Warwick and Kempton

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Last Saturday saw a bog of welcome profit for the blog with the win double of LIFEBOAT MONA and GARDE LA VICTOIRE going in. Let’s hope there is more to come today and I’m hopeful of a big run in a race where I have a cracking record over recent years.

The Lanzarote Hurdle is the feature race of the day at Kempton. What a shocker that was this week with the news of this course’s potential closure. While the investment and ideas of the Jockey Club sound reasonable you can’t close a track with the history Kempton has. Let’s hope the council and arguments from the racing paternity stop it, if it goes through we may see similar issues with NH venues. So, to the race itself. I do think OLD GUARD has another big race in him, possibly at the festival, but not today off this weight! DOESYOURDOGBITE won nicely last time, despite running in snatches but this is his biggest test to date. BENNYS KING doesn’t know how to run a bad race and should be thereabouts but the one who catches my eye is one who meets a lot of then trends for this race. CHESTERFIELD ran a cracker behind BRAIN POWER last time after a long absence, showing me some of his old class and potential remain. He was developing into a decent looking hurdler for John Ferguson before the lay off and indeed he was going well here when falling at the last in his penultimate run. He’s been well supported all morning and the current 8-1 from BETY365 is worth snapping up.

In the 32RED.com chase SANDY BEACH steps up in trip to 3m. He looked very good last time when beating ERICHT at Newbury in November and if he stays he will run a big race. KRUZHLININ went in for me on the blog last time at Haydock and he stayed very well up that hill. He’s a previous winner of this and despite being raised 10lbs to a mark of OR146, I still think that’s short of what he could be. The revert to hurdles was to put some confidence in his jumping after facing the big National fences. I think the hurdles and the confidence of his last win will have sharpened his jumping up. He stays forever and ion he jumps he wins I think.

I have put up the last three winners of the Pertemps Hurdle at Warwick on the blog. FLINTHAM, JOIN THE CLAN and UNCLE JIMMY and it’s also where HOLYWELL caught my eye for his festival win. Warwick is an interesting course, and is generally quite easy to get a rhythm but in this race you tend to need to be up with the pace, a strongly run front end can leave the others caught too far behind, so it pays to go with a pace pusher who can stay. LOUGH DERG LEADER could be very smart and he looked it last time, but he came from off the pace, that puts me off him today and this is his biggest test to date. COGRY came back to form last time, but it was a nothing race and the change in conditions helped him but not his rivals. I’m opting for SAINT JOHN HENRY; he’s a nice weight for a 3m contest and he made all here last time, and course and distance form helps here. He’s been raised 7lbs for that win and I think he has another big race in him. The ground will suit and he needs to win this well for me to have a competitive chance in the final at the festival, so I reckon they’ll go for it with him and hit them hard from the front. Let’s hope he stays if they do that!

The Betfred Classic chase is a beauty. 20 old timers going at time over £3m6f – awesome! SEGO SUCCESS flatters to deceive but the first time blinkers may help, but I doubt it. KNOCKANRAWLEY was developing into a smart stayer before the lay off and I doubt he can be competitive back from a monster break, but his a notebook horse for the next race or two. SHOTGUN PADDY has showed a few glimpses but again he just doesn’t deliver when push comes to shove. I’m opting for HOUBLON DES OBEAUX, he ran a cracker behind NATIVE RIVER in the Welsh National last time, he has got a lot of weight but has carried it before. Charlie Deutch’s 3lbs will help and despite being 6lbs higher than when running in this last year he’s in much better form. He’s won off this mark before, will love the ground and he catches the eye a full 19lb lower than when running behind THE YOUNG MASTER and then CONEYGREE in the Denman Chase. You need a bit of class to win this, he has class and will run a cracker.

Selections

HOUBLON DES OBEAUX 3:35 WARWICK £5 win 14-1 William Hill

SAINT JOHN HENRY 2:25 Warwick £5 e\w 12-1 William Hill

KRUZHLININ 3:15 Kempton £5 win 5-1 Bet365

Blog Stats

Placed £150

Returns £193.75

Boxing Day Racing

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I hope everyone had a very merry christmas! It was certainly a day of food and drink in my household. Last week’s selections were awful, apologies to everyone who followed my advice. There are times when the form, the handicap system and my thoughts just don’t add up. CORRIN WOOD is certainly a monkey, he was miles out of it and then stayed on better than anything to claim fourth; so much talent.

