Kempton – Betbright Chase

It's not too bad a day today for racing. A few pointers to the festival and a couple of competitive handicaps in the Betbright Chase and the Eider Chase. Not ling to go now until the festival and I'm starting to draw up my list!! Brimg it on! Here are today's selections :
OPENING BATSMAN 1535 KEMPTON (nap)
This fella won this race when I napped him a few years ago as a novice, read it here. He has dropped to the same mark again of OR140. Good ground is crucial to him and he ran a cracker here a couple of starts ago and came up the home straight in the lead. He just didnt last the trip in the ground. He carried 11st 10lbs that day and with the apprentice's claim he only has 10 stone on his back today!! That is a huge difference and I'm expecting a huge run from this sound jumper. He will be up with the pace which is important here and I think he'll tussle it out with his stablemate. Huge price too!
 
BATAVIR 1545 CHEPSTOW (nb)

I have backed this guy all year as I'm convinced he will win a race like this. He has been very disappointing so far and looks a shadow of the horse who bounced onto our shores a few seasons ago. I still think he's got it though, and interestingly he's finally back down to his last winning mark. It's a cracking race this but I really do fancy him today and their is support in the market too.
 
WYCK HILL 1450 NEWCASTLE (treble)

Another previous winner, and another returning to his last winning mark of OR133. He won this off that mark two years ago and he will relish the trip and despite the ground maybe not being as heavy as he likes, soft ground over four miles at a decent clip will help him!
 
MUTHMIR 1345 LINGFIELD

Performed very well last year and was third in both the Kings Stand and the Prix De L'Abbaye to the sprint revelation of last year, GOLDREAM. He won at Glorious Goodwood and has shown enough class and speed in his tank to take this. My only thought is the about the surface?
 
My dad's selections are :
ROCKY CREEK 1535 KEMPTON
DRAYTONIAN 1420 KEMPTON
SUMMERY JUSTICE 1450 NEWCASTLE
BATAVIR 1545 CHEPSTOW
 
Standings
 
FATHER 2-5 SON
PROFIT/LOSS
Father – £79.34
Son +£17.96
 
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Hennessy Gold Cup

Photo by Mark Cranham (racing post.com/photos)
 
One winner on the blog last week and it is the last time we'll see ROCK ON RUBY on a racecourse. Sad news to hear about him being retired but if it prolongs his life then it's worth it. What a fabulous horse he is and how much he has given to the cause. It was great to see him back to his best for one last time! Had retirement fella! On to Newbury today and the key early Gold Cup pointer race! I'm looking forward to watching what should be a awesome race!
 
Here are my selections for today :
 
FINGAL BAY 1500 NEWBURY (nap)
He broke a blood vessel in this last year and returns on a mark that is 9lbs lower than last year. He has always been a very smart horse, especially over hurdles. He has lowered the colours of SIMONSIG, DYNASTE and SOUTHFIELD THEATRE. He ran a creditable race behind SMAD PLACE at Kempton last time and is now 8lbs better off with that rival today. Over this extended distance that is alot and he has always enjoyed staying races. I'm sure they will have sorted his jumping out and he is now a 9 year old amd this may be his year as the top chasing horse. You need class to win this race and he has bags of it! SAPHIR DU RHEU is a lovely horse and his trainer thinks lots of him, but to win this with 11st 12lbs and as a six year old? Too much I reckon! BOBS WORTH showed a bit of form last time but I think the old flame for this type of race doesnt burn brightly enough. NED STARK is another that catches my eye.
 
MA FILLUELE 1350 NEWBURY (nb)
This one's price is shortening all the time! She didn't really run a race last time at Wetherby and she may now be better over the bigger obstacles. However, I'm intrigued that they persevere over hurdles and this slightly longer trip will help too. She's a classy mare and her mark has been dropped by a crazy 10lbs because of her Wetherby run. That's a full 23lbs lower than her chase mark where she has been second to the likes of HOLYWELL, BALDER SUCCESS and UXIZANDRE. Interestingly this is a return to a previous winning hurdles mark of OR134 when she beat SWINCOMBE FLAME over this trip at Warwick.
 
BIG CASINO 1315 NEWBURY (treble)
I really fancied this guy when he ran first time out at Cheltenham. He ran well for along way that day and just didn't stay the trip at that pace. He's been dropped 2lbs by the handicapper and also drops in class 2, as well as a three furlong shorter trip. That's a lot of boxes ticked for me, he also has an apprentice taking 5lbs off to give him a great racing weight. If they go positively with him again they not peg him back.
 
