Grand National Trial Day

Unknown.jpeg

The Grand National weights were out this week and one that immediately caught my eye was SAUSALITO SUNRISE. He is a decent horse and has a good weight off his current mark. He is running today at Ascot where I expect him to run very well in preparation for the big one. Ive taken an ante post bet of 50-1 for him.

On to today’s action and I’ll start with my national tip who runs in the race he won last year at Ascot; the Swinley Chase at 2:25. I really fancied him too run well in the Peter Marsh chase at Haydock last time but he unseated Dickie early. I thought he ran well at Cheltenham earlier in the year behind Theatre Guide and was starting to get going when hampered. After winning this race last year he ran well behind MANY CLOUDS at Kelso off a mark 8lbs higher than today. He is the same racing weight as winning this last year and seems to enjoy this track and I’m expecting a big run today and that will hopefully set him up nicely for the big one at Aintree.

I fancy FLINTHAM in the Reynoldstown to upset the two market leaders as he will go at it from the front and will love the ground. His price has seriously decreased since last night and he should run a big race.

The big handicap hurdle at 3:00 at Ascot is a cracking puzzle. DOESYOURDOGBITE found the pace and the quality of the Lanzarote too hot last time and this drop back down in class  may allow him to revert to his winning ways. TEMPLEROSS ran a cracker in that race but I feel it was a one-off. DIVINE SPEAR catches the eye after staying on well at Cheltenham last time but I’m taking a punt on CYRNAME at a decent price. He was a good horse in France and ran himself out of his British debut way back in November. Nicholls will have been doing lots of work at home with him and I like to look out for horses he puts away fro a while. Sean Bowen sits so quietly on horses and he will hopefully switch him off in behind; he COULD run a big race!

Onto the best race of the day, The Grand National Trial Chase. I have it down to two. BLAKLION really disappointed me when carrying my sheckles at Wetherby, and despite winning the RSA last year, he hasn’t shown me enough yet and I think this is too much for him. VINTAGE CLOUDs showed last time he can mix it with the big boys and despite falling in the Peter Marsh, ran very well. My two though are KRUZHLININ and VICENTE. The former was tipped by me on this blog for the fixed brush here, and horse for course at Haydock is important. He only found OUR KAEMPFER too good on quicker ground last time. My worry is the consistency and bravery of his jumping and whether this extended trip will suit! VICENTE then, I tipped him to win the Scottish National last year and he is only 1lb higher than that victory today. The ground hasn’t been right for him a few times this year and I thought he ran a cracking race behind a rampant ZIGA BOY last time at Donny. He will appreciate the drying ground and the trip and I think he will run a big race to prep him for the big one at Aintree. He gets my nod over KRUZHLININ.

Selections

£5 win SAUSALITO SUNRISE 2:25 Ascot (11/2 – BET365) (3rd)

£2.50 e/w CYRNAME 3:00 Ascot (20-1 – BET365) (UP)

£5 win FLINTHAM 1:50 Ascot (5-1 – BET365) (2nd)

£2.50 e/w VICENTE 3:15 Haydock (9-1 Paddy Power) (UP)

Results

Staked £240

Returns £283.75

Advertisements

Haydock

sausalito-sunrise-tom-obrien-ascot_3418762.jpg

Not much last week although both KRUZHLININ and HOUBLON DES OBEAUX ran good races. With the recent cold snap taking Ascot and Taunton there is only racing at Haydock today to look forward to. There are some nice races though and a few competitive handicaps.

The Peter Marsh Chase is the feature and there are several horses with great chances. It’s the first time we will cast our eyes on French import ALARY, surely not another Gold Cup candidate for Colin Tizzard. I think French horses need a race or two in England to adapt so I’m happy to watch him. DEFINITELY RED ran a cracker lat time when winning the Rowland Meyrick Chase at Wetherby and he has good course form here and should run a solid race, he has to place. BRISTOL DE MAI continues to run solid races but I just don’t think he has got when push comes to shove. VINTAGE CLOUDS, as a novice, and a light weight catches my eye, but no seven year old has won this for over 20 years. I’m opting for SAUSALITO SUNRISE. He is a very good staying chaser and he won a couple of smart handicaps last year and is 8lbs lower in the ratings than when 4th behind MANY CLOUDS at Kelso last year. He ran very well at Cheltenham last time and caught my eye. He was moving well when hampered as he was just starting to make a challenge. He may have the required class to take this and is a smart jumper and stayer.

