Friday selections

A little Lucky 15 to whet my appetite for the racing tomorrow!
 
JOHANNES 1545 THIRSK (nap) – (unplaced) the handicapper has given him a real chance here. He returns to his optimum trip and is down in grade. The jockey takes a valuable 5lbs off too and has a decent record on the horse.
 
SPITFIRE 1830 SOUTHWELL (nb) – (unplaced) over the cliff I go with this one! However, he is only 3lbs higher for a course and distance win last year and is usually stronger after a lay off.
 
PRESIDENT LINCOLN 1725 THIRSK (treble) – (unplaced) another one who returns after a long break. This distance is his optimum and the ground should be perfect too. I have always thought this horse is better than his current mark of 79. However, he did defeat a certain JACK DEXTER of this mark at Musselburgh last year.
 
RUSTY ROCKET 1500 CHESTER – (unplaced) this fella is a huge price. He returns back to 7f from running at the minimum but that shouldn't be seen as a negative in my view. He has won over 7f and will use his early speed to get a good position. He ran awfully last time and looked injured and I reckon this genuine good ground will help him too.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 43/204 = 21.1%
Wins 173/1024 = 16.9%
Placed 270/1024 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 43.3%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.83
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Monday selections

Well Sunday was not a good day after the success of Saturday! All of my selections ran terribly, back to the drawing board! Hopefully these three will fair better. Good luck if you're having a wager today!
 
DUKE OF YORKSHIRE 2030 THIRSK (nap) – (unplaced) prior to a poor run at Newmarket he ad been in good form including a decent win at Ripon prior to that. He beat AMBLESIDE that day who has since ran well a couple of times, including winning. He drops back to Class 5 level today and has a big chance.
 
WHISPERED TIMES 1930 THIRSK (nb) – (unplaced) returns to the scene of his last win and can bounce back after a few indifferent runs. Now running in a seller, he could have too much for his opponents today.
 
TRINITY STAR 1800 THIRSK (treble) – (unplaced) with a short priced favourite he is a great each way chance, and a price to match. Will improve from his first run and will appreciate the less quick ground and the extra furlong. Good chance to run to a place.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 43/201 = 21.4%
Wins 173/1008 = 17.2%
Placed 265/1008 = 26.3%

Win and Placed = 43.5%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£53.83

Glorious Goodwood Saturday

Not much look yesterday! Only MONTIRIDGE winning and a place for CAPE PERON. On to an even more difficult Saturday fixture with some cracking handicaps. I really love this big fields and trying to solve the problem, hopefully have picked a few today. Good luck if you're having a bet.
 
TROJAN ROCKET 1715 NEWMARKET (nap) – this boy needs to step up again but judging on his last run behind Baby Strange at Newcastle he can do. He was unlucky that day as didn't get the gap when needed. Mlikael Barzalona has a cracking record on him and I think he has a great chance today.
 
VALBCHEK 1720 DONCASTER (nb) – he was very smart last term at times and has some solid form to bring to the table. He is back from a long break but they have been waiting for the ground to be easier. Massive chance today.
 
BABY STRANGE 1405 GOODWOOD (treble) – has been raised 6lbs for his success at Newcastle. However, he is one to follow when in form and he has a cracking record in this, taking it in 2008 and he flew home at the finish last year, really good each way chance.
 
BLAINE 1550 GOODWOOD – is thrown in to his first handicap and is a huge price. He won the Gimcrack at York in a stella start to his career, he has since been disappointing, but class is class and he could be better than these, and interestingly is entered in another Group 1 later on. Great each way value too. I've fought with my heartstrings and decided to leave WHOZTHECAT alone in this. He's ran incredibly well this year but it's maye asking too much for him towin this from the front under a penalty. I kind of hope I'm wrong though!
 
JUST THE JUDGE 1515 GOODWOOD – she ran really well I thought from a difficult stall at the Royal meeting and she should relish this step up in trip. I think she will reverse the form with Sky Lantern today, whom I'm not sure will stay.
 
ELIDOR 1440 GOODWOOD – has been raised 5lbs since his last victory and the form of that race has been franked by CAP O'RUSHES and Bold Sniper since, great chance to take this too.
 
