Racing Post Trophy

The curtain raiser on the flat season! It's been a decent season, we have been treated to TORONADO and DAWN APPROACH. We have seen an awesome performance from TREVE in the Ark and many other good moments. I have really enjoyed seeing the rejuvenation of Johnny Murtagh too, what a season he has had. Overall I have been disappointed with my performance on the flat, although I did manage to find a 66-1 winner in TWEETY PIE. The jumps start for real next week and that is my true passion so hopefully I can pick up a few winners for everyone.
 
On to today, here are my selections, good luck if you're having a flutter!
 
PECKHAMECHO 1610 CHEPSTOW (nap) – if this guy can reproduce his run in the Welsh Champion Hurdle then he should take this. That day he ran off a mark of 138, and is now at 140, after being dropped a few pounds due to a non convincing run behind Princely Player. At Ffos Las he had the like of The Romford Pele and Balder Success behind him, the strength of that form is good and I'm very hopeful.
 
DUTCH ROMANCE 1605 NEWBURY (nb) – won well at Salisbury in the mud last time and with similar conditions should run well. AERTEX came out of that race well behind my selection and won, strengthening the form a little. I think the 9-2 at the moment is a great price based on that.
 
MWALESHI 1355 AINTREE (treble) – front runner and won a Grade 2 last time, will relish the ground and despite the rise in his rating, I'm sure there is more to come from this one. Could run them into the ground today.
 
EXTRA NOBLE 1420 NEWBURY – this is a tougher contest for sure but he has done nothing wrong so far and has excellent battling qualities that I think will help today. Should enjoy the ground and has a decent each way chance at a big price
 
VALBCHEK 1515 DONCASTER – this is becoming a cliff horse, however I am convinced he is better than he has been showing and the drop back to 5f may help sharpen him up today and the booking of Ryan Moore, who has won on him previously is an eye catching one.
 
SOMEWHAT 1550 DONCASTER – this fella has the strongest form (and heart) in the book and has done nothing but impress me all year. He will go at it from the front and on this softer ground I don't think anything will go past him!
 
SIR DU BEARN 1520 STRATFORD – won on this card last year and was a Paul Nicholls horse prior to that who never got going, will live the ground, the trip and is from a shrewd yard, local to the track. Could surprise again!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 43/211 = 20.4%
Wins 177/1079 = 16.4%
Placed 279/1079 = 25.8%

Win and Placed = 42.3%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.83

Tuesday treble

Here are my best three for Tuesday. Good luck if you're having a flutter.
 
BEST EXCUSE 1940 STRATFORD (nap) – (unplaced) the horse has pretty modest form recently, however it will appreciate the better ground and has shown glimpses of ability in NH bumpers. Handicap bow and I like giving horses like this a chance on their preferred surface.
 
BROUGHTON'S BANDIT 1740 STRATFORD (nb) – (4th – 9-1) this horse ran pretty well behind SEA LORD last time and should improve again from that. Could and should run well.
 
DEVON DIVA 2030 BATH (treble) – (WON – 8-1) record now reads 0-18 but is on the same mark as when beaten a head last time here. Chance if reproducing that over shorter.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 41/187 = 22%
Wins 167/938 = 17.8%
Placed 248/938 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44.2%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£65.33

Sunday selections

Not a bad day at all on the blog yesterday with COURT MINSTREL (4-1) and MAUREEN (7-2) winning. My big fancy MONSIEUR CADOU never got in the race and maybe the ground was too quick.
 
On to today, here are my best three.
 
YOU KNOW YOURSELF 1650 NEWCASTLE (nap) – (2nd – 17-2) won off this mark this time last year when defeating ISLA PEARL FISHER. The drying ground will bolster his chances. His run behind Monsieur Cadou last time at Haydock was ok considering the ground. Hoping for a big run.
 
LANDSCAPE 1400 STRATFORD (nb) – (3rd – 13-8) if this horse reproduces the form of his last run when he fell at the last at Haydock when looking like the winner, he will take this. This return to novice company should help with only DARLEY SUN a danger in my opinion.
 
SOUND INVESTMENT 1440 WINCANTON (treble) – (WON – 7-4) won really nicely at Taunton in January. Was then stepped up in class and was disappointing. He's dropped back to a class 4 race today, and if he copes with the ground he should run a good race.
 
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 36/163 = 22%
Wins 151/815 = 18.5%
Placed 219/815 = 26.9%

Win and Placed = 45.4%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£60.33
 

Saturday selections

Here we are with another Saturday feast to look forward to. To be honest we are stuck in a bit of a transition between jumps and the flat at the minute, whilst I love my jumps it's time they got out of the way and let the speed boys take over. The usual marker for this is the Craven meeting and whilst that is no longer televised to my distaste, it's the start of the first trials and the flat season proper! Exciting times ahead. Below are my selections for today.
 
