Ayr Gold Cup

I'm sat writing my blog in a different location today. We're in a fantastic country house in Witton-le-Wear in County Durham. My dad is 65 today so there are 14 of us in this house for the weekend. Beautiful house and beautiful location. Fly fishing in the River Wear just half a mile away, a nature reserve at the back of the garden and a pub across the road, heaven!
Lets hope the blog chucks up a few winners today, if you can find the winner of both the Silver and Gold cups today at Ayr not only will you take a big paycheck home but you can be classed 'King of the Punters'! Betfred are offering 5 places on those races so you have to have a dabble.
 
DUKE OF FIRENZE 1550 AYR (nap) – has won over 5 and 6f and will like the ground. He's been a little disappointing of late for the Cowell yard, however this horse is class and Cowell really can get them going. He won the Epsom dash last year of 2lbs higher than this and his third to Ajjaad last time showed the possibilities of a return to form. A big price and he could run a big race.
 
LEXINGTON ABBEY 1440 AYR (nb) – this horse has been super consistent this year and his last two runs have caught the eye behind improving types. This is the type of race that will suit off a feather weight, add the fact he is potentially well drawn and has a certain Pat Smullen on board he has to have a great chance.
 
ROSEBURG 1455 NEWBURY (treble) – his last run was disappointing based on his previous exploits this season, but the ground for me was the cause. The softer conditions today should ensure the return to the form he showed prior to that run. He must run well today but Air Pilot could be much better than his mark.
 
PASTORAL GIRL 1405 AYR – she has been running in some good races this year and her run at Ascot behind Osaila was really good amd a reproduction of that would surely make her trouble the judge. This track will suit her style more too as I think the undulations of Salisbury didnt help either.
 
Here are my dad's selections :
 
AIR PILOT 1455 NEWBURY
JUSTICE DAY 1530 NEWBURY
GO FAR 1550 AYR
OSTEOPATHIC REMEDY 1625 AYR
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Scottish National

myWPEdit Image

Here we go again! The second big National within a week and to go with it a cracking card at Newbury featuring the Greenham. The blog produced a few inners last week with my nb COURT MINSTREL going in at 16-1 and WHISPER at 4-1. Not to let the ship down my dad came good with LAC FONTANA 9-2 and BALDER SUCCES 7-2. Hope you followed. I have opened a bit of a profit gap up with my dad as you can see below due to COURT MINSTREL.

On to today and the selections are below :

JACOB CATS 1530 NEWBURY (NAP) – (unplaced -£5.00) he looked a decent handicapper a few years ago when under the care of Richard Hannon Snr. Judged on that form he has dropped to a very appealing handicap mark and is albs lower than his last handicap success. Has moved yards and from a high draw with Hanagan on board I think he has a cracking chance at a big price.

TIDAL BAY 1550 AYR (NB) – (unplaced -£5.00) I know, I know – he’s not my nap, but that shows how much I fancy my nap today! I was gutted last week when he was effectively brought down. He is chucked in again off this mark making most of the others run out of the handicap. He has to give albs to his nearest rival is rating 19lbs higher too. He’s the class horse, he will stay and the trainer said he was bouncing this week. The ground should be sort enough and even if it fires a little he has success on good to soft! Come on my boy! I’m also throwing a few pence at YES TOM too. He ran out an impressive winner on his debut for the yard and his record at Ayr reads 2,2,2,1,4,1,2,3,3. Mr Carberry comes over to ride and he has to have a cracking chance too.

J WONDER 1420 NEWBURY (TREBLE) – (WON 4-1 = £12.50) this filly really caught my eye last year when drawing away from the field at Newmarket with MIDNITE ANGEL. They demolished that lot and then she ran behind LUCKY KRISTALE in the Lowther and never got into it in conditions that were probably too fast. She is a sister to CHACHAMAIDEE who developed late and this second season could see some real improvement and I’m chancing her to turn over AL THAKHIRA.