LANCELOT DU LAC 1420 NEWMARKET – this is an easier race than he's been running well in and he looked a smart proposition when winning first time out. The yard is bang in form and he should win this.
 
NO POPPY 1615 THIRSK – quickly becoming a cliff horse, but she has been well tried this year and I firmly believe she's a decent horse. She's even better with a bit of give and I'm hoping the thunderstorms and showers have got into the ground for her!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/197 = 21.3%
Wins 172/986 = 17.4%
Placed 260/986 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£50.83

Glorious Goodwood Saturday

Not much look yesterday! Only MONTIRIDGE winning and a place for CAPE PERON. On to an even more difficult Saturday fixture with some cracking handicaps. I really love this big fields and trying to solve the problem, hopefully have picked a few today. Good luck if you're having a bet.
 
TROJAN ROCKET 1715 NEWMARKET (nap) – (unplaced) this boy needs to step up again but judging on his last run behind Baby Strange at Newcastle he can do. He was unlucky that day as didn't get the gap when needed. Mlikael Barzalona has a cracking record on him and I think he has a great chance today.
 
VALBCHEK 1720 DONCASTER (nb) – (2nd – 8-1) he was very smart last term at times and has some solid form to bring to the table. He is back from a long break but they have been waiting for the ground to be easier. Massive chance today.
 
BABY STRANGE 1405 GOODWOOD (treble) – (unplaced) has been raised 6lbs for his success at Newcastle. However, he is one to follow when in form and he has a cracking record in this, taking it in 2008 and he flew home at the finish last year, really good each way chance.
 
BLAINE 1550 GOODWOOD – (unplaced) is thrown in to his first handicap and is a huge price. He won the Gimcrack at York in a stella start to his career, he has since been disappointing, but class is class and he could be better than these, and interestingly is entered in another Group 1 later on. Great each way value too. I've fought with my heartstrings and decided to leave WHOZTHECAT alone in this. He's ran incredibly well this year but it's maye asking too much for him towin this from the front under a penalty. I kind of hope I'm wrong though!
 
JUST THE JUDGE 1515 GOODWOOD – (unplaced) she ran really well I thought from a difficult stall at the Royal meeting and she should relish this step up in trip. I think she will reverse the form with Sky Lantern today, whom I'm not sure will stay.
 
ELIDOR 1440 GOODWOOD – (unplaced) has been raised 5lbs since his last victory and the form of that race has been franked by CAP O'RUSHES and Bold Sniper since, great chance to take this too.
 
LANCELOT DU LAC 1420 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) this is an easier race than he's been running well in and he looked a smart proposition when winning first time out. The yard is bang in form and he should win this.
 
NO POPPY 1615 THIRSK – (unplaced) quickly becoming a cliff horse, but she has been well tried this year and I firmly believe she's a decent horse. She's even better with a bit of give and I'm hoping the thunderstorms and showers have got into the ground for her!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/198 = 21.2%
Wins 172/994 = 17.3%
Placed 261/994 = 26.3%

Win and Placed = 43.3%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£50.83

Super Saturday

This is my first blog for over a week, just haven't had the time recently and was in Warwick last weekend at their evening meeting. What a night that was, I had CAPO ROSSO there which won at 8-1, however, when the bookies first put the prices up for that race he was 20-1 in a few places. When I went back with my winning slip and the bookie saw my price his face was a picture! Happy days!
 
Anyway on to today after a belting week at York. There are some fantastic races on around the country today and have spent a good bit of time this morning on them. Got quite a few selections so have put up three Lucky 15's today, including my normal best three. Enjoy the racing and good luck.
 
Lucky 15 Number 1

IMPERIAL DJAY 1710 THIRSK (nap) – (unplaced) this horse hasn't quite hit form yet this season but is now an incredible 10lbs lower than his last win. He has two course and distance successes here, at todays class and class 5, both of those on good ground. The last time he won a class 4 was off a mark of 83 at Chester, today's mark…..83. This sprinters run well in behind and gradually their marks drop, I can see this boy bouncing back to form off this mark today.
 