KATACHENKO 1355 DONCASTER
Defeated MON SUCCESSEUR at Wetherby on his seasonal debut in a class 3 chase just short of two miles. He steps back up in trip today but he has won at this distance before and he's only been raised one pound by the handicapper for his last win. MON SUCCESSEUR was only just pipped yesterday to boost the form a little and this horse is worth watching!
 
My Dad's selections are :
 
 
PLACINGS
FATHER 1-2 SON
PROFIT/LOSS
Father – £29.39
Son -£8.21
I also like these elsewhere – STAGE ONE 1250 DONCASTER, HARVEY HOPE 1430 DONCASTER and CALIVIGNY 1300 NEWCASTLE
 

Kempton and Newcastle

So, the blog returns after an unscheduled week off. I cannot put into words how dreadful I felt last week after a night on the town. It took me until about 6pm to come around! It really is devil’s brew! So onto the horses with the magnificent festival getting ever closer on the horizon. I will do a blog everyday for the festival and do a piece on every race. The superb photo above is courtesy of Fran, give her a follow @Riosrider2. I’ve had a good study of the races today and hopefully have found a few little beauties who I think have a great chance. I have to apologise to one of the #twittergamble boys – @Tonythetyke tipped a winner last week and of course with me being incapacitated it didnt get on here! Sorry mate – hopefully you’ll win today. The #twittergamble is below :
 
@Tonythetyke – FILL THE POWER 1455 NEWCASTLE
@Fernando_RFC2 – LONG JOHN 1645 CHEPSTOW
@LiamKenniford – LE REVE 1545 KEMPTON
@DazGilbert1 – FOGGYS WALL 1620 KEMPTON
 
Here are my selections for today
 
LANDSCAPE 1620 KEMPTON (nap) (PU = -£5.00)
As always I try and find a decent priced nap. This guy was one of my horses to follow a couple of seasons ago when with Paul Nicholls. I put him up here on the blog when he ran at Haydock in March 2013 off a mark of OR130. He coasted up that day in a class 2 with 11 stone 4lb on his back and fell at the last flight when he would have won easily. I was surprised he got sold by the Nicholls team and he had a long absence before pulling up and then came back after another absence in January and needed the run badly. He is running off a very appealing mark today of OR125 he won’t mind the ground at all and if he’s fit, which I think he will be, rhe should run a cracker! I’ve been waiting for this guy to come back for ages! Today is the day!
 
WOODFORD COUNTY 1455 NEWCASTLE (nb) (3rd – 14–1 = £8.75)
Won well for this rider at Newbury in November of a mark of OR125 and then travelled ok when fancied for the Coral Welsh National. That ground really was terrible that day and it really took it toll on horses, my guy included. To say he finished and kept going shows he has stamina and with a return to better ground off the same mark he ran off in the Welsh National he has to have a great chance. He was touted as a smart horse and that’s not going to have changed after one ropey run. The claimers allowance will really help over this distance too and I expect him to be staying on when others a faultering. I hope ALPHA VICTOR decides to have an off day as I think he could be the main danger after a promising run behind JOIN THE CLAN at Wetherby last time.
 
TAP NIGHT 1545 KEMPTON (treble) (UR = -£5.00)
This fella hasnt won for ages and ran at Aintree a couple of seasons ago off a mark of OR145. He has slowly come down the handicap and runs today off the same mark (OR130) when he ran eye catching well behind ANNACOTTY and my selection that day BIG FELLA THANKS. I watched him and thought next time! He here is off a feather weight with Dickie Johnson on board. He could make a mockery of this today, I just hope he reproduces what he did at Cheltenham last time, if he does he has a great chance!

TOP OF THE GLAS 1400 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)
This fellawasnt too bad on the flat and beat the likes of COULSTY last year and also INTRANSIGENT. He has been a little unlucky in his races and his trainers rates him as a good prospect. This is a big step up but I give him a squeak and he could be one to watch.
 