I’ve done quite a bit of studying of the numerous cards that is the feast of Boxing Day and will hopefully have found one or two. One thing for definite is I recommend getting on NATIVE RIVER today ahead of his tilt at the Welsh National tomorrow; I can’t see the 6-1 being around near the off, and with no penalty he’s effectively 8lbs well in and looked a smart horse last time. I could obviously highlight all the short price horses today like lots of other ‘tipsters’ will do. We all know that from THE NEW ONE, CUE CARD, MR MIX, DUSKY LARK etc there are some winners, but not much value. So again, I’m looking to handicaps as I like to try and solve the puzzle and get some value.

Kempton’s TV card kicks off in great style with a Novice chase. POKER SCHOOL seemed to run well through the fog last time and he has been raised 8lbs to a mark of OR125 and he could run another good race. GOLD PRESENT is certainly a topical selection and he won well at Doncaster last time so can’t be discounted. TWO TAFFS has lots of potential and an opening mark of OR138 for his chase debut indicates this. He should have given KRUZHLININ more of a race last time but the ground was against him. A return to good ground today and his potential is why he has my money on him.

The Kauto Star noises chase is another belter to watch. FRODON looked very good last time when staying on to win the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup, and the Nicholls yard is quite bullish about him, despite a quick turnaround. If he reproduces that today then he will e hard to beat. MINELLA DADDY is ultra consistent with form figures of 22112. He stayed on well last time but couldn’t beat the resurgent REGAL ENCORE. AMORE ALATO is an interesting candidate, in his novice hurdle days he beat the likes of VANITEUX and wasn’t far off IRVING. Richard Johnson has a record of 120221 when riding him and he ran well to win on good ground last time. He certainly has the potential to be a good stayer on good ground. With Johnson’s record on him, the ground, and his previous novice form I’m on at a great price.

As Ive said above the two big races of the day for me go to THE NEW ONE, who looks as as good as ever. While THISTLECRACK obviously has bags of ability and potential this is the first time he played with the big boys. CUE CARD also looked as good as ever last time and I think he will win.

So, my next selection goes in the final hurdle race. The Hobbs/Johnson horse is well regarded and they have been waxing lyrical about his chances, he won well last time at odds-on at Ffos Las and he was chucked in the champion bumper last season. SOUTHPORT has done nothing wrong so far and is a lively outsider. You can also add the likes of INSTANT KARMA and DOESYOURDOGBITE to the notebook no matter how they perform today. I’m opting for MOSCATO, he was a decent stayer on the flat for Sir Mark Prescott and he has been steadily learning his trade in his past few runs. The ground will help and he has a great chance to finally get off the mark. I’m chucking VICENZO MIO in here too, he was a decent horse and has dropped a few pounds and could catch the eye today.

The final race for the blog today is the best of the rest – The Rowland Meyrick chase. Wetherby is a stiff track and needs to be respected, I always look for course form and also form at Haydock as they are similar. YALA ENKI ticks the Haydock box after a run away success last time, he’s been raised 1olbs for that and it may stop him. The winner of the race for me is BLACKLION, he RSA chase win is by far and away the best form and he ran well behind NATIVE RIVER in the Hennessy. This easier race and his previous course win but him at the front of the market. YALA ENKI will set it up for him and I think DEFINTLY RED will run on for second.

A cracking day – enjoy everyone. Take the hint on NATIVE RIVER for tomorrow too.

Selections

£5 win BLACKLION 1.50 Wetherby 3-1 Betfred (3rd)

£2.50 ew AMORE ALATO 2:05 Kempton 10-1 William Hill (3rd – £8.75 returns)

£10 win TWO TAFFS 1:30 Kempton 5-1 William Hill (2nd)

£5 win NATIVE RIVER 2.40 Chepstow (WON 6-1 when advised = £35 returns)

Good luck.

Staked -£130

Returns – £145

Kempton – Betbright Chase

It's not too bad a day today for racing. A few pointers to the festival and a couple of competitive handicaps in the Betbright Chase and the Eider Chase. Not ling to go now until the festival and I'm starting to draw up my list!! Brimg it on! Here are today's selections :
OPENING BATSMAN 1535 KEMPTON (nap)
This fella won this race when I napped him a few years ago as a novice, read it here. He has dropped to the same mark again of OR140. Good ground is crucial to him and he ran a cracker here a couple of starts ago and came up the home straight in the lead. He just didnt last the trip in the ground. He carried 11st 10lbs that day and with the apprentice's claim he only has 10 stone on his back today!! That is a huge difference and I'm expecting a huge run from this sound jumper. He will be up with the pace which is important here and I think he'll tussle it out with his stablemate. Huge price too!
 
