Midlands National

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Well what a week that was at the festival. Some cracking race and another feast of excitement and memories. There really is only Royal Ascot that compares to it for me – I just hate having to wait another 365 days to go again!! It was a profitable week too for me. Below is a run down of my selections and their finishes:

Winners

Buveur D’Air 5-1

Willoughby Court 14-1

Un De Sceaux 11-4

Pencil 16-1

Pacha Du Polder 16-1

Places

River Wylde 8-1

Two Taffs 10-1

Debuchet 10-1

Divin Bere 5-1

Native River 7-2

All in all a very good week and I’m chuffed that I found the big priced winners I did. So back to normality and the puzzle of the Midlands National today.

The first race I’m looking at today is the 3m Betfred Novices Chase at Uttoxeter. AMERICAN was due to run at the festival but was scratched due to the better ground. He has two smooth successes this year and looked very good at Warwick last time when beating Champers on Ice and he should be thereabouts on his preferred ground. ROCK THE KASBAH has always been a horse I’ve followed and despite only two wins this year he has got some solid form in the bag. He beat OUR KAEMPFER earlier in the year and has ran well behind the likes of POLITOLOGUE and O O SEVEN. Last time was a confidence booster over shorter and I think he will run a big race today.

DASHING OSCAR is a smart moving horse and looks the type to really take to handicaps. He has been running well all season and had two good wins earlier in the year. His run at Bangor was a bit flat and that does concern me, however a big field in a handicap should bring out the challenge needed and I’m opting for him to win on his handicap bow today.

On to the big race of the day, the Midlands National. MYSTEREE has done nothing wrong all year and produced an awesome staying display to win the Eider from my selection, Knockanrawley. That was on the back of another super display at Haydock earlier in the year. My concern is the time he has had to recover from Newcastle, will have had enough, will he be fresh enough – I’m not sure. SPOOKYDOOKY is very well handicapped on his run in this last year. He is 10lbs lower in the official ratings and carries 10lbs less weight too. I’m not sure he has the class to win this though. This race has thrown up Gold cup winners and National winners so you need a smart horse. GOULANES has always had class but he just hasn’t produced and fell last time after a long lay off – I’m not sure he’s the same horse. GEVREY CHAMBERTIN most definitely has the ability, but he is chalk and cheese. He either turns up and is very smart or throws his toys out the pram and seriously underperforms. He was travelling very well last time in the Eider before unseating five out and he caught my eye as possibly starting to run back to his best. He has previously won off a mark off OR140 and OR143, so his mark of OR139 is around his optimum. Her is also 6 lads better off with MYSTEREE from the Eider. If this is a going day he has a cracking chance.

SELECTIONS

£5 e/w GEVREY CHAMBERTIN 3:35 Uttoxeter 12-1 Bet365 (UP)

£5 win ROCK THE KASBAH 2:25 Uttoxeter 15/2 Bet365 (2nd)

£5 win DASHING OSCAR 3:00 Uttoxeter 15/2 Coral (NR)

Standings

Staked £275

Returns £283.75

 

 

 

 

Midlands National

So the buzz, delight, drama and anticipation has passed, the festival has gone for another year. We are of course faced with a festival with no champ again, but also faced with the delights of some of those awesome horses moving forward from hurdling to chasing and from novice company to graded races – bring it on. On the selection front I had a Wes Craven, not a single winner! I had such a bonkers day on Thursday too that I had no time for my blog on Friday. Was really chuffed at how my old favourite Holywell ran in the Gold Cup and what a fantastic story for all those connected with Coneygree, John Oaksey will have a right smile on his face looking down on us! The photo used on the blog comes from the pages of Fran @Riosrider2 with her permission – give her a follow for some awesome horse photos.
 
So on to a 'normal' Saturday blog, I'm hoping I can break this barren run today! Let's see! The twitter gamble boys have gone for :
@Tonythetyke – FRIENDLY ROYAL 1710 NEWBURY
@DazGilbert1 – WADSWICK COURT 1420 KEMPTON
@LiamKenniford – CATCHING ON 1550 UTTOXETER
@Fernando_RFC2 – BROD NA HEIREANN 1605 KEMPTON
 
Here are my selections for today –
 
DEPUTY DAN 1440 UTTOXETER (NAP) (UR = -£5.00)
was very good as a novice beating the like of IRISH BUCCANEER, CHAMPAGNE WEST and CAESAR MILAN. He then ran behind both VERY WOOD and VIRAK before beating FAR WEST to get his chasing career off to a start. He has some very smart form in the book! After these runs he was rated at OR145. Today he returns on a mark of OR139. He ran well in snatches last time behind ANSI FILEDES at Ascot giving it 4lbs in weight. That one has since franked the form again. Think he has a cracking chance today so long as that jumping holds up!
 
WOODFORD COUNTY 1550 UTTOXETER (NB) (3rd 11-1 = £6.87)
other than a couple of jumping errors which probably cost him a place or two he ran pretty well in the Eider when I put him up on here. He's off the same mark today and has the same jockey claiming another 7lbs – effectively therefore he is carrying the same racing weight as the Eider. Crucially I think the ground will be much moremin his favour today and that should help him stay on a bit more at the end and hopefully give him a little more time to sort his jumping out. Big chance today!
 