My Dad’s selections are :
 
MELODIC RENDEZVOUS 1435 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)
RENARD 1545 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)
KNOCKANRAWLEY 1455 NEWCASTLE (4th – 10-1 = £6.25)
AWAYTHEGREYS 1610 CHEPSTOW (unplaced = -£5.00)
 
Standings
Father 6-7 Son
Profit
Father -£51.07
Son £153.24
 

The Hennessy Gold Cup

myWPEdit Image

Photo courtesy of Sporting Life

The twitter gamble last week didn’t fair to badly with @DazGilbert1’s selection Silviniaco Conti (100-30) and @Fernando_RFC2’s selection FLETCHER’S FLYER (11-10) winning. The guys have put up some more tips for today. See below and remember to give them a follow!

I was gobsmacked by how poorly UNCLE JIMMY ran last week, there had to be something amiss he was being pushed along from over a circuit out, interestingly he still stayed on at the end. TAQUIN DE SEUIL I feel needs to go back over hurdles after that showing, doesn’t look like a chaser to me, although he’ll probably go and win a big race now I’ve said that! AL FEROF (5-2) won for the Bandit on the blog and he was very impressive, I’m hoping the same connections do it for me today in the big one! My dad won last week on the profit front and takes a 2-1 lead. On to today and another cracking day with one of my favourite races of the season – The Hennessy. I was on good old Denman a few years ago when he defied top weight in one of the best performances I have ever seen, lets hope we get another cracking race today, and we should!

The Twitter Gamble Lucky 15 is :

@DazGilbert1 VOLT FACE 1315 TOWCESTER

@LiamKenniford FINGAL BAY 1500 NEWBURY

@Fernando_RFC2 HAMMERSLY LAKE 1350 NEWBURY

@Tonythe Tyke UT MAJEUR AULMES 1535 NEWBURY

On to The Bandit’s selections for today!

UNIONISTE 1500 NEWBURY (NAP) – The Bandit’s tradition is always to have a nap that has a bit of value. This guy has to have that at 16-1 as I write this. Not many horse in the past few years have won this a double figure odds but I reckon my selection has a real chance. Last year his defeat of WISHFUL THINKING at Aintree was smart and he is a pound lower in the ratings today, that could prove to be a very reasonable mark judged on the second’s performances since then. This fella goes well at this time of the year and he will love the ground. Generally he’s a tidy jumper and you need to be to stay this and win. He has had a wind operation which can really sort a horse out and while he will come on for the run the Nicholls string are firing at the minute. This horse for me is way better than his current mark suggests and I’m hoping he shows that today. FINGAL BAY could be his main opponent today, he stays all day and is a class horse. The way his yard are firing too has to make me put a few shekels on him too. Should be a bloody cracker!

DEFINITLY RED 1305 NEWCASTLE (NB) – this fella will go off favourite and at a short price but I have to put him in as I was so impressed how he went away from a decent bumper field last time at Cheltenham. He went straight on to my radar and this should be a stepping stone to greater things for him. One to watch for the season, I think he has the potential to be very good.

LIE FORRIT 1425 NEWCASTLE (TREBLE) – getting a bit long in the tooth but has always been a classy type. His defeat of NEPTUNE EQUESTER at Kelso in March is decent and his hurdle mark is far superior to his chase mark. He beat good old PIGEON ISLAND last time out to open his account of the sticks and has been raised 4lbs for that, not too harsh in my opinion. The ground shouldn’t be a problem and I’m hoping he shows improvement again today, this mark could be quite handy for him!

ALBERT BRIDGE 1350 NEWBURY – What an interesting runner this guy is! He has ran well on soft and heavy ground on the flat and has ran off a mark in the high 80’s in that sphere. Ran well and won last time in a maiden hurdle on soft ground at Plumpton. He is chucked in here today and could be anything and I like taking a punt on these types!

My Dad’s selections are :

EXITAS 1350 NEWBURY

THE DRUIDS NEPHEW 1500 NEWBURY

VICTORS SERENADE 1440 NEWCASTLE

ANQUETTA 1535 NEWBURY

Current Standings

Father 2-1 Son

Profit

Father -£12.26

Son £8.63

Pitmans Derby

Good morning from a wet Sheffield! To be honest I'm thankful for a bit of rain the hayfever has been killing me over recent weeks so any respite is a plus. I had a cracking time at Haydock last Saturday for their evening meeting. Only had one winner and a couple of seconds, the winner Steve Prescott goes again today at Chester – he looks a decent prospect. Anyway on to todays selections and the highlight is the Pitmans Derby today, its a bloody tough race to pick the winner – good luck with it! I'm opting for GLENARD to take the race. He looked progressive last year and has form on this type of ground, will get the trip and has a good each way chance.
 
