Scorchio Saturday Tips

What a scorching day it is again today and blue skies dominate the scene here in sunny Sheffield. Terribly sad news this week came from the sport we love and lets hope Brian Toomey pulls through and makes a full recovery. Puts it into perspective what jockeys go through to bring us this sport we love. Thoughts with his family and friends.
 
On to today's races. One of the most competitive Eclipses for a while with not much seperating most of the field on ratings. Here are my selections today plus my Bandit's treble as normal.
 
CAPO ROSSO 1640 HAYDOCK (nap) – (unplaced) this horse won impressively at Warwick on quicker ground in early May and then ran well in defeat here at Haydock after that. The Brittania was too far and too competitive and this return to 7f on quick ground will play to his strengths from the front. He's dropped a pound from that and is only a pound higher than when being beat here by SO BELOVED.
 
KINGSGATE NATIVE 1405 SANDOWN (nb) – (2nd – 17-2) ran his no show race last time at the Royal meeting and this drop in grade and quicker ground will help him. He was running in great form prior to Ascot and a reproduction of that will see him take this. The quicker the ground the better for him!
 
THE FUGUE 1550 SANDOWN (treble) – (unplaced) I thought she ran a decent race at Ascot and it will have brought her on leaps and bounds. The girls don't have a great record in this but I think she will take this. She will love the ground and will be a lot closer come the furlong pole and she can storm past them.
 
WOODLAND ARIA 1515 SANDOWN – (unplaced) she was impressive first time out and looks a filly to watch. The mile is her optimum trip and I fancy her beat NARGYS here, my only worry is the ground may be too quick for her.
 
As well as these four I'm going with the following four in an each way Lucky 15.
 
BANOFFEE 1455 HAYDOCK – (unplaced) won very well at Chester and then was supplemented for the Oaks where the track and more importantly the ground beat her. On a faster surface here she should show her true form.
 
ES QUE LOVE 1440 SANDOWN – (2nd – 16-1) here I go again with my cliff horse! However, he has run really well of late and this mile wihich will be run quickly should suit and 25-1 on his Royal Ascot form is huge in my opinion.
 
HANOVERIAN BARON 1530 HAYDOCK – (unplaced) another horse who was in top form before Ascot and he never got close there. Prior to that his run at York when just pipped by SIR JOHN HAWKWOOD is decent form. The ground should suit and he now has an extra five pounds in hand with OPINION and that doesn't take into account his riders claim. Could run a huge race at a big price.
 
TWEETIE PIE 1505 BEVERLEY – (WON – 50-1) wasn't that impressive on debut but I follow Declan Carroll alot and he can get a horse flying on these courses in Yorkshire and this one with a run under its belt should improve, again a massive price in my opinion.
 
If you're having a flutter today, good luck and remember to bet within your means. Enjoy the sun and the racing.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 41/189 = 21.7%
Wins 168/949 = 17.7%
Placed 251/949 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44.1%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.33

Derby Day

Derby day, steeped in history and THE race to win if you want to be a breeeding success. A unique race on a unique track always throws up bad luck in running and gives us a new superstar. It's the most famous race in the world, sit back and enjoy. Here are my best three today, plus a few others.
 
If you're having a flutter, good luck. Thanks for reading the blog and hopefully there are a few winners here today!
 
ASSIZES 1705 MUSSELBURGH (nap) – (3rd – 9-2) this horse really hasn't progressed as expected. This is a drop down in class and hopefully a confidence booster. He is fully 11lbs lower than when he ran Sir John Hawkwood close last year. The quicker ground will help and he should have too much class for these today.
 
MATROOH 1510 DONCASTER (nb) – (3rd – 11-4) a smooth course and distance success last time was impressive and was further franked by the runner up going and winning next time out. There should be more to come for this one.
 
LA FORTUNATA 1515 EPSOM (treble) – (unplaced) this horse hasn't won for a while and is consistently very good. Epsom form is key in these races and his form at the track reads 24322. He was beaten a short head last time and is a further pound better off with AJJAADD today. The drying ground will help further and he has a fantastic each way chance.
 
MARS 1600 EPSOM – (unplaced) this horse was favourite for this race before he even ran last year. He has plenty of speed in him and is a hold up horse and that could be key for me today, 9 outof the last 15 winners have been from off the pace. The O'Brien's will be wanting a strong pace to fully test the stamina of DAWN APPROACH (I don't think he will stay!), Richard Hughes is a master at judging pace as we saw yesterday in the Oaks and I reckon he could follow up here. If this guy stays balanced and is near the pace coming off Tattenham Corner he could bolt through.
 
NEIGHBOTHER 1405 EPSOM – (unplaced) this horse has strong 6f breeding being a brother to Age of Chivalry. He won well at Warwick last time and that form was franked when the runner up MIDNITE ANGEL won by 6 lengths next time out. This horse has potential to improve further.
 
I'm also having an each way flutter on my old cliff horse ES QUE LOVE 1545 DONCASTER(unplaced) he's back at 7f on good ground and has dropped a few pounds to below his last winning mark.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 39/175 = 22.3%
Wins 161/884 = 18.2%
Placed 235/884 = 26.6%

Win and Placed = 44.8%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£63.33