Racing Post Trophy

The curtain raiser on the flat season! It's been a decent season, we have been treated to TORONADO and DAWN APPROACH. We have seen an awesome performance from TREVE in the Ark and many other good moments. I have really enjoyed seeing the rejuvenation of Johnny Murtagh too, what a season he has had. Overall I have been disappointed with my performance on the flat, although I did manage to find a 66-1 winner in TWEETY PIE. The jumps start for real next week and that is my true passion so hopefully I can pick up a few winners for everyone.
 
On to today, here are my selections, good luck if you're having a flutter!
 
PECKHAMECHO 1610 CHEPSTOW (nap) – if this guy can reproduce his run in the Welsh Champion Hurdle then he should take this. That day he ran off a mark of 138, and is now at 140, after being dropped a few pounds due to a non convincing run behind Princely Player. At Ffos Las he had the like of The Romford Pele and Balder Success behind him, the strength of that form is good and I'm very hopeful.
 
DUTCH ROMANCE 1605 NEWBURY (nb) – won well at Salisbury in the mud last time and with similar conditions should run well. AERTEX came out of that race well behind my selection and won, strengthening the form a little. I think the 9-2 at the moment is a great price based on that.
 
MWALESHI 1355 AINTREE (treble) – front runner and won a Grade 2 last time, will relish the ground and despite the rise in his rating, I'm sure there is more to come from this one. Could run them into the ground today.
 
EXTRA NOBLE 1420 NEWBURY – this is a tougher contest for sure but he has done nothing wrong so far and has excellent battling qualities that I think will help today. Should enjoy the ground and has a decent each way chance at a big price
 
VALBCHEK 1515 DONCASTER – this is becoming a cliff horse, however I am convinced he is better than he has been showing and the drop back to 5f may help sharpen him up today and the booking of Ryan Moore, who has won on him previously is an eye catching one.
 
SOMEWHAT 1550 DONCASTER – this fella has the strongest form (and heart) in the book and has done nothing but impress me all year. He will go at it from the front and on this softer ground I don't think anything will go past him!
 
SIR DU BEARN 1520 STRATFORD – won on this card last year and was a Paul Nicholls horse prior to that who never got going, will live the ground, the trip and is from a shrewd yard, local to the track. Could surprise again!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 43/211 = 20.4%
Wins 177/1079 = 16.4%
Placed 279/1079 = 25.8%

Win and Placed = 42.3%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.83
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Cesarewitch Day

 
Another fantastic day of racing today. I'm more than excited now though as we have the first major jumps card of the season, yay! Whilst I enjoy the flat, jumps really is my thing! Can't wait! Enjoy the spectacle today and good luck if you're having a wager.
 
TULIUS 1725 NEWMARKET (nap) – (unplaced) this horse was super smart last year and just got better with every race. He will live the ground and trip today and is good fresh. A big run expected and my best bet of the day.
 
VALBCHEK 1530 YORK (nb) – (unplaced) has only had a handful of races and in my opinion is a smart horse. Ignore his last run as the 5f and quicker ground didn't suit. This fella defeated Swiss Spirit last year and was 2l behind Tropics at Newmarket in August. It's his handicap debut and his mark could be lenient judged on that form.
 
WAR COMMAND 1510 (treble) – (WON 10-11) the trip, the ground, the race, everything is in his favour today and I can't see him being beat. Reckon he'll go off odds on
 
GREAT WHITE EAGLE 1435 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) looks to have bags of potential and could be a real genuine classic horse next year. The others need to step up for me to get near my selection. Hot Streak looked smart last week, but this is tougher and Supplicant is tough but is he Group 1 class?
 
ALBERT BRIDGE 1550 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) what a race this is! My selection get the nod as I think he will lovet he trip and will the rain coming the ground should have sufficient juice in it to bring out his qualities over this trip. A good low draw helps his chances too. Pallasator is a giant, but I don't think he'll stay and his trainer wasn't that bullish about him. Tiger Cliff is class, but has alot of weight and a poor draw. The real danger could be Smoky Hill, who is thrown in on an eye catching mark. If you find the winner you're a good one!
 
I fancy a Fallon and Godolphin double at York with THOUWRA (PU) and OUT OF BOUNDS (Last!)
 
