A Soggy Saturday!

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The Bandit writes the blog from a very soggy, miserable Sheffield this morning and the ground at nearby Doncaster is going to be very testing. Not the greatest Saturday on the betting front I’ve seen and I know a few of my fellow twitterati are looking to opt pout today. However, jumps is my baby so I’ve had to have a look and hopefully I’ve found a few to whet the appetite ready for the first being meeting at Cheltenham next weekend. I always bet with my heart and have to follow the horses who I know have the class in the bag there are a few of those today, so please as always remember these are my thoughts and my horses that are close to me, so I’m not saying slap all your wages on them! I hope they run a good race and that we get a good cheer, potentially there are four decent winners here!

Sit back and enjoy the best you can on this dreary day!

OPENING BATSMAN 1440 WINCANTON (NAP) – (unplaced = -£5.00) this boy is a cliff horse for me and one I always keep an eye on and follow. To say he had a disaster last season is an understatement, yet here he is at a decent 12-1 in a competitive race, why not be a big outsider based on last year? Easy, he’s a class horse and his mark today is very eye-catching. The handicapper has given him a real chance today. He beat ROLLING ACES in the Racing Plus Chase the other year of a mark of 140 – so now you see! I just hope the rest over the summer and the cheekpieces have rekindled the old fire in his belly. Fehily will stoke him up if so!

JACK DEXTER 1425 DONCASTER (NB) – (unplaced = -£5.00) he won this race last year off a big penalty and comes here in form off the back of a veery good second on horrible ground to GORDON LORD BYRON at Ascot. He is also albs better off today with the second placed horse that day TROPICS. He also loves it here and will love the mud, and boy oh boy has it been raining here this morning! Has to have a super chance!

ROCK ON RUBY 1515 WINCANTON (TREBLE) – (3rd – 4-1 = £2.50) the star is back! A class horse in this sphere and proved that when getting beaten a head by THE NEW ONE at Aintree after a dismal showing when chasing earlier in the year. That form, plus his earlier hurdle form, is by far and away the best of offer here. He has to give lumps of weight away to IRVING but that one needs to prove he has it at this level, and I’m not sure he has it, especially based on his Cheltenham run.

POLLY PEACHUM 1405 WINCANTON – (WON 6-1 = £18.75) this one comes with a warning. She’s one I love and there are a few question marks against her today. That being the ground, she needs decent ground as you saw when she beat L’UNIQUE last year and was just pipped by SOUTHFIELD THEATRE, smart form you’ll agree! The weight she has to give away is the second question against her. However, she is a class mare and I have thought highly of her since I saw her demolish her rivals in a bumper at Warwick. Can she lug the weight? Yes, she’s going to be even better than her current mark suggests in my opinion, the ground is my sticking point today. She’s one for your notebooks though.

My Dad’s selections are :

HAWKEYETHENOO 1350 DONCASTER (NR)

TROPICS 1425 DONCASTER (unplaced = -£5.00)

STANDING OVATION 1450 WINCANTON (PU = -£5.00)

MELVIN THE GRATE 1605 DONCASTER (unplaced = -£5.00)

Standings after Week 2

Father 1-1 Son

Money Scores

Father -£16.73

Son £7.39

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Ayr Gold Cup Day

Before we start today a little something to whet your appetite for the future
 
 
THE COUNTDOWN IS ON…………….. (Watch this blog for more)
 
So, on to today. What a feast of action we have today. I love nothing better than trying to solve the puzzle of a big field in a competitive handicap! Today we have two of them! Yep, it's Ayr Gold Cup day and the Bandit is more than excited! Hopefully I've found a couple below to give me a run for my money. All the best if you're having a flutter today. If you can pick the Silver and Gold Cup double you are a serious racing person, or damn lucky : )
 
MASS RALLY 1550 AYR (nap) – (unplaced) this old dog finally got his nose infront last year in the Silver Cup. He has gone up 10lbs since then but he has been running really well and up to that mark. Defeating NOCTURN at York in May on good to soft got the ball rolling and then he finished a head second to JACK DEXTER in the CHIPCHASE STAKES (Group 3) on good to soft at Newcastle off level weights. My selection has a 5lb pull with JACK DEXTER today and that for me is the clincher. You need a group horse to win a race like this and I don't think he's far off that. He is also drawn 21 with all his key rivals around him. Paul Mulrennan knows his quircks and how to deliver him with that late, last minute surge! He'll still need a bit of luck though! I also like the chances of GABRIELS LAD, who is ace on soft. SPINATRIX is too big a price and HASOPOP has a sniff judged on his Ascot win from earlier in the year.
 
FIRST MOHICAN 1405 AYR (nb) – (unplaced) made an impressive start to the season at York. Despite a couple of decebt runs over the pond in France he has yet to score again. Soft ground is key to this oneand he seems to be a different animal on it.
 
GANDALAK 1440 AYR (treble) – (unplaced) what a race this is too! My horse made all when taking two races earlier in the year at Newcastle and Musselburgh. He has since struggled but has winning form on heavy ground so should love the ground. If he bolts out they may not catch him. David Bergin andt he trainer teamed up for me with a similar kind of ride on MONT RAS at York and I reckon they can do it again here! THUNDERBALL is a big danger and I have an inckling that CHOOSEDAY could run a big race with an eye catching jockey booking.
 
AZAGAL 1515 AYR – (unplaced) won two races earlier in the year including beating my 50-1 wonder horse TWEETY PIE at Thirsk. She then ran well in behind J WONDER and MIDNITE ANGEL at Newmarket, and that race was hot! She was then pitched in against LUCKY KRISTALE in the Lowther and ran creditably. She caught my eye again last week when getting pipped by MORNING POST at Doncaster. She can take this today for connections who won this two years ago with ROGER SEZ.
 
KINGSGATE NATIVE 1530 NEWBURY – (3rd – 12-1) I have to have him today despite his top weight and slower ground. However, he's like a Porsche being put in a race against some VW Golf's. He will win this today, but that is my heart talking over my head ; )
 
Good luck if you're having a flutter and enjoy!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 43/207 = 21%
Wins 174/1041 = 16.7%
Placed 273/1041 = 26.2%

Win and Placed = 43%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.83