Derby Day

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Derby Day today! What a cracking day of racing this is and I just hope the thunderstorms don’t spoil the going or the spectacle. I came very close last week to a big win on the blog with CLEVER COOKIE deadheading at 3-1 and then I had three seconds all beaten by hardly anything! BODY AND SOUL (17-2), SIRIUS PROSPECT (3-1) and ROYAL RASCAL (3-1).



Lets hope today brings a few winners and then its full steam ahead for Royal Ascot! I fancy quite a few horses across the meetings today but have picked 4 who I think have the best chance and the best odds for me! If you’re having a flutter good luck!



HYMENAIOS 1335 EPSOM (NAP) – (3rd – 5-1 = £3.12) this horse defeated CAPE CASTER at Doncaster in March and it won nice and convincingly and went into my notebook. CAPE CASTER has since won and franked the form. More importantly that day my selection had ROMSDAL comfortably beaten, and he’s supplemented for the derby today! Ignore the last run as the ground wasn’t ideal and I expect a much more positive showing today!



LATIN CHARM 1530 MUSSELBURGH (NB) – (unplaced = -£5.00) has travelled a fair distance to compete in this and he has pretty decent form in the book. Two runs this year have resulted in places with one or two of the others proving too good. Today is his day! One of his conquerors BLACK SCHNAPPS ran well the other week behind WRANGLER at Haydock and that form could prove decisive here. He’s 3 lb higher than that run but I really think he will win this today!



CASPIAN PRINCE 1515 EPSOM (TREBLE) – (WON 9-1 = £28.12) won here over this distance in in April on good to soft and has a good chance of repeating that from a decent draw. He’s albs higher now but for me the key is that Adam Kirby, who won on him in April, is up again, despite SEEKING MAGIC, who has a great chance too, running from the Cox yard. He must fancy this ones chances more and so do I. Cracking race though!



AZAGAL 1645 DONCASTER – (unplaced = -£5.00) I had this filly the other week when she won here in May. She is up 7lbs from that and was entered in a class 1 listed last time. She is not good enough at that level and returns to a more realistic grade today. The ground will be perfect for her and its forecast to have even more rain a tDoncaster which would help her. She could run a big race again at a ridiculous price. The top two in the market keep her price high and I think she will take this today. Kerching!!!!!



I haven’t included the big race in the blog but my selection is the following :



EBANORAN – (unplaced) people are questioning the form off the Derrinstown Trial but for me it always holds up. That day he hung badly right and was disqualified after the post. The camber of the track at Epsom will straighten him up and the extra two furlongs for me will bring out even more improvement . John Oxx is the other factor, he has sent there over for the Derby and two of those, SINNDAR and SEA THE STARS obliged. He obviously thinks this one is good enough and I’d love to see the Aga Khan’s colours win this again.



My Dad’s selections today are – (and he has some catching up to do!)



BLACK SHADOW 1335 EPSOM (2nd – £4.37)

ETON RIFLES 1515 EPSOM (NR)

KINGSTON HILL 1600 EPSOM (2nd – £4.68)

NOTARISED 1530 MUSSELBURGH (unplaced = -£5.00)



Current standings :

FATHER 7-12 SON



Profit – FATHER +£53.31

SON +£177.17



from £2.50 each way stakes on all selections.

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Cheltenham Day Two

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Well what a cracking first day that was. Despite only having a little wager on Holywell I was so pleased to see the little horse get up and win, I also gave a positive pointer to the second in the race too. It was a day of hitting the crossbar with TRIFOLIUM, MYTENTORYOURS and AHYAKONWYERSELF all placing. Really sad to see that Our Connor had to be put down to, such a sad sight. Thoughts go to all his connections. Lets hope there are no casualties on day two.



Neptune Investment Novices Hurdle



The race can only go one way for me, although how many times have we said that! FAUGHEEN has been nothing but impressive this year and seems to get better with every run and the more I look at the race the more I can’t see any horse beating it. David Pipe reckons RED SHERLOCK was his best chance of the week prior to day one, and he has down nothing wrong so far. I think FENNELL BAY may also run on for a place after two steady introductions from a decent flat performer. For me though its Mullins and Walsh again here.