BEAUTY PARLOUR 1550 NEWBURY – (NR) the doubt with some of these horses is whether they are actually group one class or not. With a Group 1 victory to her name over the distance this girl has that. The master Cecil will have used the winter to work out how to make her tick and her last run should be discounted on that alone. Massive chance today for me.
 
DICK BOS 1525 THIRSK – (unplaced) won well on softer ground last season at Windsor for the Hannon team last year and he caught my eye then. Mr O'Meara usually gets a grasp of new horses early in his yard and he showed a return to form at Ripon last time. He is 4 lb better off with Klynch for a one and a half length defeat and the trainer was bullish about his chances is morning.
 
CRUISETOTHELIMIT 1450 THIRSK – (unplaced) the reappearance second behind CHEWOREE is pretty decent form and he had excuses last time. CHEWOREE didnt exactly boost the form at York this week but threw his chances away at the start despite being very well fancied. With the ground a bit softer he has to have a huge chacnce and money has come already for him.
 
Lucky 15 Number 2

JEHANNEDARC 1405 NEWBURY (treble) – (3rd – 9-2) I was really impressed woth this horse's last run behind KHIONE last time. One the same mark and over slightly further those battling qualities should come in to play today. The booking of Ryan Moore is another huge plus.
 
HODGSON 1540 BANGOR – (WON 7-2) has yet to get off the mark but it is not for trying! After dropping another 3 lbs in the ratings and the application of head gear again may revitalise things. Today has to be the day!
 
RIOT OF COLOUR 1440 NEWBURY – (unplaced) I have backed this horse a few times and there has to be excuses for her latest terrible run. She is able to go on any ground and I reckon this drop back to 6f will suit her, she can use some of her reserves to come late up to the line. Could be a massive price due to that last poor run.
 
KITTEN ON THE RUN 1515 NEWBURY – (unplaced) this horse is the unknown quantity in the race. However, he is unbeaten and won at a mile last time at Listed Class and is bred to stay this trip. The trainer is very good with these middle distance horses and I think that he is pitching him in here for his first run reflects against some highly fancied types reflects his thoughts of the horse. Could muller these at a big price.
 
Lucky 15 Number 3

COMRADE BOND 1345 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) has three 7f successes to his name at Yarmouth. His comeback run there was decent and that could set him up nicely here. He has won at a higer level than this and wasnt far behind last time out.
 
CARAVAN ROLLS ON 1420 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) this horse won well first time out after a lay off last year and was an unlucky fifth last run. He is on the same mark as that performance and likes it running fresh. Lots of possibilities – one negative – Jamie Spencer!!
 
SECRETINTHEPARK 1455 NEWMARKET (nb) – (unplaced) this horse is one of mine to follow since winning well last season. I tipped him to win last time at the Guineas meeting and I thought that was impressive. I reckon there is still more to come and the doubters are out talking about others reversing the form. Not me, he has more to offer and his price may get bigger with the doubters!
 
DUNDONELL 1530 NEWMARKET – (WON 15-8) a class two year old and he put in some good runs. This return to 6f will help and I dont think anything else in this race has the ability to beat him. Simple as.
 
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 39/173 = 22.5%
Wins 159/867 = 18.3%
Placed 230/867 = 25.4%

Win and Placed = 44.8%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£60.33

Saturday and the 2000 Guineas

The first classic is upon us all ready! I love it how quickly the flat season bounces in to life. With this weekend, then Chester next week to look forward I'm already as happy as a pig in……
 
How different the ground is going to be this year! A year ago we were engulfed in the rain of biblical proportions that killed alot of meetings and destroyed horses chances. I reckon there could be a record or two smashed this weekend. Oh how I love the 2000 Guineas and think of all the great past winners, a few that stick out for me personally are ROCK OF GIBRALTAR, GEORGE WASHINGTON, HENRYTHENAVIGATOR and of course the best of the lot FRANKEL.
 
Here are my selections for today, enjoy the racing and all the best with your bets.
 
HIPPY HIPPY SHAKE 1605 GOODWOOD (nap) – (unplaced) this horse is one of mine to follow this year. She appears to be very progressive and I liked the way she won last time at Newmarket going away. She got collared by MAVEN earlier on in the season over 1m 2f and this trip of a mile looks optimum today. Big hopes!
 