BATAVIR 1545 CHEPSTOW (nb)

I have backed this guy all year as I'm convinced he will win a race like this. He has been very disappointing so far and looks a shadow of the horse who bounced onto our shores a few seasons ago. I still think he's got it though, and interestingly he's finally back down to his last winning mark. It's a cracking race this but I really do fancy him today and their is support in the market too.
 
WYCK HILL 1450 NEWCASTLE (treble)

Another previous winner, and another returning to his last winning mark of OR133. He won this off that mark two years ago and he will relish the trip and despite the ground maybe not being as heavy as he likes, soft ground over four miles at a decent clip will help him!
 
MUTHMIR 1345 LINGFIELD

Performed very well last year and was third in both the Kings Stand and the Prix De L'Abbaye to the sprint revelation of last year, GOLDREAM. He won at Glorious Goodwood and has shown enough class and speed in his tank to take this. My only thought is the about the surface?
 
My dad's selections are :
ROCKY CREEK 1535 KEMPTON
DRAYTONIAN 1420 KEMPTON
SUMMERY JUSTICE 1450 NEWCASTLE
BATAVIR 1545 CHEPSTOW
 
Standings
 
FATHER 2-5 SON
PROFIT/LOSS
Father – £79.34
Son +£17.96
 

Midlands National

So the buzz, delight, drama and anticipation has passed, the festival has gone for another year. We are of course faced with a festival with no champ again, but also faced with the delights of some of those awesome horses moving forward from hurdling to chasing and from novice company to graded races – bring it on. On the selection front I had a Wes Craven, not a single winner! I had such a bonkers day on Thursday too that I had no time for my blog on Friday. Was really chuffed at how my old favourite Holywell ran in the Gold Cup and what a fantastic story for all those connected with Coneygree, John Oaksey will have a right smile on his face looking down on us! The photo used on the blog comes from the pages of Fran @Riosrider2 with her permission – give her a follow for some awesome horse photos.
 
So on to a 'normal' Saturday blog, I'm hoping I can break this barren run today! Let's see! The twitter gamble boys have gone for :
@Tonythetyke – FRIENDLY ROYAL 1710 NEWBURY
@DazGilbert1 – WADSWICK COURT 1420 KEMPTON
@LiamKenniford – CATCHING ON 1550 UTTOXETER
@Fernando_RFC2 – BROD NA HEIREANN 1605 KEMPTON
 
Here are my selections for today –
 
DEPUTY DAN 1440 UTTOXETER (NAP) (UR = -£5.00)
was very good as a novice beating the like of IRISH BUCCANEER, CHAMPAGNE WEST and CAESAR MILAN. He then ran behind both VERY WOOD and VIRAK before beating FAR WEST to get his chasing career off to a start. He has some very smart form in the book! After these runs he was rated at OR145. Today he returns on a mark of OR139. He ran well in snatches last time behind ANSI FILEDES at Ascot giving it 4lbs in weight. That one has since franked the form again. Think he has a cracking chance today so long as that jumping holds up!
 
WOODFORD COUNTY 1550 UTTOXETER (NB) (3rd 11-1 = £6.87)
other than a couple of jumping errors which probably cost him a place or two he ran pretty well in the Eider when I put him up on here. He's off the same mark today and has the same jockey claiming another 7lbs – effectively therefore he is carrying the same racing weight as the Eider. Crucially I think the ground will be much moremin his favour today and that should help him stay on a bit more at the end and hopefully give him a little more time to sort his jumping out. Big chance today!
 
GRANDEUR 1505 LINGFIELD (TREBLE) (3rd – 9-2 = £2.81)
ran well late on but had too much to do coming around the bend last time behind GRENDISAR in the trial. Ryan Moore will have taken that on board and should have him placed better today, although he has a high draw to overcome. I'm pretty sure Ryan will have him closer today and will want this race in his pot for the year. Both my guy and GRENDISAR return on the equal measures today but I think my guy has it today and will reverse the placings!
 
KATGARY 1420 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)
this is where I need my head checking! I have to go with this guy as I think he has so much to offer but frustratingly just doesnt bloody show it on the track. I'm hoping he will appreciate the better ground today and that will sort him out! Fingers crossed on this one – but if he does shown his potential he will murder these!
 