CULTRAM ABBEY is one to note back over hurdles in the last at Haydock. He won a class 3 hurdle beating MIJAAR over slightly longer and I’m interested in the switch back to hurdles when he showed promise first time back over fences this year. The apprentice takes 5lbs off his back and he could run a big race at a decent price.

£5 e/w SAUSALITO SUNRISE 3:15 Haydock (12-1 Willam Hill)

£5 win CULTRAM ABBEY 3:50 Haydock (11-1 BET365)

Staked £170

Returns £193.75

Ascot

Not much luck last week on the blog. ZIGA BOY was going well for along way but just couldnt match the others. MIA’S STORM was well in with a chance two out but died away, I think better ground and a flatter track will suit her. THOMAS BROWN was just poor, he was never in it! 

So we move on today. A couple of cracking handicaps at Ascot plus a few at Haydock. My first selection is not in one of the televised races. CAPTAIN CONAN has always been a smart horse and he is dropped seriuosly in grade today. He was third three years ago as favourite in the Tingle Creek behind SIRE DE GRUGY and he is a full 20lbs lower than that race today. His rating of OR139 is fair on what he has, or hasnt achieved since, but potentially that is a very low mark for a horse of his ability. He has won on soft ground and won on decent ground so that shouldn’t be an issue. 

The Long Walk hurdle is an intriguing race snd UKNOWWHATIMEANHARRY is worthy favourite and he looked very good last time. I cant see BALLYOPTIC reversing places. The main challengers come through the French Champion Hurdle form. Both PTIT ZIG and ALEX DE LARREDYA come with winning form from it and are the big dangers to the fav. The former got put in his place by the French horse last time, however, I think PTIT ZIG on a right handed track and on better grond will prevail today and an early 8-1 is a great price.

The last race on Ascot’s card was formerly the Ladbroke and both JOLLY’S CRACKED IT and STERNRUBIN return again after their epic battle. Both are now on higher marks and I’m not sure they can repeat last year’s heroics. Especially with the former being off for a year. The race will be frenetic with STERNRUBIN, RAYVIN BLACK and UNISON going from the front. They could set it up for one off the pace, although STERNRUBIN as we’ve seen before could make all. However, I’m opting for DIEGO DU CHARMIL to bounce back from his disappointing run last time behind a few of these. He was sent out too early according to his trainer and he ran much too freely. He is suited by coming off the pace, like he did when he won the Fred Winter. He is 8lbs higher than that today but is on the same mark as his previous poor run. I think he still has bags of improvement in him and could run a big race at a huge price.

I put up CORRIN WOOD the other week, and he is now over timber today and again, based on his previous form, he is on a very appealing mark. He beat BLACK THUNDER who was running off a mark in the mid 150s to win that day. His mark today is OR128 and could prove a real handicap snip. Last chance saloon today though!

Selections

£2.50 e/w CAPTAIN CONAN 1.50 Ascot

£5 win PTIT ZIG 2.25 Ascot

£5 e/w DIEGO DU CHARMIL 3.35 Ascot

£5 win CORRIN WOOD 2.40 Haydock

Blog stats

Staked £80

Returns £101.25

Haydock and Ascot


Happy National Hunt season! It’s been a fair old while since I did a racing blog! Playing football and work being hectic are the main reasons. The former has given way to the latter now; meaning I may have a bit more time to blog again. I trust everyone is well and hopefully I’ll be able to find a nice priced winner here or there.

The Betfair Chase is the feature of the day and it’s a shame there is a reduced field. CONEYGREE has to prove his fitness after a lay off and SILVINIACO CONTI just seems to find one to good here. SEEYOUATMIDNIGHT could run a big race with the ground as it is, however, I do feel he is a bit short of this level. So, I’m opting for CUE CARD, for me he is the best chaser at the moment and this is possibly his last season at this level. He consistently runs well here and with a run under his belt he could be tuned up for this.