On the jumps front at Chepstow I have to have a flutter on the following
 
THE ROMFORD PELE 1615 – (2nd – 7-1) was a decent hurdler and not as good at that as his rivals but he always looked a stayer in the making with the smooth passage in the race he takes and coming off the pace late. Could be a chaser to follow this year.
 
FOR TWO 1645 – (3rd – 11-4) never finished his races off last year, with a bit more time now to have matured and strengthened I would expect to see him battling to the line and has a bit of class to see off the others
 
GAUVAIN 1715 – (unplaced) was class in his day and Hobbs is a master with the older horses and getting them going again. Had a pipe opener last time and Dickie opts for him over the other horse. He is class at his best and if he's on that form he'll murder these.
 
DUKE OF LUCCA 1745 – (unplaced) ran in some top races last year and was consistent. Is down in class and this mark is very appealing. He has to have a channce on his seasonal bow.
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 43/209 = 20.5%
Wins 174/1054 = 16.5%
Placed 276/1054 = 26.2%

Win and Placed = 42.3%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£61.83

Ebor Day at York

Not much luck yesterday with the selections, but I did think Kingsgate Native ran well on ground not ideal! I'm writing my blog today sat on a lovely caravan site just outside Matlock. The issue is the bloody weather, yep, it's been throwing it down here all morning and last night too! We had planned a big family BBQ aswell to celebrate my niece doing so well in her GCSE's. Oh well, we can't control the weather and it's seriously affected the horses at York. Below are my selections for today, good luck if you're having a flutter!
 
HANOVERIAN BARON 1550 YORK (nap) – (unplaced) he was due to run yesterday but sneaks in here off bottom weight. He has been running very well all year and was travelling really well at Haydock before being hampered slightly. Was doing his best work at the end and this step up in trip should suit. The claimer takes another 5lbs off and in the forecast rain-soaked ground it could prove crucial. Each way selection though.
 
VALBCHEK 1555 NEWMARKET (nb) – (unplaced) ran a cracking race on his belated return and has a fair bit of ability. TAAYEL defeated him that day but I reckon he will ge loads better after the run, big chance.
 
LANCELOT DU LAC 1630 NEWMARKET (treble) – (WON – 3-1) ran eyecatchingly well last time over 7f and just faded up the hill towards the finish. The drop back to 6f should suit and the rain should help too. Big run expected from me today.

PYTHAGOREAN 1455 GOODWOOD – (unplaced) has been running consistently well and has wins on fast and good ground. The rain I don't think has affected the ground at Goodwood as much and this fella has a good chance at this trip today.

MIDNITE ANGEL 1420 GOODWOOD – (unplaced) another horse running really well and has the ability to go in. She has decent form through her narrow defeat to J Wonder, although it was let down at York earlier. She holds Amazing Maria through that form and should win today.

SIRIUS PROSPECT 1405 YORK – (WON – 5-2) finally got his nose back infront over course and distance in July and never got competitive at Glorious Goodwood from a poor draw. I'm hoping he can bounce back again as he has some serious form from a few years back.

ELIDOR 1440 YORK – (unplaced) I really rate Martin Harley as a jockey, but last time on this horse he got it wrong and never got him in the race. He will stay this trip I have no doubt and the jockey will make up for his last error today and get him competitive earlier on. He was a Royal Ascot winner don't forget and I think he will take this today over an extended distance.

WILSHIRE BOULEVARD 1515 YORK – (2nd – 4-1) won last time out after finding 5f too sharp at Royal Ascot, plus it was on the back of a success just a few days prior and it may have come too soon. He should appreciate the ground today and he looks like an improving horse.

BLOG STATS :

Naps 43/203 = 21.2%
Wins 173/1020 = 17%
Placed 270/1020 = 26.5%

Win and Placed = 43.5%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£68.83

Glorious Goodwood Saturday

Not much look yesterday! Only MONTIRIDGE winning and a place for CAPE PERON. On to an even more difficult Saturday fixture with some cracking handicaps. I really love this big fields and trying to solve the problem, hopefully have picked a few today. Good luck if you're having a bet.
 
TROJAN ROCKET 1715 NEWMARKET (nap) – this boy needs to step up again but judging on his last run behind Baby Strange at Newcastle he can do. He was unlucky that day as didn't get the gap when needed. Mlikael Barzalona has a cracking record on him and I think he has a great chance today.
 
VALBCHEK 1720 DONCASTER (nb) – he was very smart last term at times and has some solid form to bring to the table. He is back from a long break but they have been waiting for the ground to be easier. Massive chance today.
 