SELECTION – FAUGHEEN (NB) (WON 6-4)

DAD’S SELECTION – FAUGHEEN (WON 6-4)



RSA Chase



This looks a really competitive race as ever. CORRIN WOOD was one I was really impressed with earlier this year, but I think the ground has seriously scuppered his chances. BLACK THUNDER at a big price could run a cracker back on ground he will prefer but there are doubts about whether he has the class for me. MORNING ASSEMBLY could be the real dark horse in the race, he has looked very good but again the ground is an unknown, if he handles it he could well take this. I’m opting for GEVREY CHAMBERTIN he really needed the run last time and just petered out tamely after putting himself in a good position. He was a smart hurdler and for me the improved ground will be the telling factor. I think he is a bit of a forgotten horse because of his last run and a few poor ones before that. With good ground forecast though I can see him running a big race at a big price.



SELECTION – GEVREY CHAMBERTIN (unplaced)

DAD’S SELECTION – MORNING ASSEMBLY (3rd – 9-1)



CORAL CUP



As always this is an ultra competitive affair and if you get get the winner of this you will have down well and have a decent priced horse. DELL ARCA seems to be one of the favourites and he has solid form, as did CLONDAW KAEMPER before some low key efforts this season, however he did seem to return to form last time out. My selection though is COTTON MILL, again something of a forgotten horse because of what was a bit of a mysterious season last year. He ran nowhere near his best and remember this guy was travelling just as well as SIMONSIG a couple of festivals ago before unseating Denis at one of the last few flights. Again for me the key here is the ground, he is a really smart mover and on good ground has a good turn of foot which is so important in the race. It’s good to see him try this distance again to, the 2m and 2m1f he’s been competing in is too short for him in my opinion. He’ll run a big race I’m sure and I can’t believe he’s 25-1 as I type this. He has run decent races behinds MYTENTORYOURS and MELODIC RENDEZVOUS and I think he is a much better horse than his current mark.



SELECTION – COTTON MILL (NAP) (unplaced)



QUEEN MOTHER CHAMPION CHASE



This is one of my favourite races of the week, class horses travelling so quickly and jumping so big and brave. What a spectacle it is. Mullins and Walsh are fancied again, but I don’t think the track will suit. CAPTAIN CONAN has the ability but I think will be found out for pace and while SIRE DE GRUGY has done nothing wrong for connections, this is the Queen Mother Champion Chase and for me he’s not good enough. My selection is HINTERLAND, I was really impressed with how he travelled and jumped last time and put him straight in my book for this race. I think he’ll fly around and take this race.



SELECTION – HINTERLAND (UR)

DAD’S SELECTION – CAPTAIN CONAN (PU)



CROSS COUNTRY CHASE



Never really bother about this race, but if I was forced to to pick one, on the forecast ground and on the back of impressive funds in similar races BALTHAZAR KING gets the vote.



SELECTION – BALTHAZAR KING (WON 4-1)

DAD’S SELECTION – BIG SHU (3rd 3-1)



FRED WINTER JUVENILE HURDLE



IVAN GROZNY was a smart performer in France and he brought that form over with him when winning a Naas. He then ran very below par last time out behind GUITAR PETE. The ground tomorrow should suit him better and I think My Wylie has another class horse on his hands here. CLARCAM interests me at a decent price and GOODWOOD MIRAGE could run a big race for the champ.



SELECTION – IVAN GROZNY (unplaced)



WEATHERBY’S CHAMPION BUMPER



Again not really a race I bet on as I don’t really get involved with bumpers. Mr Mullins has one hell of a record in this and he is mob handed here again, but I’m opting for SILVER CONCORDE (WON 16-1)to take this.



Good luck on day two!


Cheltenham in 2014

Happy New Year to everyone! Hope you are not nursing too heavy heads after last night's exploits! Here's to a happy and healthy year to you all!
On to today's action, as of yet my old man hasn't sent me his selections. He is nursing a hangover, so for the moment it's just my selections today. A good day's racing ahead, so lets all kick back, recover and enjoy these fine beasts doing what they do best.
 
