A little Lucky 15 to whet my appetite for the racing tomorrow!
JOHANNES 1545 THIRSK (nap) – (unplaced) the handicapper has given him a real chance here. He returns to his optimum trip and is down in grade. The jockey takes a valuable 5lbs off too and has a decent record on the horse.
SPITFIRE 1830 SOUTHWELL (nb) – (unplaced) over the cliff I go with this one! However, he is only 3lbs higher for a course and distance win last year and is usually stronger after a lay off.
PRESIDENT LINCOLN 1725 THIRSK (treble) – (unplaced) another one who returns after a long break. This distance is his optimum and the ground should be perfect too. I have always thought this horse is better than his current mark of 79. However, he did defeat a certain JACK DEXTER of this mark at Musselburgh last year.
RUSTY ROCKET 1500 CHESTER – (unplaced) this fella is a huge price. He returns back to 7f from running at the minimum but that shouldn't be seen as a negative in my view. He has won over 7f and will use his early speed to get a good position. He ran awfully last time and looked injured and I reckon this genuine good ground will help him too.
BLOG STATS :
Naps 43/204 = 21.1%
Wins 173/1024 = 16.9%
Placed 270/1024 = 26.4%
Win and Placed = 43.3%
@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.83
KING ARTHUR 1850 SOUTHWELL (nap) – (unplaced) good ground should help with this horse. He has had some good runs in behind smart horses including Chris Pea Green and Irish Saint. A mark of 110 is pretty good based on that for his handicap debut and he could run a big race.
THEMILANHORSE 1720 SOUTHWELL (nb) – (WON – 11-10) the performance of this horse was pretty poor to say the least at Doncaster last time. However he was really never going and it was his first attempt over the bigger obstacles. Ruby went easy on him that day and he has a 7lb pull with his conqueror and that I feel will be too much and he will take this race.
OSCARS JOURNEY 1800 BATH (treble) – (unplaced) he is only 2lbs higher than when winning last time out. He ran in good race maiden races last year, including behind The Golden Cheongsam. He could run a big race first time out of a lenient mark.
BLOG STATS :
Naps 36/161 = 22.3%
Wins 148/806 = 18.4%
Placed 216/806 = 26.7%
Win and Placed = 45.2%
@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£62.33
Well as the old saying goes 'You wait for one, and then they all come'! The blog on Monday produced my second winning nap in a row with THE OSTEOPATH obliging at 13-2. Coupled with that my nb ODDYSEY won at 8-1 too. A profitable day! Hope you were on! Can we make it a hat-trick?
PATSY FINNEGAN 1710 KEMPTON (nap) – (3rd – 13-2) I was really impressed with how this horse travelled when second at Haydock. A few mistakes were made that day, without those and in a class lower he has to have a chance. Is back near a mark of his last chase success and has won here over hurdles and has come second here off a mark 7lbs higher. The flatter finish should help here too.
IRISH BUCCANEEER 1635 KEMPTON (nb) – (2nd – 9-4) handicap debut and has a good mark. He is will improve for the increase in trip and has done nothing wrong so far, big chance.
TORNADO FORCE 1515 SOUTHWELL (treble) – (3rd – 15-8) won here the time before last and was only just pipped at Wolves last time. Is running really well and has another excellent chance of winning today.
BLOG STATS :
Naps 36/158 = 22.7%
Wins 147/797 = 18.4%
Placed 215/797 = 26.9%
Win and Placed = 45.4%
@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£65.33
TWEEDO PARADISO 1450 CARLISLE (nap) – (3rd – 5-1) showed marked improvements in his handicap debut last time on better ground. He is turned out quickly again here off a feather weight and could easily sneak into affairs.
PULL THE PIN 1530 SOUTHWELL (nb) – (WON 11-4) ultra consistent here and after a narrow defeat managed to get his head infront. Ran well off this mark the last twice. Big chance returning to this track!
FLUIDITY 1615 PONTEFRACT (treble) – (unplaced) ran well at this trip on his last start in Ireland. Has been raised 8lbs for that, shrewd trainer knows where to start them off, could be a real improver.
BLOG STATS :
Naps 34/153 = 22.2%
Wins 142/776 = 18.3%
Placed 209/776 = 26.9%
Win and Placed = 45.2%
@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£59.83
What is there better than a week off work? Granted I'm fortunate being a teacher that I get quite a few holidays, but I do work hard for it!! So thought I would do a blog for the first day of my holiday. Lets's hope it churns out a few winners.
VAMIZI 1540 CARLISLE (nap) – (unplaced) this race will be won by a stayer and this boy has ran over 3m 7f on a few occasions. That to boot with impressive course figures of 22132 he must feature in the reckoning. He has struggled at this class in the past and that is my only concern.
GLEN COUNTESS 1350 SOUTHWELL (nb) – (2nd – 11-2) she has been knocking on the door the season. Her last two runs were disappointing but she should stay this trip and a small field is in her favour.
TRAVIS COUNTY 1525 SOUTHWELL (treble) – (2nd – 11-2) the ground won't be a problem and he had an encouraging first run over hurdles which will have hopefully set him up for this. The top weight has disappointed every run and I think is too short again.
If you are having a bet, please do so within your means and good luck.
Tuesday was another good day on the blog. A short priced winner in WESTWITHTHENIGHT (evens) and a second from HALSTATT (11-2). I’ve took the plunge today and bought a caravan too! Result! May have to go to the courses that have a caravan section in the middle.
Anyway on to the tips for Wednesday and I hope we can maintain this run.
INDIAN DAUDAIE 1820 WORCESTER – (nap) (2nd – 9-1) I gave this monkey another chance last time and it let me down yet again. I seriously like the chances of TOP SMART (WON AT 5-1 – doh!) in the same race too. However, similar to OSTLAND the other day this one has talent and I know can win a race or two. I hoping the better ground will be the deciding factor.
LAUSTRA BAD 1850 WORCESTER – (nb) (unplaced) will prefer this good ground today and is much better over this trip. Over 19 and 20 furlongs his record reads well. Hoping for a revival.
REVE DU JOUR 1420 SOUTHWELL – (treble) (2nd – 4-1) loves it here and has won or been placed on each run here this season. Runner up to Abi Scarlet last time and I’m hopeful he can reverse that.
Stats as of 23/5/12
WINS 35/202 = 17.3%
NAPS 12/60 = 20%
PLACED 52/202 = 25.7%
WIN OR PLACED 87/202 = 43%
TREBLES LANDED = 2
Remember if you are having a wager to bet within your means. These are my selections and I am not suggesting you follow my advice, I only do this for a bit of fun!