Kempton and Newcastle

So, the blog returns after an unscheduled week off. I cannot put into words how dreadful I felt last week after a night on the town. It took me until about 6pm to come around! It really is devil’s brew! So onto the horses with the magnificent festival getting ever closer on the horizon. I will do a blog everyday for the festival and do a piece on every race. The superb photo above is courtesy of Fran, give her a follow @Riosrider2. I’ve had a good study of the races today and hopefully have found a few little beauties who I think have a great chance. I have to apologise to one of the #twittergamble boys – @Tonythetyke tipped a winner last week and of course with me being incapacitated it didnt get on here! Sorry mate – hopefully you’ll win today. The #twittergamble is below :
 
@Tonythetyke – FILL THE POWER 1455 NEWCASTLE
@Fernando_RFC2 – LONG JOHN 1645 CHEPSTOW
@LiamKenniford – LE REVE 1545 KEMPTON
@DazGilbert1 – FOGGYS WALL 1620 KEMPTON
 
Here are my selections for today
 
LANDSCAPE 1620 KEMPTON (nap) (PU = -£5.00)
As always I try and find a decent priced nap. This guy was one of my horses to follow a couple of seasons ago when with Paul Nicholls. I put him up here on the blog when he ran at Haydock in March 2013 off a mark of OR130. He coasted up that day in a class 2 with 11 stone 4lb on his back and fell at the last flight when he would have won easily. I was surprised he got sold by the Nicholls team and he had a long absence before pulling up and then came back after another absence in January and needed the run badly. He is running off a very appealing mark today of OR125 he won’t mind the ground at all and if he’s fit, which I think he will be, rhe should run a cracker! I’ve been waiting for this guy to come back for ages! Today is the day!
 
WOODFORD COUNTY 1455 NEWCASTLE (nb) (3rd – 14–1 = £8.75)
Won well for this rider at Newbury in November of a mark of OR125 and then travelled ok when fancied for the Coral Welsh National. That ground really was terrible that day and it really took it toll on horses, my guy included. To say he finished and kept going shows he has stamina and with a return to better ground off the same mark he ran off in the Welsh National he has to have a great chance. He was touted as a smart horse and that’s not going to have changed after one ropey run. The claimers allowance will really help over this distance too and I expect him to be staying on when others a faultering. I hope ALPHA VICTOR decides to have an off day as I think he could be the main danger after a promising run behind JOIN THE CLAN at Wetherby last time.
 
TAP NIGHT 1545 KEMPTON (treble) (UR = -£5.00)
This fella hasnt won for ages and ran at Aintree a couple of seasons ago off a mark of OR145. He has slowly come down the handicap and runs today off the same mark (OR130) when he ran eye catching well behind ANNACOTTY and my selection that day BIG FELLA THANKS. I watched him and thought next time! He here is off a feather weight with Dickie Johnson on board. He could make a mockery of this today, I just hope he reproduces what he did at Cheltenham last time, if he does he has a great chance!

TOP OF THE GLAS 1400 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)
This fellawasnt too bad on the flat and beat the likes of COULSTY last year and also INTRANSIGENT. He has been a little unlucky in his races and his trainers rates him as a good prospect. This is a big step up but I give him a squeak and he could be one to watch.
 
My Dad’s selections are :
 
MELODIC RENDEZVOUS 1435 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)
RENARD 1545 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)
KNOCKANRAWLEY 1455 NEWCASTLE (4th – 10-1 = £6.25)
AWAYTHEGREYS 1610 CHEPSTOW (unplaced = -£5.00)
 
Standings
Father 6-7 Son
Profit
Father -£51.07
Son £153.24
 
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Sunday selections

Not a bad day at all on the blog yesterday with COURT MINSTREL (4-1) and MAUREEN (7-2) winning. My big fancy MONSIEUR CADOU never got in the race and maybe the ground was too quick.
 
On to today, here are my best three.
 
YOU KNOW YOURSELF 1650 NEWCASTLE (nap) – (2nd – 17-2) won off this mark this time last year when defeating ISLA PEARL FISHER. The drying ground will bolster his chances. His run behind Monsieur Cadou last time at Haydock was ok considering the ground. Hoping for a big run.
 
LANDSCAPE 1400 STRATFORD (nb) – (3rd – 13-8) if this horse reproduces the form of his last run when he fell at the last at Haydock when looking like the winner, he will take this. This return to novice company should help with only DARLEY SUN a danger in my opinion.
 
SOUND INVESTMENT 1440 WINCANTON (treble) – (WON – 7-4) won really nicely at Taunton in January. Was then stepped up in class and was disappointing. He's dropped back to a class 4 race today, and if he copes with the ground he should run a good race.
 
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 36/163 = 22%
Wins 151/815 = 18.5%
Placed 219/815 = 26.9%

Win and Placed = 45.4%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£60.33
 

Wednesday selections

Not a bad day on the blog on Tuesday with all three selections placed. PATSY FINNEGAN 3rd at 13-2, IRISH BUCCANEER 2nd at 9-4 and TORNADO FORCE 3rd at 15-8. I had a good day on another twitter competition as I won the pigeonswoop with POLLY PEACHUM obliging at 25-1. I watched her win impressively at Warwick last year and fought with myself to put her on the blog but thought she had too much to do on the ratings and her recent form, shows what I know! She did prove today that she is one to follow. On to Wednesday and the Craven meeting plus Cheltenham – nice!
 
