Here are Wednesday's selections and my old girl is back for a hat-trick!
GLEN COUNTESS 1420 WORCESTER (nap) – (3rd – 6-1) this girl has produced two cracking runs recently and has been raised 11lbs since her first win at the end of May. I have always thought she was a 110+ rated horse and I still think there is improvement in her. The ground will be perfect as is the trip, big hopes!
BASFORD BEN 1450 WORCESTER (nb) – (BD) I am convinced this horse has a race like this in him. He is rated higher over hurdles without excelling and has been dropped 4lbs in hs chase rating. He ran ok last time here and I sure he will be nearer at the finish this time, Sam Thomas' only ride of the day too.
DECOY 1720 WORCESTER (treble) – (unplaced) won this race last year off exactly the same mark. Has been lowered to this mark following a no show at Aintree. Ran in the Cesarewitch too last year, given another chance here off this mark. Decent claiming jockey takes a huge 7lbs off too which could make all the difference.
BLOG STATS :
Naps 41/188 = 21.8%
Wins 167/941 = 17.7%
Placed 249/941 = 26.4%
Win and Placed = 44.2%
@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£62.33
What a cracking Bank Holiday it has been in terms of weather, not often we get many like this! The racing world is reeling in the news of the formidable Nicholls/Walsh partnership going their seperate ways this morning. My twitter feed has been going bananas, not sure there will be much difference to be honest, Ruby will still ride some of the top stable stars on a Saturday in my opinion.
Saturday's blog showed a little improvement with good old KINGSGATE NATIVE (14-1) winning and CAPO ROSSO (4-1) second. I had a nice winner yesterday with my only bet of the day when MAOI CHINN TIRE came home at 12-1. Hopefully got a couple here today too.
Happy punting, and good luck.
GRANDADS HORSE 1715 CARTMEL (nap) – (NR) this horse has slipped back to his last winning mark and you need to put a line through his last two runs. Ground is key to this fella and he has two wins on good and three on good to firm ground at this level and above. He's due to go novice chasing soon and could sign off the smaller obstacles in style.
TUSSIE MUSSIE 1550 CARLISLE (nb) – (3rd – 6-1) is unexposed at this trip and just failed to peg back Lilac Lace last time. More to come from this horse and she has solid form through a line with CAPO ROSSO, losing by half a length to him last year. On his form this year that is decent, as is her own form in itself.
NEPTUNE EQUESTER 1540 CARTMEL (treble) – (3rd – 7-1) ran no real race in the Scottish National when well fancied. This is much easier, and up until the National he was producing good runs. Has won at this level before, I reckon something was amiss at Ayr last time and am hopeful of better today if the ground is ok for him.
TROJAN ROCKET 1555 WINDSOR – (WON – 8-1) this horse has a decent strike rate and is Mikael Barzalona's only ride of the day. He has won twice on him already and he goes well fresh. Has form on quicker ground and is a big price.
BASFORD BEN 1645 CARTMEL – (NR) this trainer/jockey combo proved successful yesterday on MAOI CHINN TIRE and they can claim another success today. This horse hasn't really progressed from decent NHF races, however all his disappointing runs have come on soft or worse ground. I think the quicker ground will suit. TRADE FAIR, his stallion has produced a few horses that have won on good and quicker ground. Good each way chance.
BLOG STATS :
Naps 39/174 = 22.4%
Wins 161/878 = 18.3%
Placed 233/878 = 26.5%
Win and Placed = 44.9%
@Tweet_Naps overall record. Click the link. All Time Profit/Loss currently +£64.33