POUNGACH 1400 CHELTENHAM (NAP) – (PU – £5.00) Is the class horse in the race. His chasing career really hasn't developed and I wonder whether this is a venture back over hurdles as a future career, or just a confidence booster? Either way he has a great chance. He is on an appealing mark today considering he ran 2 lengths behind OSCAR WHISKEY here the other year off OR155. Today he is on a mark of OR147 and must have a craxking each way chance. I thought he ewas moving well in the Badger Ales trophy and just seemed to run out of gas on his first run of the season. Very hopeful today!
 
IFANDBUTWHYNOT 1410 MUSSLEBURGH (NB) – (2nd – 13-2) Improving quickly and ran well last time to defeat the ill-fated CHATTERBOX at Newbury in a Listed contest. Drops a grade here and despite having a 6lb rise in the ratings I still think he will take this.
 
ACKERTAC 1430 CHELTENHAM (TREBLE) – (unplaced) Ran second at the festival to RAJDHANI EXPRESS over this distance and defeated GOULANES here too, but over further. He is a pound lower in the ratings today than that success and must have a big chance.
 
ALFIE SPINNER 1245 CHELTENHAM – (2nd – 7-1 = £4.38) Has been running consistently well in some good races. He has decent form on softish ground and is on a mark that should see him be AT LEAST competitive. With AP on his back it may see him grind it out from the front.
 

Monday selections

Well Sunday was not a good day after the success of Saturday! All of my selections ran terribly, back to the drawing board! Hopefully these three will fair better. Good luck if you're having a wager today!
 
DUKE OF YORKSHIRE 2030 THIRSK (nap) – (unplaced) prior to a poor run at Newmarket he ad been in good form including a decent win at Ripon prior to that. He beat AMBLESIDE that day who has since ran well a couple of times, including winning. He drops back to Class 5 level today and has a big chance.
 
WHISPERED TIMES 1930 THIRSK (nb) – (unplaced) returns to the scene of his last win and can bounce back after a few indifferent runs. Now running in a seller, he could have too much for his opponents today.
 
TRINITY STAR 1800 THIRSK (treble) – (unplaced) with a short priced favourite he is a great each way chance, and a price to match. Will improve from his first run and will appreciate the less quick ground and the extra furlong. Good chance to run to a place.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 43/201 = 21.4%
Wins 173/1008 = 17.2%
Placed 265/1008 = 26.3%

Win and Placed = 43.5%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£53.83

Glorious Goodwood Day 2

Well Day 1 didnt set the world alight for me with only LABARINTO (12-1) getting a place. Was gutted my nap AUSSIE REIGNS was a non-runner as I thought he had a great chance. Never mind, I live to fight another day and what a cracking day it is. Some trappy looking handicaps and of course the rematch in the Sussex Stakes, combined with a cole of decent group races. If you're having a bet, good luck!
 
JOHNNY CASTLE 1725 GOODWOOD (nap) – this fella has dropped back to a reasonable mark, only a pound higher than when he defeated SIRIUS PROSPECT on good to soft ground over this distance a couple of years ago. He has got a great draw and Amanda Perrett normally has a winner or two at the meeting. He ticks the boxes with his mark, distance and ground. Damn good chance to recapture old form. I'm also having an each way squeak on MR DAVID in this race, he is another one whose mark has reduced and he could have a good each way sniff with a trainer/jockey combo that have a great strike rate.
 
TORONADO 1505 GOODWOOD (nb) – I'm not going to desert this boy now. He may well have pipped DAWN APPROACH without interference last time, but who knows. Today he has the ground in his favour, a bit more cut will suit him perfectly and he will finally defeat his nemesis. Aiden O'Brien's horse is the danger I reckon back over a mile with some pretty top class form in his book.
 
ITALIAN RIVIERA 1355 GOODWOOD (treble) – this horse has been progressing nicely up until a narrow defeat last time when I think the jockey lost his whip or irons. Sir Mark Prescott is on form at the moment and this horse has followed a similar path to a previous winner of this race for him, KEY TIME, he won this off 81 a few years ago and my selection, off 80, should relish the extra distance.
 