KINGMAN 1455 NEWBURY (WON 15-8 = £5.86) this is a cracking Greenham and should be a proper Guineas trial with a lot of the top contenders opposing each other. My selection looked every bit a class horse last year and for me I think there will be even more to come from him in the classic year, starting today. I’m fascinated to see how ASTAIRE runs over 7f as he was very good last year. LAT HAWILL won easily last time and takes a big step up and I may have had a bit on him but for Frank being in the saddle. Knowing him he will leave the horse with too much to do. Sit back and enjoy!

COURT MINSTREL 1440 AYR (2nd – 8-1) did us a favour last week and despite a alb penalty he has to have a chance but MY TENT OR YOURS is similar to the Tidal Bay scenario – he is the class horse, however giving that weight over shorter will effect him more in my opinion and it may set it up for the MINSTREL to come late again!

My Dad’s selections are:

ASTAIRE 1455 NEWBURY (unplaced -£5.00)

MONTBAZON 1440 AYR (unplaced -£5.00)

VALCO DE TOUZAINE 1515 AYR (unplaced -£5.00)

GREEN FLAG 1550 AYR (unplaced -£5.00)

Running totals

FATHER 6-8 SON

Profit

FATHER £47.42

SON £129.66

Newbury

Only a short blog today as I'm short of time!last week was a decent week with my nap GREY GOLD (4-1) and my nb GRENDISAR (9-4) winning. Despite the heavens opening we are racing again today! Here are my selections below – hopefully throwing a winner or two up.
 
FAR WEST 1535 NEWBURY (nap) – (FELL = -£5.00) was a top juvenile last year and handles the ground really well. Returned a bad scope last time behind MELODIC RENDEZVOUS and he would have been closer but for the stomach ulcers he had. If he is close to Melodic then he will be close here today. You generally need to have a bit in your locker and I think this guy has as I think he's better than his current mark. Harry's 5lb will really he,p in this ground as it did last week.
 
AL FEROF 1425 NEWBURY (nb) – (2nd – 5-4 = £0.78) the ground could be getter for this boy but I still think he will take all the beating today and for me 13/8 is a huge price. He'll jump them into the ground and has more class thean any of these. He should win comfortably.
 
DODGING BULLETS 1500 NEWBURY (treble) – (2nd – = £1.25) this finishes off my Nicholls treble and he has been a revelation over fences. He was decent over the smaller obstacles but has shown huge improvements in the sphere. It will be a battle with MODULE but he has a touch more ability for me.
 
ANDY KELLY 1350 NEWBURY – (FELL = -£5.00) hardly had any racing compared to others. Will like the ground and has some decent form in the book, beating KILMURVY easily and then going down by a short margin at Ascot.
 
Here are my Dad's choices for today :
 
UPSWING 1350 NEWBURY (WON 11-4 = £8.59)
IRISH SAINT 1535 NEWBURY (3rd – 6-1 = £3.75)
NIGHT OF PASSION 1550 WARWICK (unplaced = -£5.00)
THOMAS BROWN 1640 NEWBURY (unplaced = -£5.00)
 
Current standing are :
Father 5-4 Son
 
Profit :
SON = £70.85
FATHER = £75.85
 

The Welsh National

This photo was one of my favourite racing moments, when the amazing Tidal Bay was given a peach of a ride by Ruby Walsh in last year's Lexus Chase. He's my favourite horse in racing and is a legend before today. Could he do the impossible today? Yesterday was a cracking day on the blog for me and my old man with MICKIE (5-2), ELY BROWN (13-8) and PEPITE ROSE, the nap, going in at 4-1. My old man still made more profit than me though with IPSOS DU BERLAIS getting placed in the big chase at Leopardstown.
He's 2-0 up now and way in front of me on profit, time to claw some back today! Each selection is a £2.50 each way.
 