The Fixed Brush Hurdle is a cracker and YALA ENKI has got the ground but again I think he’s short of this level. CAID DU BERLAIS ran a cracker last time at Aintree but another 8lbs over a shorter distance will catch him out I think. My bet of the day is KRUZHLININ, he was going well at Aintree but didnt stay the distance at the pace. Today’s shorter trip will help and he’s got a 9lb pull on CAID DU BERLAIS. Blinkers are applied to sharpen him up too.

DODGING BULLETS ran a decent come back race last time I thought. His trainer is rather bullish about him stepping up in trip and today’s ground will certainly suit. The 10lb pull in the weights with GOD’S OWN must give him a great chance.

Selection £5 each way KRUZHLININ 225 Haydock – WON 9-1 = £56.25 (profit)

£5 win DODGING BULLETS 205 ASCOT – PU = £5 lost

Haydock and Ascot

Photo : sportinglife.com
 
Well last week was a good one on the blog and I kept up my record in the hurdle race at Warwick, putting up the winner for the third consecutive year, with FLINTHAM (7-1). Hope you were on aswell as BIG JIM (5-1). It was almost a top day but DEFINITLY RED (9-2) could only manage second behind BLACK HERCULES. Hopefully I'm coming into a bit of form and there's a few I fancy today too. The top two races of the day really are crackers leading us to trials weekend next Saturday.
 
LIL ROCKERFELLER 1425 ASCOT (nap)
What a race this is!! Numerous horses have cracking chances. MONSIEUR GIBRALTAR ran better last time and has far less weight than that run. Today. THEINVAL was very smart last year and returns to hurdles after an average chase debut, and I can't forget ROYAL GUARDSMAN'S last run. I've opted for my guy thoygh based on his class and his very smart form. He reversed places with DEVILMENT when he last won carrying 11st 11lbs. He ran in a much better race at Cheltenham and one was just too good, however he did beat the current World Hurdle champion, COLE HARDEN. Last year he beat Ladbroke Hurdle winner STERNRUBIN twice, giving him 5lbs and 8lbs respectively. He loves a battle, has a big heart and has the class to win this. MONSIEUR GIBRALTAR is his biggest danger.
 
 
OTAGO TRAIL 1330 HAYDOCK (nb)
He has gone up a massive 13lbs in the ratings to a mark of OR154 after his smooth, classy success at Chepstow. The ground was awful that day and it will be very heavy today and that will play to his strengths! I cant believe his price based on BRISTOL DE MAI's entry, he hasnt encountered ground like this yet and I think my guy is a very smart prospect.
 
FINGAL BAY 1515 HAYDOCK (treble)
This guy has jumped really well in his last two runs. Finding SMAD PLACE too good and WAKANDA the same in quite quickly run races. He has the stamina for this and will love the ground and thr stiff finish. You have to jump well here and he does. VIRAK has been very good too but he has gone up another 5lbs in weight here and he's giving my guy 17lbs in weight. That will take its toll up the Haydock hill.
 
CORRIN WOOD 1300 HAYDOCK
This is an old favourite and was previously a smart horse and he could generate a tidy profit for the blog today. He was a good hurdler and was turning into a smart chaser until having a lay off. He was then thrown in off his old form in top races and it was too much. He is now back in a class 3 hurdle, at a track where he has won at and has smart form. He will get the trip and 20-1 is huge!!
 
My Dad's selections are :
 
PLACINGS
FATHER 2-5 SON
PROFIT/LOSS
Father – £79.34
Son +£17.96
 

Betfair Chase

After a crackingweek at Cheltenham last week the National Hunt bandwagon rolls on with the showpiece chase of the day : The Betfair Chase. I always remember how awesome Kauto Star was in this when he won it for the final time, he murdered them in a performance that will always stay with me, he was magnificent that day! Only one winner for the blog last week in COPPER KAY, but she looks like one to follow this year. A few nice handicaps today to watch aswell as the big event. Good luck if you're having a flutter!
 