KINGSGATE NATIVE 1435 NEWMARKET (nb) – (2nd – 25-1) on his day a superstar! Dependent on his mood of course! I'm hoping today is the day. When he makes his seasonal return on good to firm ground and over 5f he has finished 2nd and 1st. The ground is key for him and I'm expecting another big run today with these conditions and trends in mind.
 
GEORGE VANCOUVER 1550 NEWMARKET (treble) – (unplaced) I really think Aiden O'Brien holds the key here, and to me it's breeding that the important element. HENRYTHENAVIGATOR was a fast ground horse as was the mare VERSAILLES TREATY, and with conditions to suit I think this one is O'Brien's best chance. He also has some smart form too, winning the Juvenile Turf at Santa Anita last run. He was also third behind dawn APPROACH in the Dewhurst, for me the ground helped DA bound away that day. Today the ground with help my selection bound away!
 
NOBLE MISSION 1510 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) I love this horse and he most definitely needed the run last time and allowed UNIVERSAL to get the better of him. Today he will creep into it, be played late and won't let anyone pass!
 
LICENCE TO TILL 1405 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) I think the ground will play to this horses' strengths today. I expect him to bolt out and go from the front and with the quicker ground likely to play into his strengths with this approach, as with many Mark Johnston horses he may not get passed.
 
SECRETINTHEPARK 1625 NEWMARKET – (WON – 9-2) won a decent nursery well last year and followed it up quite comfortably at Kempton. The ground is in his favour and a drop back in trip shouldn't pose a problem, it may utilise his speed at bit more.
 
WHOZTHECAT 1745 THIRSK – (unplaced) I always follow Declan Carroll closely, especially early in the season. This horse is a course and distance winner on two occasions and can go well fresh. He is on the same winning mark when defeating CONFESSIONAL here two years ago. A smart chance!
 
NO POPPY 1635 THIRSK – (unplaced) ran no race last time and I'm willing to give her another chance here. She has done most of her winning with a bit of cut, but is a hold up horse to come off the pace. This quicker surface may play to those strengths and se has some decent form in the locker and was fourth behind my nap on her last run last year. Hopeful, but a huge each way price.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 38/170 = 22.4%
Wins 156/845 = 18.5%
Placed 225/845 = 26.6%

Win and Placed = 45.1%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£55.33
 

Saturday selections

This photo was taken last year of MERIGO before he won the Scottish National. It oozes class doesn't it – he is saying look at me! Shame the old boy isn't back this time to try again – hope he has a long and enjoyable retirement. On to today renewal it's another cracking race and there are a few with a serious chance. Enjoy the day and I hope I can find a few winners on the blog.
 
MONSIEUR CADOU 1550 AYR (nap) – (PU) I selected this horse last time out and he won confortably at Haydock. That is a stiff track and so is this, that day he was ridden superbly and crept into the race from the back. That style should suit again today, the drying ground will also play into his strengths. H has gone up 12lbs for that win but I think that is fair and I have always thought he is a smart horse. 8 year olds have a good record in this with 7 out of the last 14 winners being that age. He is also weighted well too. RIVAL D'ESTRUVAL was running a cracker at the festival when falling but I think he has too much weight today.
 
VIVA RONALDO 1810 THIRSK (nb) – (unplaced) this horse is dropping to a class 5 race for the first time. He is back to a winning mark again and if the claiming jockey can get hmi out of the stalls this time he has a fantastic chance.
 
MAUREEN 1455 NEWBURY (treble) – (WON – 7-2) looked a fantastic filly with a bright future last year when winning the Princess Margaret at Royal Ascot. She never really got into the Cheveley Park on her last start. I can't see RODSHU QUEEN staying here so I'm opting for my girl to reverse the form and run to her true ability.
 
TAP NIGHT 1405 AYR – (2nd – 11-8) three out of three here and ran well behind CAPTAIN CONAN last time at Aintree. If he produces that form again he will be very hard to beat.
 
COURT MINSTREL 1440 AYR – (WON – 4-1) raised 10lbs for his impressive win last time. Transferred smart bumper form to hurdles first time out and he hopefully can progress a little more and take this.
 