TIDAL BAY 1435 CHEPSTOW (nap) – (3rd – 10-1 = £6.25) everyone I listen to is doubting this old boy, not me! He is the class horse in the race, as judged on the weights and so many horses running from out the handicap. He could have gone anywhere over the Xmas period but they have opted for this, he will relish the ground, trust me. He won the BET365 Gold Cup the other year on soft ground, but it was a right slog and he cruised through it. That is the same trip as this and he carried 11-12 that day too. This track will suit him and he will be able to come from off the pace late as other horses are stopping. Remember he was second to Bob's Worth in the Hennessey last year, giving him 6lbs. He is great in these handicaps! He will need to use all his class to win this, but he is a legend and this will write him into the history books! I believe! Do you?
 
PATEESE 1450 NEWBURY (nb) – (2nd – 9-2 = £2.81) ran back to form last time behind Mickie at track. He has been raised 5lbs for that, but that form is strong, especially after Mickie outstaying them all yesterday again. He should run another cracker!
 
FRONTIER SPIRIT 1510 CHEPSTOW (treble) – (unplaced = -£5.00) has been dropped to mark just 2lbs higher than when winning at Newbury on heavy ground over 2m6f. He will relish the ground and his first two runs need a line through as for me he was pitched too high. This race is more his level and he is on an appealing mark as mentioned. The ground will really come into play and with MAIL DE BIEVRE making all it should play into his strengths as this is over slightly shorter. Chance!
 
SOLAR IMPULSE 1400 CHEPSTOW – (unplaced = -£5.00) has been snapped upby top connections that you have to take note of. He could be anything, but for me he has won on heavy ground in France. When it is heavy over there it is bottomless and that will surely play into his hamds today with the forecast going at Chepstow. He has good breeding and is out of the same sire as GRANDIOSO another one of these connections horses. Has a big chance to open his account
 
Those are my four for my blog purposes, I also fancy GLEN COUNTES 1245 Newbury,RESTLESS HARRY 1315 Newbury and MOORLANDS MIST 1330 Chepstow.
 
Here are my old man's four for today :
 
BRACKLOON HIGH 1330 CHEPSTOW (unplaced = -£5.00)
RENARD 1510 CHEPSTOW (WON – 7-1 = £21.88)
VINTAGE STAR 1435 CHEPSTOW (unplaced = -£5.00)
HOWARDS LEGACY 1315 NEWBURY (unplaced = -£5.00)
 
Running totals – FATHER 2 SON 0

Father = £64.68 profit
Son = £20.39 profit
 
 
Result
Father = £6.88
Son = – £0.96.
FATHER 3 SON 0
Totals
Father = £71.54 profit
Son = £19.43 profit

Hennesey Gold Cup

One of my favourite races hits our screens tomorrow with the Hennessy Gold Cup at Newbury. Some of the horses that have won this race truely are greats, ONE MAN, SUNY BAY, TEETON MILL and of course the awesome machine that is DENMAN! Bobs Worth won it last year before his Gold Cup success. Who will it be come quarter past three on Saturday! I think I've picked the winner!
 
PRINCE DE BEAUCHENE 1500 NEWBURY (nap) – this horse will habe to produce a career best to take this and buckle trends for the race but I reckon he can! He was favourite for the Grand National last year and has always had a touch of class. Horses high in the handicap have done pretty well over recent years and he has been primed for this in my opinion. I backed him last time at Down Royal and he was always thereabouts but was never asked too much. After the race I said to my old man that they kept him off the pace for a reason, he could have challenged but never did! For me it was a pipe opener for this, he travels and jumps well and will enjoy the track. I also have to have a saver on OPENING BATSMAN who has run too bad to be true the ladt twice and 33-1 as I write this is ridiculous considering his run when beating ROLLING ACES last year.
 
VIOLIN DAVIS 1320 NEWBURY (nb) – was a smart novice last year and hasn't produced since. Dropped back to class three level here and a slight drop in trip could be all in his favour. Still on the same mark as that last win could prove to be the key, big price, big chance.
 
GASSIN GOLF 1350 NEWBURY (treble) – the trip will bring out the best in this horse tomorrow I'm convinced. He was a stayer on the flat and was pitched in at a high level on his hurdles debut. Has always been classy and this race could be his turn to shine.
 
Whatever you opt for tomorrow – enjoy the racing and good luck!
 