MIJHAAR 1425 HAYDOCK (nap)

I've kept saying that this fella has a race like this in him. He's still on a very attractive mark for me and ran ok last time at Cheltenham. He travels really well but they seem to just get away from him. I think this softer ground and the track will suit him and stop that happening. These fixed brush hurdles will test their jumping but my guy is due to go chasing soon and should be able to cope. He is a huge price but is a smart horse and I think today is the day. I also like the chances of DEFINITLY RED, who has decent track form and looked a smart type last year, he made need the run.
 
ROCK ON RUBY 1440 ASCOT (nb)

Didnt do bad in his reappearance and this drop back down in trip won't cause any issues. He has to give 8lbs to Brother Tedd but he is used to doing this and the stiff turn for home will suit my guy better. It's a shame the ground is soft for the returning to form COURT MINSTREL, but I don't think he will go in ground this tacky.
 
HOLYWELL 1500 HAYDOCK (treble)

This is my heart speaking over my head, however he needed the run big time in the Charlie Hall and he is too big a price for me to ignore. He was second in this race the other year and we all know how much he stays in at times in these marathon trips. He doesnt like it too soft but his heart and battling qualities will give him a sniff over the final couple of fences. If his jumping is fluid he will be there at the end.
 
FAGO 1515 ASCOT

This horse looked decent as a novice a few years agobut his jumping let him down. He has got better with that and I'm interested to see how he runs dropped back in trip on this stiffer track. He will appreciate the ground and could do this very easily, or balls it up and fall.
 
My Dad's selections are :
 
BEAU LAKE 1210 HAYDOCK
GUNNER FIFTEEN 1315 HAYDOCK
TEA FOR TWO 1425 HAYDOCK
ROYAL PALLADIUM 1535 HAYDOCK
 
PLACINGS
FATHER 1-1 SON
PROFIT/LOSS
Father – £9.39
Son -£4.07
 

York, Haydock and Newmarket

For today’s blog I look to the stars! I blooming well need to with my recent suggestions. Last week was another blank show with not even a place; I can only apolgise if you were foolish enough to side with my thoughts! The stars may give a change of fortune today….so he says! The photo above is of the horses head Nebula…apt indeed! Read on and you will see why! Good luck with whatever your selections are today, I hope you fare better than me against the old foe!
 
ASTROPHYSICS 1455 YORK (nap) (Unplaced = -£5.00)
I really like the chances of this horse in his handicap debut today. He won over 6f at Newmarket last year, the form of that race was franked with the 2nd,4th and 5th winning shortly after. He then showed he has speed over 5f with a cracking effort in the Flying Childers, going down by a head to BEACON. If he reproduces that he must have a sniff. He’s got a mark of OR104 for this but is weighted nicely at 9st 1lb and he could run a big race at a big price!
 
MEHDI 1630 NEWMARKET (nb) (Unplaced = -£5.00)
I really fancied the chances of this one last time at York and he ran well behind ALGAR LAD – he just got going to late. He’s on the same mark again today andI’m hoping the quicker ground will push him on as he comes out of the dip.
 
DUSKY QUEEN 1345 YORK (treble) (3rd – 7-1 = £4.37)
It pays at times to side with a mare in form and this girl is certainly that. She rana cracker here last time beating Royal Seal in the same race she won last year. She was impressive too. She’s been raised 7lbs for that but it may need a little more to stop her. HIGHLAND COLORI ran much better last time at Goodwood and is the danger, knowing my luck he’ll win as I’ve left him alone for the first time this year!
 
EMERAHLDZ 1530 YORK (Unplaced = -£5.00)
This filly is another decent horse and she needs genuine good ground. She’s been dropped back to a mark of OR86 today, just a pound above her mark when second here in October in a Class 2 handicap. She’s in a Class 3 today with a little more weight but she’s been crying out for a run with a few prior engagements scratched due to the ground. I’m hopeful of a good run.
 
