Newmarket and Ascot

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Well my old man gave me a true pasting on the blot last week. He tipped up BRONZE ANGEL (14-1) to win the Cambridgeshire and Exitas (6-1) at Market Rasen too. He’s getting closer in the standings but still a bit off in the profit with only a few weeks of the flat season left. We reset when the jumps start! I got up this morning and saw some strange wet stuff falling from the sky and had kind of forgotten what it was! I’m sat typing the blog thinking will it or won’t it rain at Newmarket and Ascot to affect the ground. Anyway whatever happens we’ve got some cracking racing to look forward to and of course the Arc tomorrow – for me TAGROODHA wins that!

Good luck today if you’re having a flutter – here are my selections.

RECKLESS ABANDON 1515 ASCOT (NAP) – (unplaced = -£5.00) was such a smart two year old and even more so with cut in the ground. Has been getting his head back around racing this year and a decent second to MECCAS ANGEL in September, who has gone on and won again since is a decent form line. I’m hoping some of the aforementioned wet stuff gets in the ground to help his chances. He must have a great shout off 110 today.

YODELLING 1455 NEWMARKET (NB) – (NR) she was so impressive on her racecourse debut in a race that Godolphin have such a good record in. She was going easily and won in a canter. She’s bred to run at this level and higher and I’m expecting big things from her today and in the future.

FINTRY 1530 NEWMARKET (TREBLE) – (3rd – 7-2 = £2.18) Maxim Guyon has deserted this fella in preference for Miss France. I’m not about to desert him though. I was on when he battled well to win at Sandown last time and despite taking a bit of winding up he was comfortably clear of the rest. Come rain or shine he will act on the ground and I think Monsieur Guyon will regret his decision.

MUTHMIR 1405 ASCOT – (NR) I have to put this guy on despite his short price – pretty similar to TIGGY WIGGY last week, its like printing money with this one. Won the Portland with loads in hand despite blowing the start and having a poor passage. Bags of class and should take this too if the rain doesn’t get in! If he’s a non-runner my other selection for the blog purpose is below.

MORACHE MUSIC 1550 ASCOT – has a decent record here and his current mark of 106 is doable. Ran very well on good ground to beat BADR AL BADOOR at Donny and was just behind JUSTICE DAY at Haydock in July. BADR AL BADOOR has since franked the form beating DANZENO and they both go up in class today. JUSTICE DAY goes against MUTHMIR also in a better race. This guy stays where he is and has a great chance!

My Dad’s selections are :

STEPS 1405 ASCOT (unplaced = -£5.00)

TROPICS 1515 ASCOT (unplaced = -£5.00)

INTEGRAL 1530 NEWMARKET (WON 7-2 = £10.93)

INTRANSIGENT 1550 ASCOT (WON 16-1 = £50.00)

STANDINGS

FATHER 14-15 SON

Profit

FATHER £125.06

SON £170.12

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Royal Ascot Day One

It's here at the last. The second greatest horse racing festival in my opinion, as nothing compares to Cheltenham! However, this week will prove to be simply awesome and I can't wait. I am hoping to preview every race and will hopefully chuck up a winner or two!
 
QUEEN ANNE STAKES

This race revolves around one horse for me, ANIMAL KINGDOM. He has by far and away the best form and was ultra impressive when cruising to Dubai World Cup success at Meydan. The only doubt that I'm sure the layers are targetting is him dropping back in trip, however this stiff mile will suit and I can't see him losing. He's not a betting interest so am going to go for an each way selection in ALJAMAAHEER who has steadilyi mproved and ran well in the Lockinge last time. I think he could stay on for a place at the end.
 
