I'm sure it's only because it's his swansong that they are even contemplating it. To be fair though I'd rather remember him for his Juddmonte win than see him turned over on sloppy ground by a French horse that isn't fit to shoe him. For me I will be sad we won't see him in action again, farewell to the superstar, enjoy your retirement and I'm sure you'll enjoy your stud career!
 
On to the tips now – a couple of Lucky 15's for you all. Hope they produce some profit.
 
Number 1
 
Hold on Julio 1540 Cheltenham – was a very promising horse last year and flopped on his biggest race at he Festival. Surely something had to be amiss there. He will trounce these today if back to his best.
 
Rite of Passage 1345 Ascot – won the Gold Cup in 2010. Only had one run since then in a race that wasn't far enough. Two miles today should suit him.
 
Slade Power 1420 Ascot (nb) – was very impressive in his two Listed wins. He will enjoy the ground and is one to keep an eye on, I was very impressed by his battling performance to win at Haydock. Society Rock gave me a lovely profit last time out but I just feel he will get turned over today.
 
Shirocco Star 1455 Ascot – this horse is ultra consistent with seconds in both the English and Irish Oaks. Has run a little flat too but I reckon today is the day to finally get her head infront, a perfect horse for Fallon.
 
Number 2

Big Easy 1620 Cheltenham – was a good novice last term. Won well twice over 20f on good to soft ground in a class 3 and class 2. This is more competitive but this boy could have plenty of improvement in him.
 
Talkonthestreet 1400 Cheltenham – two wins over this trip in the spring showed some real class in him. A very creditable third to the excellent Ambion Wood at Perth followed and anything similar should see him take this.
 
Tartak 1430 Cheltenham – (NAP) was a very good horse but seemed to really disappoint on his last few runs for Tom George. Tim Vaughan is a trainer I like and he is very bullish about his chances. Three of the last five winners of this race have carried more than 11st 10lbs. He has a serious chance at a great price.
 
Baby Mix 1505 Chletenham – (treble) this horse is one of my favourites and while his Festival run didn't work out he was very impressive at Kempton. He has the class and although giving 8lbs to Dodging Bullets will be tough he can do it. Paul Nicholls in his column today wasn't too bullish about this is one and said he will come on heaps for the run.
 
 
Fingers crossed we get some profit. Enjoy the racing and the finale of Frankel the equine god!

Saturday Selections

The only photo fiiting for today's blog is that of the greatest flat horse ever IMO – FRANKEL. Today (hopefully) is the last chance we will see this beautiful creature doing what he was born to do. I feel very lucky to have been able to see this world class horse every time he has run, for me his Guineas win is still the one that I love the most. I just hope today goes well, for me if it's too soft then don't run him. If the ground was like this for any other race then I don't think they would run him. I'm sure it's only because it's his swansong that they are even contemplating it. To be fair though I'd rather remember him for his Juddmonte win than see him turned over on sloppy ground by a French horse that isn't fit to shoe him. For me I will be sad we won't see him in action again, farewell to the superstar, enjoy your retirement and I'm sure you'll enjoy your stud career!
 
On to the tips now – a couple of Lucky 15's for you all. Hope they produce some profit.
 
Number 1
 
Hold on Julio 1540 Cheltenham – was a very promising horse last year and flopped on his biggest race at he Festival. Surely something had to be amiss there. He will trounce these today if back to his best. (3rd – 13/2)
 
Rite of Passage 1345 Ascot – won the Gold Cup in 2010. Only had one run since then in a race that wasn't far enough. Two miles today should suit him. (WON 8-1)
 
Slade Power 1420 Ascot (nb) – was very impressive in his two Listed wins. He will enjoy the ground and is one to keep an eye on, I was very impressed by his battling performance to win at Haydock. Society Rock gave me a lovely profit last time out but I just feel he will get turned over today. (Unplaced)
 
Shirocco Star 1455 Ascot – this horse is ultra consistent with seconds in both the English and Irish Oaks. Has run a little flat too but I reckon today is the day to finally get her head infront, a perfect horse for Fallon. (2nd – 10-1)
 
Number 2

Big Easy 1620 Cheltenham – was a good novice last term. Won well twice over 20f on good to soft ground in a class 3 and class 2. This is more competitive but this boy could have plenty of improvement in him. (Unplaced)
 
Talkonthestreet 1400 Cheltenham – two wins over this trip in the spring showed some real class in him. A very creditable third to the excellent Ambion Wood at Perth followed and anything similar should see him take this. (4th)
 
Tartak 1430 Cheltenham – (NAP) was a very good horse but seemed to really disappoint on his last few runs for Tom George. Tim Vaughan is a trainer I like and he is very bullish about his chances. Three of the last five winners of this race have carried more than 11st 10lbs. He has a serious chance at a great price. (Unplaced)
 
Baby Mix 1505 Chletenham – (treble) this horse is one of my favourites and while his Festival run didn't work out he was very impressive at Kempton. He has the class and although giving 8lbs to Dodging Bullets will be tough he can do it. Paul Nicholls in his column today wasn't too bullish about this is one and said he will come on heaps for the run. (3rd – 5-2)
 
 
Fingers crossed we get some profit. Enjoy the racing and the finale of Frankel the equine god!
 

