Scorchio Saturday Tips

What a scorching day it is again today and blue skies dominate the scene here in sunny Sheffield. Terribly sad news this week came from the sport we love and lets hope Brian Toomey pulls through and makes a full recovery. Puts it into perspective what jockeys go through to bring us this sport we love. Thoughts with his family and friends.
 
On to today's races. One of the most competitive Eclipses for a while with not much seperating most of the field on ratings. Here are my selections today plus my Bandit's treble as normal.
 
CAPO ROSSO 1640 HAYDOCK (nap) – (unplaced) this horse won impressively at Warwick on quicker ground in early May and then ran well in defeat here at Haydock after that. The Brittania was too far and too competitive and this return to 7f on quick ground will play to his strengths from the front. He's dropped a pound from that and is only a pound higher than when being beat here by SO BELOVED.
 
KINGSGATE NATIVE 1405 SANDOWN (nb) – (2nd – 17-2) ran his no show race last time at the Royal meeting and this drop in grade and quicker ground will help him. He was running in great form prior to Ascot and a reproduction of that will see him take this. The quicker the ground the better for him!
 
THE FUGUE 1550 SANDOWN (treble) – (unplaced) I thought she ran a decent race at Ascot and it will have brought her on leaps and bounds. The girls don't have a great record in this but I think she will take this. She will love the ground and will be a lot closer come the furlong pole and she can storm past them.
 
WOODLAND ARIA 1515 SANDOWN – (unplaced) she was impressive first time out and looks a filly to watch. The mile is her optimum trip and I fancy her beat NARGYS here, my only worry is the ground may be too quick for her.
 
As well as these four I'm going with the following four in an each way Lucky 15.
 
BANOFFEE 1455 HAYDOCK – (unplaced) won very well at Chester and then was supplemented for the Oaks where the track and more importantly the ground beat her. On a faster surface here she should show her true form.
 
ES QUE LOVE 1440 SANDOWN – (2nd – 16-1) here I go again with my cliff horse! However, he has run really well of late and this mile wihich will be run quickly should suit and 25-1 on his Royal Ascot form is huge in my opinion.
 
HANOVERIAN BARON 1530 HAYDOCK – (unplaced) another horse who was in top form before Ascot and he never got close there. Prior to that his run at York when just pipped by SIR JOHN HAWKWOOD is decent form. The ground should suit and he now has an extra five pounds in hand with OPINION and that doesn't take into account his riders claim. Could run a huge race at a big price.
 
TWEETIE PIE 1505 BEVERLEY – (WON – 50-1) wasn't that impressive on debut but I follow Declan Carroll alot and he can get a horse flying on these courses in Yorkshire and this one with a run under its belt should improve, again a massive price in my opinion.
 
If you're having a flutter today, good luck and remember to bet within your means. Enjoy the sun and the racing.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 41/189 = 21.7%
Wins 168/949 = 17.7%
Placed 251/949 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44.1%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.33
Advertisements

Royal Ascot Day One

It's here at the last. The second greatest horse racing festival in my opinion, as nothing compares to Cheltenham! However, this week will prove to be simply awesome and I can't wait. I am hoping to preview every race and will hopefully chuck up a winner or two!
 
QUEEN ANNE STAKES

This race revolves around one horse for me, ANIMAL KINGDOM. He has by far and away the best form and was ultra impressive when cruising to Dubai World Cup success at Meydan. The only doubt that I'm sure the layers are targetting is him dropping back in trip, however this stiff mile will suit and I can't see him losing. He's not a betting interest so am going to go for an each way selection in ALJAMAAHEER who has steadilyi mproved and ran well in the Lockinge last time. I think he could stay on for a place at the end.
 