Racing Post Trophy

The curtain raiser on the flat season! It's been a decent season, we have been treated to TORONADO and DAWN APPROACH. We have seen an awesome performance from TREVE in the Ark and many other good moments. I have really enjoyed seeing the rejuvenation of Johnny Murtagh too, what a season he has had. Overall I have been disappointed with my performance on the flat, although I did manage to find a 66-1 winner in TWEETY PIE. The jumps start for real next week and that is my true passion so hopefully I can pick up a few winners for everyone.
 
On to today, here are my selections, good luck if you're having a flutter!
 
PECKHAMECHO 1610 CHEPSTOW (nap) – if this guy can reproduce his run in the Welsh Champion Hurdle then he should take this. That day he ran off a mark of 138, and is now at 140, after being dropped a few pounds due to a non convincing run behind Princely Player. At Ffos Las he had the like of The Romford Pele and Balder Success behind him, the strength of that form is good and I'm very hopeful.
 
DUTCH ROMANCE 1605 NEWBURY (nb) – won well at Salisbury in the mud last time and with similar conditions should run well. AERTEX came out of that race well behind my selection and won, strengthening the form a little. I think the 9-2 at the moment is a great price based on that.
 
MWALESHI 1355 AINTREE (treble) – front runner and won a Grade 2 last time, will relish the ground and despite the rise in his rating, I'm sure there is more to come from this one. Could run them into the ground today.
 
EXTRA NOBLE 1420 NEWBURY – this is a tougher contest for sure but he has done nothing wrong so far and has excellent battling qualities that I think will help today. Should enjoy the ground and has a decent each way chance at a big price
 
VALBCHEK 1515 DONCASTER – this is becoming a cliff horse, however I am convinced he is better than he has been showing and the drop back to 5f may help sharpen him up today and the booking of Ryan Moore, who has won on him previously is an eye catching one.
 
SOMEWHAT 1550 DONCASTER – this fella has the strongest form (and heart) in the book and has done nothing but impress me all year. He will go at it from the front and on this softer ground I don't think anything will go past him!
 
SIR DU BEARN 1520 STRATFORD – won on this card last year and was a Paul Nicholls horse prior to that who never got going, will live the ground, the trip and is from a shrewd yard, local to the track. Could surprise again!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 43/211 = 20.4%
Wins 177/1079 = 16.4%
Placed 279/1079 = 25.8%

Win and Placed = 42.3%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.83

Saturday selections

What a feast of racing there is on offer today. With some fantastic horses competing in Group races and tough handicaps, and all this with York's Ebor meeting on the horizon! We're certainly in for a treat or two over the upcoming week. Enjoy the racing today and good luck if you are having a bet, hopefully I can find a few winners and the Saturday nap again!
 
LASTCHANCELUCAS 1545 CHESTER (nap) – (2nd – 4-1) really caught the eye last time out when finishing a very close sixth at Pontefract, despite running wide and being hampered in running. That run was much more like what he is capable of and will have more chance if the forecast rain falls too. Really confident about this ones chances today.
 
SECRETINTHEPARK 1455 NEWMARKET (nb) – (2nd – 13-2) won well here earlier in the season and looked a decent animal. Looked back to that level when third here last time. Today he is much better off in the weights than he was with the two infront of him last time, and that could prove pivotal.
 
MAGLIETTA FINA 1420 NEWMARKET (treble) – (unplaced) has some decent form in Italy, particularly on good ground. Has taken time to adapt to British racing judged on the last two runs. The rain that has fallen will help as I think last time the ground was a little quick. Has been kept on the same mark as the last run amd I think has a big chance judged on that today.
 
BLANC DE CHINE 1615 DONCASTER – (unplaced) has a very good strike rate and the application of a hood today should help the concentration further. Ultra consistent at Class 3 and 4 and has won on good and good to firm ground, has a good chance here today.
 
CORNISH PATH 1350 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) followed up her earlier Kempton success with a very encouraging second last time here. Has a chance to go one better today.
 