Saturday and the Ces

First and foremost today let's hope the fantastic Camelot is going to make a full recovery and we can all see him in action again! What a cracking day of racing there is today, Newmarket's card is awesome and so for that matter is Chepstow's. Chuck in the usual tough but competitive racing at York and we've got a cracker. With Champions Day on the horizon and Frankel's swansong who says racing is boring.
 
More importantly the Ces is always my marker to start getting excited about the jumpers – they're on their way and I can't wait. We are treated to some damn good jumpers today too at Chepstow. Looking forward to seeing how Fingal Bay gets on today. I saw him when I visited Phillip Hobbs' yard in the summer and he was simply beautiful. Hope he gets round safe and sound.
 
Here are my selections for today. Three Lucky 15's for you :
 
Number One
Carrigmorna King 1610 Chepstow (nap) (unplaced)
Royal Rascal 1510 York (Won 3-1)
Reckless Abandon 1420 Newmarket (nb) (Won 9-4)
Stipulate 1715 Newmarket (3rd – 11-2)
 
Number Two
Montiridge 1640 Newmarket (2nd – 5-2)
Very Good Day 1535 Newmarket (treble) (unplaced)
Doc Hay 1545 York (NR)
De La Bech 1425 Chepstow (unplaced)
 
Number Three
Ancient Cross 1405 York (unplaced)
Reply 1350 Newmarket (unplaced)
Just the Judge 1605 Newmarket (Won 6-1)
Rangitoto 1645 Chepstow (unplaced)
 
Hopefully a few winners here for everyone. Good luck!
 

Sandown, Chester and Beverley

Love this photo of Frankel taken by Emma. Loads more of her excellent work here. Glad to hear that connections have not bayed to public pressure and have opted for the Champion Stakes as his swansong.
 
Onwards to todays events. Here are my selections for today.
 
DIAMOND BLUE 1545 BEVERLEY (nap) – (unplaced) her last course and distance win was impressive and the form has held up well with the second horse being placed and the third winning. Hope the ground isnt too tacky though!
 
BORDERLESCOTT 1615 BEVERLEY (nb) – (WON – 8-1) what can't be said about this old boy! tough as old boots and has been a real stable star. Didn't manage to get in to the Nunthorpe last week so goes here instead. Must have a great each way chance and is a real battler.
 
HASOPOP 1450 SANDOWN (treble) – (unplaced) has really impressed me with his gutsy wins. This is another step up but I think he has the quality. 7f should suit with his battling qualities.
 
I am also having a wager on the following :
 
MOHEDIAN LADY 1430 CHESTER -(unplaced) been running in better quality races than this. Prescott is a handicap genius over distances like this.
CATFISH 1415 SANDOWN – (unplaced) again another who has been running in better races and is taken to finally get his nose up on the line.
VIVA RONALDO 1505 CHESTER – (unplaced) is a course specialist and that is needed at Chester. Won here off same mark in May. Great each way chance!
EXCEL BOLT 1620 CHESTER – (unplaced) has a decent draw and I've followed him all year. Has bags of ability, needs things to drop right though!
CAPTIVATOR 1525 SANDOWN – (unplaced) ran well in the Spring winning for Fallon at Kempton and then unlucky at Newmarket too. Ignore last run – should be back to best.
LATE TELEGRAPH 1600 SANDOWN – (unplaced) is down in trip and a massive 12lbs lower than his last run. With that in mind he is taken as a positive each way chance.
BEACON TARN 1540 CHESTER – (unplaced) a risky bet. Well bred and comes from a yard that knows how to get winners here. Interestingly comes here for a debut rather than a maiden.
 
If you're having a bet – good luck and bet within your means!
Enjoy the day – hopefully a few winners here!
 

Day One – York

Here we are again, with the one of the best flat racing festivals to look forward to – culminating on Saturday with The Ebor. Added to the spice this year is the greatest racehorse ever's final run, not to mention numerous high quality races and some memorable pin-sticking handicaps. I love York, such a fantastic course and always packed to the rafters with racegoers, I wish I could be there!
 
These are my selections for the first day :
 
DICKIE'S LAD 1400 York – not been running well this season and needs a dramatic return of form. However, York is a course that some horses like and some detest, this lad has finished 5th and 2nd here previously. The ever impressive Graham Lee is on board too. Each way selection.
 
