Derby Day today! What a cracking day of racing this is and I just hope the thunderstorms don’t spoil the going or the spectacle. I came very close last week to a big win on the blog with CLEVER COOKIE deadheading at 3-1 and then I had three seconds all beaten by hardly anything! BODY AND SOUL (17-2), SIRIUS PROSPECT (3-1) and ROYAL RASCAL (3-1).
Lets hope today brings a few winners and then its full steam ahead for Royal Ascot! I fancy quite a few horses across the meetings today but have picked 4 who I think have the best chance and the best odds for me! If you’re having a flutter good luck!
HYMENAIOS 1335 EPSOM (NAP) – (3rd – 5-1 = £3.12) this horse defeated CAPE CASTER at Doncaster in March and it won nice and convincingly and went into my notebook. CAPE CASTER has since won and franked the form. More importantly that day my selection had ROMSDAL comfortably beaten, and he’s supplemented for the derby today! Ignore the last run as the ground wasn’t ideal and I expect a much more positive showing today!
LATIN CHARM 1530 MUSSELBURGH (NB) – (unplaced = -£5.00) has travelled a fair distance to compete in this and he has pretty decent form in the book. Two runs this year have resulted in places with one or two of the others proving too good. Today is his day! One of his conquerors BLACK SCHNAPPS ran well the other week behind WRANGLER at Haydock and that form could prove decisive here. He’s 3 lb higher than that run but I really think he will win this today!
CASPIAN PRINCE 1515 EPSOM (TREBLE) – (WON 9-1 = £28.12) won here over this distance in in April on good to soft and has a good chance of repeating that from a decent draw. He’s albs higher now but for me the key is that Adam Kirby, who won on him in April, is up again, despite SEEKING MAGIC, who has a great chance too, running from the Cox yard. He must fancy this ones chances more and so do I. Cracking race though!
AZAGAL 1645 DONCASTER – (unplaced = -£5.00) I had this filly the other week when she won here in May. She is up 7lbs from that and was entered in a class 1 listed last time. She is not good enough at that level and returns to a more realistic grade today. The ground will be perfect for her and its forecast to have even more rain a tDoncaster which would help her. She could run a big race again at a ridiculous price. The top two in the market keep her price high and I think she will take this today. Kerching!!!!!
I haven’t included the big race in the blog but my selection is the following :
EBANORAN – (unplaced) people are questioning the form off the Derrinstown Trial but for me it always holds up. That day he hung badly right and was disqualified after the post. The camber of the track at Epsom will straighten him up and the extra two furlongs for me will bring out even more improvement . John Oxx is the other factor, he has sent there over for the Derby and two of those, SINNDAR and SEA THE STARS obliged. He obviously thinks this one is good enough and I’d love to see the Aga Khan’s colours win this again.
My Dad’s selections today are – (and he has some catching up to do!)
BLACK SHADOW 1335 EPSOM (2nd – £4.37)
ETON RIFLES 1515 EPSOM (NR)
KINGSTON HILL 1600 EPSOM (2nd – £4.68)
NOTARISED 1530 MUSSELBURGH (unplaced = -£5.00)
Current standings :
FATHER 7-12 SON
Profit – FATHER +£53.31
from £2.50 each way stakes on all selections.
The curtain comes down on another fantastic jumps season. My favourite part of the season has to be HOLYWELL winning again at the Cheltenham festival. Love that horse! Probably every man and his dog are having a go at the Scoop6 today with the forecast jackpot, to pick 6 winners in itself is a miracle, never mind with 90 odd runners covering the races, more chance of winning there lottery, but someone has to, I hope its me, my family or one of you twitter friends! Good luck!
I went to Ripon racecourse in the Easter break for the first time, its a beautiful little course and the photo above is of ROUDEE winning the first at that meeting. I’m opting for a few selections again there this afternoon. The weather is key today and there has been a lot of rain, as I type the blog, Ripon reports as being on the slow side of good, Sandown – good to soft, good in places and Haydock good to firm! A right mixed bag! Looking forward to two weeks today as I will be in Warwick for my annual jaunt there!