CHOOSEDAY 1450 RIPON – (4th – 6-1) has been running really well of late and won on this day at Chester last year! He is a dual 6f winner and ran very well at Glorious Goodwood last time in a hot race. Has a great chance from stall 1.
 
BLAINE 1530 RIPON – (unplaced) I need my head looking at with this one! However, I am still convinced this horse is much better than he's been showing! He won the Gimcrack last year and despite showing absolutely zip so far this year, he may be falling to a mark that befits his ability. Willing to give him one more go. BACCARAT was just getting going when he was badly hampered by the terrible fall involving Amy Ryan last time, and could run a big race. As could SECRET WITNESS, whose chances I really like, despite his draw.
 
My final two selections come at Newbury.
 
I'M YOUR MAN 1440 NEWBURY – (unplaced) suffered a head defeat last time to Lost in the Moment when conceding weight to that rival. They are both off level weights today and that could prove the telling fact as I think my selection will out battle his old foe in the closing stages
 
SOFT FALLING RAIN 1515 NEWBURY – (2nd – 9-4) this horse really is class, and has looked every bit a superstar this year. The Dubai form isn't that hot but I reckon he has way more class than the rivals today and should win this easy enough.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 43/202 = 21.3%
Wins 173/1017 = 17%
Placed 269/1017 = 26.5%

Win and Placed = 43.5%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£54.83

Saturday Selections

I haven't done a blog for a while but been incredibly busy with work and then had a fantastic weekend away in Leeds last weekend. With a feast of racing on offer today it was time to put that right. I hope I can find a few winners here today and have a big priced selection on offer again.
 
GALAXY ROCK 1550 MARKET RASEN (nap) – (FELL) this horse has a touch of class and can stay much further than this today. He hasn't won for a while now but today is the day. I hope there will be a strong pace due to the nature of the race, if not I would expect to see the Champ push him on from the front and use all of his stamina.
 
KRYPTON FACTOR 1515 NEWBURY (nb) – (3rd – 13-8) this one has some very solid form on offer including a good third at Royal Ascot. Nothing on paper should get near him today and he has the class to take this at a canter.
 
GOLDREAM 1650 NEWMARKET (treble) – (unplaced) drops down a class today after a decent effort in defeat behind Masamah last time at Ascot. He ran really well behind Ancient Cross at York earlier on and he is a course winner. Huge chance today.
 
WEISSE SOCKEN 1550 NEWBURY – (unplaced) this is step up for this filly, but it is for most of these. She ran well when winning last time at Chester and caught my eye as one to follow. Ralph Beckett is a master with the ladies and the booking of William Buick catches the eye too. Outstanding each way cance in my opinion at a huge price.
 
If you are having a flutter today, do so within your means and enjoy the racing!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/191 = 21.9%
Wins 168/952 = 17.6%
Placed 251/952 = 26.3%

Win and Placed = 44%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£58.83

Tuesday’s treble

Monday's nap HIPSTER ran a stinker, yet the nb got pipped on the line! Let's hope Tuesday fairs better!
 
Here are my best three for Tuesday.
 
BERMONDSEY BOB 1645 BRIGHTON (nap) – (non runner) has a great record here with a few course and distance successes. His second last time in a class higher was a solid showing. He is also 6lbs lower than his last winning mark. The draw is the only negative.
 
JEWELLERY 1830 NEWTON ABBOT (nb) – (4th – 9-1) course and distance winner and the return to this trip should be ideal for her and should bring out improvement. She has a real chance at this grade on her last winning mark.
 
LIGHT ROSE 2035 NEWBURY (treble) – (3rd – 6-1) won well on debut and there was something obviously amiss last time out. She has had a break since then and if something was wrong then, she could bunce back here.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 40/183 = 21.8%
Wins 164/926 = 17.7%
Placed 247/926 = 26.7%

Win and Placed = 44.4%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£62.33

Super Saturday

This is my first blog for over a week, just haven't had the time recently and was in Warwick last weekend at their evening meeting. What a night that was, I had CAPO ROSSO there which won at 8-1, however, when the bookies first put the prices up for that race he was 20-1 in a few places. When I went back with my winning slip and the bookie saw my price his face was a picture! Happy days!
 