CHANCERY 1455 NEWMARKET – (NAP) (3rd – 16-1 = £10.00) this horse has been knocking on the door of late but has also run a few disappointing races when fancied. There are a few ground question marks with some of these today and I'm chancing him to run back to form on ground that should suit. He has to reverse form with BATTALION from that race at Ripon which also had SUEGIOO back in third.
 
MIDNITE ANGEL 1745 NEWMARKET – (NB) (WON – 9-2 = £14.06) I thought this girl would run better at Royal Ascot. She showed great speed as a juvenile and hasnt met the requirements of the lofty targets she has has. This is a big drop in class and I think she has a cracking chance today.
 
ROYAL RASCAL 1515 NEWCASTLE – (TREBLE) (2nd -14-1 = £8.75) this filly is another one who has some decent form in the bag. She came just short against BONDESIRE at Chester, who has since run well. Off a mark 7lbs lower than when defeating ODOOJ at York. She has been running well of late, except last time out, but I'm willing to put a line through that. The quicker ground shouldnt be a hinderance, she finished 3rd to RODSHU QUEEN on good to firm. 20-1 is a bonkers price for me as I write this.
 
GOLDREAM 1610 WINDSOR – (NR) won well for the blog at Newmarket on 1000 Guineas day and then ran creditably on easier ground the next time. This faster surface will bring out the best in him and I'm hopeful of a winning race. Should get a good toe from a few front runners and then with Jimmy Fortune powering him through it could be set up nice for him.
 
I also like the chances of BODY AND SOUL 1440 NEWCASTLE and I'm intrigued to see how BONNIE GREY 1420 NEWMARKET runs on better ground.
 
My Dad's selections are :
MUTHMIR 1405 NEWCASTLE (2nd – 9-4 = £1.40)
SAAYERR 1440 NEWCASTLE (unplaced – = -£5.00)
GABRIELS LAD 1530 NEWMARKET (unplaced – =-£5.00)
ANGEL GABRIEL 1550 NEWCASTLE (WON 4-1 = £12.50)
 
Standings
Father 8-13 Son
Profit
Father +£55.49
Son +£194.98
 

Saturday at Kempton

A cracking day of racing ahead! I write the blog slightly hungover after a celebratory curry and few beers last night. The celebration – half term! Its going to be a cracker too as we're taking our girls to EuroDisney tomorrow and they don't know yet! I'm hoping a few of the selections come in to line the wallet ready for the trip! This time last year I napped OPENING BATSMAN to win the big race at Kempton and I think I've found the winner today! Hopefully my dad and I can keep the profit going! I need to do much better than last week!
 
BAILE ANRAI 1550 KEMPTON (nap) – really caught my eye when running a cracker behind The Rainbow Hunter last time on heavy at Doncaster. Has always had bits of decent form and I think the slightly better ground will help too. I think he's got a cracking chance today.
 
GREY GOLD 1505 CHEPSTOW (nb) – was really impressive how he stuck on and won at Sandown last time. Lots to like about that, he jumps soundly and will relish the conditions again.
 
SMOKING ACES 1455 NEWCASTLE (treble) – is a thorough stayer and will need to be today. Plugged on well in behind Emperor's Choice last time and Maurice Linnehan's claim will aid further in this marathon trip!
 
SWNYMOR 1430 CHEPSTOW – I've always liked this horse and he ran much better last time after a decent spin on the flat the time before. If he reproduces his best form he will win this. This race is the best chance he's had of getting his nose infront for a while.
 
Here are my Dad's selections :

GOOD TO KNOW 1355 CHEPSTOW
SMOKING ACES 1455 NEWCASTLE
TULLYESKER HILL 1540 CHEPSTOW
BAILE ANRAI 1550 KEMPTON

Here are the current standings :
 
Father 6-4 Son

Profit :
SON = £58.98
FATHER = £81.48

Stormy Saturday

Well what a week of weather that has been. A real shame that the Sandown and Wincanton cards have been claimed today. My focus for the blog is on a competitive and interesting Lingfield card that has some cracking races.
My old man has recovered from his New Year hangover to cast his four selections as he bids to maintain his 100% record and go 4-0 up on me! Don't know about anyone else but I could do with these selections landing, the Christmas celebrations have dwindled the Bandit's treasure chest!
So on to my four selections for today :
 
INDIAN JACK 1545 LINGFIELD (NAP) – (WON 5-1 = £15.63) It looks likely that he bounced last time after an encouraging run here in a class 3 handicap the time before. He stays on the same mark and the step back up to mile should help him here to come late from the bend. He has done all his winning over a mile and is a pound lower in the ratings than his last success. Has to have a good chance.
 