My Dad's selections are :
STRAIDNAHANNA 1440 UTTOXETER (unplaced = -£5.00)
CAPTAIN CAT 1505 LINGFIELD (unplaced = -£5.00)
DEVIL TO PAY 1515 UTTOXETER (PU = -£5.00)
SUMMERY JUSTICE 1550 UTTOXETER (BD = -£5.00)
Standings
Father 8-8 Son
Profit
Father -£62.64
Son £158.28
 

Kempton and Newcastle

So, the blog returns after an unscheduled week off. I cannot put into words how dreadful I felt last week after a night on the town. It took me until about 6pm to come around! It really is devil’s brew! So onto the horses with the magnificent festival getting ever closer on the horizon. I will do a blog everyday for the festival and do a piece on every race. The superb photo above is courtesy of Fran, give her a follow @Riosrider2. I’ve had a good study of the races today and hopefully have found a few little beauties who I think have a great chance. I have to apologise to one of the #twittergamble boys – @Tonythetyke tipped a winner last week and of course with me being incapacitated it didnt get on here! Sorry mate – hopefully you’ll win today. The #twittergamble is below :
 
@Tonythetyke – FILL THE POWER 1455 NEWCASTLE
@Fernando_RFC2 – LONG JOHN 1645 CHEPSTOW
@LiamKenniford – LE REVE 1545 KEMPTON
@DazGilbert1 – FOGGYS WALL 1620 KEMPTON
 
Here are my selections for today
 
LANDSCAPE 1620 KEMPTON (nap) (PU = -£5.00)
As always I try and find a decent priced nap. This guy was one of my horses to follow a couple of seasons ago when with Paul Nicholls. I put him up here on the blog when he ran at Haydock in March 2013 off a mark of OR130. He coasted up that day in a class 2 with 11 stone 4lb on his back and fell at the last flight when he would have won easily. I was surprised he got sold by the Nicholls team and he had a long absence before pulling up and then came back after another absence in January and needed the run badly. He is running off a very appealing mark today of OR125 he won’t mind the ground at all and if he’s fit, which I think he will be, rhe should run a cracker! I’ve been waiting for this guy to come back for ages! Today is the day!
 
WOODFORD COUNTY 1455 NEWCASTLE (nb) (3rd – 14–1 = £8.75)
Won well for this rider at Newbury in November of a mark of OR125 and then travelled ok when fancied for the Coral Welsh National. That ground really was terrible that day and it really took it toll on horses, my guy included. To say he finished and kept going shows he has stamina and with a return to better ground off the same mark he ran off in the Welsh National he has to have a great chance. He was touted as a smart horse and that’s not going to have changed after one ropey run. The claimers allowance will really help over this distance too and I expect him to be staying on when others a faultering. I hope ALPHA VICTOR decides to have an off day as I think he could be the main danger after a promising run behind JOIN THE CLAN at Wetherby last time.
 
TAP NIGHT 1545 KEMPTON (treble) (UR = -£5.00)
This fella hasnt won for ages and ran at Aintree a couple of seasons ago off a mark of OR145. He has slowly come down the handicap and runs today off the same mark (OR130) when he ran eye catching well behind ANNACOTTY and my selection that day BIG FELLA THANKS. I watched him and thought next time! He here is off a feather weight with Dickie Johnson on board. He could make a mockery of this today, I just hope he reproduces what he did at Cheltenham last time, if he does he has a great chance!

TOP OF THE GLAS 1400 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)
This fellawasnt too bad on the flat and beat the likes of COULSTY last year and also INTRANSIGENT. He has been a little unlucky in his races and his trainers rates him as a good prospect. This is a big step up but I give him a squeak and he could be one to watch.
 
My Dad’s selections are :
 
MELODIC RENDEZVOUS 1435 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)
RENARD 1545 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)
KNOCKANRAWLEY 1455 NEWCASTLE (4th – 10-1 = £6.25)
AWAYTHEGREYS 1610 CHEPSTOW (unplaced = -£5.00)
 
Standings
Father 6-7 Son
Profit
Father -£51.07
Son £153.24
 

Lanzarote Day – Kempton and Warwick

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Doffing my cap is the order of the day today to my fellow horse racing friends on here. The #twittergamble boys produced a beauty last week with SOMCHINE winning at 10-1 for @Tonythetyke, WALSER winning at 7-2 for @DazGilbert1 and UNIONISTE winning at 5-2 for @Fernando_RFC2 – spot on boys. Their selections for this week are below! As I say every week the boys are worth a follow! If you had put all four selections in a £1 Lucky 15 you would have had a profit return of £281 – great tipping fellas!