ES QUE LOVE 1420 NEWBURY – (unplaced) proved me right last week when I tipped him up to improve over a mile. Goes again today off a slightly higher turf mark (3lbs more). Effectively not had a rise from last weeks win. Drawn high amd Buick on board too – has another good chance today. Each way the sensible option.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 36/162 = 22.2%
Wins 150/812 = 18.5%
Placed 217/812 = 26.7%

Win and Placed = 45.2%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.33
 

Goodwood Tips

Seen as it's raining as I'm sat here on my holidays I thought I would do a little blog for today's racing. Here are my best three plus a few others!
 
NASRI 1405 GOODWOOD (nap) – (unplaced) ran well in fourth last week and is on a mark that saw him win some decent races in the past. A repeat of last week must give him a great each way chance.
 
IZZI TOP 1515 GOODWOOD (nb) – (unplaced) has gone from strength to strength is year and is the obvious choice today. Can't see anything else beating him.
 
PALACE MOON 1555 GOODWOOD (treble) – (unplaced) ran a couple of crackers on the all weather earlier in the year and then won going very well at Newbury a couple of runs ago. Is prone to bleeding, but when it drops right, has bags of class!
 
I'm also having LIFE AND SOUL 1440 GOODWOOD (unplaced) in a Lucky 15 with these, consistency is the right word with this one and loves it at Goodwood.
 
These are a few others at I have picked out too :
 
CRAVAT 1420 NEWMARKET (unplaced)
BRAVEHEART MOVE 1640 NEWMARKET (WON 9-1)
NORSE BLUES 1535 THIRSK (unplaced)
FAIROAK LAD 1620 NEWTON ABBOTT (unplaced)
ROCK GOD 1630 GOODWOOD (E/W) (2nd – 28-1)
DREAM SCENARIO 1455 NEWMARKET (E/W) (unplaced)

Enjoy the days racing! Hope we get a few winners or two!
 
Stats as of 4/8/12

WINS 62/354 = 17.5%
NAPS 23/91 = 25.3%
PLACED 87/354 = 24.6%
WIN OR PLACED 149/354 = 42.1%
 

Saturday and Frankel

A super Saturday of racing ahead with the highlight being the return of the mighty Frankel. I really hope that set back hasn’t had an effect and we can see his glorious action to its full extent and of course that he wins!
Yesterday was a good day at York with CEILING KITTY (20-1) and ESTEDAAMA (6-1) obliging, aswell as 12-1, 5-1 and 8-1 places. My overall record at York was pretty good. Overall I had three winners and eight placed horses resulting in a 52% win or place ratio.
There really are some cracking races today, hope you enjoy all the action and I hope I can get a few winners for us all.
EXCEL BOLT 1605 THIRSK – (nap) (unplaced) Was a very speedy two year old and ran a very encouraging comeback ran after a long spell off last month at Musselburgh. The good ground will help as will the return to handicap company.
LAVA LAMP 1510 BANGOR – (nb) (FELL) hugely improved hurdler and ran a couple of crackers at Ffos Las but then disappointed at Aintree. His never give up attitude will surely suit the bigger obstacles.
ELKHART 1945 DONCASTER – (treble) (unplaced) is a ridiculous 33-1 as I write this. He has won on good to firm ground over 7f at Beverley and was second on it at Newmarket. Forgiven his last run on good to soft he may run a huge race at a huge price! EACH WAY BET

These are some other runners that have caught my eye today :
AL SAHAM 1505 NEWBURY (unplaced)
IBICENCO 1400 NEWBURY (unplaced)
LADY GORGEOUS 1445 NEWMARKET e/w (unplaced)
RHAGORI 1720 NEWBURY (4th – 11-1)
MON BRAV 1455 THIRSK e/w (unplaced)
WHOZTHECAT 1745 THIRSK unplaced)
ILLUSTRIOUS PRINCE 1340 NEWMARKET e/w (4th)

Stats as of 19/5/12

WINS 32/189 = 17%
NAPS 11/56 = 19.6%
PLACED 45/189 = 23.8%
WIN OR PLACED 77/189 = 40.7%
TREBLES LANDED = 2

Remember if you are having a wager to bet within your means. These are my selections and I am not suggesting you follow my advice, I only do this for a bit of fun!