Selection – ALJAMAAHEER e/w (2nd – 8-1)

KING'S STAND STAKES

This is one hell of a race! SHEA SHEA is worthy favourite on what he accomplished in Meydan and I can't see SOLE POWER reversing the placings with him. However, he is far too short for me in this race. KINGSGATE NATIVE ran a cracker for me when I tipped him up in the Temple Stakes, and he looks back to his best this year, however, the good ground is against him here and a place is probably the best he can manage. RECKLESS ABANDON had a phenomenal juvenile year, including success at this meeting last year in the Norfolk Stakes. His return was really pleasing on ground he had not encountered. His performance on the far side that day caught my eye and the form has been franked with SPIRIT QUARTZ and MORAWIJ winning since. The key here is the ground and with it being more sound he should have more than KINGSGATE NATIVE and will be a winner again. A real danger at a big price is PEARL SECRET who did nothing wrong last year except in the Nunthorpe, when clearly something was amiss. He could run a huge race.
 
Selection – RECKLESS ABANDON (nb) (unplaced)

ST JAMES'S PALACE STAKES

According to the book this race revolves around DAWN APPROACH and MAGICIAN. The former looked every bit a class horse when winning the 2000 Guineas easily, then Shiekh Mohammed went on his personal Derby crusade – lets all be honest he was never going to stay, pulling or not! Dropped back in trip he could easily reproduce his old form, however, sometimes a track and experiece like Epsom can damage a horse and he certainly hated every minute. MAGICIAN has done nothing wrong but I just don't fancy him in this top company. My money is going on TORONADO, who was touted as their best ever by both Hughes and Hannon prior to the Guineas and he just never ran well enough. The undulations could have affected him and I reckon this more level track will suit a late burst from the supreme judge of pace Hughes. Bring it on!
 
Selection – TORONADO (treble) (2nd – 5-1)

COVENTRY STAKES

This is a very trappy affair will almost all 16 runners having a decent chance. It's usually insighful to place your money on or around the first few in the market. STUBBS is the favourite but was defeated first time out which puts me off him, and I reckon SIR JOHN HAWKINS is O'Brien's best chance in the race. He is impeccably bred through HENRYTHENAVIGATOR and PEEPING FAWN and won well on his debut. RIVERBOAT SPRINGS is another who caught the eye when flying home at Epsom. He clearly hated the adverse camber going down the hill and flew over the final furlong. However, I just cannot ignore the huge potential in SIR JOHN HAWKINGS and he has my money with RIVERBOAT coming second.
 
Selection – SIR JOHN HAWKINS (nap) (3rd – 6-1)

ASCOT STAKES

With this marathon distance to tacke it is no suprise that the last three winners (SIMENON, VEILED and JUNIOR) heralded from jumps yards. Out of that discipline this year WELL SHARP catches the eye after romping home last time. He was also not far behind BROWN PANTHER here a few years ago. TIGER CLIFF has gone from strength to strength and it would bring the house down if Lady Cecil had a winner on the first day, and he is sure to be in the mix up. I really fancied INVESTISSEMENT for the Chester Cup but he ran poorly, he still has a race like this in him. However, I'm opting for a progressive horse in MYSTERIOUS MAN he was just touched off at Salisbury earlier in the year and showed promise last year in the Melrose handicap at York. This is a big step up in trip but Andrew Balding is a shrewd judge and he is also on fire at the moment, and I think he could run a big race.
 
Selection – MYSTERIOUS MAN (unplaced)

WINDSOR CASTLE STAKES

Quite possibly the hardest race to pick the winner of in the opening day. The American raider, OGERMEISTER has gone the same route as the trainers other winner of this STRIKE THE TIGER. However, I think this is between three British ones who are all closely matched on form. ANTICIPATED will be popular and he defeated JUSTICE DAY by 3/4 of a length. The latter then went down by a head to SLEEPER KING last time at Musselburgh. Out of the three I think this one is most unexposed and progressive and I fancy him to go on again and take this. Not many of my pounds will be on in this race though!
 
Selection – SLEEPER KING (unplaced)

So a great first day to look forward to and I hope I have found a few winners here! Enjoy the first day, remember to bet within your means and if you have liked what you have read please give this a RT on twitter. Good luck!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 39/178 = 21.9%
Wins 161/900 = 17.9%
Placed 239/900 = 26.6%

Win and Placed = 44.4%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.33