URAMAZIN 1435 LINGFIELD (NB) – (unplaced = -£5.00) was targetted as a hurdler ealrier in the year but has produced a couple of decent runs on the flat here over shorter. The step up to 12 furlongs should hopefully see further improvements and he should be in the shake up
 
WHAILEYY 1510 LINGFIELD (TREBLE) – (unplaced = -£5.00) was a head second in this last year off the same mark. He has saved his best for all weather and the booking of Buick is an eye catcher for me. He has the potential to take this and is rated a lot higher than his rivals and I think he will take this.
 
CHEVISE 1400 LINGFIELD – (WON 20-1 = £52.50) he is back down to his last winning mark today which was here but over 7f. Has the potential to run a good race and goes well here, he's overdue a win and I'm chancing today is the day.
 
My old man's selections are :
Circus Star 215 Newcastle (2nd – 4-1 = £2.50)
Modernstone 235 Lingfield (2nd – 4-1 = £2.50)
Perfect Pastures 310 Lingfield (WON – 11-4 = £8.59)
Dingo Bay 250 Newcastle (WON 9-4 = £7.91)
 
 
Today's result
FATHER = £21.50
SON = £58.13
Running totals
 
FATHER 3 SON 1
Totals
Father = £93.04 profit
Son = £77.56 profit
 

Friday treble

Here is Friday's treble. Good luck everyone.
 
DARK ORCHID 1915 NEWCASTLE (nap) – (unplaced) not a bad comeback ast time in the Warwickshire stakes. She will come on for that and has sime decent French form to call upon too.
 
CONFESSIONAL 1945 NEWCASTLE (nb) – (unplaced) this horse is on a very appealing mark in light of past orm ad is worth another shot.
 
CHARLOTTE'S DAY 1815 CHESTER (treble) – (unplaced) the trainer has won the last two runnings of this and opted for this horse to run today. Chance taken.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 41/186 = 22%
Wins 166/935 = 17.8%
Placed 247/935 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44.2%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£69.33

Thursday treble

Wednesday produced a nice double with the nap WARLU WAY obliging at 10-1 and the next best ALMALEKIAH going in at 7-4. Let's hope the trend continues on Thursday!
 
COME HERE YEW 1530 NEWCASTLE (nap) – (unplaced) returns to the place of his sole success and when runs at this distance has figures of 3251. The yard have had a few winners recently and I think he could pip the favourite.
 
HOPES N DREAMS 2050 HAMILTON (nb) – (unplaced) is three from three over course and distance and has another huge chance of maintaining the 100% record.
 
TEVEZ 1940 LEICESTER (treble) – (unplaced) another horse who has impressive course form with 3 wins out of 4. Hasn't won for nearly a year and is not in form, but a chance is taken on him at this level.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 41/185 = 22.2%
Wins 166/932 = 17.8%
Placed 247/932 = 26.5%

Win and Placed = 44.3%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£70.33

Sunday selections

Not a bad day at all on the blog yesterday with COURT MINSTREL (4-1) and MAUREEN (7-2) winning. My big fancy MONSIEUR CADOU never got in the race and maybe the ground was too quick.
 
On to today, here are my best three.
 
YOU KNOW YOURSELF 1650 NEWCASTLE (nap) – (2nd – 17-2) won off this mark this time last year when defeating ISLA PEARL FISHER. The drying ground will bolster his chances. His run behind Monsieur Cadou last time at Haydock was ok considering the ground. Hoping for a big run.
 
LANDSCAPE 1400 STRATFORD (nb) – (3rd – 13-8) if this horse reproduces the form of his last run when he fell at the last at Haydock when looking like the winner, he will take this. This return to novice company should help with only DARLEY SUN a danger in my opinion.
 
SOUND INVESTMENT 1440 WINCANTON (treble) – (WON – 7-4) won really nicely at Taunton in January. Was then stepped up in class and was disappointing. He's dropped back to a class 4 race today, and if he copes with the ground he should run a good race.
 
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 36/163 = 22%
Wins 151/815 = 18.5%
Placed 219/815 = 26.9%

Win and Placed = 45.4%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£60.33