GRANDEUR 1505 LINGFIELD (TREBLE) (3rd – 9-2 = £2.81)
ran well late on but had too much to do coming around the bend last time behind GRENDISAR in the trial. Ryan Moore will have taken that on board and should have him placed better today, although he has a high draw to overcome. I'm pretty sure Ryan will have him closer today and will want this race in his pot for the year. Both my guy and GRENDISAR return on the equal measures today but I think my guy has it today and will reverse the placings!
 
KATGARY 1420 KEMPTON (unplaced = -£5.00)
this is where I need my head checking! I have to go with this guy as I think he has so much to offer but frustratingly just doesnt bloody show it on the track. I'm hoping he will appreciate the better ground today and that will sort him out! Fingers crossed on this one – but if he does shown his potential he will murder these!
 
My Dad's selections are :
STRAIDNAHANNA 1440 UTTOXETER (unplaced = -£5.00)
CAPTAIN CAT 1505 LINGFIELD (unplaced = -£5.00)
DEVIL TO PAY 1515 UTTOXETER (PU = -£5.00)
SUMMERY JUSTICE 1550 UTTOXETER (BD = -£5.00)
Standings
Father 8-8 Son
Profit
Father -£62.64
Son £158.28
 

Monday treble

The last post pre-Glorious Goodwood. Not much luck yesterday with only GABRIAL (4-1) being placed. He has a few Listed types in him I'm sure, he just needs to sort his raceday persona out!
 
If you're having a flutter today, good luck with it. Here's to a great few days on the Sussex Downs.
 
The Bandit's Treble

HOT REPLY 1415 WOLVERHAMPTON (nap) the stable are absolutely flying at the moment sending in winners everywhere. This filly is an interesting runner and worth taking a chance on being the sister of the smart KRYPTON FACTOR who started out his career with Sir Mark Prescott too.

HALSTATT 1615 WOLVERHAMPTON (nb) – is back down to his last winning mark and has dropped in class too. His best trip this and the return to a more reasonable class may prove to be the key.

LUKEYS LUCK 1920 UTTOXETER (treble) – has a decent record here and this extended trip should eek some more improvement out of him.


BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/193 = 21.8%
Wins 169/962 = 17.6%
Placed 254/962 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£55.83

Monday treble

The last post pre-Glorious Goodwood. Not much luck yesterday with only GABRIAL (4-1) being placed. He has a few Listed types in him I'm sure, he just needs to sort his raceday persona out!
 
If you're having a flutter today, good luck with it. Here's to a great few days on the Sussex Downs.
 
The Bandit's Treble

HOT REPLY 1415 WOLVERHAMPTON (nap) – (Stone cold LAST!) the stable are absolutely flying at the moment sending in winners everywhere. This filly is an interesting runner and worth taking a chance on being the sister of the smart KRYPTON FACTOR who started out his career with Sir Mark Prescott too.

HALSTATT 1615 WOLVERHAMPTON (nb) – (unplaced) is back down to his last winning mark and has dropped in class too. His best trip this and the return to a more reasonable class may prove to be the key.

LUKEYS LUCK 1920 UTTOXETER (treble) – (3rd – 17-2) has a decent record here and this extended trip should eek some more improvement out of him.


BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/194 = 21.6%
Wins 169/965 = 17.5%
Placed 255/965 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£54.83

Thursday tips

Thought I might have a go at one of my old style blogs. It's been a while since I've done one of these, but as I'm sat here watching England pay poorly, I thought, what the hell. So here is my best three bets for tomorrow. Hopefully they will come in.
 
SALUT HONORE 1510 UTTOXETER (nap) (unplaced)

Notched up a couple of wins in a class 4 and 5 race earlier in the year, one of those coming in heavy ground. Drops back down a grade here and has the ground that he should relish. Hopefully he will refind his form.
 
QUADRILLER 1650 WINCANTON (nb) (unplaced)

Has run pretty well on his two starts for the Hobbs yard. He drops down a grade here and he should be sharper for his handicap run last time.
 
DRAWNFROMTHEPAST 1400 WOLVERHAMPTON (treble) (WON 11-2)

Is in a decent run of form and knows how to win these type of races. Has a decent record here a this time of the year.
 

Wednesday tips

Having a stab at some tips for every race at all day meetings in GB today. Hope it chucks out a few winners!

Carlisle

1.50 MAJESTIC JESS (NR)
2.20 JOSHUA THE FIRST (WON 14-1)
2.50 ALZAVOLA (7th)
3.25 ALLNECESSARYFORCE (6th)
4.00 ORIONS HERO (NR)
4.30 MASTER OF ARTS (2nd)
5.05 RESTAURATEUR (3rd)
5.35 RIVER DRAGON (NR)

Doncaster

2.00 HIPSTER (7th)
2.30 RIBAAT (3rd)
3.05 SOLE POWER (WON 5-2)
3.40 SAVE THE BEES (7th)
4.10 CAI SHEN (2nd)
4.45 COMPTON (10th)
5.15 EXCEL BOLT (NAP) (13th)

UTTOXETER

2.10 BOYFROMNOWHERE (WON 3-1)
2.40 STAGE ACCLAIM (WON 11-8)
3.15 LARKS LAD (WON 4-1)
3.50 TRACKMATE (WON 9-2)
4.20 ALAZAN (NB) (2nd)
4.55 LAVA LAMP (8th)
5.25 RANTHAMBORE (6th)

Enjoy the days racing if you’re going anywhere. Particularly the Uttoxeter Twitterati!