EBN ARAB 1430 York – won well on debut and the form was franked by Related on Friday who ran well to beat Pythagorean. More to come from this one.
 
NOBLE MISSION 1505 York – this boy is quickly becoming one of my favourite horses with his gutsy efforts. He has got better and better as the season has progressed. I hope he can out battle Main Sequence, who seemed very unfortunate on his last run in France.
 
FRANKEL 1540 York – who else, I'm gutted this is the last time we will see this machine run. He's pure poetry in motion, a superstar, a horse of a lifetime and I'm so pleased I have been able to see him. Wonder what his progeny will be like?
 
DAZINKSKI 1615 York – I have backed him all year so I can't leave him for the race he won last year. He's only one pound higher this time around and I recKon a little rain will have helped his chances. My main worry has to br the classy hurdler COUNTRYWIDE FLAME.
 
SIR JOHN HAWKWOOD 1650 York – has gone up 6lbs for his last win. I think there is a lot more to come from this horse and the rise may not stop him. A competitve handicap with DANADANA high up on the list and one of my follow horses FORK HANDLES too. Great race.
 
Here's to a cracking day and a great festival! Enjoy!

Saturday – How many meetings?

I can't believe how many meetings there are today! Like reading war and peace trying to pick the best ones today. A lot to look forward to though, some excellent races today, including the St. Wilfred. Then we have the return of football of course. As much as I can't ge doung with the overpaid, pompous pillocks, I have to admit I do miss my footy on a Saturday.
We then move to the fantastic Ebor meeting next week and possibly the last time we will ever see Frankel on a racecourse. Can't wait to see him in all his majesty again.
 
On to today, a couple of Lucky 15's with my best three in there too. Good luck if you're having a flutter!
 
Lucky 15 Number 1
Absinthe 1615 Perth (nap) (2nd – 11/4)
Strong Suit 1505 Newbury (nb) (2nd – 9/4)
Our Jonathan 1530 Ripon (treble) (unplaced)
Fury 1555 Newmarket (NR)

Lucky 15 Number 2
Mont Ras 1550 Doncaster (3rd – 5-1)
Fleeting Smile 1415 Newmarket (3rd – 11/4)
Gassin Golf 1700 Doncaster (2nd – 2-1)
Brown Panther 1430 Newbury (2nd – 9/4)
 

Royal Ascot Day One

Royal Ascot is here again! What a way to kick things off with this boy above. Frankel is back and bids for his eleventh straight win and seventh Group One! Can’t wait to see this majestic animal in full flow again! As with most major meetings I will cover every race, every day and see how well we do. Saturday may be a problem though as I’m off on a lads weekend to Bellingham!
 
Anyway here are my best three tomorrow :
 
MOST IMPROVED 1545 ASCOT – (nap) (WON – 9-1) highly regarded horse that suffered a setback earlier in the year. Was one of the worst hampered in the French Derby just as he was getting going. GABRIAL ran a stormer last time, but I’m not sure he’s up to this, but will have an each way saver on him.
 
HONEYMEAD 1525 THIRSK – (nb) (unplaced) has been running well lately and appreciates the cut in the ground. Running in this race against her own sex must give her a sterling chance!
 
SIR PRANCEALOT 1625 ASCOT – (treble) (unplaced) was very impressive at Sandown last time and has also won on good ground. Richard Hannon has a cracking record in this race and his two year olds are just getting going.
 
Now here are the rest of Ascot :
 
FRANKEL 1430 (WON – 1-10! WHAT A HORSE, THE BEST EVER!) who is going to stop this horse? It certainly won’t be any of this lot! For an each way squeak at a big price I’d also go for WORTHADD who ran poorly at Epsom and the drop back to a mile may help.
 
HAMISH MCGONAGALL 1505 (unplaced) ran second in his only group one race in the Nunthorpe last year and is always knocking on the door. Has won 4 on good to soft and been placed three times in the past season on it. Will also give TANGERINE TREES (unplaced) a go. Won the Abbaye last year and has been a smart sprinter, the ground at Haydock last time was too firm. Both of these each way!
 
SENTRY DUTY 1700 (unplaced) has been out of form lately but will have much better ground for him in the race. Fallon is a master at getting these old dual purpose horses around and I fancy him to do it well.
 
PARLIAMENT SQUARE 1735 (unplaced) was a costly purchase and was well beaten on ground that was softer than ideal. The ground should be better here and you can’t ignore an O’Brien juvenile at Ascot. Decent price too!
 
 
Stats as of 19/6/12
WINS 57/317= 17.9%
NAPS 21/86 = 24.4%
PLACED 77/317 = 24.2%
WIN OR PLACED 134/317 = 42.2%


Remember if you are having a wager to bet within your means. These are my selections and I am not suggesting you follow my advice, I only do this for a bit of fun!