Here are my selections for today, with my dad’s too, I’m currently whooping his ass! Whatever you select today good luck!
PEARL ICE 1450 RIPON (NAP) – (unplaced -£5.00) Looked a decent horse a few years ago and has disappointed a little bit to be fair. However he is a course and distance winner here on good to soft beating BECKERMET off 90. He also won at Doncaster over this distance on good to soft also off 90. Has raced off a high mark of 98 and has now dropped to an appealing mark of 92. He is well drawn and the visor may sharpen him up. I think he has a cracking chance here! I watched BARKSTON ASH win here the other week and he did it well and he is a danger despite his low draw.
POLLY PEACHUM 1625 SANDOWN (NB) – (2nd – 100/30 = £2.08)this mare ran a cracker again last week at Cheltenham and she has won me a good bit of money from here last two runs. The ground is key to her success so I’m slightly concerned on that front and advise caution here. However, a mare in form is always worth following and she has been raised 15lbs for her win at Cheltenham. I still think she has more to offer to be honest and Barry Geragty was very positive about her chances too in his blog.
CAESAR MILAN 1730 SANDOWN – (TREBLE) (3rd – 4-1 = £2.50) this is a cracking little race and some good horses running. L’UNIQUE may well have had his form boosted if POLLY PEACHUM goes in again and is a worthy top weight. However, my selection has been given some sharp rises by the handicapper and I think rightly so as he is a decent prospect. Two wins on heavy were impressive and the tongues tie really sorted him out. He ran really well back in a Grade 3 at here behind BRAVE VIC. Both DOCTOR HARPER and BROTHER BRIAN have gone on to win again from this race and my selection has been raised another 3 lbs to 134, the same mark BROTHER BRIAMN now has. He has to have a chance although I would have preferred the ground a bit softer.
STIFF UPPER LIP 1405 SANDOWN – (unplaced = -£5.00) won very easily in a novice event at Towcester on Sunday and interestingly is chucked back in here off the same mark. He also won very well at Newbury earlier in the year destroying the field on heavy ground. A versatile horse that could be on the up. Worth a punt at a good price seen as some of the more favoured horses have question marks against them.
As for the BET365 Gold cup I think ROALCO DES FARGES has a great chance, he was second in this to TIDAL BAY two years again off a pound lower and the Scottish National was too far for him. That said I have to chance my arm with my old favourite OPENING BATSMAN, he has ran like a pig all year and the trainer doesn’t know why as he shows all his ability at home. He has been given blinkers to day to hopefully sharpen him up and the increased distance will also help too. This guy has bags of class but hasn’t fancied it, interestingly Nick Scholfield rung up wanting the ride when Fehily got off! IF, and its a big IF he runs to his form when he beat ROLLING ACES last year he has a cracking chance. Co-incidently he is back down to the mark he won that race off!!
My Scoop6 selections are :
Leg 1 – STIFF UPPER LIP
Leg 2 – SIR REGINALD
Leg 3 – PEARL ICE
Leg 4 – YOURARTISONFIRE
Leg 5 – MOIDORE
Leg 6 – OPENING BATSMAN
My Dad’s selections today are :
KELTUS 1405 SANDOWN (unplaced = -£5.00)
ARKDIILY WITNESS 1550 SANDOWN (unplaced = -£5.00)
CAESAR MILAN 1730 SANDOWN (3rd 4-1 = £2.50)
MY KINGDOM 1655 DONCASTER (WON 9-1 = £28.12)
Current standings – FATHER 7-8 SON
Profit – FATHER £68.04 SON £124.24
So after the exploits of Cheltenham and after a few Saturday’s off because of weddings and shopping its time to get back to the old blog. Today see’s the kick start of the flat season really, the winter derby at Lingfield, then its full steam ahead to the Lincoln next Saturday at Donny! Sandwiched in between we have the Grand National of course and I’m going to start my rain dancing for Tidal Bay’s chances over the next few weeks!