Anyway on to today after a belting week at York. There are some fantastic races on around the country today and have spent a good bit of time this morning on them. Got quite a few selections so have put up three Lucky 15's today, including my normal best three. Enjoy the racing and good luck.
 
Lucky 15 Number 1

IMPERIAL DJAY 1710 THIRSK (nap) – (unplaced) this horse hasn't quite hit form yet this season but is now an incredible 10lbs lower than his last win. He has two course and distance successes here, at todays class and class 5, both of those on good ground. The last time he won a class 4 was off a mark of 83 at Chester, today's mark…..83. This sprinters run well in behind and gradually their marks drop, I can see this boy bouncing back to form off this mark today.
 
BEAUTY PARLOUR 1550 NEWBURY – (NR) the doubt with some of these horses is whether they are actually group one class or not. With a Group 1 victory to her name over the distance this girl has that. The master Cecil will have used the winter to work out how to make her tick and her last run should be discounted on that alone. Massive chance today for me.
 
DICK BOS 1525 THIRSK – (unplaced) won well on softer ground last season at Windsor for the Hannon team last year and he caught my eye then. Mr O'Meara usually gets a grasp of new horses early in his yard and he showed a return to form at Ripon last time. He is 4 lb better off with Klynch for a one and a half length defeat and the trainer was bullish about his chances is morning.
 
CRUISETOTHELIMIT 1450 THIRSK – (unplaced) the reappearance second behind CHEWOREE is pretty decent form and he had excuses last time. CHEWOREE didnt exactly boost the form at York this week but threw his chances away at the start despite being very well fancied. With the ground a bit softer he has to have a huge chacnce and money has come already for him.
 
Lucky 15 Number 2

JEHANNEDARC 1405 NEWBURY (treble) – (3rd – 9-2) I was really impressed woth this horse's last run behind KHIONE last time. One the same mark and over slightly further those battling qualities should come in to play today. The booking of Ryan Moore is another huge plus.
 
HODGSON 1540 BANGOR – (WON 7-2) has yet to get off the mark but it is not for trying! After dropping another 3 lbs in the ratings and the application of head gear again may revitalise things. Today has to be the day!
 
RIOT OF COLOUR 1440 NEWBURY – (unplaced) I have backed this horse a few times and there has to be excuses for her latest terrible run. She is able to go on any ground and I reckon this drop back to 6f will suit her, she can use some of her reserves to come late up to the line. Could be a massive price due to that last poor run.
 
KITTEN ON THE RUN 1515 NEWBURY – (unplaced) this horse is the unknown quantity in the race. However, he is unbeaten and won at a mile last time at Listed Class and is bred to stay this trip. The trainer is very good with these middle distance horses and I think that he is pitching him in here for his first run reflects against some highly fancied types reflects his thoughts of the horse. Could muller these at a big price.
 
Lucky 15 Number 3

COMRADE BOND 1345 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) has three 7f successes to his name at Yarmouth. His comeback run there was decent and that could set him up nicely here. He has won at a higer level than this and wasnt far behind last time out.
 
CARAVAN ROLLS ON 1420 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) this horse won well first time out after a lay off last year and was an unlucky fifth last run. He is on the same mark as that performance and likes it running fresh. Lots of possibilities – one negative – Jamie Spencer!!
 
SECRETINTHEPARK 1455 NEWMARKET (nb) – (unplaced) this horse is one of mine to follow since winning well last season. I tipped him to win last time at the Guineas meeting and I thought that was impressive. I reckon there is still more to come and the doubters are out talking about others reversing the form. Not me, he has more to offer and his price may get bigger with the doubters!
 
DUNDONELL 1530 NEWMARKET – (WON 15-8) a class two year old and he put in some good runs. This return to 6f will help and I dont think anything else in this race has the ability to beat him. Simple as.
 
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 39/173 = 22.5%
Wins 159/867 = 18.3%
Placed 230/867 = 25.4%

Win and Placed = 44.8%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£60.33