The Welsh National

This photo was one of my favourite racing moments, when the amazing Tidal Bay was given a peach of a ride by Ruby Walsh in last year's Lexus Chase. He's my favourite horse in racing and is a legend before today. Could he do the impossible today? Yesterday was a cracking day on the blog for me and my old man with MICKIE (5-2), ELY BROWN (13-8) and PEPITE ROSE, the nap, going in at 4-1. My old man still made more profit than me though with IPSOS DU BERLAIS getting placed in the big chase at Leopardstown.
He's 2-0 up now and way in front of me on profit, time to claw some back today! Each selection is a £2.50 each way.
 
TIDAL BAY 1435 CHEPSTOW (nap) – (3rd – 10-1 = £6.25) everyone I listen to is doubting this old boy, not me! He is the class horse in the race, as judged on the weights and so many horses running from out the handicap. He could have gone anywhere over the Xmas period but they have opted for this, he will relish the ground, trust me. He won the BET365 Gold Cup the other year on soft ground, but it was a right slog and he cruised through it. That is the same trip as this and he carried 11-12 that day too. This track will suit him and he will be able to come from off the pace late as other horses are stopping. Remember he was second to Bob's Worth in the Hennessey last year, giving him 6lbs. He is great in these handicaps! He will need to use all his class to win this, but he is a legend and this will write him into the history books! I believe! Do you?
 
PATEESE 1450 NEWBURY (nb) – (2nd – 9-2 = £2.81) ran back to form last time behind Mickie at track. He has been raised 5lbs for that, but that form is strong, especially after Mickie outstaying them all yesterday again. He should run another cracker!
 
FRONTIER SPIRIT 1510 CHEPSTOW (treble) – (unplaced = -£5.00) has been dropped to mark just 2lbs higher than when winning at Newbury on heavy ground over 2m6f. He will relish the ground and his first two runs need a line through as for me he was pitched too high. This race is more his level and he is on an appealing mark as mentioned. The ground will really come into play and with MAIL DE BIEVRE making all it should play into his strengths as this is over slightly shorter. Chance!
 
SOLAR IMPULSE 1400 CHEPSTOW – (unplaced = -£5.00) has been snapped upby top connections that you have to take note of. He could be anything, but for me he has won on heavy ground in France. When it is heavy over there it is bottomless and that will surely play into his hamds today with the forecast going at Chepstow. He has good breeding and is out of the same sire as GRANDIOSO another one of these connections horses. Has a big chance to open his account
 
Those are my four for my blog purposes, I also fancy GLEN COUNTES 1245 Newbury,RESTLESS HARRY 1315 Newbury and MOORLANDS MIST 1330 Chepstow.
 
Here are my old man's four for today :
 
BRACKLOON HIGH 1330 CHEPSTOW (unplaced = -£5.00)
RENARD 1510 CHEPSTOW (WON – 7-1 = £21.88)
VINTAGE STAR 1435 CHEPSTOW (unplaced = -£5.00)
HOWARDS LEGACY 1315 NEWBURY (unplaced = -£5.00)
 
Running totals – FATHER 2 SON 0

Father = £64.68 profit
Son = £20.39 profit
 
 
Result
Father = £6.88
Son = – £0.96.
FATHER 3 SON 0
Totals
Father = £71.54 profit
Son = £19.43 profit

Welsh National Tip

Well not too bad a day on the blog yesterday with DRAWNFROMTHEPAST (11-8) and BALLYGARVEY (9-4) winning for us. Was a shame that the nap DOOR BOY ran so poorly again, think that will be the last of my money he gets for a while. Anyway, on to today with the re-arranged Welsh National to look forward to plus some good supporting cards at Sandown and Wincanton. My tip for big one is above – I'mvsure you can guess who he is before you read below.
 
Here are my best three bets for today, plus a few others to watch out for.
 
LANDSCAPE 1405 WINCANTON (nap) – (unplaced) ran well last week when winning at Taunton and isn't penalised from that race. Harry Derham can also claim 5lbs today rather than 3 last week, so he's 2lb better off! The handicapper will surely hit him after this so it will be wise to get on him today. He's well handicapped on ground he'll like and over the right distance. He must have a huge chance.
 
SWNYMOR 1335 CHEPSTOW (nb) – (FELL) was a decent prospect on the flat and was impressive when winning first time out at Newbury. He really didn't have to beat much but the manner in which he did it was appealing. He should be thereabouts in this. The Nicholls runner is the unknown quantity!!
 
GILES CROSS 1520 CHEPSTOW (treble) e/w – (PU) what a great horse this is. It loves the mud and really battles well. He's been runner up in this twice already. The trip, ground and course will all suit. He has a weight to burden that only a select few have won with, but this boy is brave and will keep battling up the hill. Denis O'Regan gets on well with him and won well on him at Haydock last season. He's a great jockey and will keep him at the front going steady. I really think he can defy this weight and I think is a banker for a place at the least!
 
I also fancy the chances of HEY BIG SPENDER 1540 SANDOWN (unplaced) today. His run at Ascot wasn't great but he will have needed that and I think he can win this today off a mark he has won off before. I am also going for a Paul Nicholls treble with the following three :
 
KEPPOLS HILL 1300 CHEPSTOW – (WON 10-11) has been unlucky on both occasions previous and really should have won them both but for jumping errors. Today is the day!
ROGER BEANTOWN 1445 CHEPSTOW – (FELL) ran poorly at Cheltenham last time but his previous run here gives him a sniff and an extended distance should play to his strengths. Takes this before tackling fences.
GRANDIOSO 1330 WINCANTON – (2nd – 11-4) won well over course and distance last time and I think he will do the same again getting a run in off Tony Star.
 
Finally I'm having a flutter on WILLIAMS WISHES, (WON evens) POET (unplaced) AND SOFTSONG (unplaced) at SANDOWN all who I think have got great chances again today to take the money.
 
Well I hope there are a few winners in this lot today or I will be very disappointed, particiularly the best three. Remember these are my selections and I'm by no means an expert! If you are having a flutter, remember to do so within your means. Enjoy the racing and scream out loud for GILES CROSS!!