 
OUR JONATHAN 1530 DONCASTER (nap) – (unplaced) had an encouraging return behind JACK DEXTER here last time and just didn't seem to get going in time. He is in receipt of 9lbs from his rival today with smart young apprentice Robert Tart claiming 5 of those. Fears about the ground are more prevalent to Jack Dexter. My tip has won on good ground a few times and today he could be tough to beat. DUKE OF FIRENZE is my fear as he looks well handicapped and will love the good ground.
 
LOVE YOUR LOOKS 1515 KEMPTON (nb) – (3rd – 14-1) this horse should not be overlooked today, yet seems to be! Her form on this surface reads 3212113. She has been highly progressive, starting out with a win in a class 6 race at Wolverhampton and showed she was no mug when 3rd behind SENTARIL in a Listed contest last time. Big run on the cards today!
 
CLARET CLOAK 1615 STRATFORD (treble) – (WON – 11-4) this boy has been crying out for good ground all year and has suffered like lots of us will the wet winter! Today he should gt good ground and have the class to defeat these. If he doesn't win this then he has no chance at the higher level.
 
HIGHLAND KNIGHT 1420 DONCASTER – (unplaced) this boy has a real chance to take this and is 7lb better off due to his victory in Germany being before the 31st August last year. The form of that race is decent and I think the ground isn't quick enough for GABRIAL.
 
FENNELL BAY 1455 DONCASTER – (unplaced) I tipped this one up last time and he ran poorly again to be honest. He is still on the same mark here, 1lb higher than when winning at Royal Ascot. He has been gelded and if anything his last run may have sharpened him up, last chance saloon today!
 
ES QUE LOVE 1550 KEMPTON – (WON – 12-1) this horse is a real battler and has been absolutely screaming out for a longer trip. He is a cracking price today and I think he will battle hard from the front today and take this.
 
ALEJANDRO 1405 KEMPTON – (unplaced) this horse ran really well as a two year old over the shorter trip and his comeback run could have put him in shape for this today. Hanagan on board is a plus and he is a huge price and a damn good each way chance.
 
GLEAN 1440 KEMPTON – (2nd – 6-4) he has the form to take this through his performance in a Group 3 at Newmarket behind HAVANA GOLD. He also won first time out last year, is progressive and will take this.
 
THEOLOGY 1700 KEMPTON – (unplaced) he has been off for ages but class is class and his is 16 lbs lower on the rating today than he was a couple of years ago when defeated to TIMES UP in a Listed race at York. He could run a big race on his return – interesting!
 
Well those are my selections today with a couple of big priced each way chances thrown in their too. Whatever you're having a gamble on please bet within your means and good luck!
 
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 34/155 = 21.9%
Wins 144/788 = 18.3%
Placed 211/788 = 26.7%

Win and Placed = 45%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£55.83
 

Sunday tips

Saturday on the blog was one to forget! Yet Saturday to watch was one to remember. Frankel showed once again what a magnificent animal he is. He is most certainly the best horse I have ever seen, and may ever see. The bit that astounds me is how easy everything is to him. His cruising speed is faster than anything else, so when you press the go button he just flies. I could watch him run every day of the year. We are very blessed to have him, so lets make the most of what will probably be his last season. If Coolmore can request €300,000 per session with Galileo, God only knows what Juddmonte will charge for Frankel. I wonder if he will produce awesome offspring too?
Here are Sunday’s tips
OSTLAND 1520 STRATFORD – (nap) (WON – 22-1) this horse I believe has the ability to win this race. His past few performances have been disappointing. I’m willing to give him another chance here. EACH WAY BET

HALLELUJAH 1510 RIPON – (nb) (2nd – 7-2) is 2 from 2 and goes well fresh and has won over the distance on soft ground. Trainer is in form and a top jock on board.
HONEYMEAD 1540 RIPON – (treble) (2nd – 7-1) overcame a bad draw to run well in second at Musselburgh last time. Will appreciate the ground, on a high mark but I have a feeling will run well. There is more to come from her!
I’m also going to put up TWO PANCAKES 1410 RIPON (3rd – 16-1) as an e/w bet. Declan Carroll is a trainer I follow and this horse has some speedy breeding and the yard have had a decent 2 y o this year already.

Stats as of 20/5/12

WINS 33/192 = 17.1%
NAPS 12/57 = 21%
PLACED 48/192 = 25%
WIN OR PLACED 81/192 = 42.1%
TREBLES LANDED = 2

Remember if you are having a wager to bet within your means. These are my selections and I am not suggesting you follow my advice, I only do this for a bit of fun!