EXCESS KNOWLEDGE 1430 GOODWOOD – he simply has the best form on the book, particularly when third behind JUST THE JUDGE last season at Newbury. His belated appearance behind MANDOUR was a good run and the ground will help today and his pedigree suggests this trip should suit too.
 
PARBOLD 1540 GOODWOOD – he won on soft on his debut at York and then was defeated by WAR COMMANDER in the Coventry. The step up to 7f should suit and despite Richard Fahey having a poor record with 2y olds in Group races I still see him as the best horse today.
 
SAUCY MINX 1650 GOODWOOD – is two from two at the track. This is a massive stat as I think this course takes some getting used to. He then ran second over a mle last time out and this extra furlong should bring out more improvement. The first part of an Amanda Perrett double!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/194 = 21.6%
Wins 169/970 = 17.4%
Placed 256/970 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£53.83

Glorious Goodwood Day 2

Well Day 1 didnt set the world alight for me with only LABARINTO (12-1) getting a place. Was gutted my nap AUSSIE REIGNS was a non-runner as I thought he had a great chance. Never mind, I live to fight another day and what a cracking day it is. Some trappy looking handicaps and of course the rematch in the Sussex Stakes, combined with a couple of decent group races. If you're having a bet, good luck!
 
JOHNNY CASTLE 1725 GOODWOOD (nap) – (unplaced) this fella has dropped back to a reasonable mark, only a pound higher than when he defeated SIRIUS PROSPECT on good to soft ground over this distance a couple of years ago. He has got a great draw and Amanda Perrett normally has a winner or two at the meeting. He ticks the boxes with his mark, distance and ground. Damn good chance to recapture old form. I'm also having an each way squeak on MR DAVID in this race, he is another one whose mark has reduced and he could have a good each way sniff with a trainer/jockey combo that have a great strike rate.
 
TORONADO 1505 GOODWOOD (nb) – (WON – 11-4) I'm not going to desert this boy now. He may well have pipped DAWN APPROACH without interference last time, but who knows. Today he has the ground in his favour, a bit more cut will suit him perfectly and he will finally defeat his nemesis. Aiden O'Brien's horse is the danger I reckon back over a mile with some pretty top class form in his book.
 
ITALIAN RIVIERA 1355 GOODWOOD (treble) – (unplaced) this horse has been progressing nicely up until a narrow defeat last time when I think the jockey lost his whip or irons. Sir Mark Prescott is on form at the moment and this horse has followed a similar path to a previous winner of this race for him, KEY TIME, he won this off 81 a few years ago and my selection, off 80, should relish the extra distance.
 
EXCESS KNOWLEDGE 1430 GOODWOOD – (2nd – 7-4) he simply has the best form on the book, particularly when third behind JUST THE JUDGE last season at Newbury. His belated appearance behind MANDOUR was a good run and the ground will help today and his pedigree suggests this trip should suit too.
 
PARBOLD 1540 GOODWOOD – (3rd – 11-4) he won on soft on his debut at York and then was defeated by WAR COMMANDER in the Coventry. The step up to 7f should suit and despite Richard Fahey having a poor record with 2y olds in Group races I still see him as the best horse today.
 
SAUCY MINX 1650 GOODWOOD – (unplaced) is two from two at the track. This is a massive stat as I think this course takes some getting used to. He then ran second over a mile last time out and this extra furlong should bring out more improvement. The first part of an Amanda Perrett double!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/194 = 21.6%
Wins 169/970 = 17.4%
Placed 256/970 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£53.83

Glorious Goodwood Day 1

Here we go then! The big summer festival of racing is on us. It's a cracking week and one I always look forward to, but finding a winner or two can prove difficult. Lets hope I can find a few as the week progresses. Enjoy the racing and good luck if you're having a flutter.
 
AUSSIE REIGNS 1650 GOODWOOD (nap) – (NR) this horse has been running so consistently this year over a mile. He ran very flat last time and I'm willing to discount that. He has won here before at last year's festival and whilst this is a step up on previous victories I think he has a race like this in him.
 