On to today and I’ve picked the normal four I fancy plus a few others who have caught my eye. The current standings in the Father v Son battle is :
FATHER 6-4 SON
Father = £81.48 profit
Son = £58.98 profit
Time for me to close the gap today!
Good luck if you’re having a flutter!
ALUTIQ 1515 LINGFIELD (NAP) – (unplaced – = -£5.00) this filly could be one to watch this year. She ran well in some decent races when she hit the racecourse proper last year and then she produced a decent performance when finishing 7th in the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot. She won recently and goes today of the same mark as that win, the weight allowance she gets today will help her too and she has the potential to run a big race today. I just hope she doesn’t get Frank Spencer’d!
ROALCO DE FARGES 1530 NEWBURY (NB) – (WON 7-2 = £10.94) He has won over course and distance before, and most importantly on good ground. He is only albs higher in the official ratings than that victory. He ran off a rating of OR134 recently finishing second to both TEAFORTHREE and TIDAL BAY on ground that wasn’t the best for him. Dropped to a very nice mark judged on that form and his last run at Ludlow was much better and he has to have a great chance today.
GRANDADS HORSE 1420 NEWBURY (TREBLE) – (unplaced = -£5.00) this horse loves good ground, his races this year have been few and far between because of this. He was running, and did run, a cracker at the Festival but he got a whack about three from home that scuppered his chances. He is a normally a smart jumper and should be thereabouts today, I’m expecting him to be at the very least placed.
GEORGE GURU 1700 LINGFIELD – (WON 4-1 = £12.50) has some smart form in the book from his last couple of runs. He beat TELLOVOI two runs ago, and that horse nearly got up to beat the Lincoln favourite WHISPERING WARRIOR last time. Last time he finished second to the smart GREY MIRAGE and with conditions ideal again today and only a pound rise in the ratings he has a cracking chance.
Here are my Dad’s selections:
ADDICTIVE DREAM 1440 LINGFIELD (unplaced = -£5.00)
FARRAAJ 1550 LINGFIELD (unplaced = -£5.00)
MIDNIGHT CATARIA 1455 NEWBURY (unplaced = -£5.00)
ROALCO DE FARGES 1530 NEWBURY (WON 7-2 = £10.94)
Those are my selections for the blog and for the father v son competition, but I’ve also picked these out as worthy of an each way punt.
LUCI DI MEZZANOTTE 1455 NEWBURY – (unplaced) she had a decent go last time at Doncaster in a class 1 race and has a good record on decent ground. Was beaten by PIRATES QUEEN in a bumper at Taunton last year and she is 9lbs better off with that horse today in the weights for a head defeat. Has to have a sniff.
STEPPER POINT 1440 LINGFIELD – (WON 16-1 – what a price that was!) has been tried in some got races and has a 3lb penalty for it, but he has faced much better rivals than these and despite maybe needing the run, class is class and he could run a big race.
PREMIO LOCO 1550 LINGFIELD – (unplaced) his is an excellent each way bet, prior to his fifth in this last year, his record at Lingfield reads 1,1,2,1 – including a win and a second in this race. He’s a little long in the tooth but still retains his ability and his prep run will have helped to sharpen him up for this today.
SEA HERE 1625 LINGFIELD – (3rd – 8-1) very well bred colt through LOOK HERE and SEA THE STARS. Was a little small last year and could be one to watch this year, has shown glimpses of ability and if he has filled out bait over the winter he could be a 3 y o to watch this year.
Father = -£4.06
Son = +£13.44
Father 6 v 5 Son
Father = £77.42
Son = £72.42
Well what a cracking first day that was. Despite only having a little wager on Holywell I was so pleased to see the little horse get up and win, I also gave a positive pointer to the second in the race too. It was a day of hitting the crossbar with TRIFOLIUM, MYTENTORYOURS and AHYAKONWYERSELF all placing. Really sad to see that Our Connor had to be put down to, such a sad sight. Thoughts go to all his connections. Lets hope there are no casualties on day two.