#Twittergamble

@DazGilbert1 YOUNG DOTTIE 1540 LINGFIELD

@Fernando_RFC2 WARRANTOR 1440 KEMPTON

@LiamKenniford SEGO SUCCESS 1355 WARWICK

@Tonythetyke CLOSING CEREMONY 1425 WARWICK

As for my own fortunes last week, not great is the best summation. Although TRIOLO D’ALENE ran well on poor ground and with Geraghty hardly touching him or making an effort watch him the next time he runs on good ground. Not a bad spectacle today although this is quiet time as we start to head towards trials day and the build up to the festival. Whatever your well earned money is on today, I wish you all the luck in taking some money of our old foe! Game on!

JOIN THE CLAN 1425 WARWICK (NAP) (WON 8-1 = £25.00)

Now as follows of the blog know I am always partial to trying to find a decent price horse in a handicap as my nap when and where one pops up. I think this fella is the answer today, my only real concern is the form of Jonjo O’Neill’s stable, at least he had a winner yesterday though! So why do I put my money on an outsider with not a win for a while! Well he could be really well handicapped today and he has a feather weight on his back. The last two runs he has shouldered 11st 12lbs and 11st 2lbs. He steps rightly so back up in class today and an apprentice taking 10lbs of in weight, so he’s on racing weight of 10st 2lbs. That weight around here in testing ground over 3m 2f could be crucial! Get on!

DELL ‘ARCA 1440 KEMPTON (NB) (unplaced = -£5.00)

he has lots of smart form in the book and I think the distance last time was far too long. He returns to a better target today and he has always promised to be a good thing and has been beaten by SLASH OF GINGE, LAC FONTANA and more recently CONEYGREE an his mark has always stayed high. WARRANTOR could be the danger but I think my home has all the class today.

MICKIE 1355 WARWICK (TREBLE) (unplaced = -£5.00)

she is back down to her last winning mark and has Dickie Johnson back on board, together they have won 3 out of her 4 success. She’s a good solid yardstick over hurdles and HIGHLAND RETREAT put her in her place last time but off level weights in mares only race. That one franked the form again this week and today my selection gets her 3lb allowance back which could make all the difference.

HAWKES POINT 1535 WARWICK (WON 17-2 = £26.56)

He has been given a real chance today! He is 6lbs better off after his Welsh National shambles but to put that in perspective its a 4lb lower mark today thayhn when he was piped by MOUNTAINOUS in the same race last year, just beating TIDAL BAY too. Interestingly today he is tried in first time blinkers, good old MON PARRAIN was the same last week and we know what happened there. This is his best chance of a big race success for me.

My Dad’s Selections are :

AWAYWITHTHEGREYS 1425 WARWICK (PU = -£5.00)

WARRANTOR 1440 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)

HOWARDS LEAGACY 1515 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)

CARRUTHERS 1535 WARWICK (PU = -£5.00)

STANDINGS

FATHER 5-5 SON

PROFIT

FATHER -£24.66

SON £111.06

Coral Welsh National

The blog returns post Christmas and The Bandit is still in a spin with a the festivities and travelling. I'm currently in Burnley visiting my parents and sat here looking out on a picture devoid of any snow. The comparison to Bandit Towers in Sheffield couldn't be more different with a foretold 15cm lying there! Thank god I'm here! There is some cracking racing on offer today and hopefully I'll have a change of luck as I've been bloody dire recently!
 
The twitter gamble fellas return after their Christmas exploits and have opted for the following :
@TonytheTyke Bright New Dawn 1320 Leopardstown
@DazGilbert1 Shoegazer 1510 Chepstow
@Fernando_RFC2 Chatez 1525 Kempton
@LiamKenniford Balder Success 1340 Kempton
 
Here are my best four as always :
 
FAGO 1510 KEMPTON (nap) (PU = -£5.00)

This guy was being touted as a potential Arkle candidate last season before a few very novicey jumps. He has always been thought highly of and knowing his connections they have been giving him lots of schooling. The testing ground should really suit him today and I'm expecting a big run.
 