 
SLEEPER KING 1430 GOODWOOD (nb) – (unplaced) he has to find a bit to reverse the form with a few of these, including the favourite. However, I thought he was a little unlucky that day in the Windsor Castle as he took the whole field along and needed a bit of company earlier than he got it. At this track he can dominate again and use his bags of speed to good effect.
 
 
FAIR VALUE 1725 GOODWOOD (treble) – (unplaced) this horse loves a downhill fast five and he should get it today. Kieren Fallon has ridden him before and should know what he is about. Some pacey horses are in and around him which will keep him up to his task. He's not top weight for 'nowt.
 
 
KRYPTON FACTOR 1505 GOODWOOD – (unplaced) I really think this step up to 7f will help today, he took an age to get going last time at Newbury and the extra furlong should help. This track will also suit him I reckon and I can see Fallon, who knows this horse inside out, coaxing him through a gap in the final furlong.
 
LABARINTO 1355 GOODWOOD – (3rd – 12-1) this horse is either great or poor. Last time was poor! However, he won here last season on the back of a couple of awful runs and some horses really enjoy this course, he may be one of them. Willing to give him another go!
 
CLOWANCE ESTATE 1540 GOODWOOD – (unplaced) this horse is the least experienced but may have themost progression to come. The trip should bring out a little more and I'm expecting a good show.
 
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/194 = 21.6%
Wins 169/970 = 17.4%
Placed 256/970 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£53.83

Glorious Goodwood Day 1

Here we go then! The big summer festival of racing is on us. It's a cracking week and one I always look forward to, but finding a winner or two can prove difficult. Lets hope I can find a few as the week progresses. Enjoy the racing and good luck if you're having a flutter.
 
AUSSIE REIGNS 1650 GOODWOOD (nap) – this horse has been running so consistently this year over a mile. He ran very flat last time and I'm willing to discount that. He has won here before at last year's festival and whilst this is a step up on previous victories I think he has a race like this in him.
 
 
SLEEPER KING 1430 GOODWOOD (nb) – he has to find a bit to reverse the form with a few of these, including the favourite. However, I thought he was a little unlucky that day in the Windsor Castle as he took the whole field along and needed a bit of company earlier than he got it. At this track he can dominate again and use his bags of speed to good effect.
 
 
FAIR VALUE 1725 GOODWOOD (treble) – this horse loves a downhill fast five and he should get it today. Kieren Fallon has ridden him before and should know what he is about. Some pacey horses are in and around him which will keep him up to his task. He's not top weight for 'nowt.
 
 
KRYPTON FACTOR 1505 GOODWOOD – I really think this step up to 7f will help today, he took an age to get going last time at Newbury and the extra furlong should help. This track will also suit him I reckon and I can see Fallon, who knows this horse inside out, coaxing him through a gap in the final furlong.
 
LABARINTO 1355 GOODWOOD – this horse is either great or poor. Last time was poor! However, he won here last season on the back of a couple of awful runs and some horses really enjoy this course, he may be one of them. Willing to give him another go!
 
CLOWANCE ESTATE 1540 GOODWOOD – this horse is the least experienced but may have themost progression to come. The trip should bring out a little more and I'm expecting a good show.
 
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/194 = 21.6%
Wins 169/965 = 17.5%
Placed 255/965 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£54.83

Saturday selections

Good morning all! The blog is being written sat outside my caravan in sunny Looe. I'm just at the start of hopefully a cracking two weeks of sunshine, pasties and cream teas! A really good day of racing ahead – if you're having a flutter, good luck, and hopefully I can find a few here.
 
 
THE BANDIT'S TREBLE

ES QUE LOVE 1515 ASCOT (nap) – (unplaced) cliff horse alert! I love this fella and he has been running consistently well this season, with I think 16 runs already under his belt! With the early entry on this race he is effectively 6lb well in and considering his last few runs that can't be sniffed at. Olivier Peslier rode his aggressively when they were paired up last and he should do the same today on a track that will suit. If he has chance to win a race, today has to be the day!

COULSTY 1630 NEWMARKET (nb) – (2nd – 9-4) absolutely demolished his rivals first time out at Leicester and despite his no show in the Norfolk he should bounce back today and I think the 3-1 as I write this is very big! Expecting him to put this to bed.