My Dad’s selections are:
ALFRED HUTCHINSON 1345 YORK (2nd – 8-1 = £5.00)
WAKEA 1420 YORK (unplaced = -£5.00)
MONSIEUR JOE 1455 YORK (WON 9-1 = £28.12)
OUT DO 1510 HAYDOCK (2nd – 3-1 = £1.87)
 
Standings
Father 3-1 Son
Profit
Father £54.01
Son – £46.88
 

Temple Stakes – Haydock and others

 
Photo by Julian Herbert/Action Images
 
So I return to the blog after a week off. Last week I ventured to Donny races for their evening meet followed by The Human League in concert afterwards. It was a great day all round with three winners and a good time had by all! Sunday was a different matter however! I had the worst hangover I have had in a long time! On to the horses, my dad has got off to a flying start and he had four very profitable selections a few weeks ago, as for me, enough said at the minute! I struggled to pick my nose last time! As always I'm realistic, sometimes you win, alot of the time you lose!! I'm always prepared to celebrate the successes and lick my wounds in defeat! Hopefully I will have a change of luck today. Good luck to you all whatever you're on!
 
HOT STREAK 1545 HAYDOCK (nap) (Unplaced = -£5.00)
Won this last year off a 4lb higher mark. The surface is key for him and with a bit of cut in the ground he will be hard to peg back. His win as a three year old in this last year shouldn't be underestimated and with a solid return last time he is set up ready to roll. I expect a huge run today, lump on! My old mate KINGSGATE NATIVE ran a cracker last time behind his stablemate and he will be thereabouts again. He's worth a saver!
 
POOLE HARBOUR 1500 CATTERICK (nb) (unplaced = -£5.00)
Had a nightmare season last year with Dandy Nicholls, and he comes with risks attached. He really interests me on his first run for Karl Burke on ground he will love. He is running off a mark of OR80, which he has won off before, and was running off a mark of OR95 last year, so he has an attractive mark for me. He's drawn near some pace and is a big price for this class of handicap. I just hope he returns to his old form, if he does he could walk this.
 
MY DREAM BOAT 1455 GOODWOOD (treble) (unplaced = -£5.00)
I picked this horse last week at Donny. He's well bred for better ground and he absolutely hosed up. There was definitely more in the tank and despite a 8lb rise in his mark to OR84 he looked very good last week and there should be more improvement. My only reservation as my good friend @Pirate_B pointed out is that the jockey has yet to win for this trainer! I'm optimistic though and hope that what I saw last week was a decent horse on the upgrade.
 
GO DAN GO 1435 HAYDOCK (unplaced = -£5.00)
This guy is really progressing quickly and I know he has to step up again but he is capable of it I think, especially on this softer surface. He has been running well all year and his success at Beverley was franked yesterday will the second going in. It's a big step up but his trainer is getting more talented and becoming very shrewd at placing his horses! A definite big each way shout.
 
My Dad's selections are:
Gabrial's King 1400 Haydock (Unplaced = -£5.00)
Mutarakez 1435 Haydock (Won 2-1 = £6.25)
Lastuce 1510 Haydock (unplaced = -£5.00)
Hot Streak 1545 Haydock (unplaced= -£5.00)
 
Standings
Father 2-1 Son
Profit
Father £34.02
Son – £36.25
 
A couple of extras I like today are –
SECRET WITNESS 1640 GOODWOOD
ALBERT BRIDGE 1400 HAYDOCK
 
and @Pirate_B likes the look of RED CHARMER 1700 Beverley!
 

Victoria Cup Ascot

After the first Classics passed us by we had the thrills and spills of Chester and now we look forward to the proper Derby trial – The Dante – at York next week. I've not seen anything so far that jumps out as the Derby winner, but we may see something today at Lingfield and next week at York. I'm looking forward to next Saturday as I'm off to the meeting at Doncaster with my family. Hopefully the weather will improve. The handicaps on offer today are ace and I've picked a few big priced ones as always! Hopefully I'll be lucky! Good luck yourselves whatever you're on!
 
DREAM SPIRIT 1545 ASCOT (nap) (Unplaced = -£5.00)
Make no mistakes this fella has class and decent form and despite being a little inexperienced I think he holds the key to this puzzle. He started well last year beating MAVERICK WAVE at Newmarket. That's decent form based on that horse's success beating CANNOCK CHASE at Chester this week. He was then the beaten favourite twice, firstly behind DARK EMERALD, who has performed admirably at Meydan, and secondly behind MOOHAARIB who went out and won a Listed race here beating other horses with smart form lines. My selection has a good draw, will enjoy the ground and could be a much smarter horse than his mark suggests.
 