BABY STRANGE 1405 GOODWOOD (treble) – has been raised 6lbs for his success at Newcastle. However, he is one to follow when in form and he has a cracking record in this, taking it in 2008 and he flew home at the finish last year, really good each way chance.
 
BLAINE 1550 GOODWOOD – is thrown in to his first handicap and is a huge price. He won the Gimcrack at York in a stella start to his career, he has since been disappointing, but class is class and he could be better than these, and interestingly is entered in another Group 1 later on. Great each way value too. I've fought with my heartstrings and decided to leave WHOZTHECAT alone in this. He's ran incredibly well this year but it's maye asking too much for him towin this from the front under a penalty. I kind of hope I'm wrong though!
 
JUST THE JUDGE 1515 GOODWOOD – she ran really well I thought from a difficult stall at the Royal meeting and she should relish this step up in trip. I think she will reverse the form with Sky Lantern today, whom I'm not sure will stay.
 
ELIDOR 1440 GOODWOOD – has been raised 5lbs since his last victory and the form of that race has been franked by CAP O'RUSHES and Bold Sniper since, great chance to take this too.
 
LANCELOT DU LAC 1420 NEWMARKET – this is an easier race than he's been running well in and he looked a smart proposition when winning first time out. The yard is bang in form and he should win this.
 
NO POPPY 1615 THIRSK – quickly becoming a cliff horse, but she has been well tried this year and I firmly believe she's a decent horse. She's even better with a bit of give and I'm hoping the thunderstorms and showers have got into the ground for her!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/197 = 21.3%
Wins 172/986 = 17.4%
Placed 260/986 = 26.4%

Win and Placed = 44%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£50.83

Glorious Goodwood Saturday

Not much look yesterday! Only MONTIRIDGE winning and a place for CAPE PERON. On to an even more difficult Saturday fixture with some cracking handicaps. I really love this big fields and trying to solve the problem, hopefully have picked a few today. Good luck if you're having a bet.
 
TROJAN ROCKET 1715 NEWMARKET (nap) – (unplaced) this boy needs to step up again but judging on his last run behind Baby Strange at Newcastle he can do. He was unlucky that day as didn't get the gap when needed. Mlikael Barzalona has a cracking record on him and I think he has a great chance today.
 
VALBCHEK 1720 DONCASTER (nb) – (2nd – 8-1) he was very smart last term at times and has some solid form to bring to the table. He is back from a long break but they have been waiting for the ground to be easier. Massive chance today.
 
BABY STRANGE 1405 GOODWOOD (treble) – (unplaced) has been raised 6lbs for his success at Newcastle. However, he is one to follow when in form and he has a cracking record in this, taking it in 2008 and he flew home at the finish last year, really good each way chance.
 
BLAINE 1550 GOODWOOD – (unplaced) is thrown in to his first handicap and is a huge price. He won the Gimcrack at York in a stella start to his career, he has since been disappointing, but class is class and he could be better than these, and interestingly is entered in another Group 1 later on. Great each way value too. I've fought with my heartstrings and decided to leave WHOZTHECAT alone in this. He's ran incredibly well this year but it's maye asking too much for him towin this from the front under a penalty. I kind of hope I'm wrong though!
 
JUST THE JUDGE 1515 GOODWOOD – (unplaced) she ran really well I thought from a difficult stall at the Royal meeting and she should relish this step up in trip. I think she will reverse the form with Sky Lantern today, whom I'm not sure will stay.
 
ELIDOR 1440 GOODWOOD – (unplaced) has been raised 5lbs since his last victory and the form of that race has been franked by CAP O'RUSHES and Bold Sniper since, great chance to take this too.
 
LANCELOT DU LAC 1420 NEWMARKET – (unplaced) this is an easier race than he's been running well in and he looked a smart proposition when winning first time out. The yard is bang in form and he should win this.
 
NO POPPY 1615 THIRSK – (unplaced) quickly becoming a cliff horse, but she has been well tried this year and I firmly believe she's a decent horse. She's even better with a bit of give and I'm hoping the thunderstorms and showers have got into the ground for her!
 
BLOG STATS :

Naps 42/198 = 21.2%
Wins 172/994 = 17.3%
Placed 261/994 = 26.3%

Win and Placed = 43.3%

@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£50.83