Sandown

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Well last week must have killed many a pundit and lined the satchels of those bookies. Some very big priced winners didn’t help anyone last weekend. My selections were based on good ground and then the heavens opened, annoying to say the least. That persistent rain also chucked all form out of the window and certainly left me scratching my head. I thought ITV’s coverage was really good and it will only get better; people will never be happy however. They have to ‘dumb it down’ to try and increase people’s understanding and get people involved in racing. Their first Opening Show this morning was again very good and had some good pieces on there. I’m looking forward to seeing how they develop the programme.

On to today:

Ive been waiting for LIFEBOAT MONA to run again and wondering when the years would send her out again with the festival in mind. She was superb last time when waltzing clear of her rivals at Ascot in November. She has been raised a huge 13lbs to a mark of OR140 for that. I think she could and should improve further and she is entered in the mares hurdle at the festival. She up against some better rivals today in BRIERY QUEEN and DESERT QUEEN and they will make her work harder, but she should take this. I would be tempted to go for the other mares race at the festival if it was me and based around the mark she will probably be.

In the 32RED casino chase HOLLYWOODIEN really caught the eye at Wetherby last time on Boxing Day and he will improve again but an 8lb rise in the ratings may slow him down. DE FAOITHESDREAM was hoping up last time before falling and his jumping an let him down but I expect him to be going well from the front again. This is I think will set it up for GARDE LA VICTOIRE, who despite his weight, has the class to beat these. Two miles won’t be a problem and he was just pipped in the HALDON Gold Cup and ran well over behind YANWORTH last time. This is a drop in class and he should prevail.

COURT BY SURPRISE has been running well recently in defeat, both against his rivals. today and young horses. In a form line through LOOSE CHIPS, who beat him by 1/2 a length previously, he is 6lb better off at the weights for such a short distance defeat. He was running well when he didn’t really stay the trip when ROCKY CREEK won last time, this drop to 3 miles will help him. At Doncaster last time, youth and bette ground for me were the cause of his defeat and he was eased once they went away. I can’t ignore his mark of OR128, sandwiched between two previous winning marks. His could be real each way value in this.

Selections:

£5 win double LIFEBOAT MONA 9/4 (WILLIAM HILL) 1245 Sandown and GARDE LA VICTOIRE 2/1 (WILLIAM HILL) 150 Sandown (WON = £48.75)

£2.50 e/w COURT BY SURPRISE 28/1 (SPORTING BET) 300 Sandown (unplaced)

Stats

Placed £150

Returns £193.75

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Haydock and Ascot

Photo by :Getty Images
Quite another profitable week for the blog. Good old JOIN THE CLAN (8-1) and then HAWKES POINT (17-2) rompted in to take some well earned coins off the bookies. I’m hoping I can keep this run going! Lets hope the return of SPRINTER SACRE is a good one today. He’s one of the best chases I’ve seen and just hope he reprodces something near his best today. Fingers crossed. Whatever you are on today, good luck in our weekly battle against our old foe the bookie!
The #twittergamble boys have opted for the following this week. Let’s hope the big one comes in :
@LiamKenniford GARDE LA VICTOIRE 1425 ASCOT
@DazGilbert1 WISHES AND STARS 1555 TAUNTON
@Tonythetyke FISHING BRIDGE 1555 TAUNTON
Here are my four for you
 
REBEL REBELLION 1535 ASCOT (nap) (WON 12-1 = £37.50)

I know this horse has a race like this in him. I thought he would run much better than he did last time at Wincanton. However, on the back of that the handicapper has lowered his rating another 2lbs to a mark of OR141. That is only 2 lbs higher than his last winning mark. He could be very competitive today on this ground and off this mark. With the jockey taking his allowance off he is effectively running off the racing weight as BALLINVARRIG but rated 8lbd better. This has to be it today! Come on the Rebel!
 
CORRIN WOOD 1515 HAYDOCK (nb) (PU = -£5.00)

He ran a cracker last time at Wetherby when the weight told giving 8lbs to DOLATULO. He was very assertive from the start and similar tactics are needed today. Interetingly the handicapper had dropped him another pound to a mark of OR 146. That is only 2lbs higher than his last winning mark. With HEY BIG SPENDER in the race he is also a full 10lbs lighter in the saddle than last time
 
GARDE LA VICTOIRE 1425 ASCOT (treble) (unplaced = -£5.00)

Is the class horse in the race and has some pretty smart form in the book. He beat VANITEUX in the Greatwood and was a respectable 5th in the Ladbroke giving BAYAN 8lbs. While he has to carry alot of weight again today class is class and he can take this today.
 
BITOFAPUZZLE 1350 ASCOT (WON 5-2 = £7.81)

She is a smart prospect and brought unbeaten bumper form to hurdles and was not disgraced when narrowly beaten by THE PIRATES QUEEN last time. CAROLES SPIRIT is the class horse in the race but having to give 5lbs to and up coming smart one may be too much – or so I hope.
My dad’s selections are :
BALLINVARRIG 1535 ASCOT (unplaced = -£5.00)
TOBY LERONE 1515 HAYDOCK (unplaced = -£5.00)
RAYVIN BLACK 1425 ASCOT (unplaced = -£5.00)
WHISPERING HARRY 1525 TAUNTON (WON 11-4 = £8.59)
 
current standings
Father 5-6 Son
Profit
Father -£31.07
Son £156.37