EDMUND KEAN 1435 CHEPSTOW (nb) (unplaced = -£5.00)

This horse ran well in a few small field chases last year before finding the Scottish National too much after a blunder. Interestingly moves to the Bowen yard who know how to win this! He loves testing ground and if his jumping has improved he could run a big race. I'm hopeful of at least a place. I've also had a little on EMPEROR'S CHOICE, who has run well the last twice and will relish the ground. GAS LINE BOY off a big weight may run well too and this race reminds me of my old mate TIDAL BAY who ran so well in it the other year! A cracking renewal!
 
HINTERLAND 1340 KEMPTON (treble) (PU – =-£5.00)

Mercurial talent and prone to breaking blood vessels but is a class horse and his third last time at Sandown was really good and that should be enough to give BALDER SUCCESS something to think about. With a solid round of jumping and his body being kept in otrder he has to have a great chance.
 
GRANDOUET 1310 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)

Another smart horse with some smart form in his locker! This really is a cracking race and the likes of GOD'S OWN and VIBRATO VALTAT are exciting times. I dont think it will be soft enough for MELODIC RENDEZVOUS to return to the winner's area though. My tip was second in this last year and wasnt disgraced in the Arkle and he could be a second season jumper to follow, he's certainly smart enough!
 
My Dad's selections are :
 
BYGONES SOVEREIGN 1325 CHEPSTOW (unplaced =-£5.00)
KAREZAK 1355 CHEPSTOW (2nd – 11-4 = £1.71)
EMPEROR'S CHOICE 1435 CHEPSTOW (WON 9-1 = £28.12)
SILVER COMMANDER 1415 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)
 

Wednesday selections

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I thought I would do a bonus weekday blog after looking at Wednesday’s cards a few jumped out at me that are of interest.

POLLY PEACHUM 1630 WARWICK (nap) – (WON 3-1) I have been waiting for this horse to run again for a while. I first saw her win her at Warwick in a bumper that she took very easily and looked a smart prospect. The key to her is good ground. She ran a great race when winning at Kempton last year beating the likes of MICKIE and CALL ME A STAR in a class 1 novice hurdle. She then disappointed a little on soft ground last time. In this class 4 on good ground with the very good Nico de Boinville taking 5 off her back she has a great chance.

COULDHAVEHADITALL 1420 WARWICK (NB) – (unplaced) this horse has only run once on good ground and he won well at Wetherby until the champ. He returns to good ground here after falling behind ANDY KELLY early on Saturday. ULZANA’S RAID will be all the rage because of the form however I think this one has a really good shout.

LISAHANE BOG 1940 KEMPTON (TREBLE) – (unplaced) this horse is due a win soon, based on the second and third to last starts you would think it is soon. He hasn’t won for a long time yet I find it intriguing that Adam Kirby gets the ride after finishing second on him here a few rides ago. Good chance.

ANNOUNCEMENT 2010 KEMPTON – (unplaced) this horse won on his solitary start last year at Thirsk, the form of that race is pretty solid with the second and third winning and the likes of FIRECRUISE who finished down the order that day winning a couple of decent races since and now on a mark of 80 which is up near the top two in the betting for this. Could run well in this contest at a decent price.

Kempton and Warwick

 
Well this week was a bit of a shock to the system after two weeks off but The Bandit soon got back into the swing of things! Last week was a cracker for the blog with my nap INDIAN JACK winning at 5-1 and CHEVISE coming at 20-1 givnig me some real profit and saw me finally winning a week over my old man in our little head to head. He also had a cracking week with two winners and 2 placed. Lets hope we can continue the good form of recent weeks today. The current standing are FATHER 3-1 SON. With our total profits from a £2.50 each way stake being
Father = £93.04 profit
Son = £77.56 profit
 
UNCLE JIMMY 1425 WARWICK (NAP) – (WON – 17-2 = £23.44) He has two wins on soft to his name and for me he has been crying out for this longer trip. People think he may not stay I reckon it will bring even more out of him. He reminds me of HOLYWELL who I put up in this last year and was pipped by ELY BROWN. He takes a bit of a hold but is always there staying on at the end. He beat ROYAL NATIVE at Fontwell over 23f and I think today you will see him stay on over the last flight here and catch up in the run in. He could be my Cheltenham horse this year as HOLYWELL was last year, he would need to be competitive in this though. Great chance today!
 