Neptune Investment Novices Hurdle
The race can only go one way for me, although how many times have we said that! FAUGHEEN has been nothing but impressive this year and seems to get better with every run and the more I look at the race the more I can’t see any horse beating it. David Pipe reckons RED SHERLOCK was his best chance of the week prior to day one, and he has down nothing wrong so far. I think FENNELL BAY may also run on for a place after two steady introductions from a decent flat performer. For me though its Mullins and Walsh again here.
SELECTION – FAUGHEEN (NB) (WON 6-4)
DAD’S SELECTION – FAUGHEEN (WON 6-4)
This looks a really competitive race as ever. CORRIN WOOD was one I was really impressed with earlier this year, but I think the ground has seriously scuppered his chances. BLACK THUNDER at a big price could run a cracker back on ground he will prefer but there are doubts about whether he has the class for me. MORNING ASSEMBLY could be the real dark horse in the race, he has looked very good but again the ground is an unknown, if he handles it he could well take this. I’m opting for GEVREY CHAMBERTIN he really needed the run last time and just petered out tamely after putting himself in a good position. He was a smart hurdler and for me the improved ground will be the telling factor. I think he is a bit of a forgotten horse because of his last run and a few poor ones before that. With good ground forecast though I can see him running a big race at a big price.
SELECTION – GEVREY CHAMBERTIN (unplaced)
DAD’S SELECTION – MORNING ASSEMBLY (3rd – 9-1)
As always this is an ultra competitive affair and if you get get the winner of this you will have down well and have a decent priced horse. DELL ARCA seems to be one of the favourites and he has solid form, as did CLONDAW KAEMPER before some low key efforts this season, however he did seem to return to form last time out. My selection though is COTTON MILL, again something of a forgotten horse because of what was a bit of a mysterious season last year. He ran nowhere near his best and remember this guy was travelling just as well as SIMONSIG a couple of festivals ago before unseating Denis at one of the last few flights. Again for me the key here is the ground, he is a really smart mover and on good ground has a good turn of foot which is so important in the race. It’s good to see him try this distance again to, the 2m and 2m1f he’s been competing in is too short for him in my opinion. He’ll run a big race I’m sure and I can’t believe he’s 25-1 as I type this. He has run decent races behinds MYTENTORYOURS and MELODIC RENDEZVOUS and I think he is a much better horse than his current mark.
SELECTION – COTTON MILL (NAP) (unplaced)
QUEEN MOTHER CHAMPION CHASE
This is one of my favourite races of the week, class horses travelling so quickly and jumping so big and brave. What a spectacle it is. Mullins and Walsh are fancied again, but I don’t think the track will suit. CAPTAIN CONAN has the ability but I think will be found out for pace and while SIRE DE GRUGY has done nothing wrong for connections, this is the Queen Mother Champion Chase and for me he’s not good enough. My selection is HINTERLAND, I was really impressed with how he travelled and jumped last time and put him straight in my book for this race. I think he’ll fly around and take this race.
SELECTION – HINTERLAND (UR)
DAD’S SELECTION – CAPTAIN CONAN (PU)
CROSS COUNTRY CHASE
Never really bother about this race, but if I was forced to to pick one, on the forecast ground and on the back of impressive funds in similar races BALTHAZAR KING gets the vote.
SELECTION – BALTHAZAR KING (WON 4-1)
DAD’S SELECTION – BIG SHU (3rd 3-1)
FRED WINTER JUVENILE HURDLE
IVAN GROZNY was a smart performer in France and he brought that form over with him when winning a Naas. He then ran very below par last time out behind GUITAR PETE. The ground tomorrow should suit him better and I think My Wylie has another class horse on his hands here. CLARCAM interests me at a decent price and GOODWOOD MIRAGE could run a big race for the champ.
SELECTION – IVAN GROZNY (unplaced)
WEATHERBY’S CHAMPION BUMPER
Again not really a race I bet on as I don’t really get involved with bumpers. Mr Mullins has one hell of a record in this and he is mob handed here again, but I’m opting for SILVER CONCORDE (WON 16-1)to take this.
Good luck on day two!