Selection – ALJAMAAHEER e/w (2nd – 8-1)

KING'S STAND STAKES

This is one hell of a race! SHEA SHEA is worthy favourite on what he accomplished in Meydan and I can't see SOLE POWER reversing the placings with him. However, he is far too short for me in this race. KINGSGATE NATIVE ran a cracker for me when I tipped him up in the Temple Stakes, and he looks back to his best this year, however, the good ground is against him here and a place is probably the best he can manage. RECKLESS ABANDON had a phenomenal juvenile year, including success at this meeting last year in the Norfolk Stakes. His return was really pleasing on ground he had not encountered. His performance on the far side that day caught my eye and the form has been franked with SPIRIT QUARTZ and MORAWIJ winning since. The key here is the ground and with it being more sound he should have more than KINGSGATE NATIVE and will be a winner again. A real danger at a big price is PEARL SECRET who did nothing wrong last year except in the Nunthorpe, when clearly something was amiss. He could run a huge race.
 
Selection – RECKLESS ABANDON (nb) (unplaced)

ST JAMES'S PALACE STAKES

According to the book this race revolves around DAWN APPROACH and MAGICIAN. The former looked every bit a class horse when winning the 2000 Guineas easily, then Shiekh Mohammed went on his personal Derby crusade – lets all be honest he was never going to stay, pulling or not! Dropped back in trip he could easily reproduce his old form, however, sometimes a track and experiece like Epsom can damage a horse and he certainly hated every minute. MAGICIAN has done nothing wrong but I just don't fancy him in this top company. My money is going on TORONADO, who was touted as their best ever by both Hughes and Hannon prior to the Guineas and he just never ran well enough. The undulations could have affected him and I reckon this more level track will suit a late burst from the supreme judge of pace Hughes. Bring it on!
 
Selection – TORONADO (treble) (2nd – 5-1)

COVENTRY STAKES

This is a very trappy affair will almost all 16 runners having a decent chance. It's usually insighful to place your money on or around the first few in the market. STUBBS is the favourite but was defeated first time out which puts me off him, and I reckon SIR JOHN HAWKINS is O'Brien's best chance in the race. He is impeccably bred through HENRYTHENAVIGATOR and PEEPING FAWN and won well on his debut. RIVERBOAT SPRINGS is another who caught the eye when flying home at Epsom. He clearly hated the adverse camber going down the hill and flew over the final furlong. However, I just cannot ignore the huge potential in SIR JOHN HAWKINGS and he has my money with RIVERBOAT coming second.
 
Selection – SIR JOHN HAWKINS (nap) (3rd – 6-1)

ASCOT STAKES

With this marathon distance to tacke it is no suprise that the last three winners (SIMENON, VEILED and JUNIOR) heralded from jumps yards. Out of that discipline this year WELL SHARP catches the eye after romping home last time. He was also not far behind BROWN PANTHER here a few years ago. TIGER CLIFF has gone from strength to strength and it would bring the house down if Lady Cecil had a winner on the first day, and he is sure to be in the mix up. I really fancied INVESTISSEMENT for the Chester Cup but he ran poorly, he still has a race like this in him. However, I'm opting for a progressive horse in MYSTERIOUS MAN he was just touched off at Salisbury earlier in the year and showed promise last year in the Melrose handicap at York. This is a big step up in trip but Andrew Balding is a shrewd judge and he is also on fire at the moment, and I think he could run a big race.
 
Selection – MYSTERIOUS MAN (unplaced)

WINDSOR CASTLE STAKES

Quite possibly the hardest race to pick the winner of in the opening day. The American raider, OGERMEISTER has gone the same route as the trainers other winner of this STRIKE THE TIGER. However, I think this is between three British ones who are all closely matched on form. ANTICIPATED will be popular and he defeated JUSTICE DAY by 3/4 of a length. The latter then went down by a head to SLEEPER KING last time at Musselburgh. Out of the three I think this one is most unexposed and progressive and I fancy him to go on again and take this. Not many of my pounds will be on in this race though!
 
Selection – SLEEPER KING (unplaced)

So a great first day to look forward to and I hope I have found a few winners here! Enjoy the first day, remember to bet within your means and if you have liked what you have read please give this a RT on twitter. Good luck!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 39/178 = 21.9%
Wins 161/900 = 17.9%
Placed 239/900 = 26.6%

Win and Placed = 44.4%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.33