HOME RUN 1440 KEMPTON (NB) – (unplaced – £5.00) he ran a cracker last time behind SAPHIR DU RHEU and I think he could reverse the placing today on this softer ground. At the weights he is 8lbs better off today than last time for an 8 length success. Harry Derham takes 5lbs off for his claim though but I just think Home Run has been improving more and more and this track on the ground will play to his strengths. He has only gone up a pound on the ratings compared to Saphir's 15! I think he is better handicapped than his foe and I think Saphir needs laying in this today.
 
DUNOWEN POINT 1355 WARWICK (TREBLE) – (unplaced -£5.00) has been dropped 3lbs in the ratings for his poor show at Aintree. I think he just didn't fire that day on a specialist track. He is now only a pound higher than when defeated by CLOUDY TOO at Wetherby on soft last year. He gave CLOUDY TOO 5 lbs on the weights that day and that horse is now rated 13lbs higher than my choice in the ratings. If he reproduces that form he will wipe the floor with these today I reckon. The ground should be fine for him and he has a great chance in my opinion.
 
SWNYMOR 1550 KEMPTON – (unplaced – £5.00) A bit of a forgotten horse is this one! Won very well last year and was moving to win when asked too much at the last flight at Chepstow and he fell. That destroyed the rest of his season and his confidence. Miss Curtis has been patient with him and ran him for a confidence booster on the flat at Doncaster. He was staying on that day over a trip way short and it will have done him the world of good. He's six pounds lower in the ratings than when running in the Triumph hurdle and he has the class to beat these today at a great price!
 
Before I go on to my dad's selections I also want to flag up MIAS BOY 1435 LINGFIELD – who races on the lowest AW mark for 5 years today. Also EMPEROR'S CHOICE 1535 WARWICK should produce better today dropped another 4lbs! Finally DOESLESSTHANME 1415 WETHERBY goes well fresh has solid form from last year and is being seriously overlooked at 33-1 when I write this, he has a great each way chance.
 
Here are my dad's selections for today. We've picked three of the same races and the same horse!
 
RIVER MAIGUE 1440 KEMPTON (unplaced – £5.00)
OSCAR FORTUNE 1425 WARWICK (unplaced – £5.00)
KILLALA QUAY 1500 WARWICK (unplaced – £5.00)
DUNOWEN POINT 1355 WARWICK (unplaced – £5.00)
 
 
Result Father = -£20 and Son + £8.44
 
Running totals
FATHER 3-2 SON
 
FATHER PROFIT = £73.04
SON PROFIT = £86

Kempton and a few others

Hope everyone had a wonderful Christmas and the man with the big white beard brought you everything you wished for! I'm staying with my family in Burnley at the moment so can get the old man to give us four horses again for the blog today. I need to see if I can beat him after last time. Each selection will be bet with a £2.50 each way stake.
 
Current standings FATHER 1 (+£38.44) SON 0 (-£7.50)
 
My four for today are below :
 
PEPITE ROSE 1415 WETHERBY (nap) – (WON – 4-1 = +£12.50) ran some very good races last year, notably at Ascot and Haydock when running in defeat. She was also running a cracker in behind PACHA DU POLDER at Newbury when she fell. Looks good at these weights and has some form on soft and heavy ground. The stable won this race last year.
 
ELY BROWN 1445 LEICESTER (nb) – (WON – 13-8 = +£5.08) this boy has crept up the weights and rightly so. Defeated HOLYWELL last year at Warwick on soft before HOLYWELL went on and won at the festival. Needs to jump more fluently but has a real chance and the stable are doing well too.
 
GLENS BOY 1340 LEICESTER (treble) – (unplaced -£5.00) is coming back after a long lay off but was pretty decent before that. Won at Newbury over three miles defeating IKODORU ROAD. If fit, has a chance on that form.
 
MICKIE 1400 KEMPTON – (WON – 5-2 = +£7.81) she really showed she has bags of stamina when winning last time beating PATEESE. She is up 8lbs for that but with the ground being so testing today all her stamina will come to pay and she is worth another crack.
 
My old man's selections :
 
MICKIE 1400 KEMPTON – WON (5-2) = + £7.81
DEFINITE LADY 1450 WETHERBY – 2nd (5-1) = + £3.12
VALOROSO 1505 KEMPTON – 2nd (9-2) = + £2.81
IPSOS DU BERLAIS 1455 LEOPARDSTOWN – 3rd (20-1) = +£12.50

Result
FATHER = £26.24 profit
SON = £20.39 profit

Running total =
Father = + £64.68
Son = + £12.89

Father 2 Son 0