Another fantastic day of racing today. I'm more than excited now though as we have the first major jumps card of the season, yay! Whilst I enjoy the flat, jumps really is my thing! Can't wait! Enjoy the spectacle today and good luck if you're having a wager.
TULIUS 1725 NEWMARKET (nap) – (unplaced) this horse was super smart last year and just got better with every race. He will live the ground and trip today and is good fresh. A big run expected and my best bet of the day.
VALBCHEK 1530 YORK (nb) – (unplaced) has only had a handful of races and in my opinion is a smart horse. Ignore his last run as the 5f and quicker ground didn't suit. This fella defeated Swiss Spirit last year and was 2l behind Tropics at Newmarket in August. It's his handicap debut and his mark could be lenient judged on that form.
WAR COMMAND 1510 (treble) – (WON 10-11) the trip, the ground, the race, everything is in his favour today and I can't see him being beat. Reckon he'll go off odds on
GREAT WHITE EAGLE 1435 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) looks to have bags of potential and could be a real genuine classic horse next year. The others need to step up for me to get near my selection. Hot Streak looked smart last week, but this is tougher and Supplicant is tough but is he Group 1 class?
ALBERT BRIDGE 1550 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) what a race this is! My selection get the nod as I think he will lovet he trip and will the rain coming the ground should have sufficient juice in it to bring out his qualities over this trip. A good low draw helps his chances too. Pallasator is a giant, but I don't think he'll stay and his trainer wasn't that bullish about him. Tiger Cliff is class, but has alot of weight and a poor draw. The real danger could be Smoky Hill, who is thrown in on an eye catching mark. If you find the winner you're a good one!
I fancy a Fallon and Godolphin double at York with THOUWRA (PU) and OUT OF BOUNDS (Last!)
On the jumps front at Chepstow I have to have a flutter on the following
THE ROMFORD PELE 1615 – (2nd – 7-1) was a decent hurdler and not as good at that as his rivals but he always looked a stayer in the making with the smooth passage in the race he takes and coming off the pace late. Could be a chaser to follow this year.
FOR TWO 1645 – (3rd – 11-4) never finished his races off last year, with a bit more time now to have matured and strengthened I would expect to see him battling to the line and has a bit of class to see off the others
GAUVAIN 1715 – (unplaced) was class in his day and Hobbs is a master with the older horses and getting them going again. Had a pipe opener last time and Dickie opts for him over the other horse. He is class at his best and if he's on that form he'll murder these.
DUKE OF LUCCA 1745 – (unplaced) ran in some top races last year and was consistent. Is down in class and this mark is very appealing. He has to have a channce on his seasonal bow.
BLOG STATS :
Naps 43/209 = 20.5%
Wins 174/1054 = 16.5%
Placed 276/1054 = 26.2%
Win and Placed = 42.3%
@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.83