SIRIUS PROSPECT 1420 YORK (treble) – (WON 11-2) was a very smart sprinter a couple of years ago and has lost his way. This type of race may be more his level and he could bounce back today, especially without Shane Kelly on board.
 
 
OTHER SELECTIONS

BACCARAT 1530 YORK – (unplaced) won over course and distance and has dead-heated this year. Forget his last run and with a resproduction of previous efforts here has a great each way shout.
 
NEIGHBOTHER 1715 YORK – (unplaced) won a decent maiden well at Warwick and was then pitched in the deepend a bit. He should have the quality take this and may then head handicapping soon.
 
I also fancy these two each way at Ascot.
 
MAHLAH 1405 – (unplaced) could have been overlooked by Hughes and the betting market to be honest. His win at Doncaster was decent and the form has been franked since.
 
MACHETE MARK 1440 ASCOT – (2nd – 8-1) comes back here to run again after a decent performance at Royal Ascot. Interesting me on that alone!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/192 = 21.8%
Wins 169/959 = 17.6%
Placed 253/959 = 26.3%

Win and Placed = 44%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£58.83

Scorchio Saturday Tips

What a scorching day it is again today and blue skies dominate the scene here in sunny Sheffield. Terribly sad news this week came from the sport we love and lets hope Brian Toomey pulls through and makes a full recovery. Puts it into perspective what jockeys go through to bring us this sport we love. Thoughts with his family and friends.
 
On to today's races. One of the most competitive Eclipses for a while with not much seperating most of the field on ratings. Here are my selections today plus my Bandit's treble as normal.
 
CAPO ROSSO 1640 HAYDOCK (nap) – (unplaced) this horse won impressively at Warwick on quicker ground in early May and then ran well in defeat here at Haydock after that. The Brittania was too far and too competitive and this return to 7f on quick ground will play to his strengths from the front. He's dropped a pound from that and is only a pound higher than when being beat here by SO BELOVED.
 
KINGSGATE NATIVE 1405 SANDOWN (nb) – (2nd – 17-2) ran his no show race last time at the Royal meeting and this drop in grade and quicker ground will help him. He was running in great form prior to Ascot and a reproduction of that will see him take this. The quicker the ground the better for him!
 
THE FUGUE 1550 SANDOWN (treble) – (unplaced) I thought she ran a decent race at Ascot and it will have brought her on leaps and bounds. The girls don't have a great record in this but I think she will take this. She will love the ground and will be a lot closer come the furlong pole and she can storm past them.
 
WOODLAND ARIA 1515 SANDOWN – (unplaced) she was impressive first time out and looks a filly to watch. The mile is her optimum trip and I fancy her beat NARGYS here, my only worry is the ground may be too quick for her.
 
As well as these four I'm going with the following four in an each way Lucky 15.
 
BANOFFEE 1455 HAYDOCK – (unplaced) won very well at Chester and then was supplemented for the Oaks where the track and more importantly the ground beat her. On a faster surface here she should show her true form.
 
ES QUE LOVE 1440 SANDOWN – (2nd – 16-1) here I go again with my cliff horse! However, he has run really well of late and this mile wihich will be run quickly should suit and 25-1 on his Royal Ascot form is huge in my opinion.
 
HANOVERIAN BARON 1530 HAYDOCK – (unplaced) another horse who was in top form before Ascot and he never got close there. Prior to that his run at York when just pipped by SIR JOHN HAWKWOOD is decent form. The ground should suit and he now has an extra five pounds in hand with OPINION and that doesn't take into account his riders claim. Could run a huge race at a big price.
 
TWEETIE PIE 1505 BEVERLEY – (WON – 50-1) wasn't that impressive on debut but I follow Declan Carroll alot and he can get a horse flying on these courses in Yorkshire and this one with a run under its belt should improve, again a massive price in my opinion.
 
If you're having a flutter today, good luck and remember to bet within your means. Enjoy the sun and the racing.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 41/189 = 21.7%
Wins 168/949 = 17.7%
Placed 251/949 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44.1%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.33