BAILEYS JUBILEE 1605 NEWMARKET (nap) – (unplaced) I love this horse and followed her all last year. Some are doubting whether she will stay the trip but I disagree I think a year older and stonger, the trip will suit. Her attitude is amazing and her form from last year is solid. Her third behind RODSHU QUEEN in the Cheveley Park is solid, as is her second behind CAY VERDE. I think she is a serious horse with a serious chance.
 
THE ROMFORD PELE 1520 CHELTENHAM (nb) – (unplaced) this horse is still a novice and whilst his last two performances in handicaps haven't bore fruit, I think the better ground will help here. He has run some cracking races as a novice defeating the likes of SIN BIN and SUERTE AL SALTO, who have both won since. His best form for me is when he got beat by COURT MINSTREL here in October, who has since won again but at Class 2 level. LANDSCAPE was well beaten by this my selection that day too and we know how I tipped him up the other week and he was running a huge race when falling. This horse has a great chance in this race in my opinion.
 
IMPERIAL CIRCUS 1445 CHELTENHAM (treble) – (unplaced) if this horse reproduces his run at Sandown in November behind TIME FOR SPRING then he could be very well treated on a mark 1lb lower. He has been crying out for this distance on better ground and could run a big race. I met this guy to at Philip Hobbs' yard when I visited it last summer and he's a beauty!
BLOG STATS :

Naps 36/159 = 22.6%
Wins 147/800 = 18.4%
Placed 215/800 = 26.8%

Win and Placed = 45.3%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£64.33
 

Easter Saturday Selections

I thought it was fitting to have the blog photo of the great ALBERTAS RUN who I hope is going to enjoy a long and well deserved retirement, what a horse he was!
 
On to the racing and what a day of racing we have. The re-run Lincoln, Haydock and a super card at Musselburgh with a few old favourites, and then of course we have Meydan and the richest race in the world. I've selected a few from those meetings for you. I'm hoping I can keep the big priced handicap naps going on a Saturday. I have another big priced one that could go very well.
 
LANDSCAPE 1440 HAYDOCK (nap) – (FELL) this horse has always been held in high regard by his yard and he ran well when winning at Exeter beating BILLY TWYFORD. He franked the form a few times too. Landscape then won well at Taunton in really heavy ground before running fourth behind GEVREY CHAMBERTIN at Wincanton. He ran so poorly last time at Chepstow and that should be ignored. He has blinkers on today to sharpen him up and I think he will go enjoy this better ground. If he is focused and reproduces his earlier successes he has a damn good sniff.
 
HAMISH MCGONAGALL 1500 MUSSELBURGH (nb) – (unplaced) this guy is a class horse and has the ability to win this again. He does have to give Tangerine Trees 15lbs however. He has been running Group 1 races creditably remember! His last three runs here have produced three wins – that is solid enough!
 
PROPHESY 1615 DONCASTER (treble) – (unplaced) this guy is returning from a long lay off. He did however win first time out last season off a longer one. He has put some good performances in last season and this distance will suit as will the conditions.
 
CHAPTER SEVEN 1505 DONCASTER – (unplaced) I'm opting for this one in the Lincoln as he is progressive, goes well fresh and will enjoy the ground. Four year olds have a great record this and he is weighted similar to past winners. His run when beating LAHAAG at York was a good one and with luck in running I hope I have the winner. I have to also place some each way money on SWIFTLY DONE who has some decent form in the locker and will also relish the ground.
 
OUR JONATHAN 1430 DONCASTER – (3rd – 4-1) this one goes well fresh and has been running well over further, that stamina will be needed in todays ground and I think he will stay on better than the rest to take this.
 
CLOUDY TOO 1515 HAYDOCK – (3rd – 12-1) this one has some really good form including a course and distance success here. He has also gone in at Wetherby, I always look for that at Haydock as they are both similar tough tracks. He couldn't get close last time at Cheltenham and despite a rise in the ratings he can go well. People are put off him due to the better ground, but he has won on good and on good to soft.
 
TOP NOTCH TONTO 1535 MUSSELBURGH – (unplaced) his win at Ayr was impressive and he ran a good race after that behind WILLIE THE WHIPPER. He has some weight to carry here but I think he has more to offer this year and is a crazy price.
 
MR SPIGGOTT 1355 DONCASTER – (unplaced) this one has a good chance when reflecting on his second at Windsor off the same mark last year. He will enjoy the ground and has a decent draw.
 
I'm also putting a few quid on the following :
 
MONSIEUR CADOU 1405 HAYDOCK (WON 10-1)
BALINROAB 1550 HAYDOCK (unplaced)
EXCEL BOLT 1425 HAYDOCK (unplaced)
RASAMAN 1645 HAYDOCK (unplaced)
HANOVARIAN BARON 1455 KEMPTON (unplaced)
SCIMON TEMPLAR 1400 CARLISLE (withdrawn)
KRYTON FACTOR 1545 MEYDAN (3rd – 9-1)
ANIMAL KINGDOM 1805 MEYDAN (WON 5-1)
 
Enjoy today's action and hopefully I have found a few winners here. Can't wait for next week at Aintree and the big one. Happy punting everyone.