ROYAL GUARDSMAN 1525 HAYDOCK (nb) (Unplaced = -£5.00)
This fella is a monster price! For me he has been running well and caught my eye when winning well at Newbury, beating KIAMA BAY. He never really got into his next race behind GASSIN GOLF but he has all the credentials to step up here! He has a very light weight and Sam Twiston on his back too – this will help up the stiff Haydock finish and I think he has a cracking chance.
 
AZAGAL 1510 ASCOT (treble) (Unplaced – = -£5.00)
She won well last time over this distance and has only been raised 2lbs. That takes her back to another winning mark of OR89. She won this time last year off that at Doncaster and she has the scope to step up and go again!
 
MON BRAV 1655 ASCOT (Unplaced = -£5.00)
Won a class 3 on good to firm off a mark of OR78, he's three pounds less in this and I'm really interested in Hughsey taking the ride. He's ridden a couple of winners for the yard recently. This horse can be a monkey but can turn it on when the ground is decent and around the mark he's on today.
 
My Dad's selections are :
OASIS FANTASY 1400 ASCOT (3rd – 11-2 = £3.43)
STORM ROCK 1415 HAYDOCK (3rd – 9-4 = £1.40)
SOLAR MAGIC 1510 ASCOT (2nd – 7-2 = £2.18)
WAR SOUND 1525 HAYDOCK (WON 6-1 = £18.75)
 
STANDINGS
FATHER 1-1 SON
PROFIT
FATHER £42.77
SON -£16.25
 

AP McCoy’s Farewell

Its the last day we will see the greatest sportsman ever in action! Words have been said, printed and tweeted since we got the retirement news. There are nothing but superlatives being said about The Champ and rightly so! To me I just arise Sir Anthony! A legend, a role model, an ambassador and a hero!
This is the last NH blog of the season and me and my Dad will reset the scores next week ready for the flat season proper. He's up in winning weeks 10-9 but I'm ahead on profit. I've not put anything on the blog for a while that's run well and I'm hoping that changes today!!
 
Here are my selections :
 
DUKE OF LUCCA 1550 SANDOWN (nap) (Unplaced = -£5.00)
He's officially well in here and is on the same mark (OR137) that he was when winning well at Aintree last time. He's also got less weight on his back and I think this step up in trip will help. The Hobbs yard are back in form and Johnson knows how to ride this fella and the horse's battling qualities will help him out for sure. It's a hell of a race but I think he has a ceacking chance.
 
VIBRATO VALTAT 1515 SANDOWN (nb) (unplaced = -£5.00)
Looked a smart prospect earlier in the year and has struggled with how the race has been run. He tried to take on the favourite in the Arkle and then the race at Aintree was run too steadily. Today the race should be run at a fast tempo which should suit and the ground will also.
 
CAPO ROSSO 1420 HAYDOCK (treble) (2nd – 14-1 = £8.75)
I've followed this horse for a while and the one thing he loves is quicker ground and to get at them from the front. He'll get that today and may be hard to pass at Haydock. I still think he is a 100+ rated horse and is still only five. His couple of all weather runs will have sharpened him up for this and I think he will run a good race at a big price.
 
NAKUTI 1615 LEICESTER (unplaced = -£5.00)
Really caught my eye when behind in a Listed race at Kempton last time. She looked like the trip was a little too far for her last time and this drop back to 7f plus her weight allowance will help. Ryan Moorerode her that day and is back in the plate today. That run will give her the fitness edge over ALJAMAHEER and COULSTY I think.
 
My Dad's selections are :
LIL ROCKERFELLER 1400 SANDOWN (WON 5-1 = £15.62)
VIBRATO VALTAT 1515 SANDOWN (unplaced = -£5.00)
VICS CANVAS 1550 SANDOWN (2nd – 12-1 = £7.50)
L'AIGLE ROYAL 1625 SANDOWN (unplaced = -£5.00)
 
STANDINGS
FATHER 11-9 SON
PROFIT
FATHER -£49.01
SON £105.46